Free Sports Predictions: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports for February 17

Jesse Schule

Event: (645) Nebraska at (646) Iowa: Team Total

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 9:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Iowa Total Under 70.5 (-115)

UNDER

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Ralph Michaels

Event: (641) Georgia at (642) Kentucky: 1H Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 9:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: 1H Georgia +3.5 (-105)

(641) Georgia at (642) Kentucky: 1H Spread

1H Georgia +3.5 (-105)

Released/revised 12 minute(s) ago

David Hess

Event: (633) Wisconsin at (634) Ohio State: Total

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 8:30 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Total Under 157.5 (-112)

This number sits too high for the way these two actually play, and the matchup history plus current form both point toward a game that stays well below the mid‑150s. Wisconsin’s offense has been strong in Big Ten play, but their games rarely turn into track meets because they play one of the slowest tempos in the league and force long, half‑court possessions on both ends. Their conference opponents are scoring 78.7 ppg, but that number is inflated by a few outliers, and most of their league games settle into structured, methodical basketball. Ohio State’s profile fits that same rhythm: they average 77.8 ppg in Big Ten play but do it with a deliberate pace, and their defense—while inconsistent—still holds opponents to 44.8% shooting and limits transition. The first meeting between these teams stayed under this number, and stylistically nothing changes here: Wisconsin’s pace suppresses possessions, Ohio State’s offense is far less efficient at home than the raw average suggests, and neither team pushes tempo. With both sides built for half‑court execution rather than speed, Under 157.5 is the sharper side.

Released/revised 22 minute(s) ago

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Teddy Covers

Event: (641) Georgia at (642) Kentucky: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 9:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Kentucky -7.0 (-110)

Take Kentucky (#642)

I want the Wildcats off a loss, like the one they suffered at Florida this past weekend.  Following Kentucky’s last loss, they covered the spread by double digits in their next game, winning outright as underdogs at Arkansas.  Following their previous loss, Kentucky won by 24 against Mississippi State, another double digit pointspread cover.  Head coach Mark Pope following the loss to the Gators, after Kentucky rallied back to make things interesting after a rough start to the game: “Our guys are always resilient. That's who we are. I'm not surprised about (the rally). That's our expectation. Our guys are fighters and they're not going to stop. They're not going to sit down. We just weren't quite good enough.”  Georgia hasn’t been ‘quite good enough’ for weeks, now 1-5 SU in their last six contests, including bad blowout losses at Texas and Oklahoma in recent road tilts.  Of these two teams, only Kentucky has played ‘bet-on’ defense in recent weeks.  Even with Jeremiah Wilkerson expected back in the lineup for the Bulldogs tonight, I expect Kentucky to pull away and win this one by margin.  Take Kentucky.

Released/revised 2 hour(s) ago

Joe Duffy

Event: (611) Miami Ohio at (612) Massachusetts: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 7:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Massachusetts +3.0 (-110)

How the heck can a team 15-11, including 6-7 in conference be getting only 3-points to a team 25-0 SU, 12 of those wins in same conference?

"Luck Factor" quantifies how much better or worse a team performs due to random, unpredictable events (like turnovers, lucky bounces, or missed kicks in football) versus consistent skill, using statistical models that compare expected outcomes (based on play-by-play data) to actual results, essentially showing if a team is "due" for positive or negative regression by filtering out controllable elements from their overall performance.

We take the luck factor gap based on real wins versus what advanced analytics says the wins they should have. If for example, one team has three more lucky wins than their record and their opponents has three fewer, the luck gap would be 6.

Miami Ohio has 4.1 more wins than they deserve with UMass .4 fewer, a nice 4.5 Luck Gap.

Home teams with two more or more losses versus opponent with one or fewer are a solid 56.4 percent since 2020. Unranked home teams in games expected to be close by the oddsmakers to ranked teams are 243-188-2.

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Oskeim Sports

Event: (306551) Gardner Webb at (306552) Charleston Southern: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 6:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Gardner Webb +17.5 (-110)

Gardner-Webb arrives off five consecutive losses, with the last two coming by double digits. In contrast, Charleston Southern returned home from a 90-80 loss to Radford as 4.5-point underdogs but defeated the Runnin’ Bulldogs 89-79 on December 31. Since 2007, college basketball road underdogs with same-season revenge are 323-234-13 ATS (58%) following back-to-back losses by ten points or more. This situation improves to 206-145-4 ATS (58.7%) when our road underdogs are getting double digits from the oddsmakers, including 90-53 ATS (62.9%) since 2021. Let’s also note that .200 or worse underdogs of +14 or greater with revenge for a home loss are 173-114-5 ATS (60.3%) since 2007, including 105-65-1 ATS (61.8%) since 2021. Finally, since 2008, double-digit home favorites are 374-482-12 ATS (43.7%) versus opponents with a subpar plus/minus margin after the midway point of the regular season, including 201-265-2 ATS (43.1%) since the beginning of the 2021-22 season. Take Gardner-Webb plus the points as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Tuesday, February 17.

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Dwayne Bryant

Event: (643) Baylor at (644) Kansas State: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 9:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Baylor -3.0 (-113)

Key Situational Angle:

Since 2/23/2025, Kansas State is 0-13 ATS at home against teams that are averaging at least 21 three-point attempts per game on the season, failing to cover the spread by an average margin of 14.3 points!

