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Teddy Covers
  • Event: (261) Cleveland Browns at (262) Pittsburgh Steelers
    Sport/League: NFL
    Date/Time: October 18, 2020 1PM EDT
    Play: 3% – (261) Cleveland Browns at (262) Pittsburgh Steelers Total Over 51.0 (-110)
    Play Rating: 3%
    Result: Loss

     3% Take Cleveland – Pittsburgh OVER (#261-262)

    The Browns are 4-0 to the Over since their Week 1 debacle at Baltimore, and none of them have been particularly close -- all four games flew Over by a TD or more.  Cleveland has scored 30+ in each of the last four weeks; and their defense has allowed 20+ in every game.

    Pittsburgh, too, is trending heavily to the Over; cashing Overs in each of their last three ballgames.  The Steelers have scored 26+ in every game and their defense has allowed 3 TD’s or more in each of their last three contests; picked apart by the Eagles spotty offense last week.

    Even with totals in the 50’s, it’s not hard to bet Overs in the NFL this season, the highest scoring start to any season in NFL history.  Holding penalties are way down, pass interference penalties are not; a big part of the reason why blindly betting Overs has cashed at a 58% clip YTD.  Given the balance  -- both teams can run and pass effectively – and the explosiveness of the playmakers on both sidelines – we can expect both offenses to continue clicking on all cylinders here.  Expect fireworks!  Take the OVER.

    Line Parameter: 3% at 52 or lower, 2% at 52.5 or higher