Dan Kaiser
Event: (35) Montreal Canadiens at (36) New York Islanders: Moneyline
Sport/League: NHL (See all free NHL Hockey picks)
Date/Time: April 12, 2026 6:07 PM EDT
Free NHL Hockey Pick Today: Montreal Canadiens -105
I am backing Montreal in this one. Both teams are coming off losses on Saturday. With the loss, Montreal finds itself in third place in the Atlantic. The Canadiens are 23-8-8 on the road this year, while the Islanders are 22-15-2 at home. New York has been struggling lately, losing five of their last six games and is all but eliminated from playoff contention. Montreal is the better team and will take them to bounce back.
Play on Montreal to -110. This is a FREE play.
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NHL BEST BET TOTAL: $ 7.00
Dan had a nice +money winner yesterday with Vegas. He is coming back on the ice tonight with his best TOTAL play on the board. Get in on this play early before the line moves against us. Dan is looking forward to the NHL playoffs, and the books are getting scared.
Razor Ray Monohan
Event: (955) Pittsburgh Pirates at (956) Chicago Cubs: Total
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: April 12, 2026 2:20 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Total Over 12.5 (-110) Action
OVER 12.5
Chicago and Pittsburgh are worth a free move to the over. The wind is expected to blow out all fan and that always spells a lot of runs in this ballpark. Bubba Chandler struggled for the Pirates in his last start as he lasted just 4.1 allowing 3 runs. Taillon allowed 7 hits and 3 runs in his last start and being a contact pitcher is never a good sign when playing with the wind blowing out inside Wrigley. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Tonight’s FREE selection is a strong lean on the OVER 12 TO 12.5. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.
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**$7 SUNDAY MLB** | #1 OVERALL ON SM 146-100-3 59% +119.79 UNITS SINCE 12/19/25: $ 7.00
+27.59 UNITS, 52% (148-135-3) MLB #6 RANK | 3% ROI MLB | 172-157 (52%) +706 MLB LONG TERM | 10-6 (63%) +370 MLB — Razor heads to the MLB board for Sunday action with a 3★ release. This selection is included with Razor’s Long Term and Seasonal Sports Passes. This one fits the board as it stands.
Pro Sports Picks
Event: (533) Atlanta Hawks at (534) Miami Heat: Spread
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: April 12, 2026 6:10 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Atlanta Hawks -6.5 (-106)
PSP Data Driven play on Hawks.
At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.
Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. Atlanta is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games. Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
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Oskeim Sports
Event: (555) Sacramento Kings at (556) Portland Trail Blazers: Spread
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: April 12, 2026 8:40 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Portland Trail Blazers -16.5 (-110)
Since 2013, large NBA home favorites are 627-519-18 ATS (55%), while .649 or worse favorites of -15 or greater are 77-51-1 ATS (60.2%) since 2008, covering the spread by an average margin of +3.0 points per game. Sacramento arrives off a shocking 124-118 upset win over the Warriors as 11-point underdogs, which is significant because 300-or-worse double-digit underdogs coming off an upset win are 111-144-5 ATS (43.5%) since 2008. Portland is coming off an impressive 116-97 win over the Clippers on Friday, and large NBA underdogs like the Kings are 168-217-5 ATS (43.6%) versus opponents that have pulled down 13 or more offensive rebounds in their last game. This situation is 77-119-1 ATS (39.3%) since the beginning of the 2018-19 season. From a technical standpoint, Portland falls into one of my most profitable systems: Play On: Large NBA favorites with an average season point spread of worse than -1.91. This situation is 185-124 ATS (59.9%) since 2005 and contains a 158-96 ATS (62.2%) subset angle that is 109-57-1 (65.7%) since 2018. Lay the number with the Portland Trail Blazers as Jeff Keim's Free Pick Winner for Sunday, April 12.
Playoff Implications
• A Portland win on Sunday secures the 8-seed. Sacramento has gone 8-9 straight-up over the past two weeks, causing the Kings to fall out of the top three in the lottery.
