Steve Seagrave

Event: (573) New Orleans Pelicans at (574) Utah Jazz: Brice Sensabaugh Points

Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 28, 2026 9:40 PM EST

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Brice Sensabaugh Points Over 16.5 (-101)

Brice Sensabaugh Points Over 16.5 (-101):

Lauri Markkanen has been ruled out for this game and Brice Sensabaugh has covered this line in 8/L10 without him while averaging 22.1 points and 15 FGAs across 27 minutes per game. Sensabaugh just played the New Orleans Pelicans on Thursday, and he scored 20 points on a 7-13 shooting effort. The Pelicans rank 27th in transition defense & 23rd against spot-up and those areas account for over 50% of Sensabaugh's scoring. New Orleans also has allowed the 6th most points to opposing small forwards with an average of 24.3 per game. The spread is -6.5 with a huge total of 239.5 so there should be plenty of scoring opportunities.

*Playable at 17.5 or better

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Trent Bets

Event: (55) New Jersey Devils at (56) St. Louis Blues: Jesper Bratt Points

Sport/League: NHL (See all free NHL Hockey picks)

Date/Time: February 28, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Free NHL Hockey Pick Today: Jesper Bratt Player Points Over +0.5 (-125)

(55) New Jersey Devils at (56) St. Louis Blues: Jesper Bratt Points

Jesper Bratt Player Points Over +0.5 (-125)

*This is an unofficial free play for Trent Bets clients

I've got you guys covered with a player prop on the house this afternoon. Let's ride with Jesper Bratt to log a point against the Blues. For starters, Bratt is in a great spot to score, as he's on Jack Hughes' wing, as well as getting time on the top power-play unit. Bratt has a respectable 42 points (13G, 29A) in 59 games this season. It's not overpowering, but his sub-point-per-game ratio is why we're getting such a decent price on the 1+ point prop.

I love this matchup against St. Louis. The Blues have been horrendous defensively over the last 10 games, ranking last in team SV% (.832), 31st in GAA (3.97), and 28th in high-danger SOG against (43). St. Louis is also just 29th on the penalty kill this year at 73.8%. Bratt has at least one point in two of his last three games, and that's a trend I expect to continue against this downward-trending Blues' defense.

Check Out More Winning Picks And Analysis By Following On Social Media: 

X/Twitter: @trentbets

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

The Money Baller

Event: (569) Toronto Raptors at (570) Washington Wizards: Jakob Poeltl Rebounds

Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 28, 2026 7:10 PM EST

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Jakob Poeltl Rebounds Over 7.5 (-135)

Jakob Poeltl is back and this number looks advantageous. Coming off a back issue that limited his mobility and minutes, the big man is finally healthy and expected to reclaim his starting spot tonight against Washington. With Collin Murray-Boyle listed as doubtful, Poeltl should see an expanded role and elevated minutes - and the matchup couldn't set up any better.

Washington surrenders the 3rd most rebounds to opposing centers in the league, allowing 9.2 per game to the position - nearly 2 full boards above Poeltl's season average of 7.3. We ran this through our *BRAND NEW* player props matchup tool over at TheMoneyBaller.com and the positional differential spits out a projection of 9.7 rebounds in this spot. A healthy Poeltl with extra minutes against one of the softest frontcourts in the league for opposing bigs is a dangerous combination.

Plays like this - with matchup data, positional projections, and situational edges — are what we break down every day. Grab our 7-day pass and see what you've been missing: 👉 picksandparlays.net

Take the over.

Released/revised 4 hour(s) ago

Bryan Leonard

Event: (57) New York Islanders at (58) Columbus Blue Jackets: Moneyline

Sport/League: NHL (See all free NHL Hockey picks)

Date/Time: February 28, 2026 6:07 PM EST

Free NHL Hockey Pick Today: New York Islanders 120

57 NY Islanders at Columbus

Important game for both these clubs as the Islanders currently have a six point advantage in this wild Eastern Conference playoff race. New York has been a money maker on the road with a 17-11-3 mark. New York plays 6 of 7 on the road to start the post Olympic break. They beat Montreal 4-3 in overtime the first game after resuming play. They host the struggling Florida Panthers tomorrow.

