Tokyo Brandon
Event: (903) Washington Nationals at (904) Chicago Cubs: Spread
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: March 26, 2026 2:20 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-101)
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Tokyo Brandon has finished #1 overall in profit at WagerTalk among 33 cappers in 3 of the last 5 years and turned a profit in 5 of the last 6 seasons – no guessing here, just a consistent winning strategy and results. Your bankroll will thank you later, and your wallet will too with 50% off! (this includes MLB, KBO, Japanese, World Baseball Classic, Mexican baseball and EVERY other baseball bet all year)
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_______
Core input snapshot
Chicago’s 2025 offensive baseline was much stronger. The Cubs averaged 4.83 runs/game at home in 2025 and posted a .751 OPS vs left-handed pitching. Washington averaged 4.24 runs/game overall in 2025, scored 368 runs in 81 road games (about 4.54/game) with a .705 away OPS, and had just a .639 OPS vs left-handed pitching.
The starter gap leans heavily toward Chicago. Cavalli went 3-1 with a 4.25 ERA in 10 starts in 2025, while Boyd went 14-8 with a 3.21 ERA in 2025. Boyd was 12-1 at home with a 2.51 ERA in 2025 home starts, while Cade Cavalli’s road ERA was around 6.2 in his 2025 road sample.
For late-form proxies from 2025, the Cubs’ bullpen had a 2.69 ERA over its last 10 games, while the Nationals’ offense scored 4.4 runs/game over its last 10 and the Cubs scored 3.2 runs/game over their last 10. That gives Washington a mild recent-offense proxy edge, but Chicago still owns the stronger full-season baseline and the better starting-pitcher setup here.
Projected WSN runs = 2.8
Projected CHC runs = 5.8
Score projection
Split | WSN | CHC | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
First 5 innings | 1.3 | 3.4 | 4.7 |
Full game | 2.8 | 5.8 | 8.6 |
Starting pitcher box score projections
Pitcher | IP | ER | H | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cade Cavalli | 4 2/3 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 |
Matthew Boyd | 6 0/3 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 |
Projected hitter lines
Nationals
Player | AB | BB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
James Wood | 4.2 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 |
CJ Abrams | 4.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 |
Daylen Lile | 4.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 |
Andrés Chaparro | 3.9 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 |
Brady House | 3.9 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 |
Luis García Jr. | 3.8 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
Keibert Ruiz | 3.7 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
Nasim Nuñez | 3.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
Jacob Young | 3.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
Cubs
Player | AB | BB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michael Busch | 4.5 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 |
Nico Hoerner | 4.4 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
Ian Happ | 4.3 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 |
Alex Bregman | 4.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 4.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 |
Carson Kelly | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 |
Moisés Ballesteros | 3.9 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 |
Dansby Swanson | 3.9 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 |
Michael Conforto | 3.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 |
Wager & Probability Analysis
Team | Model win % | Fair odds | DraftKings ML | DK minus fair | Value? | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nationals | 31.2% | +220 | +163 | -57 cents | No value | 3 |
Cubs | 68.8% | -220 | -201 | +19 cents | Small value | 3 |
Full game total
Over 8.5: 51.7%
Under 8.5: 48.3%
Fair odds:
Over 8.5: -107
Under 8.5: +107
First 5 innings total
If a book posts 4.5, the fair prices are roughly:
Market | Model F5 total | Reference line | Model probability | Fair odds | Value call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
F5 Over | 4.7 | 4.5 | 54.5% | -120 | Slight lean |
F5 Under | 4.7 | 4.5 | 45.5% | +120 | No value at standard juice |
Bottom line
Projected score: Cubs 5.8, Nationals 2.8.
Best side: Cubs ML, but only small value at -201 versus my fair line of about -220.
Totals: I’m close to neutral, with only a slight full-game over lean if the market sits 8.5 and the juice is cheap.
Most important driver: the combo of Boyd’s 2025 home dominance, Washington’s weak 2025 production vs lefties, and Cavalli’s shakier road sample..
