Will Rogers

Event: (685) Fresno State at (686) Colorado State: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: March 11, 2026 9:00 PM EDT

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Colorado State -6.5 (-118)

[FREE] on Colorado State.

Fresno State limps into the Mountain West Tournament after losing five of its last six games and is fortunate not to be seeded even lower. The Bulldogs have struggled offensively all season and have been especially weak defending two-point attempts, ranking No. 326 in that area. That weakness could be costly against Colorado State, a team that ranks No. 17 in the country in two-point percentage and can burn teams inside and out. The Rams finished the regular season as one of the hottest teams in the MWC, winning eight of their L9 games. Although the teams split the regular-season series, Colorado State won the most recent matchup. I like the Rams to improve even more in this game on Wednesday.

Released/revised 2 hour(s) ago

Tokyo Brandon

Event: (301511) Zhejiang Chouzhou at (301512) Tianjin

Sport/League: CBA (See all free China CBA picks)

Date/Time: March 11, 2026 7:35 AM EDT

Free China CBA Pick Today: First Quarter Under +45.5 (-110)

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Team comparison chart

Player-vs-player matchups

1st quarter projection

Projected 1Q score

Zhejiang Chouzhou 22 - 20 Tianjin
Projected 1Q total: 42.5

Compared with the sportsbook lines:

• Tianjin 1Q TT 22.5 → Under

• Zhejiang 1Q TT 23.5 → Under

• 1Q total 45.5 → Under

Confidence grades

Best betting angles from this breakdown

1. My weighted 1Q projection came in below the number

• Projected 1Q score: Zhejiang 22 - 20 Tianjin

• Projected 1Q total: 42.5

• That gives about a 3-point cushion under 45.5

2. Zhejiang’s recent games have been slow and ugly early

• In the 1Q sample I used, Zhejiang averaged:

  • 21.8 points scored

  • 19.2 points allowed

• That’s a combined 41.0 1Q points

• Their recent overall form has been very under-ish, with scores like 61-59, 58-68, 87-70, 89-69, 85-82. That is not exactly a flamethrower convention.

3. Tianjin’s recent 1Q offense has been shaky

• Verified recent 1Q scoring sample for Tianjin was:

  • 19 vs Guangdong

  • 29 vs Fujian

  • 9 vs Guangsha

• Average: 19.0 points

• Even with some noise in the sample, that is well below a pace needed to help clear 45.5 comfortably

4. The matchup is pace-conflicted, and Zhejiang is the team more likely to control tempo

• Tianjin wants a faster, higher-scoring environment

• Zhejiang’s recent away profile is the opposite:

  • Last 5 away PF: 72.6

  • Last 5 away PA: 70.6

• That suggests Zhejiang has been dragging games into slower, lower-possession scripts, especially away from home

5. Step-2 home/away math also leaned under

• Tianjin last 5 home 1Q projection: 21.55

• Zhejiang last 5 away 1Q projection: 20.91

• Combined step-2 total: 42.46

That’s another layer pointing below 45.5.

6. Full-season 1Q numbers are not explosive enough to scare the under
Using season averages:

• Tianjin season-based 1Q projection: 22.01

• Zhejiang season-based 1Q projection: 22.88

• Combined: 44.89

That’s still basically right under the number, and that’s before giving extra weight to Zhejiang’s much slower recent form.

7. Tianjin 1Q under 22.5 also supports the full 1Q under

• I projected Tianjin for only 20.4 in Q1

• If Tianjin doesn’t get into the 23-25 range early, it becomes much harder for the full quarter to fly over unless Zhejiang goes nuclear

8. Zhejiang has been a strong 1Q team, but not necessarily a wild 1Q over team

• They’ve been winning early quarters

• But that has often come through defense and control, not pure shootout chaos

• A team can win Q1 while still helping an under cash. Beautiful little gambling paradox goblin.