We faded the Blue Jackets last time out as we took advantage of a team riding a solid winning streak. Columbus took money despite all those winning games happening three weeks ago. We look to do the same in this one as the Islanders are a live dog.

PLAY NY ISLANDERS

Released/revised 5 hour(s) ago

Dan Kaiser

Event: (755) Alabama at (756) Tennessee: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 28, 2026 6:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Alabama +4.5 (-105)

Alabama has been a difficult team to figure out this season. They have been able to play with the best teams all season. When their offense is on, it is explosive and can beat anybody. Tennessee beat Alabama last month. Alabama has played well on the road, winning six times. The offense has been clicking, putting up 90 or more points in seven of its last nine games. Tennessee has lost just once at home. If Alabama can hit its three, they will win. I will be on Bama to keep this one close.

Play on Alabama. This is a FREE  PLAY!

Released/revised 6 hour(s) ago

Joseph D'Amico

Event: (755) Alabama at (756) Tennessee: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 28, 2026 6:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Alabama +4.5 (-105)

NOTHING BUT WINNERS AGAIN LAST NIGHT W/ ANOTHERV SWEEP! Today, we continue to stay HOT HOT HOT: EARLY WINNER, BIG TEN BEAT DOWN, 10-3 ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE, ACC ANNIHILATOR, $7 8-1 L9 RUN SMASH WINNER. Get my $7 PLAT AT SPORTSMEMO, and all the rest at PICKS AND PARLAYS. Go to https://pnp.buzz/JOED & WIN!

Saturday’s FREE WINNER: Alabama Crimson Tide.

Game 755.

3:00 PM PST/6:00 PM EST.

Despite the home team being a very formidable opponent, I feel the oddsmakers are giving Tennessee a little too much credit here and overvaluing them. So even if this game drops to +3.5, I am still good with it.

Yes, my friends, I am fully aware the Volunteers have dominated the Crimson Tide, prevailing in five consecutive matchups straight up, and covering four of those five meetings. This includes the only game played among these two teams this season on the road back in the third week of January, 79-73. But since then, the Crimson Tide have won eight of nine games SU. This team is really started to heat up, my friends. I will say I feel the Volunteers aren’t cracking, but they're certainly peeling a bit (lol). They have dropped two of their last six SU, and have only covered three of those last six outings, to boot. They come off a road loss at the hands of the Tigers of Missouri, 73-69 in their last outing. While this team is one of the best home teams in the nation, I feel the visitor will come in here motivated. Alabama ranks 17th in the nation while Tennessee currently sits at the No. 22 spot. This can't sit well with the visiting team who has won seven consecutive games, are this much of an underdog against a team that they are ranked better then. They're also motivated by revenge that they're looking to notch a victory over a team that has dominated them for so long. Obviously we are all aware Alabama possesses the No. 2 ranked scoring offense in the nation while Tennessee possesses a defense that has frustrated just about every opponent they have gone up against this season. It's true, the home team is also a little bit better on the boards at each end of the court, but I just don't see them keeping pace on the scoreboard with an offense that averages over 92.7 PPG. I think this game is going to be a lot closer than the pointspread. Take the Crimson Tide. Thank you.

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Joe Duffy

Event: (571) Los Angeles Lakers at (572) Golden State Warriors: Spread

Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 28, 2026 8:40 PM EST

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Los Angeles Lakers -4.5 (-105)

When a line appears counterintuitive to the points per game margins to date, go with the message the oddsmakers are sending and bet on the seemingly contradictory team is 1035-736-32. When it’s a same-season game where the previous mathup was at home, the ROI skyrockets to 18.6 percent at 297-181-8. However, the famed Luck Factor has this south of a premium bet, but still strong.

