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  • Event: (707) Los Angeles Lakers at (708) Miami Heat
    Sport/League: NBA
    Date/Time: October 6, 2020 9PM EDT
    Play: 3% – (707) Los Angeles Lakers at (708) Miami Heat Total Under 218.5 (-110)
    Play Rating: 3%
    Result: Win

     3%  Take LA Lakers – Miami UNDER (#707-708)

    In the history of the NBA Finals prior to 2020, there had been only three instances where a team shot 50% from the floor, 40% from three point range and 90% from the free throw line in a single game.  Miami accomplished that statistical feat in Game 2, but they still lost by double digits, a clear indicator of their own defensive deficiencies.

    In Game 3, the Heat shot better than 50% from the floor and better than 90% from the free throw line again, but this time, they were held to 35% shooting from three point range.  But Miami altered their defensive approach and it paid great dividends – the Lakers were held to their lowest point total since Game 1 of their series against the Rockets, despite both Markieff Morris and Kyle Kuzma going off from three point range.  I’m not expecting the Lakers to run roughshod through Miami’s defense tonight either.

    And I’m looking to bet ON the Lakers defense following a rare postseason defeat; holding foes to 102 points per game following a playoff loss this year.  Jimmy Butler went nuts on Sunday Night, aided by a good handful of calls that went his way, extending the series.  I’m not expecting Miami to be able to live at the free throw line tonight, like they have in each of the last two games.  Expect a lower scoring affair.  Take the UNDER.

    Line Parameter: 3% at 217 or higher, 2% at 216.5 or lower

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