DOMINATING THE LEADERBOARD
• #1 Handicapper (Units/WP/ROI): 106-72 | +69 Units
• #1 Handicapper (Top Plays): 40-23 (64%)
• #1 Basketball Handicapper (Units): 88-59 (60%)
• #1 NHL Handicapper (ROI): 64% Winners | +18%
• #1 NBA Handicapper (ROI): 26-16 (63%) | +25.3%
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Oskeim Sports
Event: (41) Utah Mammoth at (42) Calgary Flames: Moneyline
Sport/League: NHL (See all free NHL Hockey picks)
Date/Time: April 12, 2026 9:07 PM EDT
Free NHL Hockey Pick Today: Utah Mammoth -160
Since 2003, NHL conference road favorites with odds under -250 are 3175-2145 (59.7%; +2.7% ROI). Both teams played last night, as Utah suffered a 4-1 loss to the Hurricanes, while the Flames lost 4-1 to Seattle. However, the fact that Utah is favored in this game is significant because NHL favorites of less than -200 are 1596-1000 (61.5%; +3.5% ROI) versus unrested opponents, including 550-319 (63.3%; +7.0% ROI) since the beginning of the 2020-21 season. Then scheduling dynamics are also favorable to Utah because .500 or greater conference road favorites are 401-196 (67.2%; +9.5% ROI) versus .499 or worse opponents playing their third game in four days, including 230-94 (71%; +11.9% ROI) since the beginning of the 2016-17 season. Calgary’s most recent loss came on the road, which is good news for Mammoth investors because .499 or worse unrested underdogs are 655-1210 (35.1%; -10.3% ROI) following a road affair since 2003, including 158-366 (30.2%; -19.1% ROI) since the beginning of the 2020-21 season. The Flames returned home from a grueling six-game road trip last night, and .499 or worse underdogs coming off back-to-back road games are 1462-2345 (38.4%; -5.2% ROI) and -3.3% ROI PL, including 473-865 (35.4%; -9.2% ROI) and -5.7% PL since the beginning of the 2020-21 season. Moreover, NHL underdogs coming off three consecutive road games are 1189-1831 (39.4%; -5.8% ROI) since 2008, while underdogs entering off four straight road affairs are 541-828 (39.5%; -5.8% ROI). Finally, the Mammoth arrive in Calgary looking to avenge a 2-0 loss to the Flames on December 6, which is notable because NHL road favorites of less than -200 with same-season revenge are 1074-645 (62.5%; +9.5% ROI). Take the Utah Mammoth as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Sunday, April 12.
DOMINATING THE LEADERBOARD
• #1 Handicapper (Units/WP/ROI): 106-72 | +69 Units
• #1 Handicapper (Top Plays): 40-23 (64%)
• #1 Basketball Handicapper (Units): 88-59 (60%)
• #1 NHL Handicapper (ROI): 64% Winners | +18%
• #1 NBA Handicapper (ROI): 26-16 (63%) | +25.3%
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NBA SHARP MONEY MOVE | #1 NBA CAPPER (ROI) | #1 TOP PLAYS | #1 OVERALL L/2 MONTHS: $ 7.00
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Ricky Tran
Event: (961) New York Yankees at (962) Tampa Bay Rays: Moneyline
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: April 12, 2026 1:40 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: New York Yankees -142 Cam Schlittler (RHP) Must Start
Ricky's play on NYY.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- NY Yankees is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games against Tampa Bay.
- Tampa Bay is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games against an opponent in the American League East Division
- Cam Schlittler is 8-6 in his last 16 starts for NY Yankees.
Verdict: The value is on the road favorite.
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Ricky's $7 NHL Punisher - PENGUINS VS CAPITALS: $ 7.00
RICKY WINS YEAR AFTER YEAR (2022-2026) Ricky's Career Highlights: (As of March 2026) - 1,225-834 (60%) MLB Since 20218 - 128-84 (60%) Overall in 2026- 843-630 (+51 Units) Overall in 2024 - 728-570 (+30 Units) Overall in 2023 - 342-251 (+36 Units) Overall in 2020 - 22-9 (71%) UFC Since 2020
Billy Coleman
Event: (3799) Tennessee at (3800) Mississippi St: Moneyline
Sport/League: NCAABB (See all free NCAA Mens Baseball picks)
Date/Time: April 12, 2026 2:00 PM EDT
Free NCAA Mens Baseball Pick Today: Tennessee + 210
Not use to seeing The Vols as a 200+ dog in college baseball. They have gone through change this year with a new head coach, as Tony Vitello took the job with the San Francisco Giants. Mississippi St has been slumping and with the match up on the mound don't deserve to be this big of a favorite. The Vols won the first two games of the series and they have transfer Evan Blanco going today with a 2-2 3.83 ERA and 1.16 Whip. Charlie Foster goes for the Bulldogs who is 0-1 with a 5.21 ERA and 1.74 Whip. Give me Tennessee to get the sweep at a huge price today.
