Free NBA Basketball Predictions for March 20

Steve Seagrave

Event: (575) Boston Celtics at (576) Memphis Grizzlies: Ty Jerome Points

Sport/League: NBA

Date/Time: March 20, 2026 8:10 PM EDT

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Ty Jerome Points Under 18.5 (-107)

Ty Jerome UNDER 18.5 Points (-107):

Ty Jerome has actually been covering this line on a regular basis with 19+ points in 7 of his last 9 games but his minutes have been limited to 25 minutes per game at most. Now Jerome has to deal with a Boston Celtics defense that has allowed the least points overall and 4th fewest points to opposing point guards with an average of 23.5 per game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander & James Harden are only point guards that have eclipsed this line against Boston in their last 9 games and Harden landed on 19 exactly. The Celtics have also allowed a league low 2.3 free throws per game to opposing point guards so Jerome will find it difficult to find his way to the charity stripe. Boston has also played at the slowest pace of play in the NBA both on the season & during the last 10 games and they should dictate tempo while playing at home against a Memphis Grizzlies team that ranks 6th in pace. The Celtics are favored -15.5 points so a blowout could limit Jerome's minutes, and he already has a lot working against him in this one. Look for Jerome to be forced into facilitating instead of scoring.

*Playable at 17.5 or better w lower juice

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

Oskeim Sports

Event: (575) Boston Celtics at (576) Memphis Grizzlies: Spread

Sport/League: NBA

Date/Time: March 20, 2026 8:10 PM EDT

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Boston Celtics -15.0 (-110)

Since 2009, NBA road favorites of five points or greater are 1822-1529-66 ATS (55%), while moderate NBA favorites are 776-599-29 ATS (56.4%) following three consecutive games in which they scored 105 or more points. Let’s also note that double-digit road favorites are 390-316-15 ATS (55.2%), including 192-104-6 ATS (64.9%) following the All-Star break when they have a non-division game on deck. Since 1999, NBA road favorites of -9 or greater are 183-125-8 ATS (59.4%) versus opponents with the same amount of rest after the All-Star break. Boston falls into a profitable 1330-1023-42 ATS (56.5%) NBA Road Favorite system of mine that dates to 2001 and invests on certain road favorites of greater than three points. Finally, the Celtics find support in a profitable 341-211-12 ATS (61.8%) NBA Road Favorite Scoring Margin system of mine that dates to 1989 and invests on large road favorites with certain scoring margins. This situation has been 229-139-5 ATS (62.2%) since 2016, covering the spread by an average margin of +3.3 points per game. Lay the points with the Boston Celtics as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Friday, March 20.

Released/revised 6 hour(s) ago

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The Gold Sheet

Event: (567) Golden State Warriors at (568) Detroit Pistons: Duncan Robinson Points

Sport/League: NBA

Date/Time: March 20, 2026 7:40 PM EDT

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Duncan Robinson Points Over 11.5 (-110)

Off back-to-back wins at Washington, the Pistons will attempt to hold on to first place in the Eastern Conference without Cade Cunningham for the foreseeable future. They host Golden State tonight in which we’ll take shooting guard Duncan Robinson over 11.5 points. In eight games without Cunningham this season Robinson has averaged 15.9 points per game including a 14 point effort last night on 5-10 shooting. When these two teams met back on January 30 in San Francisco Robinson scored 15 on 5-11 shooting with the Warriors allowing the most points per game to shooting guards over the last 30 days. Sure, Robinson has been known to have dud performances like his one-point effort in Toronto last Sunday, but that was with Cunningham in the lineup and he particularly looks sharp when Cunningham can’t be relied upon like usual. Another interesting data point about Robinson is that he averages 13.4 points per game at home which is 3.1 points more than he averages in road games and shoots 9% better from three point range at home as well compared to away. With Cunningham sidelined and the Pistons needing consistent outside shooting, let’s take Robinson over 11.5 points in Detroit tonight.

Released/revised 6 hour(s) ago

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