Teddy Covers
Event: (573) Charlotte Hornets at (574) Orlando Magic: Total
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: April 17, 2026 7:30 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Total Under 218.5 (-111)
Take Charlotte – Orlando UNDER (#573-574)
The ‘Daily Double’ video below features my take on BOTH NBA Play-In Games for Friday Night. Here’s a brief synopsis of the Hornets – Magic total recommendation. I’m in play for my clients with the side here, but I have a ‘bettable opinion’ on the total as well. There’s all kinds of pressure and playoff intensity expected tonight in Orlando – the winner moves on to the playoffs; the loser goes home for the summer. That’s not great news for Over bettors – we can expect both of these defenses to bring their ‘A’ game tonight. Perhaps just as importantly, this is not a game where we can or should expect much pace. Charlotte just got pushed to the limit in an uptempo affair against the Heat, but their 18-9 SU record after the All Star Break came about with the #29 pace out of 30 NBA teams, as slow as molasses and they have no intention of pushing pace tonight. Orlando’s offense still hasn’t found a rhythm and it’s mid-April, held to just 97 points on 41% shooting in their loss at Philly earlier in the week. Expect a relatively low scoring game, start to finish. Take the UNDER.
Released/revised 1 hour(s) ago
Steve Seagrave
Event: (575) Golden State Warriors at (576) Phoenix Suns: Jalen Green Points
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: April 17, 2026 10:00 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Jalen Green Points Over 19.5 (-115)
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Jalen Green Points Over 19.5 (-115):
Jalen Green is coming off a game high 35 points while playing 39 minutes and taking a staggering 29 field goal attempts against the Portland Trail Blazers. Green should easily see 15+ field goal attempts in this game, and he's covered this line in each of his last 7 games with that type of volume while averaging 25.9 points per game. The Golden State Warriors defense has to sell out on guarding Devin Booker and that will leave Green with open looks. Green has a quick first step and without Jimmy Butler & Moses Moody the Dubs don't have the speed to defend him in isolation. The Warriors allowed the 8th most points to opposing shooting guards (22.8/game) and we have seen similar players thrive against them recently including Darius Garland (21), Bennedict Mathurin (23), Donovan Mitchell (25) and CJ McCollum (23). During the last 15 games, Golden State ranked 21st in defending pull up shots in area where Green scores 41% Of his points. Green will see plenty of volume with the Dubs are preoccupied with Booker and he's been shooting well so 20+ points feels very attainable.
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Pro Sports Picks
Event: (575) Golden State Warriors at (576) Phoenix Suns: Spread
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: April 17, 2026 10:00 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Golden State Warriors +3.5 (-108)
PSP Data Driven play on Warriors.
At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.
Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog. Golden State is 4-1 in its last 5 games against Phoenix. Phoenix is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games.
Released/revised 11 hour(s) ago
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The Gold Sheet
Event: (575) Golden State Warriors at (576) Phoenix Suns: Devin Booker Points + Rebounds + Assists
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: April 17, 2026 10:00 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Devin Booker Points + Rebounds + Assists Over 36.5 (-128)
In three head-to-head matchups against the Warriors this season Booker averaged 39.4 points + rebounds + assists per game with Golden State giving up the seventh most points to point guards per game this season. We’re well aware Booker had just 27 points + rebounds + assists in the team’s 114-110 loss to Portland on Tuesday, but Booker got in foul trouble early which messed up any rhythm Booker may have had during that game playing at least 36 minutes per game over his last five. We could see him notch 40 minutes tonight and on the season Booker has averaged 42.9 points + rebounds + assists per 40 minutes played. On the season Golden State ranked 22nd in rebounding rate and sat bottom half of the league in total assists allowed per game to the opposition. These two teams haven’t met since December 20 with Booker attempting 27 shots that game and attempting over 20 per game across his last five. With the winner of this game taking on the Thunder in the first round, let’s go with Booker to fill up the stat sheet going over 36.5 points + rebounds + assists on Friday night in front of the home crowd.