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MLB 4% BEST BET #1 AT SM IN MLB, # 1 L30 DAYS 4% PLAYS AN AMAZING 16-4 80%% +45 UNITS AND 7-1 88% IN MLB !: $ 7.00
Plain and Simple, #1 in MLB @ SM, #1 the L30 days, and 4% plays on an incredible 16-4 80% run. If that is not enough how about a spectacular 7-1 88% on 4% Best Bets in baseball this season, and your getting an underdog today. If your not on the Billy Coleman Express jump on board for just a $7 click today !
Pro Sports Picks
Event: (543) Detroit Pistons at (544) Indiana Pacers: Spread
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: April 12, 2026 6:10 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Indiana Pacers +13.5 (-110)
Pacers
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PSP'S $7 DATA DRIVEN ANNIHILATOR - PACERS$ VS PISTONS$: $ 7.00
PSP'S $7 DATA DRIVEN ANNIHILATOR - PACERS$ VS PISTONS$ We've crunched the numbers, gone over the data, and reviewed the relevant trends. Our models have uncovered a very favorable situation with positive EV for a DATA DRIVEN NBA PLAY. You can't go wrong following our betting advice as our data-driven picks promise to outperform an ...
Mike Lundin
Event: (547) Golden State Warriors at (548) Los Angeles Clippers: Spread
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: April 12, 2026 8:40 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Golden State Warriors +6.5 (-112)
Warriors vs Clippers NBA Free Pick
The Angle(s): The Golden State Warriors are locked into the 10th seed, but are still working on the chemistry for the play-in tournament. I think they'll go for it and can keep this somewhat close, as they're looking to see all their stars back from injuries.
The Bet: WARRIORS (3%).
Bet to: Warriors +4½.
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Tokyo Brandon
Event: (961) New York Yankees at (962) Tampa Bay Rays: F5 Total
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: April 12, 2026 1:40 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: F5 Total Under 4.5 (-125) Action
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Time to put your things down and take a Schlit. Two excellent pitchers vs batters they dominate. 4.5 seems way too high.
NYY at TBR — 4/12/2026 projection
There is one major note before the model: the official game pages still list Cam Schlittler vs. Drew Rasmussen for April 12, but there is also a same-day report that Rasmussen was moved to the family medical emergency list. The projection below follows the requested/posted matchup of Schlittler vs. Rasmussen, with confidence reduced because Tampa Bay’s final starter could still change.
Projected full game: Yankees 4.1, Rays 3.6
Projected first 5 innings: Yankees 2.4, Rays 1.8
Why the model lands there
New York has the weaker team batting line overall so far, but the Yankees have still scored 4.38 runs per game and own a .720 OPS vs right-handed pitching. Tampa Bay has been the better pure hitting team on the season at 4.62 runs per game with a .713 OPS, and the Rays just beat New York 5-3 on April 10. That narrows the gap offensively, but it does not erase the starting-pitching edge the Yankees get in this specific posted matchup.
Schlittler’s current 2026 surface stats are excellent: 2-0, 1.62 ERA, 0.48 WHIP, 16.2 IP, 22 K, 0 BB on the official matchup page. The head-to-head sample provided against Tampa Bay since 2025 is also strong overall: 11.0 innings, 3 earned runs, 13 strikeouts, including a dominant 6.2-inning, 1-hit, 0-run outing at Tampa Bay on August 20, 2025. That combination supports a working expectation around 5 2/3 innings with high strikeout efficiency but still some caution due to his limited MLB sample.
