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Drew Martin
  • Event: (969) Tampa Bay Rays at (970) Minnesota Twins
    Sport/League: MLB
    Date/Time: June 25, 2019 8PM EDT
    Play: 5% – Minnesota Twins -101
    Play Rating: 5%
    Result: Win

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    Blake Snell is far past his 2018 performance and after another less than stellar start, I would not be surprised if he ends up on the DL. Snell has only lasted 3.2 innings in his last two starts combined. Yes, that is correct, under 4 innings in his last two starts COMBINED. On top of his north of 5 ERA in eight road starts this year, that fact that the Rays are priced at what is essentially a pick'em price vs MLB's most profitable team year to date is eye opening. Add on top of that, the Rays traveled from Tampa to New York, then across country to Oakland and now on to Minnesota.Travel/spot wise this is looking rough for the franchise looking to split home games in two different countries in the near future. Touching on the home side quickly, Kyle Gibson has 3 blowups this year for the Twins, but overall he has been an above average American League pitcher, sporting a 3.95 FIP, with a slightly higher ERA. The Twins are also the #2 lineup in baseball vs lefties with a 128 WRC+ metric (28 ticks above average). I doubt Snell finds it on the road tonight given all the situational and trend spots lining up against him and the Rays, plus a couple relivers banged up in the Rays pen. MIN -101 is the play.

    4% at -110
    3% at -120