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Recent Play Details

Nick Borrman
  • Event: Manchester City at Brighton
    Sport/League: SOC
    Date/Time: May 12, 2019 10AM EDT
    Play: 4% – Manchester City at Brighton Total UNDER 3.5 (-116)
    Play Rating: 4%
    Result: Loss

    England Premier League

    Projected: 2.36 Goals

    The Premier League title is on the line here for Man City and a win will give them back to back trophies.  There is little doubt in my mind they will win this game but I don't think they will run away with it and at the same time, I don't think they will let Brighton get on the board either.

    As much firepower as City possess, they are an Under team, especially on the road when compared to this number which they often see as the market has to inflate their line due to public perception.  As we have several times this season, we will try to exploit this inflated line.

    City has a 14-23 O-U record with a 3.1 gpg avg including just 4-14 O-U on the road with a 2.4 gpg avg.

    Brighton has a 9-28 O-U record with a 2.4 gpg avg including 5-13 O-U at home with a 2.3 gpg avg.

    Both teams are trending Under as City is just 2-8 O-U in their last 10 games in all competitions while Brighton is just 2-12 O-U in their last 14.

    Man City has not conceded a goal in four straight games and have kept seven clean sheets in their last ten games, while Brighton has not scored more than one goal in nine straight games including being held scoreless in seven of those.

    Man City wins the league with a 2-0 or 3-0 win here.

    TAKE UNDER 3.5 GOALS

    Line Parameter: 4% to 3.25

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