Rasmussen’s posted 2026 line is also strong at 1.80 ERA, 0.70 WHIP, 10.0 IP, 10 K, 1 BB, and his 2025-26 head-to-head sample against New York is meaningful: 16.2 innings, 5 earned runs, 18 strikeouts across three starts. That points to real Yankees suppression, especially early in games. The model still gives New York a slight edge because the Yankees’ current split vs right-handers is better than Tampa Bay’s current split versus top-end righties, and because Rasmussen may not be fully stretched if he does start after the off-field absence. Working expectation is about 5.0 innings.
Recent bullpen form leans New York. Over the last 10 games, the Yankees’ bullpen ERA is 3.16, seventh-best in MLB, while Tampa Bay’s relief group ranks lower at 18th in the same StatMuse leaderboard. New York has scored 44 runs in its last 10 games, while Tampa Bay is 5-5 in its last 10 with a .224 team average over that stretch. That late-game difference is enough to swing the model from roughly even after five innings to a narrow Yankees edge by the final score.
Tampa Bay does not get the “returning home from a road trip the day before” deduction. The Rays were already home in this series on April 10 and remain home for April 12, so no flat-spot adjustment was applied.
Score construction
Factor | NYY | TBR |
|---|---|---|
Baseline offense | 4.4 | 4.6 |
April / recent-form adjustment | -0.1 | -0.1 |
Away/home and park context | -0.1 | +0.1 |
Starter matchup | +0.2 | -0.5 |
Bullpen adjustment | +0.2 | -0.3 |
No bottom 9th / venue trim | -0.5 | -0.2 |
Projected runs | 4.1 | 3.6 |
These are model adjustments built from the current team, pitcher, split, and market context above.
Projected boxscore values
First 5 innings
Team | Projected runs |
|---|---|
NYY | 2.4 |
TBR | 1.8 |
Full game
Team | Projected runs |
|---|---|
NYY | 4.1 |
TBR | 3.6 |
Projected starting pitcher boxscore
Pitcher | IP | ER | H | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cam Schlittler (NYY) | 5 2/3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Drew Rasmussen (TBR) | 5 0/3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
Projected hitter chart
Yankees
Hitter | AB | BB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ben Rice | 4.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.1 |
Cody Bellinger | 4.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 |
Aaron Judge | 4.1 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 |
Giancarlo Stanton | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 |
Austin Wells | 3.9 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 |
Paul Goldschmidt | 4.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 |
J.C. Escarra | 3.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 |
Anthony Volpe / José Caballero slot | 3.9 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 |
Rays
Hitter | AB | BB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yandy Díaz | 4.2 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 |
Jonathan Aranda | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 |
Junior Caminero | 4.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 |
Chandler Simpson | 4.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
Brandon Lowe | 3.9 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 |
Richie Palacios | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 |
Taylor Walls | 3.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Ben Williamson | 3.8 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
Catcher/DH slot | 3.8 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
These hitter lines are tied to the current active-roster core on both clubs and the posted game context; the Yankees’ bottom-of-order projection is less certain because Anthony Vol-piss is nearing activation.
Wager & Probability Analysis
Moneyline
Using the projected score NYY 4.1, TBR 3.6:
Team | Model Win % | Fair Odds | Consensus Odds | Consensus − Fair | Value | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYY | 55.8% | -126 | -143 | -17 cents | No value | 2 |
TBR | 44.2% | +126 | +119 | -7 cents | No value | 2 |
Full-game total
Using projected total 7.7 against market 7.5:
Bet | Model Prob. | Fair Odds | Consensus Odds | Consensus − Fair | Value | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Over 7.5 | 51.5% | -106 | -112 | -6 cents | No value | 1 |
Under 7.5 | 48.5% | +106 | -108 to -110 range | -14 to -16 cents | No value | 1 |
First 5 innings total
A clean machine-readable consensus F5 line for this exact posted Sunday matchup was not surfaced in the accessible results. Model-only fair read:
Market | Model Total |
|---|---|
First 5 total | 4.2 |
Bullpen last 10 days
Team | Bullpen ERA | MLB rank |
|---|---|---|
NYY | 3.16 | 7th |
TBR | Higher than NYY, rank shown as 18th in relief leaderboard | 18th |
Lineup run production last 10 days
Team | Runs last 10 | Status |
|---|---|---|
NYY | 44 | Slightly better recent run production |
TBR | Mid-pack recent scoring, 5-5 last 10 | Slightly lower |
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Marlins Tigers Feature Bet | SCORCHING 12-0 RUN | 10-Year MLB Scout and 3-Time #1 Capper: $ 7.00
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Steve Merril
Event: (955) Pittsburgh Pirates at (956) Chicago Cubs: Moneyline
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: April 12, 2026 2:20 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Chicago Cubs -135 Bubba Chandler (RHP), Jameson Taillon (RHP) Must Start
Chicago starter Jameson Taillon projects to give up 2.3 runs with a 3.48 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. Pittsburgh’s lineup has hit just .225 (23-102) with a weak .594 OPS against Taillon in his career. The Pirates will start Bubba Chandler. The righty projects to give up 2.9 earned runs with a 4.59 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. With the starting pitching clearly in Chicago’s favor, look for the Cubs to get a solid home win on Sunday afternoon.
