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  • Event: (953) Arizona Diamondbacks at (954) Miami Marlins
    Sport/League: MLB
    Date/Time: July 29, 2019 7PM EDT
    Play: 3% – Arizona Diamondbacks +100
    Play Rating: 3%
    Result: Loss

     3% Take Arizona (#953)

    The Dbacks have been winning on the road all year, entering today’s game three games over .500 on the highway.  They’ve only lost one road series since May – at LA against the red hot Dodgers – but they’re coming off a loss yesterday; a step-up spot for Arizona before they head to the Bronx to face the Yankees.

    Wiseguy bettors have driven this line towards Miami from the opener, in large part due to the starting pitching matchup.  Merrill Kelly isn’t a strikeout pitcher while Caleb Smith is – hence the support for Smith in the markets this morning.  But current Dbacks have hit .333 against Smith in their respective careers.  Meanwhile, Kelly has repeatedly bounced back strong coming off a lousy outing like his last one.

    Just as importantly, the Marlins have major bullpen issues today.  One day after trading closer Sergio Romo, they got five innings of scoreless relief pitching yesterday, using every key arm they have.  Arizona’s pen is in MUCH better shape than Miami’s today, even with Greg Holland’s recent struggles for Arizona.  Take the Diamondbacks.

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