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Tokyo Brandon
Event: (919) Texas Rangers at (920) Philadelphia Phillies: Cristopher Sanchez Strikeouts
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: March 26, 2026 4:15 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Cristopher Sanchez Strikeouts Over 5.5 (-140)
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#4 All-Sports Profit 2025 (+49u)
Tokyo Brandon has finished #1 overall in profit at WagerTalk among 33 cappers in 3 of the last 5 years and turned a profit in 5 of the last 6 seasons – no guessing here, just a consistent winning strategy and results. Your bankroll will thank you later, and your wallet will too with 50% off! (this includes MLB, KBO, Japanese, World Baseball Classic, Mexican baseball and EVERY other baseball bet all year).
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_______
Cristopher Sánchez is lined up for the Phillies’ home opener against Texas on Thursday, March 26, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park, with Nathan Eovaldi opposing him. Parsed odds pages show a 5.5 strikeout prop for Sánchez, with DraftKings showing the Over at -138; the opposite side on the parsed odds feed was not cleanly book-labeled, but the same market block showed the other side around +105.
1) All starts between 3/1/2025 and 3/26/2026 vs all teams
Sánchez had 212 strikeouts in 32 starts in the 2025 regular season.
All-start K/start average = 212 / 32 = 6.625.
2) Starts vs Texas between 3/1/2025 and 3/26/2026
His 2025 game log shows a start at Texas on 8/8/2025 with 6 strikeouts in 6.0 innings.
Vs. Texas K/start average = 6.0
3) March starts between 3/1/2025 and 3/26/2026 vs all teams
His 2025 game log shows one March regular-season start, 3/31/2025 vs Colorado, with 7 strikeouts in 5.1 innings.
March K/start average = 7.0.
Weighted base projection
6.3875
Weighted base = 6.4 Ks
Split adjustments
Home adjustment
FanGraphs splits show Sánchez had 115 strikeouts in 97.2 home innings in 2025, which corresponds to 15 home starts and a home K/start average of 115 / 15 = 7.67. His full-season average was 6.63, so his home split was +1.04 Ks/start above overall. To avoid double-counting location that is already partly embedded in the season average, I apply half that delta:
Ballpark adjustment
None. This is a home start.
Day/night adjustment
This is a day game. I could verify the game time, but I could not cleanly extract a trustworthy parsed 2025 day/night strikeout split for Sánchez from public pages without risking bad data, so I used a 0.0 adjustment instead of inventing one. The game being a day start is confirmed.
Fatigue / injury adjustment
I’m treating fatigue as neutral (0.0). There is no current opener reporting that he is returning from an MLB injury, and he was already being reported as Philadelphia’s Opening Day starter. His most recent competitive outing visible in public reports was March 13 in the WBC quarterfinal, which leaves ample rest before March 26..
Final projection
6.9075
Final projection: 6.9 strikeouts
As matchup context only, not as an extra adjustment, Texas struck out 23.6% of the time against left-handed pitching in 2025, which is consistent with a projection above 5.5.
Probability and fair odds
Over 5.5: 68.6%
Under 5.5: 31.4%
Converted to fair American odds:
Over 5.5 fair: -219
Under 5.5 fair: +219
Wager & Probability Analysis chart
CATEGORY | NAME | # | over-under odds | DK over-under odds | projection-DK over-under comparison |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strikeouts | Cristopher Sánchez | 6.9 | O5.5 fair -219 / U5.5 fair +219 | O5.5 -138 / U5.5 about +105* | Projection is +1.4 Ks above line |
Fair-odds vs DK chart
SIDE | Model probability | Fair odds | DK odds | Projected odds vs DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Over 5.5 | 68.6% | -219 | -138 | +81 cents of value |
Under 5.5 | 31.4% | +219 | about +105 | -114 cents of value |
Betting takeaway
My model lands on Cristopher Sánchez 6.9 Ks, so it is clearly over the DraftKings number of 5.5. The three-weight structure is already favorable at 6.4, and his 2025 home split pushes it materially higher. The matchup-specific start vs Texas was 6 Ks, his lone March start in the window was 7 Ks, and Texas’ 2025 strikeout rate vs lefties was not low. The only thing keeping this from a 5/5 confidence play is that it is Opening Day, where pitch counts can be a little less predictable.