Clean summary
The best case for Under 45.5 1Q is:

• my projection is 42.5

• Zhejiang’s recent style is slow and defensive

• Tianjin’s recent 1Q offense has been unreliable

• both the home/away and season-based math land at or below the line

Best supporting angle:
Tianjin 1Q team total under 22.5 pairs nicely with the full 1Q under 45.5.

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

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Oskeim Sports

Event: (633) Idaho at (634) Eastern Washington: Total

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: March 10, 2026 11:30 PM EDT

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Total Over 151.5 (-110)

Since the beginning of the 2016-17 season, Big Sky Conference teams entering off a game in which they allowed fewer than eight 3-pointers are 667-525-6 to the Over (56%) from Game 12 forward, including 267-195-2 OVER (57.8%) since the beginning of the 2022-23 season, going over by an average margin of +3.0 points per game. Eastern Washington is coming off an 84-79 win over Weber State, which is significant because the Eagles are 136-92-2 to the Over (59.6%) following a win by 24 points or less since 2012, including 49-29-1 OVER (62.8%) since the beginning of the 2021-22 season, going over by an average margin of +4.8 points per game. Finally, the over falls into a very good 401-329-4 (55%) college basketball totals system of mine that invests on the over in games involving teams with an average season point spread of greater than +0.5 versus opponents with one or fewer days of rest. This situation has been 198-150-1 OVER (56.9%) since the beginning of the 2021-22 season. Take the Over in the Idaho/Eastern Washington game as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Tuesday, March 10.

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Released/revised 12 hour(s) ago

Pro Sports Picks

Event: (633) Idaho at (634) Eastern Washington: Moneyline

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: March 10, 2026 11:30 PM EDT

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Eastern Washington -110

PSP Data Driven play on Eastern Washington.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. Eastern Washington are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games. Eastern Washington are 6-4 in the last 10 meetings.

Released/revised 18 hour(s) ago

Tom Macrina

Event: Wry or Die Free Play

Sport/League: GLF (See all free Golf picks)

Date/Time: March 12, 2026 7:00 AM EDT

Free All Golf Pick Today: Rickie Fowler To Win +6100

Rickie Fowler enters THE PLAYERS Championship at 61/1 odds, offering strong value as one of the more intriguing longshots in the field.

He's showing his best form in years, ranked 67th in the Official World Golf Ranking and steadily climbing. Fowler has been a model of consistency to open 2026, making the cut and posting solid results in every start: T18 at The American Express, T18 at the WM Phoenix Open, T19 at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, T28 at The Genesis Invitational, and a strong showing at the Arnold Palmer Invitational (finishing T9 at -8 amid tough conditions and an unfinished third round).

This momentum gives him clear motivation—he's pushing for a top-50 OWGR spot (or strong FedExCup positioning) to secure a Masters invitation in April.

Fowler has a proven affinity for TPC Sawgrass's Stadium Course. He won here in 2015 in one of the most dramatic finishes in tournament history: trailing by five shots with six holes to play, he birdied five of the final six (including the island-green 17th) to force a playoff, then won it on the first extra hole with another birdie on 17. His aggressive, precise style suits the course's demanding layout, where bold play on risk-reward holes like 16 and 17 can pay off big.

He's a true Stadium Course specialist—his floor is noticeably higher here than at most venues, thanks to comfort in the venue's unique challenges.

Statistically, Fowler's game is well-rounded and peaking at the right time. He ranks 21st on Tour in Strokes Gained: Putting (with multiple recent starts gaining over +3 strokes on the greens) and sits 37th in Strokes Gained: Total, reflecting a balanced profile that minimizes big mistakes while capitalizing on opportunities.

Full disclosure: I'm a longtime Rickie Fowler fan. But this isn't just fandom talking—his current momentum, course history, statistical uptick, and motivation make 61/1 a compelling wager in a tournament where past champions and strong ball-strikers/putters often thrive.

Take Rickie Fowler +6100

Let's cash some tickets!

X: @WryCape

Released/revised 2 day(s) ago