Six college basketball plays and NBA are set for Saturday —note that in my first slump since October, I upgraded my still-way ahead this year and overall angle to a turbo-enhanced subsystem that is 58.1% this season. All are:

• True power ratings vs. current odds

• Early market positioning

• Situational and scheduling edges

• Line value relative to projected range

The advantage of the overnight card is simple — discipline and timing. When the numbers are right, we strike before the public ever wakes up. Seven carefully selected hoops plays ready to attack Saturday’s board the professional way.

Released/revised 7 hour(s) ago

Razor Ray Monohan

Event: (73) Vancouver Canucks at (74) Seattle Kraken: Total

Sport/League: NHL (See all free NHL Hockey picks)

Date/Time: February 28, 2026 10:07 PM EST

Free NHL Hockey Pick Today: Total Over 5.5 (-128)

OVER 5.5

Vancouver and Seattle have value to the over. Vancouver has allowed a combined 8 goals over their last two games out of the break while Seattle has allowed 9. Neither team has looked good defensively and they’re giving up a lot of clean looks. This should be a game that produces a lot of back and forth scoring chances, with both teams peppering the opposing net. Grab the over. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Tonight’s FREE selection is a strong lean on the OVER 5.5. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Saturday FREE NHL O/U Play

1-2 THURSDAY! EN FUEGO! +106.92 units, 59.8% Winning Percentage (122-82-3) , 18.4% ROI since Mid-Dec! Full transparency as always. The board is live and today’s card is posted. A BIG 5× Play Card is up for $ATURDAY, and today’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a Top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he's locked in right now. Clients are cashing, the consistency is showing, and he's climbing the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.

Released/revised 7 hour(s) ago

The Insiders Room

Event: (73) Vancouver Canucks at (74) Seattle Kraken: Moneyline

Sport/League: NHL (See all free NHL Hockey picks)

Date/Time: February 28, 2026 10:07 PM EST

Free NHL Hockey Pick Today: Seattle Kraken -160

FREE PLAY on the Kraken.

Vancouver is just 12-16-2 on the road, while Seattle is 14-9-5 at home.

The Canucks have lost 4 straight, while the Kraken have lost two in a row.

Seattle won 4-3 in a shootout in Vancouver in early January, but we're expecting a more decisive victory at home on Saturday night.

The Kraken return home for the first time since the Olympic break tonight and we think they'll make the most of this favorable opportunity; consider Seattle!

Good luck, TIR

Released/revised 9 hour(s) ago

Oskeim Sports

Event: (731) BYU at (732) West Virginia: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 28, 2026 5:30 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: West Virginia +2.5 (-110)

Since 2009, unranked conference home teams in competitively priced games are 285-231-4 ATS (55.2%) versus ranked opponents. Even better, unranked conference home underdogs of fewer than six points are 356-257-10 ATS (58.1%) versus ranked opponents, provided both teams have less than five days of rest. BYU possesses a potent attack that is averaging 85.5 points per game (28th in the nation), which is significant because college basketball teams averaging 82.4 or more points per game are just 44-67-4 ATS (39.6%), including 24-49 ATS (32.9%) since the beginning of the 2021-22 season. Since 2009, .416 or greater conference home underdogs of fewer than ten points are 424-324-16 ATS (56.7%) versus opponents not ranked in the Top 8. Finally, West Virginia falls into a negative 197-262-6 ATS (42.9%) college basketball system of mine that invests against certain favorites ranked outside the Top 20 when the teams previously met. This situation has been 98-151-3 ATS (39.4%) since the beginning of the 2021-22 season. Grab the points with the West Virginia Mountaineers as Jeff Keim's Free Pick Winner for Saturday, February 28. **Don’t miss Jeff’s ULTRA-RARE 5% College Basketball Game of the Month on Saturday! Jeff is on a RED-HOT 28-11 (72%) overall run and is 13-2 (87%) on his last 15 plays!**

Released/revised 10 hour(s) ago

Jackie Mack

Event: (306617) Mississippi Valley State at (306618) Ark Pine Bluff: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 28, 2026 6:30 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Ark Pine Bluff -13.5 (-110)

This is a mismatch of a game as Mississippi Valley State is one of the worst teams in the nation and usually loses by double digits to opponents. MVSU is just terrible on both sides of the ball and UAPB is good at home and is 9-6 in conference play. The Golden Lions won their only meeting this season 78-70 on the road against the Delta Devils, and are in a much better spot at home to win by double digits and cover this spread. MVSU is giving up over 84 points per game and the Golden Lions should feast in this spot as they are better on the boards and with efficiency on both sides. They also are motivated to improve their seeding in the conference with the SWAC Tournament coming up.

