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  • Event: (921) Houston Astros at (922) Oakland Athletics
    Sport/League: MLB
    Date/Time: May 31, 2019 10PM EDT
    Play: 3% – Oakland Athletics +115
    Play Rating: 3%
    Result: Loss

    3%  Take the Oakland A’s (#922)

    The Houston Astros have finally come back to earth following a truly torrid stretch of baseball; going 15-2 in a 17 game span.  Houston is just 4-4 in their last eight ballgames, losing as big chalk three times during that span.  The mounting injuries – Carlos Correia, George Springer and Jose Altuve are three HUGE bats to be missing – have clearly impacted this lineup.  The Astros have been held to four runs or less eight times in their last eleven ballgames, scoring more than six only once during that span.  For a team that had scored six or more eight times in eleven games during their hot streak, current form does not match their outstanding season long offensive stats.

    That’s good news for Mike Fiers; a hurler with a STRONG home/road dichotomy in Oakland: 4 wins with a 3.78 ERA in six starts at home, but winless with a 6.37 ERA in six starts on the road.  He’s thrown at least six shutout innings three times in his last five home starts.  Oakland’s bullpen behind him is rested and ready after a day off on Thursday.  Houston’s bullpen has shown cracks of late, and Brad Peacock has an xFIP nearly a full run higher than his ERA, primed for regression.  I don’t bet against the Astros very often, but the price, the spot and the injuries for Houston all stand out today.  Take the A’s.

    Line Parameter: 3% at +110 or higher, 2% at +109 or lower

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