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Matt Fargo
  • Event: (421) UTSA at (422) Texas State
    Sport/League: CFB
    Date/Time: September 12, 2020 3PM EDT
    Play: 3% – UTSA +9.0 (-110)
    Play Rating: 3%
    Result: Win

    This is a play on the UTSA ROADRUNNERS for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. The is some excellent value here with UTSA that has 13 starters back and now it is up to new head coach Jeff Traylor to try giving the program a kickstart. The Roadrunners get back eight starters from an offense that averaged just 345 ypg and 20 ppg. It is going to all start with an improvement up front even though the offensive lines opened lanes for a strong run game. Sincere McCormick was the Conference USA Freshman of the Year, leading the team with 983 yards and eight scores, and catching 24 passes for 194 yards and a touchdown. Defensively, eight of the 10 top tacklers return and UTSA led Conference USA in tackles for loss last season. Texas St. is coming off a loss last week against SMU by just seven points, but it was a misleading final score as the Bobcats were outgained 544-396 including just 217 yards through the air. It does not be a surprise the offense struggles as it averaged just 318 ypg and 18.4 ppg with no ground game and not enough of a downfield passing threat to make up for it. The defense got gashed as the top three tacklers, six of the top eight, nine of the top 13, and 13 of the top 20 are gone. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that allowed 425 or more ypg, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning, in the first month of the season. This situation is 54-23 ATS (70.1 percent) since 1992. 9* (421) UTSA Roadrunners