Oskeim Sports
Event: (571) New York Knicks at (572) Philadelphia 76ers: Spread
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: May 8, 2026 7:00 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Philadelphia 76ers -1.0 (-106)
New York leads the Eastern Conference semifinals 2-0 after Wednesday’s 108-102 win over the 76ers. However, NBA playoff underdogs coming off back-to-back wins are just 228-299-8 ATS (43.3%) since 1996, losing by an average margin of 7.6 points per game and failing to cover by an average of 2.1 points per game. Similarly, NBA playoff home favorites entering Game 3 of a series after back-to-back losses by a combined 9+ points are 50-30-2 ATS (62.5%), covering the spread by an average of 4.0 points per game. In contrast, NBA favorites coming off a loss are 396-314-11 (55.8%) in Game 2 (or beyond) of a series, including 114-87-2 ATS (56.7%) since 2019. Let’s also note that Round 2 home teams are 35-17 ATS (67.3%) following a Round 2 loss, winning by an average of 11.2 points and covering by an average of 7.9 points. Finally, NBA playoff home favorites coming off a loss, as underdogs of 5 points or more, are 19-3-1 ATS (86.4%) in Game 3 with totals under 223 points, provided one additional parameter is satisfied. These teams have covered the spread by an average margin of 8.2 points per game since 2003. Take the Philadelphia 76ers as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Friday, May 8.
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