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  • Event: (463) Los Angeles Rams at (464) Atlanta Falcons
    Sport/League: NFL
    Date/Time: October 20, 2019 1PM EDT
    Play: 4% – Los Angeles Rams -3.0 (-105)
    Play Rating: 4%
    Result: Win

    4%  Take the LA Rams (#463)

    You can stick a fork in the Atlanta Falcons right now – this team is done.  The Falcons started 4-9 last year before three late season wins made their record look respectable, and the betting markets expected a strong bounceback this season.  But it’s been more of the same in 2019; a team finding ways to lose; a coach on the hot seat and a defense that is, quite simply, incapable of getting stops.

    Atlanta’s defense has a grand total of five sacks in six games.   They’ve allowed 87 points in the last two weeks alone; both opponents notching their single highest scoring game of the season against this stop unit.  This defense was allowing 5.1 yards per play after three weeks of the campaign.  Three weeks later, they’re allowing 6.2 yards per play – season long numbers – a clear illustration of a defense that wasn’t good to begin with and has completely fallen apart since.  This is a ‘bet-against’ team in this price range, plain and simple.

    The Rams have lost three straight games for the first time in the Sean McVay era.  In theory, it’s a bad spot – travelling off two divisional games, with a distracting trip to London on deck.  But LA is coming off three straight losses.  They made a pair of ‘wake up the team and shake up the roster’ trades this week.   And Jared Goff is taking a BIG step down in defensive class after facing the 49ers last week.  This is a ‘get-right’ game for LA, a statement game for the road favorite against a home dog that won’t have many ‘statement games’ the rest of the way.  Take the Rams.

     Line Parameter: 4% at -3 or lower, 3% at -3.5 or higher