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Baylor hits the road off back-to-back big offensive games.  The Bears scored 83 points in their last two wins against a couple of weak defensive teams.  They are now taking a big step-up in class on the road against a team that will be very focused for this game.  BYU returns home off a road loss to their rival Utah.  The Cougars have also lost 2 of their last 3 games after opening the season with a 6-0 record. BYU plays terrific defense at home where they only give up 15.6 points per game on just 4.2 yards per play.  Baylor’s offense will be hard-pressed to match their recent scoring output, and with BYU desperate for a win, expect a focused and conservative game plan resulting in a low-scoring game on Saturday afternoon.

Play UNDER the total.

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Take #205 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State Over

Buckle up, because we're expecting an absolute shootout in Stillwater! These two offenses are coming in hot, and we're looking for points in bunches. Oklahoma State has averaged 57.3 points over its last three games, including a 66-point explosion against Kansas State. The Cowboys rank second nationally in total offense and third in scoring, and quarterback Drew Mestemaker has been virtually unstoppable with 29 touchdown passes and eight straight 300-yard passing performances.

Texas Tech is bringing plenty of firepower of its own. Since Thomas Castellanos took over under center, the Red Raiders have averaged 43.5 points and 555 yards over their last two games. Castellanos just torched West Virginia for five touchdown passes and added another 102 yards on the ground. His dual-threat ability gives this offense another dimension and makes it difficult for defenses to cover everything.

Here's where things get interesting: Texas Tech just surrendered 582 yards and 48 points last weekend, while Oklahoma State has been piling up points against just about everybody. The Cowboys' explosive passing game, combined with Caleb Hawkins' punishing ground attack, presents a difficult matchup for the Red Raiders. Meanwhile, Texas Tech has enough offensive weapons to exploit an Oklahoma State defense that will have its hands full all night.

This is a massive Big 12 matchup with conference championship implications, and neither team can afford to take its foot off the gas. We expect an aggressive approach, plenty of explosive plays, and two offenses capable of trading touchdowns deep into the fourth quarter. We're not interested in slowing down here. Let's light up the scoreboard!

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This is a free play on SMU.

The Mustangs have had a somewhat disappointing season, two years removed from an appearance in the College Football Playoffs. Wake is the Playoff contender heading into this game, and they are getting a ton of respect from bookmakers. While I think Wake is a good team, and they deserve respect... they shouldn't be a favorite on the road at SMU. These teams played last year with Wake winning 13-12. That makes this a revenge spot for an SMU team that plays very well at home. Kevin Jennings has been plagued by turnovers (on the road), but his home/away splits suggest that might not be an issue here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Take Illlinois (#121)

Today’s Daily Double Free Play video offers my take on UCLA VS Illinois and Colorado vs Houston in Friday Night College Football action.  Here’s a brief write-up for the Bruins - Illini game.

No team in the country has a bigger betting bandwagon than the UCLA Bruins, still 100% perfect SU and ATS here in Mid-November after pulling away late at Minnesota last week.  But the betting markets aren’t offering UCLA bargains any more; they’re playing with a backup QB after their starter went down to injury, and the Illini team they’re facing has been a pointspread machine as an underdog, 100% perfect in that role this year.  Expect a battle, not a blowout!  Too many points!  Take Illinois.