Best wager: Over 5.5 strikeouts
Projection: 6.9
Fair line: -219
DraftKings line used: 5.5, Over -138
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Jimmy Adams
Event: (615) Iowa at (616) Nebraska: Moneyline
Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)
Date/Time: March 26, 2026 7:30 PM EDT
Free College Basketball Pick Today: Nebraska -128
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Trent Bets
Event: (987) New York Yankees at (988) San Francisco Giants: Harrison Bader Hits
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: March 25, 2026 8:05 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Harrison Bader Hits Under 0.5 (115)
(987) New York Yankees at (988) San Francisco Giants: Harrison Bader Hits
Harrison Bader Hits Under 0.5 (115)
*This is an unofficial free play for Trent Bets clients
San Francisco's lineup has been released, and Harrison Bader will bat ninth for the Giants on Opening Night. I'm looking to fade the journeyman outfielder in this spot by taking him to go hitless out of the nine-hole.
Bader has struggled against Max Fried in the past, going just 2-for-11 (.182) against him with a .182 slugging percentage. Five of those 11 at-bats have ended in punchouts. Factor in that this game has a measly total of just 7.0 runs, and there's a realistic chance that Bader only gets 3-to-4 at-bats, each of which will likely come against high-leverage opposing pitchers. At plus-money, I'll take a shot on Bader to go hitless.
Line Parameters: Play to -110 (50% implied probability)
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Bryan Power
Event: (561) Atlanta Hawks at (562) Detroit Pistons: Spread
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: March 25, 2026 7:10 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Detroit Pistons -2.5 (-114)
Atlanta has won 13 of 14. But 11 of those 13 wins were at home and none against teams I have power rated in the top half of the league.
Yes, I’m well aware that the Pistons are currently without their best player (Cade Cunningham). But, since it was announced Cunningham would be out with a collapsed lung, the Pistons have still managed to go 3-0 straight up. They defeated the Lakers, here at home, on Monday.
Big edge defensively to Detroit in this matchup. They have the second best defensive rating in the league (per Hollinger) and allow the fourth fewest PPG at home. Atlanta is 20th in points allowed on the road.
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Teddy Covers
Event: (619) Arkansas at (620) Arizona: Spread
Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)
Date/Time: March 26, 2026 9:45 PM EDT
Free College Basketball Pick Today: Arizona -7.5 (-110)
Take Arizona (#620)
Arizona has been as elite as elite gets in the College Basketball world this season; a worthy #1 seed and a team I believe has ‘win the whole enchilada’ potential. Arkansas got hot down the stretch, and they’ve got a head coach in John Calipari who has won a previous title (and reached six previous Final Fours); a coach who comes with a massive reputation (and a modest pointspread ‘tax’) attached to that reputation. Yet even with Calipari’s track record and Arkansas’ ‘hot now’ status, the Razorbacks are still the second biggest underdog on the board in the Sweet 16. That speaks volumes about how good Arizona is – especially defending the low post; bad news for potential #1 draft choice Darius Acuff’s ability to drive and dish. And it’s surely worth noting that when Arkansas lost this year, their STRONG tendency was to lose by margin; just 2-6 ATS in their eight defeats. Take Arizona.