Bet: lay the points with Arkansas Pine Bluff.

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Mike Lundin

Event: (805) Gonzaga at (806) Saint Marys CA: Total

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 28, 2026 10:30 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Total Under 143.5 (-105)

Gonzaga vs Saint Mary's CBB Free Pick 

The Angle: Both teams have been trending under all season. Gonzaga is 8-2 to the under in its last 10, Saint Mary's 7-3 in its last 10, and the series is 2-8 O/U in the last 10 meetings. That's solid proof the books consistently overestimate the final score here. Add Gonzaga's 10-20 O/U record with totals of 140+ (1-5 under 150), and this line screams value.

The Bet: UNDER (3%). 

Released/revised 10 hour(s) ago

David Hess

Event: (781) Duquesne at (782) Saint Louis: Total

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 28, 2026 8:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Total Over 160.5 (-115)

Duquesne–Saint Louis has all the ingredients for another high‑end total because both teams want to run, both offenses are efficient, and Chaifetz Arena has been one of the most reliable Over buildings in the A‑10. Their first meeting still reached 158 points despite Duquesne shooting just 35% that night, and now the rematch shifts to St. Louis, where Billikens home games have averaged 156.7 ppg and they’ve been one of the most explosive scoring teams in the country. Saint Louis ranks 14th nationally in pace and is putting up 84.5 ppg in conference play on 51% shooting, including a blistering 43.7% from three, while Duquesne plays fast as well (65th in pace) and brings a road scoring average of 75.5 ppg into a matchup where they should get cleaner looks than they did in Pittsburgh. Both defenses give up plenty—Duquesne allows 75.0 ppg in league play and Saint Louis gives up 70.0—and neither side forces enough stops to slow the tempo once the game opens up. With two teams that push pace, shoot the three, and already showed they can get into the 150s even on an off‑shooting night, this rematch has every reason to climb past 160.5.

Released/revised 15 hour(s) ago

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David Hess delivered another smooth winner last night with Michigan ‑1.5 over Illinois, pushing him to 6–1 in his last seven here at SportsMemo. He’s rolling that momentum straight into tonight with a HUGE total he’s been waiting to release. The matchup, the number, and the setup all line up for a strong play.

Ricky Tran

Event: (775) Baylor at (776) Central Florida: Moneyline

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 28, 2026 8:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Central Florida -140

Ricky's play on UCF.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Central Florida is 14-6 in its last 20 games.

- Baylor is 1-5 in its last 6 games.

- Baylor is 1-4 in its last 5 games played in February.

Verdict: The value is on the Home favorite.

Released/revised 15 hour(s) ago

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Ben Burns

Event: (67) Ottawa Senators at (68) Toronto Maple Leafs: Moneyline

Sport/League: NHL (See all free NHL Hockey picks)

Date/Time: February 28, 2026 7:07 PM EST

Free NHL Hockey Pick Today: Toronto Maple Leafs -103

Playing their first home game in a month, I like the Leafs' chances in Saturday's important "Battle of Ontario." Both teams need all the points they can get. However, off b2b losses and looking to win their first game here in more than six weeks, the Leafs may have a little extra motivation. They can't afford to keep losing and desperately need a win for the home fans. They won this season's earlier clash and have taken five of the past seven h2h meetings. Leafs stop the bleeding.

