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Recent Play Details

Nick Borrman
  • Event: Sao Paulo at Bahia
    Sport/League: SOC
    Date/Time: October 9, 2019 8PM EDT
    Play: 3% – Bahia (+145)
    Play Rating: 3%
    Result: Loss

    Brazil Serie A

    (208237) Sao Paulo at (208238) Bahia

    Go with one more + money favorite here.  Bahia has been strong at home all season at 7-3-2 with a +8 goal differential.  They won both matchups with Sao Paulo in the Copa do Brasil tournament back in May but played to a 0-0 draw at Sao Paulo in the reverse fixture in league play.  Bahia comes in off a 1-2 home loss to Athletico PR but were unbeaten in six home matches before that.  Sao Paulo drew 0-0 at Flamengo most recently which was a great result, but they were lucky to walk away with a point against the best team in the league.  Before that, they had lost two of three road matches.

    Overall Bahia at home is right ont he average for shots on goal but are near the best defensively with only two teams conceding less than their 2.9 shots on goal per game.  Meanwhile Sao Paulo is averaging just 3.0 shots on goal per game compared to the league average of 3.7 and conceding the league average.

    I think the chances will favor Bahia in this match, just hope the goals will back it up.

    TAKE BAHIA TO WIN (ML or -0.5)

    Line Parameter: 3% to +120, another play you can take the -0.25 line as well to protect half the wager against the draw, although that should still be available for even money or better.