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Oskeim Sports
Event: (617) Texas at (618) Purdue: Spread
Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)
Date/Time: March 26, 2026 7:10 PM EDT
Free College Basketball Pick Today: Texas +7.5 (-110)
Texas reached the Sweet 16 Round by virtue of three consecutive upset wins over North Carolina State (68-66), BYU (79-71), and Gonzaga (74-68) as 1.5-point, 2.5-point, and 6.5-point underdogs, respectively. Those results are significant for three reasons. First, NCAA Tournament teams coming off back-to-back wins in which they covered the spread by double-digits are 71-49-2 ATS (59.2%). Second, NCAA Tournament teams coming off back-to-back upset wins as underdogs are 31-16 ATS (66%) from Round 3 forward. Third, NCAA Tournament underdogs coming off three or more consecutive ATS wins are 46-24-2 ATS (65.7%) from Round 3 out since 2012. Since 2012, NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 favorites of -5 or more are 19-27 ATS (41.3%), including 8-13 ATS (38.1%) since 2020, and have fallen short of market expectations by an average margin of 4.4 points per game. Purdue head coach Matt Painter has enjoyed success during the early stages of the NCAA Tournament, going 23-7 ATS in the Round of 64 and 32, but he’s just 5-7 ATS in the Sweet 16 or later. Finally, Texas head coach Sean Miller has been an underdog in the NCAA Tournament fifteen times, and has gone 11-4 ATS in those contests, including a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS in this year’s tournament. Grab the points with the Texas Longhorns as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Thursday, March 26.
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Oskeim Sports
Event: (577) Dallas Mavericks at (578) Denver Nuggets: Total
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: March 25, 2026 10:10 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Total Over 244.5 (-112)
Denver returned home from a 125-123 win over the Suns last night, while the Mavericks arrive off their fourth straight loss, a 137-131 defeat against Golden State on Monday. Those disparate results are significant because NBA favorites of greater than -9 coming off a win are 467-350-20 to the Over (57.2%) versus opponents entering off a loss in games with totals of greater than 220 points. Denver’s victory over the Suns last night also finished over the posted total of 233.5 points, and unrested NBA teams coming off one of more consecutive overs are 64-48-4 to the Over (57.1%) in games with totals of 239 or more points, including 62-44-4 OVER (58.5%) since the beginning of the 2019-20 season, going over by an average margin of 3.9 points per game. Since 2015, NBA non-divisional conference games with double-digit spreads are 601-495-31 to the Over (55%), including 397-312-11 OVER (56%) since the beginning of the 2019-20 season. Finally, the over falls into a profitable 289-239-17 (55%) NBA totals system of mine dating to 2007 that invests on the over in certain regular-season games involving teams entering off a straight-up win. Take the Over in the Dallas/Denver game as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Wednesday, March 25.
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Steve Merril
Event: (609) Nevada at (610) Auburn: Total
Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)
Date/Time: March 25, 2026 9:00 PM EDT
Free College Basketball Pick Today: Total Over 154.5 (-110)
Nevada hits the road after back-to-back double digit wins at home. The Wolfpack are two different teams depending on location, especially on the defensive end of the floor. Nevada has gone Over the total in 5 straight games away from home; they gave up 79, 80, 83, 85, and 87 points in those games. Tonight they’ll face an Auburn team that is averaging 88.5 points per game at home on 49.4% shooting from the field. The Tigers own an efficient offense while also getting to the free throw line a lot. In fact, both teams rank Top 8 in the country at getting to the line, so there should be plenty of free points with the clock stopped. Expect a high-scoring game between Nevada and Auburn on Wednesday night.
Play OVER the total.
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Jackie Mack
Event: (607) Illinois State at (608) Dayton: Spread
Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)
Date/Time: March 25, 2026 7:00 PM EDT
Free College Basketball Pick Today: Dayton -6.5 (-120)
Dayton returns home for this game where they have been a solid bet. Illinois State, however has a negative road record as they trend under .500, and enter a massive hostile environment in this game. Dayton has been the better defensive team between the two and the Flyers have been excellent on the glass recently. Illinois State loves to shoot threes but on the road, their production is reduced and Dayton’s defense will do a good job forcing the team to shoot from bad areas on the court as they hold opponents to 65 points or less.
Bet: lay the points with Dayton.
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Steve Seagrave
Event: (561) Atlanta Hawks at (562) Detroit Pistons: Duncan Robinson Points
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: March 25, 2026 7:10 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Duncan Robinson Points Over 11.5 (-114)
Seagrave is on a solid 4-2 run with his posted Free Picks since March 19th!