Released/revised 22 hour(s) ago

Joe Duffy

Event: (775) Baylor at (776) Central Florida: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 28, 2026 8:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Baylor +4.0 (-110)

"Luck Factor" quantifies how much better or worse a team performs due to random, unpredictable events (like turnovers, lucky bounces, or missed kicks in football) versus consistent skill, using statistical models that compare expected outcomes (based on play-by-play data) to actual results, essentially showing if a team is "due" for positive or negative regression by filtering out controllable elements from their overall performance.

We take the luck factor gap based on real wins versus what advanced analytics says the wins they should have. If for example, one team has three more lucky wins than their record and their opponents has three fewer, the luck gap would be 6.

UCF has 4.4 more wins than they have earned, while Baylor should have two more wins. The unluckier Baylor has a Luck Gap of 6.7, making them very undervalued.

Released/revised 23 hour(s) ago

Jimmy Adams

Event: (785) Arkansas at (786) Florida: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 28, 2026 8:30 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Arkansas +10.5 (-118)

Coach Cal has Arkansas playing some of their best basketball of the season. Winners of 5 of 6 both SU and ATS, the Razorbacks only loss over that span was by 2 in that double overtime thriller on the road at Alabama. Darius Acuff had an off night by his standards against Texas A&M last time out, and Arkansas still won by 15. They certainly have their hands full with Florida, but if the Gators have a weakness it is their backcourt, which is shooting a very poor percentage from 3 point range. The Razorbacks rank #1 in offensive turnover percentage and 4^th in adjusted offensive efficiency. We’ll gladly take them here catching double digits. Take Arkansas.

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Released/revised 1 day(s) ago

Bryan Leonard

Event: MLB Season Win Total

Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)

Date/Time: March 26, 2026 3:00 AM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Cleveland Guardians Under 79.5 Wins

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS SEASON WINS

Growing up in Cleveland we have always been a fan of our local baseball team. Since a child we have watched every Indians/Guardians game on a regular basis. Despite the ownership never really putting big money into the team, the program has had a pretty good product. They have overachieved for quite some time despite having one of the lowest payrolls in Major League Baseball. That was all fine when money ball was all the rage, as Cleveland needed to be at the forefront in order to keep up with the opposition. This organization was one of the first to sign young players to long term contracts.

But those days are gone, as even the most wealthy owners are now willing to play the same game as the Indians/Guardians, Twins and Rays. That is the problem for those type of clubs now, and fans of those teams should be prepared for a tough few years. Payroll for these type of clubs have stagnated over the years, and as of now it's becoming harder and harder to compete. For example, based on the cost of living, Cleveland's payroll is less now than in was twenty years ago.

The club has done a great job of finding bullpen arms that nobody else wanted, and that's once again the strength of this team. But the starting pitching staff is led by a couple of #3 type starters and a group of unproven talent. The batting order has two legit proven players in their prime, along with a lot of unproven or failed major league bats. The brass didn't bring in anyone that can move the needle in free agency.

With the Tigers, Royals and White Sox all improving in the off season, the Guardians will battle with the Twins for last place in this division. No way they are a .500 team with this group of players.

PLAY UNDER 79.5

Released/revised 2 day(s) ago

Tokyo Brandon

Event: (987) New York Yankees at (988) San Francisco Giants: Moneyline

Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)

Date/Time: March 25, 2026 8:05 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: New York Yankees -120

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_______

Offense baseline

• Yankees: 5.24 R/G

• Giants: 4.35 R/G

• League run environment proxy: AL 4.27, NL 4.51

  • Offense index (approx):

    • NYY: 1.194

    • SFG: 0.991

Starters

Max Fried (NYY, LHP)

• 2025: 2.86 ERA; Away 3.28, Night 2.90

• 2024 vs SF: 5.1 IP, 3 ER, 3 BB, 5 K

Logan Webb (SFG, RHP)

• 2025 home/away: Home 3.10 ERA, Away 3.36 ERA

• 2025 day/night: Night 3.36 ERA

  batter-vs-pitcher H2H (since 2024)

• Fried vs Giants: 3 ER / 5.1 IP (tiny sample)

