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Recent Play Details

Dr. Chuck
  • Event: (871) Toronto Blue Jays at (872) Baltimore Orioles
    Sport/League: MLB
    Date/Time: June 11, 2019 7PM EDT
    Play: 4% – Toronto Blue Jays -124
    Play Rating: 4%
    Result: Loss

    Thornton v. Means

    John Means is a nice little pitcher who has some appealing stats to glance at in the daily newspaper or box score!  However, he fits almost to a T the FIP system we utitlize on a regular basis here with our plays.  This play is already devolving away from us sadly as I assume the money and sharps are all over this play as well.  Means sits on the bump tonight with a 5-4 record for the worst team in baseball with a 2.67 ERA.  However, digging deeper into where we go to make an actual gamble on a play, and not just a boring public look at superficial stats!  The best part of our play is his 4.03/4.98 FIP/xFIP split....proving his stats are about to hit the fan and hard.  He also sports an excellent .249 BABIP with a projection for what his starts have played to be over .300 in this space.

    Toronto on offense has been solid against solid as this offense can be of course while the Orioles facing righties (like Thornton) at home have been just about as poor as it gets....odd but true.  A couple of bad teams facing off inside the division, I'll take the road chalk