Next Winner HERE:
Duncan Robinson OVER 11.5 Points (-114):
Cade Cunning ham remains out due to an injury and Duncan Robinson has cleared this line in 9/10 games without him on the court while landing on 11 exactly in the lone game where he fell short while averaging 15 points on 10.1 field goal attempts per game. Robinson has also thrived in head-to-head matchups with the Atlanta Hawks, scoring 14+ points in 6 of his last 8 games including 14- and 15-point efforts in two games during the 2025-26 campaign. Over the last five games, Atlanta has allowed the MOST at-the-break three and that's an area that accounts for 56% of Robinsons scoring. The Hawks rank 3rd in pace of play and Robinson has cleared this line 18/20 games when attempting 8+ field goal attempts against team that rank top 12 in tempo. The Hawks are only favored by -2.5 and we have a solid total of 228.5 so we should see a competitive contest that leads to full minutes.
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Razor Ray Monohan
Event: (579) Brooklyn Nets at (580) Golden State Warriors: Total
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: March 25, 2026 10:10 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Total Over 216.5 (-110)
OVER 216.5
Golden State and Brooklyn have value to the over. These are two teams who have battled injuries and just struggled as a whole all season long. Golden State is off a 137 point performance against the Mavs where they really looked good offensively. However, the troubles have come defensively for the for the most part and they gave up 131 in the win. Brooklyn has given up 126 and 134 points in their previous two losses as they just haven’t found anything defensively this season. Grab the over. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Tonight’s FREE selection is a strong lean on the OVER 216.5. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.
Wednesday FREE NBA O/U Play
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Marc David
Event: (573) Houston Rockets at (574) Minnesota Timberwolves: Total
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: March 25, 2026 9:40 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Total Under 224.5 (-110)
David's NBA Free Pick
We really like the under in this matchup. Both teams have gone under in 56-57% of their games this season, and we expect the Rockets to tighten up defensively after giving up 122 and 132 points over their last two games.
This is a FREE PLAY on the UNDER - value to: Under 227.5
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David's Wizards @ Jazz 4% NBA *MONEY MAGNET*: $ 7.00
***6-2 (75%) last 8 $7 premium picks on Sportsmemo!*** Take your bankroll to the next level with the expert analysts at Marc David Sports. Kick off your journey with this premium pick on Wednesday's Wizards/Jazz match-up.With their insights, you'll make better bets and turn the odds in your favor. A subscription to this service is a must- ...
Joe Duffy
Event: (579) Brooklyn Nets at (580) Golden State Warriors: Total
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: March 25, 2026 10:10 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Total Under 215.5 (-108)
When a calculated total shows a significant discrepancy from the posted number, the edge comes from leveraging the market itself. By isolating how oddsmakers shade totals, this angle consistently identifies inflated numbers. While over and under systems are tracked independently by sport, the underlying methodology is unified. The UNDER component alone delivers a long-term mark of 1927-1495-89. One of my best power lines kept this below a premium, but it’s a strong bet.
Another high-level card is on deck. A clean NBA sweep is firmly in range with two sides and two totals positioned for maximum value, alongside an MLB Opening Day release targeting a full-card cash.
This is what happens when elite analytics, advanced simulation modeling, and decades of disciplined execution align. The process isn’t based on guesswork or limited datasets—it’s built on scalable systems that replicate thousands of hours of manual analysis, isolating only the strongest edges available.
Sustained success across multiple sports isn’t variance. It’s the byproduct of a refined, repeatable approach that continues to outperform the market.
Released/revised 10 hour(s) ago
The Gold Sheet
Event: (575) Milwaukee Bucks at (576) Portland Trail Blazers: Toumani Camara Points + Rebounds
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: March 25, 2026 10:10 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Toumani Camara Points + Rebounds Over 17.5 (-120)
Due to Portland’s recent injury situation, Toumani Camara has been playing as the team’s starting shooting guard as we’ll look for him to go over 17.5 points + rebounds at home against a Bucks team that has seemingly waved the white flag on the season. Camara has made the most of his recent opportunities averaging 22 points + rebounds over his last five games in which the Trail Blazers are 4-1 straight up during that time. What’s even more impressive is that over those five games Camara shot it at 78% from the field including a 35 point explosion against the Nets last time out going 9-11 from three-point range. Over the last 30 days the Bucks have given up the third most points and rebounds per game to shooting guards as well as the most three-pointers made per game to the position so Camara should be in position to have a strong outing once again tonight. The Bucks rank 27th in defensive rating across their last five games so let’s go with Camara to go over 17.5 points + rebounds as Portland continues to battle for a Western Conference play-in spot.
