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Joe Raineri
  • Event: (323) ARMY at (324) Georgia State
    Sport/League: CFB
    Date/Time: October 19, 2019 7PM EDT
    Play: 4% – (323) ARMY at (324) Georgia State Total Under 56.5 (-110)
    Play Rating: 4%
    Result: Win

    Here we go again with the service academy's. I'm not sure why the markets continue to underestimate the defense of Army. I was shocked to see that this total opened up at 57. Now I know that Georgia State beat up Coastal Carolina last week but I can assure you, the Army defense is a million times better than what the Chanticleers bring to the field.

    Both of these teams are built around running the ball. Running the ball leads to chewing up clock and less possesions for the offense to score on. That means lower scoring games. Four of the Six games Army has played this year have hit the under already. Nothing that Georgia State brings to the table tells me that this will be any different. 

    Army lost last week to Hilltoppers of Western Kentucky. The reason they lost was because their defense stopped Army’s triple option. Their defense is built to stop the run. The Hilltoppers have a defensive line that ranks 37th in the nation in line yards, 32nd in standard down line yards, and 23rd in stuff rate. Makes it very difficult to move the chains when going up against that defense. However, Georgia State does not have that kind of defense. Their defensive line ranks 115th, 107th, and 100th respectively in those categories which tells me that they're going to have a hard time stopping the Army triple option. 

    Once Army gets their offense rolling downhill,  they become on of the toughest offenses in the nation to stop, going for it on nearly every fourth-and-short they have. Makes it very difficult for opposing teams offenses to get on the field.They’re going to find running against this Georgia State defense much easier than last week.

    I like Army to win this game as well as cover but I think the Total in this game is way to much and will be betting the UNDER in this matchup.

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