Ricky Tran
Event: (507) Toronto Raptors at (508) New York Knicks: Spread
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: April 10, 2026 7:40 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Toronto Raptors +6.5 (-110)
Raptors
Released/revised 57 minute(s) ago
Pro Sports Picks
Event: (501) Miami Heat at (502) Washington Wizards: Spread
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: April 10, 2026 7:10 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Washington Wizards +18.5 (-110)
Wizards
Released/revised 1 hour(s) ago
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Jimmy Adams
Event: (977) Boston Red Sox at (978) St. Louis Cardinals: Moneyline
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: April 10, 2026 8:15 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Boston Red Sox -135 Action
Guys like Connelly Early don’t come around often. It all started with the young phenom’s performance in the postseason last year, success that has translated nicely into 2026. Early has allowed 1 and 2 runs in his starts this season. He has 5 pitches in his arsenal that he goes to regularly, keeping hitters off balance while working low in the zone. Positive regression is also on the way for Boston, as they’re a better team than their record indicates.
Dustin May’s debut in a Cardinals uniform could not have gone worse. He was blown up for 6 earned on 10 hits in his first outing, and followed it up by getting smacked around for 7 earned in 3.1 innings the next time out. He ranks in the 1st percentile in pitching run value and at the bottom of the league in almost every other key analytic. Take the Red Sox.
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Ben Burns
Event: (959) Minnesota Twins at (960) Toronto Blue Jays: Total
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: April 10, 2026 7:07 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Total Over 9.0 (-118) Action
Patrick Corbin makes his Toronto debut on Friday. Hopefully, Blue Jay fans' expectation are tempered. Corbin's had some solid seasons over the years. Most of those were quite a few years ago though. Nearly 37 years old, the veteran southpaw has been pretty bad ever since he hit his 30s. He was 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 2020. In 2021, he was 9-16 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. That was followed by a terrible 6-19 2022 season in which he had a 6.31 ERA and 1.70 WHIP. In 2023 he was 10-15 with a 5.20 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. In 2024, he was 6-13 with a 5.62 ERA.
In fairness, those numbers were partly a result of Corbin pitching in Washington's hitter-friendly ballpark. Or, were they? A closer glance at his stats over those five years shows that he was actually worse on the road. Last year, he moved leagues and delivered a respectable (for him) season for the Rangers. He was 7-11 with a 4.40 ERA.
Also, I'll point out that Corbin has a terrible 9.88 ERA in three starts at Toronto. He got rocked here last year, a game which finished with 16 runs. While he's likely to give up some runs, Corbin should at least get some solid run support. The Blue Jay lineup is a bit banged-up but still dangerous. The win over the Dodgers in the series finale, followed by a day off, should have them feeling good.
All six of last season's meetings between the Jays and Twins had at least nine runs. The three games at Toronto had 14, 12 and 17 runs. This one should also reach double-digits.
Released/revised 11 hour(s) ago
Tokyo Brandon
Event: (304601) Kia Tigers at (304602) Hanwha Eagles: Moneyline
Sport/League: KBO (See all free KBO League picks)
Date/Time: April 10, 2026 5:30 AM EDT
Free KBO League Pick Today: Kia Tigers -115
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Projection outline
1) Starting point
My baseline starts with KIA having the better starting-pitching edge, because Naile has a strong, real sample against Hanwha since July 1, 2024, while Hernandez has no KBO head-to-head history vs KIA before this start and only two KBO starts total.
I then adjust for home field to Hanwha, cool April weather, road/home travel, bullpen usage, and the fact that the prior day was a rainout for both clubs, which reduces fatigue risk for both pens.
2) James Naile vs Hanwha since 7/1/2024
Naile’s 2026 form is excellent so far: 11 IP, 2 ER, 10 H, 10 K, 4 BB over two starts, including 6 IP, 0 ER at SSG and 5 IP, 2 ER vs NC.
Against Hanwha since 7/1/2024, the public MyKBO logs show:
March 28, 2025 at Hanwha: 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 5 K, 2 BB.
May 4, 2025 vs Hanwha: 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 10 K, 1 BB.
July 10, 2025 at Hanwha: 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 5 K, 3 BB.
Combined since 7/1/2024 vs Hanwha: 19 IP, 1 ER, 9 H, 20 K, 6 BB. That is the single strongest signal in this matchup.
Expected Naile workload: about 6 innings. His recent usage and last year’s Hanwha outings both point to a fairly normal starter leash.
3) Wilkel Hernandez vs KIA since 7/1/2024
Hernandez was acquired by Hanwha for 2026, so there is no KBO batter-vs-pitcher history vs KIA from 7/1/2024 to now.
His 2026 KBO line entering this start is 10 IP, 7 ER, 9 H, 6 K, 7 BB across two starts:
March 28 vs Kiwoom: 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 3 K, 4 BB.
April 3 at Doosan: 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 K, 3 BB.
The issue is not pure stuff alone; it is the combination of shorter outings plus walks. That matters more against a KIA lineup that has several contact/on-base pieces near the top.
