+115 units the last four NFL seasons. All Week 9 plays included.
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NFL | (453) San Francisco 49ers at (454) New York Giants | 1:00pm EST - Nov 2/2025 |
The PLAY: Total Under 48.5 (-110)
Jaxson Dart and the Giants offense has already been hurt by the absence of Malik Nabers. Now they have to play without rookie running back Cam Skattebo. The former Arizona runner was good for 4.1 yards per carry and was clutch whenever the Giants needed a big play. Robert Saleh and a smart defense full of veteran-talent knows that the onus is on Dart to propel the Giants’ scoring ability. Needless to say, we have our doubts. Despite enduring many injuries of their own, San Francisco holds teams to just 20.5 points per game. The New York defense is hardly dependable, but Mac Jones has been banged up and the 49ers are only mustering 20 points per game this season, too. In what should be a blustery day in East Rutherford, we’re fading points.
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NFL | (459) Carolina Panthers at (460) Green Bay Packers | 1:00pm EST - Nov 2/2025 |
The PLAY: Carolina Panthers Total Over 15.5 (-106)
(459) Carolina Panthers at (460) Green Bay Packers
Carolina Panthers Total Over 15.5 (-106)
1:00 PM EST. This is the definition of a sandwich spot for the Packers, one week after beating Aaron Rodgers’ Steelers and with the Eagles on MNF in Week 10 in their look ahead. They’ve played with their food too much and now the Panthers should have Bryce Young back and they’re off a loss. Even if Carolina doesn’t cover, we like them to score points on a defense that can get complacent.
Consultant Bio
Five years ago, right before COVID hit and forced everyone to work from home, I decided to create more content in the sports betting space. After nearly two decades of working in the federal government, I was satisfied with my security but dulled by the lack of passion I had in my 9-5 job, so I was always seeking something more. It occurred to me that, more than any other hobby, I was invested in reading/learning and consuming everything I could about sports and sports betting. Even when I was a little boy, my father brought home “pick-em sheets” for every NFL week, and I tried my hand on several occasions. I remember beating his coworkers more than once.
And even though I had been a winning bettor on my own, I never shared my style or advice. I started writing for a great site called TheOddsBreakers, which broke me onto the public scene and help earn respect from my peers (I hit 58%, 207-152 in my inaugural season as an NBA handicapper).
Then I entered the Circa Millions contest for the first time with only one entry and won 5th place overall in the 2021 NFL season (61-28-1, 68%).
Since then, I’ve written for dozens of sports betting publications and served in myriad roles with sports companies such as The33rdTeam, BetUS, and SportsWagers.ca. I also won in Circa Millions again, achieving 1st place in last year’s third quarter contest ($150k). I have my own podcast, Laying the Points with FarleyBets, which I will resume in the 2025 NFL season. All of my records and plays have been shared transparently, where I’ve accrued 113 units in the NFL and 100 units in the NBA over four seasons, and I continue to contribute my betting thoughts/picks on Substack.