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Teddy Covers
  • Event: (165) KANSAS STATE at (166) OKLAHOMA STATE
    Sport/League: CFB
    Date/Time: September 28, 2019 7PM EDT
    Play: 4% – KANSAS STATE 4.0 (-108)
    Play Rating: 4%
    Result: Loss

    4%  Take Kansas State (#165)

    Oklahoma State has notched back-2-back fraudulent pointspread covers; hence the Cowboys laying more than a field goal here – a line that is a good notch or two too high for this bettor!  First, the Cowboys were locked in a tight battle vs Tulsa; a game Okie State trailed at halftime.  But a late big play TD as they were trying to get a first down to take a knee gave Cowboys backers the money.  Last week, Oklahoma State was completely shut down after halftime, managing just a single field goal.  Then Texas fumbled a punt, leading to a last minute touchdown that covered the spread. 

    Thanks to those two fraudulent covers (not even mentioning their dicey Week 1 outing at Oregon State) Okie State has a betting bandwagon right now (3-0 ATS vs FBS foes), but they don’t deserve one!  This Cowboys defense has been gashed in every game – they’re not getting stops with consistency, even against lesser offenses.  Frosh QB Spencer Sanders isn’t spreading the ball around – Tylan Wallace has nearly half of the Cowboys receiving yards this season.  Oklahoma State gained only 311 yards and 15 first downs in a 19 point loss to K-State last year and they haven’t beaten K-State by more than a touchdown since 2010 – one tight, competitive game after the next.  I’m no convinced that this year will be any different.

    The Wildcats have shown nothing but ‘buy’ signs through the first month of the Chris Klieman era – a four time FCS national champion coach at North Dakota State..  They’re coming off an impressive road win at Mississippi State in their last outing – a team that dominated them in the trenches last year – proving their mettle in hostile environments.  And Klieman is already the type of coach I want my money on as an underdog with extra time to prepare; with K-State coming off a bye, in sharp contrast to the Cowboys who are anything but fresh after last week’s barnburner.  Live dog here!  Take Kansas State.

    Line Parameter: 4% at +3.5 or higher, 3% at +3 or lower.