Expected Hernandez workload: about 5 innings, not a full deep-start assumption.
4) Likely hitting shape
KIA’s recent/likely lineup core includes Jarryd Dale, Kim Ho-ryung, Kim Sun-bin, Kim Do-yeong, Harold Castro, Na Sung-bum, Han Jun-su, Park Sang-jun, and Park Jae-hyun, with strong early numbers from several of them. Their April 8 lineup and current roster stats support that shape.
Hanwha’s recent/likely lineup core includes Oh Jae-won, Yonathan Perlaza, Moon Hyun-bin, Roh Si-hwan, Kang Baek-ho, Chae Eun-seong, Ha Ju-suk, Choi Jae-hoon, and Sim Woo-jun. The best current bats are Perlaza, Moon Hyun-bin, Sim Woo-jun, and Kang Baek-ho, while Roh Si-hwan has started slowly.
5) Bullpen adjustment
KIA’s April 8 game used Kim Tae-hyeong, Choi Ji-min, Cho Sang-woo, Lee Tae-yang, and Han Jae-seung. Hanwha’s April 8 game used Moon Dong-ju, Kim Jong-soo, Park Sang-won, Jeong Woo-joo, and Kim Seo-hyeon.
Both clubs then had a rainout on April 9, so neither bullpen comes in badly overworked.
I give Hanwha a small home-bullpen edge late because Kim Seo-hyeon and the late-game structure are intact, but the rainout means that edge is small, not large.
6) Weather / park / April / travel
The game page weather report for Daejeon shows cool conditions around 9–12°C, mostly cloudy, with west wind roughly 17 km/h. That is not a major hitting boost.
The April effect in this model is therefore a small run suppression from temperature and early-season starter workload, not a huge under adjustment. The cooler weather trims carry a bit, but not enough to overwhelm the Naile/Hernandez split.
Travel/fatigue is fairly muted. KIA comes off a home series vs Samsung before traveling to Daejeon; Hanwha comes home from Incheon after facing SSG; both clubs got the extra day because of rain. That removes most severe fatigue flags.
I do not apply a strong Friday-specific split because I did not find a reliable public weekday split table for these exact teams/starters in the source set here. That adjustment stays minimal.
7) My run model
KIA offense vs Hernandez + Hanwha bullpen: KIA gets the larger starter edge, but Hanwha trims some of that later. Net projected KIA scoring: 4.8.
Hanwha offense vs Naile + KIA bullpen: Hanwha’s lineup has upside, but Naile’s actual Hanwha history since 7/1/2024 is too good to ignore. Net projected Hanwha scoring: 4.1.
Because Naile’s edge matters most early, KIA’s bigger advantage is in the first five innings, not the late game.
Chart 1 — projected score
Segment | KIA | Hanwha |
|---|---|---|
1st 5 innings | 2.3 | 1.6 |
Full game | 4.8 | 4.1 |
Chart 2 — projected starting pitcher lines
Pitcher | Team | IP | ER | H | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
James Naile | KIA | 6 | 1.7 | 4.6 | 5.8 | 2.0 |
Wilkel Hernandez | Hanwha | 5 | 2.8 | 5.4 | 4.1 | 2.8 |
Chart 3 — projected hitter box
KIA projected hitters
Hitter | AB | BB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jarryd Dale | 4 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
Kim Ho-ryung | 4 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
Kim Sun-bin | 4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
Kim Do-yeong | 4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 |
Harold Castro | 4 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 |
Na Sung-bum | 4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 |
Han Jun-su | 3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
Park Sang-jun | 4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 |
Park Jae-hyun | 4 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
Hanwha projected hitters
Hitter | AB | BB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oh Jae-won | 4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
Yonathan Perlaza | 4 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 |
Moon Hyun-bin | 4 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
Roh Si-hwan | 4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 |
Kang Baek-ho | 4 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
Chae Eun-seong | 4 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
Ha Ju-suk | 4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
Choi Jae-hoon | 3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
Sim Woo-jun | 4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 |
Chart 4 — projected moneyline vs DraftKings
Using a Pythagorean-style win estimator on the projected score (KIA 4.8, Hanwha 4.1), I get:
KIA win probability: 57.2%
Hanwha win probability: 42.8%
That converts to fair odds of roughly:
KIA -134
Hanwha +134
For DraftKings, the parsed public KBO game-lines snippet shows this matchup with KIA +120 and Hanwha -142. I’m using those as the current market comparison because the fully opened DK page did not expose the odds cleanly in line-by-line text, but the search snippet did.
Team | Projected win % | Projected fair odds | DraftKings ML | DK odds minus projected odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
KIA Tigers | 57.2% | -134 | +120 | +254 |
Hanwha Eagles | 42.8% | +134 | -142 | -276 |
Bottom line
1st 5 innings: KIA 2.3 – 1.6
Full game: KIA 4.8 – 4.1
Main reason: Naile’s real Hanwha history since 7/1/2024 is elite, while Hernandez still looks like a shorter-outing, higher-walk profile in the KBO sample we have.
Released/revised 13 hour(s) ago
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