Free NBA Basketball Predictions for March 18

Steve Seagrave

Event: (533) Golden State Warriors at (534) Boston Celtics: Gui Santos Points

Sport/League: NBA

Date/Time: March 18, 2026 7:10 PM EDT

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Gui Santos Points Over 14.5 (100)

Gui Santos OVER 14.5 Points (+100) FD:

The Golden State Warriors are extremely short-handed with players like Steph Curry, Al Horford & Moses Moody on the shelf and Gui Santos has been a clear beneficiary as he's scored 15+ points in six straight games. It looks like Kristaps Porzingis will be all systems go and Santos has cleared this line in 5/5 games with him on the court while averaging 18.2 points per game. Santos faced the Boston Celtics on February 19th, and he scored 17 points while shooting 6-14 from the field across 32 minutes of play. The Celtics allow the 2nd most above-the-break threes & 8th most catch-&-shoot points and Santos scores 31% & 46% of his points in those two areas. Santos has also been a road warrior with 15+ points in 9 of his last 10 games while averaging 17 points per game. Boston is an elite defense, but they have struggled against Santos main scoring types, and the Dubs will need his production to compete as -11.5-point road underdogs.

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Joe Duffy

Event: (537) Portland Trail Blazers at (538) Indiana Pacers: Spread

Sport/League: NBA

Date/Time: March 18, 2026 7:40 PM EDT

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Portland Trail Blazers -11.5 (-110)

Extra enhanced version of when a line appears counterintuitive to the points per game margins to date, go with the message the oddsmakers are sending and bet on the seemingly contradictory team is 1028-719-29 for an impressive 58.8 percent and 12.3 ROI. The master angle is up 226.20 units at 58.4 percent. When they are at least fairly big away favorites with at least 14 losses are 468-290-22 for 61.7 percent and 17.9 ROI.

Luck Gap kept this below a premium bet.

March is where Joe Duffy separates from the field. Known as Mr. March and the Lord of the Big Dance, his dominance in tournament play stretches back decades—and this card delivers exactly the kind of high-level convergence serious bettors demand.

Headlining the slate is a ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️ 4★ Wise Guy play on Miami Ohio–SMU. This side is powered by a jaw-dropping NCAA Tournament angle, reinforced by a proven system that thrives in March while producing all season long, and aligned with one of our top proprietary metrics—all pointing to the same conclusion.

That same matchup also features a total driven by elite outsourced analytics—sharp, data-backed insight that consistently uncovers hidden value.

And we’re not stopping there.

The strongest NIT side on the board also qualifies, meeting the same strict criteria that isolates only the highest-probability opportunities.

Now add in a loaded NBA card.

Five NBA plays hit the board, led by two ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️ 4★ Wise Guy Best Bets—premium-level positions that only qualify when multiple high-level metrics converge, including proprietary models, market intelligence, and time-tested angles. These are the same standards that define long-term winning and separate true professionals from the public.

Precision. Discipline. Proven execution.

This is how March is attacked at the highest level.

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Oskeim Sports

Event: (537) Portland Trail Blazers at (538) Indiana Pacers: Spread

Sport/League: NBA

Date/Time: March 18, 2026 7:40 PM EDT

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Portland Trail Blazers -10.5 (-110)

Since 2009, NBA road favorites of five points or greater are 1818-1525-66 ATS (55%), while .599 or worse road favorites of greater than three points are 720-528-29 ATS (57.7%) after the All-Star break, including 229-133-6 ATS (63.3%) since the beginning of the 2020-21 season, covering the spread by an average margin of +2.4 points per game. Let’s also note that double-digit road favorites are 388-314-15 ATS (55.3%). Since 1989, rested NBA road favorites are 457-354-11 ATS (56.4%) from Game 28 forward versus unrested opponents. Portland falls into a profitable 1328-1019-42 ATS (56.6%) NBA Road Favorite system of mine that dates to 2001 and invests on certain road favorites of greater than three points. Finally, the Trail Blazers find support in a profitable 341-208-12 ATS (62.1%) NBA Road Favorite Scoring Margin system of mine that dates to 1989 and invests on large road favorites with certain scoring margins. This situation has been 229-136-5 ATS (62.7%) since 2016, covering the spread by an average margin of +3.9 points per game. Lay the points with the Portland Trail Blazers as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Wednesday, March 18. **Jeff Keim is on a RED-HOT 59-26 (69.4%) overall run and is the #1 Handicapper at WagerTalk in Win % and Units Won over the L/35 days!**

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

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The Gold Sheet

Event: (543) Toronto Raptors at (544) Chicago Bulls: Josh Giddey Points + Rebounds + Assists

Sport/League: NBA

Date/Time: March 18, 2026 8:10 PM EDT

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Josh Giddey Points + Rebounds + Assists Over 38.5 (-120)

After missing 75% of the regular season, Josh Giddey has finally found his groove for the Bulls racking up five triple doubles in his last seven games as we’ll look for him to go over 38.5 points + rebounds + assists at home against the Raptors tonight. Giddey has averaged 42.7 points + rebounds + assists through seven March games with the Raptors giving up the second most points per game to point guards over the last 30 days. Giddey is shooting 47% from the field and 45% from three-point range this month while averaging 36.4 minutes per game compared to 25 minutes per game in February. The Raptors have recently given up big games to point guards including Cade Cunningham (45 PRA), Jalen Green (43 PRA) and DeJounte Murray (36 PRA) and we expect some of the same from Giddey tonight with Chicago running at the third fastest pace in the league. The Raptors rank seventh in defensive rating overall this season, but over their last ten games sit 15th and are also 24th in rebounding percentage over their last ten as well. Let’s look for Giddey to keep stuffing the stat sheet going over 38.5 points + rebounds + assists and if you want a plus-money play, Giddey to record a triple double is currently around +200.

Released/revised 4 hour(s) ago

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