• Webb vs Yankees: 7 ER / 12.0 IP (tiny sample)

Projected lineups

• Yankees: Grisham, Judge, Bellinger, Rice, Stanton, Chisholm, McMahon, Caballero, Wells

• Giants: Ramos, Devers, Adames, Chapman, Jung Hoo Lee, Bader, Eldridge, Schmitt, Bailey

1) Starter expected innings (March workload)

Because this is late March and both pitchers have March samples that are short:

• Webb: 5.0 IP

• Fried: 5.1 IP

2) Build “game-context” RA9 for each starter

Fried context RA9

• Context base: average of Away (3.28) and Night (2.90) ⇒ 3.09

• Small March bump = 3.24

• H2H RA9 vs SF / Blend = 3.65

Webb context RA9

• Context base: average of Home (3.10) and Night (3.36) ⇒ 3.23

• Tiny March bump: = 3.29

• H2H RA9 vs NYY / Blend = 3.68

3) Park/weather/travel adjustments

• Travel penalty to NYY bats: I applied -3% to NYY run creation.

• Weather/park: mild cool-evening suppression factor (0.97) typical of SF night baseball. (This is an assumption, not a sourced fact.)

4) Convert to runs (starter + bullpen)

Bullpens: because “last 30 days” for late-March isn’t reliably anchorable today, generic bullpen strength assumptions (as the season progresses this will be clearer)

Projection results

Full game projected score

• NYY 4.0 — SFG 3.2

• Projected total: 7.2

1st 5 innings projected score

• NYY 2.2 — SFG 1.8

• 1st5 projected total: 4.0

Starting pitcher boxscore

Hitter boxscore projection

NYY hitters

SFG hitters

Wager & Probability Analysis

Moneyline value vs book

Totals value (Full game O/U 7)

Model total = 7.2 → very close to 7 (and 7 is a push number).

Totals value (1st 5 innings)

I don’t have a posted DK 1st5 line this far out, so I’m using the common pairing 1st5 O/U 3.5 (-110/-110) purely for comparison.

Pros for Yankees -120

• Price vs my fair line: -120 implies about 54.5% win probability. My model has NYY around 62% (fair about -164), so the number is cheap relative to the projection.

• Offensive ceiling edge: Even in a low-total environment, the Yankees’ lineup projects to create more “multi-run” innings (one big swing + traffic) than SF, which matters when totals are ~7 and every run is precious.

• Starter matchup isn’t a disadvantage: Webb is excellent at home, but Fried’s away/night profile + H2H slice doesn’t scream “avoid.” My projection has both starters around ~2 ER through ~5 innings, so the bet isn’t leaning on one pitcher melting down.

• Late-game leverage: In tight, low-scoring games, the better bullpen/high-K arms and pinch-hit depth tend to matter more. I generally rate NYY’s late-inning options as the side more likely to convert a 1-run edge into a win.

• 7 total = fewer “randomness runs”: Lower totals reduce the chance a weaker team wins via 9–7 chaos; games become more about pitching, defense, and a couple high-leverage ABs—areas that typically favor the higher-talent roster.

Released/revised 2 day(s) ago

Kevin Dolan

Event: (200081) Chelsea at (200082) Arsenal: 1H Spread

Sport/League: EPL (See all free English Premier League picks)

Date/Time: March 1, 2026 11:30 AM EST

Free English Premier League Pick Today: 1H Arsenal -0.25 (-134)

We're expecting Arsenal to win and cover in the first-half at home on Sunday against Chelsea.

Arsenal's 2.15 PPG generated in the first-half at home this season is one of the league's best, along with their stellar 85% clean sheet percentage also.

Chelsea meanwhile have tended to drop-off in road games this year, especially early, with their PPG generated tally dropping from 2.07 PPG to just 1.38 PPG on average when playing away from home. Their failure to score rate in the first-half of road games also balloons from 29% to 62% as well.

PLAY: 1H ARSENAL -0.25 (-134)

Released/revised 3 day(s) ago