Released/revised 10 hour(s) ago
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HUMP DAY $7 TOTAL SLAM DUNK! **55-33 RECORD, #1 AT SPORTSMEMO!**: $ 7.00
On a torrid 11-4 run over their last 15 NBA picks, The GoldSheet is also an awesome 55-33 (+70.61 units), with their last. 88 totals, the #1 on the network since Christmas. North America's most recognized and most respected handicapping team is adding to their impressive records today; you can join them for JUST $7!
Andy Lang
Event: (73) Boston Bruins at (74) Buffalo Sabres: Charlie McAvoy Points
Sport/League: NHL (See all free NHL Hockey picks)
Date/Time: March 25, 2026 7:07 PM EDT
Free NHL Hockey Pick Today: Charlie McAvoy Points Over 0.5 (-132)
Charlie McAvoy to Record a Point
McAvoy keeps delivering—he picked up another point last night and is now sitting at 27 points in his last 31 games. That kind of consistency from a defenseman is elite, and it reflects how involved he is in Boston’s offense in all situations.
Buffalo’s defense has been solid overall, but there are cracks—especially at home, where they’ve allowed 14 goals over their last four games. That opens the door for continued production from top offensive contributors.
With heavy minutes, power play usage, and one of the most consistent point streaks in the league, McAvoy remains a strong bet to hit the scoresheet again.
Released/revised 10 hour(s) ago
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NBA Prop Of The Day...8-1 SportsMemo Run!: $ 7.00
Nothing Stops This Train.+22 Units and RollingThe run keeps getting better — now 8-1 for +22 units after another cash last night. The NBA props market has been extremely sharp, and we’re locked in finding these edges right now. Same approach, same confidence — and we’re lined up for another winner tonight. When it’s this hot, you stay agg ...
Pro Sports Picks
Event: (917) Boston Red Sox at (918) Cincinnati Reds: Spread
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: March 26, 2026 4:10 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Cincinnati Reds +1.5 (-129)
Reds
Released/revised 12 hour(s) ago
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PSP'S DATA DRIVEN NBA ANNIHILATOR - ONLY $7: $ 7.00
***#1 ALL SPORTS PROFIT SINCE 1/1/2025!!!***We've crunched the numbers, gone over the data, and reviewed the relevant trends. Our models have uncovered a very favorable situation with positive EV for a DATA DRIVEN NBA PLAY. You can't go wrong following our betting advice as our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human co ...
Ricky Tran
Event: (987) New York Yankees at (988) San Francisco Giants: Spread
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: March 25, 2026 8:05 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: San Francisco Giants +1.5 (-176)
Ricky's play on SF.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- The Giants are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games.
- The Yankees are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games.
- The Giants are 13-6 in its last 19 games at home.
Verdict: The value is on the Home Underdog.
Released/revised 15 hour(s) ago
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Ricky's $7 NBA Punisher - Pistons$ vs Hawks$ : $ 7.00
RICKY WINS YEAR AFTER YEAR (2022-2026) Ricky's Career Highlights: (As of January 2026) - 1,225-834 (60%) MLB Since 20218 - 843-630 (+51 Units) Overall in 2024 - 728-570 (+30 Units) Overall in 2023 - 342-251 (+36 Units) Overall in 2020 - 22-9 (71%) UFC Since 2020
Ben Burns
Event: (921) Tampa Bay Rays at (922) St. Louis Cardinals: Moneyline
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: March 26, 2026 4:15 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: St. Louis Cardinals 106
It's never wise to read too much into spring training results. However, one doesn't want to discount them entirely either. Liberatore, St. Louis's expected starter, had a sparkling 1.80 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in four spring starts, striking out 19 in 15 innings. He walked only two. Liberatore noted: "That's two too many." He delivered five shutout innings in his final spring start. On the other hand, Rasmussen had a 4.91 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in his four spring starts. He got rocked for 11 hits and eight runs (7 earned) in his final spring start. The Cards were 44-37 at home last season while the Rays were 36-45 on the road. In the first ever opening day meeting between these teams, let's go with the home underdog Cardinals.
