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  • Event: (467) Cincinnati Bengals at (468) Baltimore Ravens
    Sport/League: NFL
    Date/Time: October 11, 2020 1PM EDT
    Play: 4% – Cincinnati Bengals +13.0 (-120)
    Play Rating: 4%
    Result: Loss

     4% Take Cincinnati (#467)

    The Bengals have a pretty darn good track record when playing at Baltimore.  Since 2013, Cinci has hung tough in every meeting, losing by 3, 5, 3 and 6 points in their four losses, while winning SU as underdogs on three separate occasions.  This is an intimidating home field for some; but not for a divisional opponent with a history of competitive performances in this venue, especially considering the lack of homefield edge in the NFL this year.

    And at this point, we really need to start asking how good this Ravens team really is?  Two of their three wins this year came against bottom feeder winless foes (Houston and Washington).  They got the Browns in Week 1 – a new coach and new systems with no training camp or preseason games.  In their only real test, the Ravens got annihilated by KC.  Lamar Jackson missed multiple days of practice this week, dealing with a bum knee; the first time in his NFL career that he’s missed multiple practices.  And Jackson, plain and simple, is not a QB I want my money on as a double digit favorite when he’s missing practice and not at 100%.

    On paper, Cinci doesn’t look like a real test.  But if you’ve watched the Bengals in recent weeks, you know how much better this team is now than they were last year – the Joe Burrow effect.  Every quote coming out of the Bengals locker room is a positive one these days.  Their offensive line is blowing open holes for the running game; Burrow just became the first rookie QB in NFL history to throw for 300+ yards in three straight games and the defense is keeping Cinci in games, not letting them get away.  Expect a battle, not a blowout – too many points!  Take the Bengals

    Line Parameter: 4% at +12 or higher, 3% at +11.5 or lower