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Teddy Covers
  • Event: (313) NC State at (314) Virginia
    Sport/League: CFB
    Date/Time: October 10, 2020 12PM EDT
    Play: 3% – (313) NC State at (314) Virginia Total Over 58.5 (-110)
    Play Rating: 3%
    Result: Win

    3%  Take NC State – Virginia OVER (#313-314)

    Very quietly, waaaaaay underneath the radar, Virginia head coach Bronco Mendenhall has been getting his team to pick up the pace.  Since the beginning of November, 2019, Virginia has gone 8-0 to the Over.  This is not one of Mendenhall’s better defenses.  Last year’s stop unit, too, was below Mendenhall’s recent standards.  In that eight game span, Virginia has allowed 27+ seven times.  The only reason it wasn’t all eight games is because Duke turned the ball over four times, scoring only 20 as a result.

    NC State’s offense has been clicking, hanging 45, 30 and 24 in their first three ACC games.  Head coach Dave Doeren has found himself a quarterback in sophomore Devin Leary, who threw for 336 yards and four TD’s without an interception against Pitt’s solid defense last week.  Seven different receivers have a 23+ yard catch already this season and the RB duo of Zonovan Knight and Ricky Person have averaged better than six yads per carry between them.  No surprise here if the Wolfpack continue to light up the scoreboard.

    But NC State’s defense is a sieve and Virginia has a ‘bet-on’ QB of their own in sophomore Brennan Armstrong.  Just as importantly, the Cavs greatest offensive strength is their veteran offensive line, a unit that returned a whopping 119 career starts heading into the season.  That OL was able to control the flow against mighty Clemson last week; primed to keep a clean pocket for Armstrong here.  Let’s ride this Cavs Over until the markets catch up!  Expect fireworks.  Take the OVER.

    Line Parameter: 3% at 60 or lower, 2% at 60.5 or higher

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