Released/revised 1 day(s) ago
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**BIG GAME ALERT** BURNS (4%) BEST BET! (ONLY $7!): $ 7.00
Big Game Expert Ben Burns is stepping out with a rare top level play here at SportsMemo. It's a great situation which needs to be exploited. It's ONLY $7. Don't wait. Get down right away!
Will Rogers
Event: (617) Texas at (618) Purdue: Spread
Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)
Date/Time: March 26, 2026 10:00 PM EDT
Free College Basketball Pick Today: Purdue -7.5 (-115)
[FREE PICK] on Purdue - ATS | Good until -9.5.
Texas enters the Sweet Sixteen as the only double-digit seed left, thanks largely to its ability to win close games late. However, I think that it's going to be different this time around. The Longhorns have had issues defending the three-point line, which is a dangerous weakness against a Purdue team that thrives from deep. The Boilermakers rank No. 1 in offensive efficiency and No. 8 in three-point shooting, giving them a massive advantage with the ball in their hands in this game. If Purdue finds its rhythm, it should be able to exploit Texas all game long. Add in a solid defensive performance, which the Boilermakers are most definitely capable of, and this could turn into a blowout.
Released/revised 2 day(s) ago
Tokyo Brandon
Event: (987) New York Yankees at (988) San Francisco Giants
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: March 25, 2026 8:05 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Max Fried 5+ Strikeouts
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_______
Projected starting pitcher boxscore
Pitcher | IP | ER | H | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Max Fried | 5 2/3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
Logan Webb | 5 2/3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
Fried’s 2025 road split was basically neutral for strikeouts: 101 K in 17 road starts = 5.9 K/start, almost identical to his full-season 5.9. His raw 2025 day/night split leaned much better in night games (119 K in 18 starts = 6.6 K/start) than day games (70 K in 14 starts = 5.0 K/start), but because this opener starts at 5:05 p.m. local time, I treat it as a twilight start rather than a full night-game boost. San Francisco also struck out 24.7% of the time vs left-handed pitching in 2025, but MLB’s projected Opening Day lineup notes that the arrival of Luis Arraez adds elite contact to a group that still has swing-and-miss from Devers, Adames, and Chapman, so I give only a modest opponent bump. Fried’s final spring tune-up came on March 19, when he threw 81 pitches over five innings and said he was ready for Opening Day, so I do not dock him for fatigue or injury, though I still apply a tiny “Opening Day leash” trim. Oracle also remains a generally pitcher-friendly environment in recent park-factor coverage, and the forecast is cool and clear, which modestly helps run prevention and leash stability.
Official projection: Max Fried 5.6 strikeouts
Wager & Probability Analysis (Model-Driven)
CATEGORY | NAME | # | Model prob. | over-under odds | DK over-under odds | projection-DK over-under comparison | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strikeouts | Max Fried Over | 5+ K | 65.8% | -192 | -177 | Over value +15 cents | 3/5 |
Fair-odds read
Market | Fair odds | DK odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
5+ K | -192 | -177 | Small over value |
Released/revised 3 day(s) ago
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Opening Day MLB Bet — 10-Year MLB Scout | #1 at WagerTalk 3 of Last 5 Years | 7 BUCKS!: $ 7.00
Start the MLB season with a pick from someone who has done more than just talk baseball. Tokyo Brandon spent 10 years as an MLB scout and has been #1 at WagerTalk 3 of the last 5 years, giving bettors a rare mix of real baseball background and proven long-term results.This Opening Day MLB release is built for bettors who want more than hype. It is ...
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