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Joe Raineri
  • Event: (403) SOUTH FLORIDA at (404) NAVY
    Sport/League: CFB
    Date/Time: October 19, 2019 3PM EDT
    Play: 4% – (403) SOUTH FLORIDA at (404) NAVY Total Under 52.0 (-110)
    Play Rating: 4%
    Result: Win

    Going to keep riding these service academy's totals. 

    This game features two really defenses and two very slow paced offenses, I was once again shocked to see the opening total number in this game at 53.5.

    South Florida and Charlie Strong aren't exactly known as offensive powerhouses. Now, South Florida has looked good on offense the pasts few weeks but still rank 83rd in points scored per game. Now they have to go up against a Navy defense that ranks first in the nation defensively in line yards and second in opportunity rate. Meaning, when they hit you up front, you fall down. The Navy front has been dominate this year and is consistently in opponents’ backfields, causing mass chaos and ranking them 10th in havoc across CFB. 

    The South Florida Bulls went with a QB change a few games ago and it really did give them a spark but it doesn't change the fact that their offensive line gives up a ton of sacks and r anks 128th in sack rate. The Bulls defensive is also pretty good at causing chaos as they rank 18th in the country in Havoc. 

    So both these defenses will do a great job of containing the line of scrimmage which makes it difficult for offenses to run the ball. With both teams wanting to run, this game will have it's fair share of drives that stall. 

    Why I think Navy will win this game easily, I don't see a ton of points from either offense in this game. 

    I'm betting on the UNDER in this matchuup.

     

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