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Teddy Covers
  • Event: (153) Louisville at (154) Notre Dame
    Sport/League: CFB
    Date/Time: October 17, 2020 2PM EDT
    Play: 3% – Notre Dame -17.0 (-110)
    Play Rating: 3%
    Result: Loss

    3%  Take Notre Dame (#154)

    Notre Dame’s defense got picked apart by a previously anemic Florida State offense last week and Brian Kelly was not amused: “It’s not the type of defense that (defensive coordinator) Clark (Lea) has put out there, not the kind of defense that I want to put out there.  There are some factors that were unique in that there were a lot of those guys that were not practicing during the week (due to COVID protocols) and it showed.”

    Kelly is expecting a whole different level of defensive execution against Louisville this week.  “I think there were some uncharacteristic defensive lapses (last week)….. that we don’t normally see.  We will address those and our guys are aware of them…..we’re going to be simpler, we’re going to attack the line of scrimmage, we’re going to be a physical football team.”  It’s surely worth noting that after dealing with a COVID-depleted back seven on defense, the Irish are expected to be near full strength defensively this week; bad news for Malik Cunningham and the struggling Louisville offense.

    Notre Dame has routinely been blowing teams off the field.  They closed out last year with five straight wins by 3 TD’s or more and all three wins this season have come by multiple scores.  And Louisville has been routinely getting outclassed when they try to step up – seven of their eight losses in the Scott Satterfield era have come by double digit margins.  Cunningham’s accuracy has been a problem and this defense simply doesn’t get stops against the better offenses that they face; allowing 47 to Miami and 46 to Georgia Tech in recent defeats.  There’s a legit class difference here, and Notre Dame is primed to bring their ‘A’ game on Saturday.  Chalk worth laying!  Take Notre Dame.

    Line Parameter: 3% at -17 or lower, 2% at -17.5 or higher