Play CUBS (-).
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Oskeim Sports
Event: (533) Atlanta Hawks at (534) Miami Heat: Spread
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: April 12, 2026 6:10 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Atlanta Hawks -2.0 (-106)
Since 2009, certain NBA road favorites with win percentages of .559 or worse are 739-542-29 ATS (57.7%) after the All-Star break, including 248-147-6 ATS (62.8%) from the beginning of the 2020-21 season. Atlanta is coming off a 124-102 win over the Cavaliers, snapping a two-game losing streak. Since 2000, NBA road favorites arriving off a win that ended a losing streak are 466-364-13 ATS (56.1%). This situation features a profitable 225-171-7 ATS (56.8%) subset angle dating back to 1989, involving NBA road favorites coming off a win that snapped a two-plus-game losing streak. Miami returned home from a 140-117 win over the perpetually tanking Wizards, which is significant because home underdogs entering off a game in which they led by 20 or more points at the half are 82-131-1 ATS (38.5%) since 1990, including 60-112-1 ATS (34.9%) when owning a .559 or worse win percentage. Finally, Atlanta falls into a profitable 1349-1039-42 ATS (56.5%) NBA Road Favorite system of mine that dates to 2001 and invests on certain road favorites. Lay the points with the Atlanta Hawks as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Sunday, April 12.
Playoff Implications
• Atlanta clinched the Southeast Division on Friday and secures the 5-seed if it beats Miami on Sunday. The Hawks can also lock down the 5-seed with a loss if Toronto loses, or Orlando beats the Celtics.
• Miami is most likely going to be the 10th seed, requiring two road wins to reach the playoffs
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NBA SHARP MONEY MOVE | #1 NBA CAPPER (ROI) | #1 TOP PLAYS | #1 OVERALL L/2 MONTHS: $ 7.00
**#1 OVERALL HANDICAPPER AT WAGERTALK (UNITS/WP/ROI) L/2 MONTHS** On Sunday, Jeff Keim is STEPPING OUT with a HUGE NBA Sharp Money Move backed by a near-perfect 13-1 ATS (93%) winning angle! Hop on board right now and start cashing tickets on the hardwood!*#1 OVERALL HANDICAPPER (UNITS/WP/ROI)*#1 BASKETBALL (UNITS): 88-59*#1 TOP PLAYS: 40-23 (64%)* ...
Ben Burns
Event: (973) Los Angeles Angels at (974) Cincinnati Reds: Total
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: April 12, 2026 1:40 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Total Under 8.0 (-117) Action
Jose Soriano has been dominant to start the season and is a (very) early candidate for the A.L. Cy Young Award. He's 3-0 with a 0.45 ERA and 0.65 WHIP. In his first start, he held Houston to two hits through six shutout innings. That was followed by six shutout innings against the Cubs, once again he allowed just two hits. Last time out, he allowed one run on three hits, through eight complete innings. He had 10 K's without walking a. batter. Those three games averaged just 4.33 runs with scores of 2-0, 3-0 and 6-2. Abbot's numbers aren't as dominant as Soriano's but he's been respectable. Through three starts, he's got a 3.18 ERA. Go with the under.
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