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Recent Play Details

Dr. Chuck
  • Event: (923) Oakland Athletics at (924) Seattle Mariners
    Sport/League: MLB
    Date/Time: July 6, 2019 10PM EDT
    Play: 4% – Oakland Athletics -131
    Play Rating: 4%
    Result: Loss

    Bassitt v. Gonzalez

    As stated in the title this matchup features a revenge spot for Chris Bassitt, who took on Marco head to head a few weeks back at home...and while he did not necessarily pitch well enough to win, the 9-2 final is deceiving as the.bullpen allowed 5 runs in the last couple innings.

    I also said I have some trends backing this small line considering.  Most notably taking into account the revenge nature it is an 11 of last 14 winner! (Including no losses sinc e 2017!) The profit on all the trends occasionally reaches the 30+% ROI mark and the value there is intense!  In fact the trend expanded out is 24-7 and 20-11 RL for 30% and 37% ROI!

    Gonzalez will face a lineup full of right handed hitters, limiting his advantage over lefties...with one exception, Matt Olson, who is a downright CRUSHER of LHP.  Only Josh Reddick eclipses him in most any category.  He Ks less than 10% of the time, and then it gets nuts:

    .500 ISO

    1.228 OPS

    9 wRC

    4.7 wRAA

    .489 wOBA

    213 wRC+

    FLAT OUT absurdities!  I am not making this play based upon one hitter as that would be equally absurd.  But it all adds up together for an amazing spot for the A's....the revenge, 2 runs or less last night, against LHP, divisional foe, with Matt Olson being the sold "weak" spot in the lineup being the cherry on top of a crazy valuable less than -150 line!

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