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Teddy Covers
  • Event: (505) Philadelphia 76ers at (506) Toronto Raptors
    Sport/League: NBA
    Date/Time: May 7, 2019 8PM EDT
    Play: 5% – Philadelphia 76ers 6.0 (-108)
    Play Rating: 5%
    Result: Loss

    5%  Big Ticket: Take Philadelphia (#505)

    I want Philly off a loss; especially a loss in which Joel Embiid was a non-factor while dealing with a nasty flu bug.  The 76ers have lost twice before this postseason.  They bounced back with a double digit ATS victory in their next game both times; blowing out the Nets in Game 2, then pulling off the outright upset in Toronto as eight point underdogs.   I like Philly’s focus when they’re facing adversity, plain and simple.

    And I want Philly off a game in which Embiid was a non-factor, going 2-7 from the floor without a single offensive rebound.  Embiid’s quote after the game speaks volumes about what to expect tonight, now that he’s not dealing with a flu bug:   "I didn't have a good night; didn't sleep. Was throwing up. I needed an IV at 6 in the morning. I tried to play and tried to get the win. Obviously, it wasn't enough. ... It doesn't really matter. Once I step on the court, I have to do a better job, no matter what the situation is."

    Jimmy Butler has been the Sixers most consistent player here in the postseason.  His quote speaks volumes as well: "If you're going to go 2-for-7, go 2-for-20. We're rocking with Joel. I'm with it. That's what we need out of him -- to always be aggressive. Go show why you're so dominant, night in and night out, at both ends of the floor."

    Raptors head coach Nick Nurse changed up his rotations in Game 4, with Pascal Siakam less than 100%, putting Serge Ibaka and Marc Gasol on the floor together, basically for the first time since Gasol arrived in Toronto.  Now Brett Brown and his staff have a chance to counter the Raptors adjustments, and it’s not like Toronto has a full season’s worth of on-court chemistry together to adjust on the fly.

    Kawhi Leonard has shot 62% from the floor including 46% from three point range through the first four games, yet the Raptors are only 2-2 in the series.  I’m not convinced that Kawhi can continue producing at that clip as the series progresses, nor am I convinced that his teammates can pick up the slack if he’s not on fire again tonight.  In a series where the Raptors haven’t shown the ability to win by margin since Game 1, I’m very comfortable with a Big Ticket sized wager supporting the Sixers plus the points tonight!  Big Ticket: Take the 76ers.

    Line Parameter: 5% at +6 or higher, 4% at +5.5 or lower

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