Released/revised 5 hour(s) ago
Oskeim Sports
Event: (579) Minnesota Timberwolves at (580) Denver Nuggets: Total
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: April 18, 2026 3:30 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Total Under 232.5 (-115)
Minnesota arrives in Denver off back-to-back wins over the Rockets (136-132) and Pelicans (132-126), which is noteworthy, as NBA underdogs entering the playoffs off consecutive wins are 235-187-8 to the Under (55.7%), including 108-82-2 UNDER (56.8%) since 2018. The fact that both teams haven’t played since April 12 supports a low-scoring game, as NBA playoff games between well-rested teams are 94-60-2 to the Under (61%) since 2000, including 30-18 UNDER (62.5%) since 2022, going under by an average margin of 3.5 points per game. Since 2004, Game 1s of the opening round of the NBA playoffs are 94-71-3 to the Under (57%), including 25-15 UNDER (62.5%) since 2020, covering the total by an average of 7.3 points per game. Similarly, NBA home teams are 111-86-2 to the Under (56.3%) in Game 1 of a series since 2014. Finally, Denver is coming off five consecutive overs, which triggers a very good 51-29-2 (63.8%) NBA totals system of mine dating to 1998 that invests on the over in certain postseason games involving teams riding an over streak. Take the Under in the Minnesota/Denver game as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Saturday, April 18.
DOMINATING THE LEADERBOARD
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• #1 Handicapper (Top Plays): 41-23 (64.1%)
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• #1 NBA Handicapper (ROI): 29-16 (64.4%)
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Oskeim Sports
Event: (573) Charlotte Hornets at (574) Orlando Magic: Total
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: April 17, 2026 7:30 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Total Under 218.5 (-110)
Charlotte has outperformed all expectations, going from 12-games under .500 to winning 32 of its last 45 games to secure the #9 seed in the NBA Play-In Tournament. Charlotte finished the regular season ranked 11th in the league in Defensive Rating (113.5). More importantly, since the All-Star break, the Hornets rank 7th in Defensive Rating. Orlando also possesses a very good defense, ranking 13th in Defensive Rating (113.6). The Magic also boast one of the league’s best three-point defenses, allowing the fourth fewest number of attempts and the 12th worst percentage league-wide Since 2006, NBA road favorites are 198-153-11 to the Under (56.4%) in postseason play, while Game 1s of the opening round are 94-71-3 to the Under (57%), including 25-15 UNDER (62.5%) since 2020, covering the total by an average of 7.3 points per game. Similarly, NBA home teams are 111-86-2 to the Under (56.3%) in Game 1 of a series since 2014. Finally, NBA playoff games between teams that have four or fewer matchup losses on the season are 283-231-11 to the Under (55.1%) since 2019. Take the Under as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Friday, April 17.
DOMINATING THE LEADERBOARD
• #1 Handicapper (Units/WP/ROI): 114-79
• #1 Handicapper (Top Plays): 41-23 (64.1%)
• #1 Basketball Handicapper (Units): 90-59
• #1 NBA Handicapper (ROI): 29-16 (64.4%)
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Will Rogers
Event: (583) Houston Rockets at (584) Los Angeles Lakers: Spread
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: April 18, 2026 8:30 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Houston Rockets -5.5 (-105)
Free Pick | on Houston Rockets - ATS | Good until -7.0.
Los Angeles was a completely different team during the season than it is at this given moment. Without the likes of Luka Doncic & Austin Reaves, the Lakers are definitely not as strong. Will that hurt them? Of course. But, we all know what LeBron is capable of in an entire series. That being said, I think that it's going to hurt the Lakers a little bit too much on Saturday evening in Game One. Houston's one of the hottest teams in the NBA coming into this game having won nine of its L10 games. Even though this game is on the road, expect Houston to emerge as the winners.
Released/revised 1 day(s) ago
Ben Burns
Event: (581) Atlanta Hawks at (582) New York Knicks: Spread
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: April 18, 2026 6:00 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: New York Knicks -5.0 (-110)
Lots to like about New York. The Knicks are arguably stronger than the team which went to the Eastern Conference Finals last season. They're balanced and experienced. Their 53 regular season wins is the most since 2013. They have an excellent 30-10 home record. They've covered five straight. One might of thought trading Trae Young would hurt the Hawks. It didn't. They went 28-15 after getting rid of Young. However, if you look more closely, many of those 28 wins came against bad and/or short-handed teams. The Hawks still deserve credit for winning those games and getting here. However, I expect the Knicks to be too much for them on Saturday. *good at -6 or better
Released/revised 1 day(s) ago

Cajun Sports
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