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

Dan Kaiser

Event: (645) Nebraska at (646) Iowa: Total

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 9:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Total Under 139.5 (-110)

Nebraska is allowing 66 points per game and has allowed fewer than 70 in three of its last four games. Iowa’s defense has been even better, allowing 64.9 points per game. I am leaning on the defenses in this one.

Play on the UNDER. This is a free play

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Razor Ray Monohan

Event: (653) Grand Canyon at (654) San Diego State

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 10:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: San Diego State -8 (-110)

SDSU -8

San Diego State has value against Grand Canyon. SDSU has won 3 straight and 5 of 6 as they’re rolling right now. They’ve given up 71 points or less in all 6 of the games during their stretch and their defense is going to cause a lot of issues for Grand Canyon. GCU has had some struggles on the road and they do not matchup well with the physical style that SDSU plays with. Lay the points. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Tonight’s FREE selection is a strong lean on the AZTECS ATS. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray

Tuesday NCAAB ATS Play

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The Insiders Room

Event: (647) LSU at (648) Texas: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 9:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Texas -10.5 (-118)

FREE PLAY on Texas.

LSU is 14-11 overall, including only 2-5 on the road, while Texas is 16-9 overall, including 11-3 at home.

The Tigers enter with zero momentum after three straight losses, while the Longhorns enter playing possibly their best basketball of the season after going 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS over their last four.

Considering their current form, and their home and away records, we feel the Longhorns are worth a "second look" here at home on Tuesday night!

Good luck, TIR

Released/revised 6 hour(s) ago

Billy Coleman

Event: (621) Akron at (622) Western Michigan: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 7:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Western Michigan +14.0 (-110)

Have a lot of respect for the Akron Zips as they are the 2nd best team in the MAC right behind undefeated Miami Ohio. This is too many points to give up tonight on the road as the Broncos have covered 4 straight in the series against the Zips. The Zips metrics on the offensive and defensive end fall off by 4 points on each side ball on the road. Hold you nose with a close pin and take the points !

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Tokyo Brandon

Event: (649) Air Force at (650) New Mexico: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 9:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Air Force +28.5 (-110)

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THE "PLUG YOUR NOSE AND BET IT" BET.
Air Force vs New Mexico — today (Feb 17, 2026)

Score projection

Total + spread breakdown vs DraftKings

Spread -27.5

• Air Force’s average margin since Jan 1 is about -26.9 per game (already basically sitting on this line), and that includes games that weren’t against New Mexico’s profile.

• New Mexico’s Feb ATS trend is shakier in some trend reports, but matchup-specific history includes Air Force sneaking covers in Albuquerque in prior years.

My read: New Mexico can absolutely clear this, but you’re betting on motivation/rotation late (garbage-time is the true apex predator of big favorites).

Trends & patterns

Since 1/1/26 scoreboards (hard results):

• Air Force since Jan 1: 0–12, scoring 57.8, allowing 84.8 (avg margin -26.9).

• New Mexico since Jan 1: 9–3, scoring 81.9, allowing 71.1 (avg margin +10.8).

Broader betting-trend feeds (context):

• Air Force: 1–11 ATS last 12, 0–20 SU last 20 road, totals OVER streak recently noted.

• New Mexico: 11–5 ATS last 16, 18–2 SU last 20 at home, totals OVER in a big chunk of recent samples.

Player matchup notes (form + fit, with competition in mind)

New Mexico offense vs Air Force defense

• Jake Hall + spacing: Hall’s efficiency/usage profile (15.8 PPG season) is the kind that punishes slower closeouts; Air Force has struggled to keep teams out of clean looks.

• Tomislav Buljan inside: 9.9 RPG with real scoring (12.3 PPG) gives New Mexico a steady “free points” option if Air Force can’t hold the glass.

• If Chris Howell sits/limited (Q): more creation falls to Albury/Haupt; it can reduce some “easy” assists but doesn’t necessarily kill scoring because New Mexico still has multiple handlers/shooters.

Air Force offense vs New Mexico defense

• Air Force’s offense since Jan 1 is 57.8 PPG—that’s the core problem. They don’t get to the line much, and when they fall behind, shot quality tends to degrade into late-clock stuff.

• Kam Sanders (11.6 PPG / 3.6 APG) is basically the engine; if New Mexico turns him over or forces him into low-efficiency pull-ups, Air Force’s scoring alternatives are thin.

• Lucas Hobin is the top scorer (11.9 PPG), but asking him to carry offense against a better, deeper Mountain West opponent is a rough assignment—especially on the road.

Bottom line: the talent/athleticism gap plus home court points toward a blowout; the only real drama is whether the blowout is fast enough to flirt with the over, or clinical enough to land under while still covering..

Why I am betting Air Force +28.5

• 28.5 is a monster number → backdoor cover lives here.
  You can be “wrong” for 35 minutes and still cash if New Mexico goes to deep bench / drains clock. Big spreads are basically garbage-time derivatives.

• New Mexico is massively favored (ML around -50000) → incentive to coast late.
  When the win is virtually locked, coaches often prioritize health + reps, not margin.

• New Mexico guard depth is dinged up (Chris Howell wrist, listed OUT in multiple injury feeds).
  Even if New Mexico still wins easily, missing a primary ball-handler/creator can reduce “run-you-off-the-floor” minutes and make it easier for the dog to trade empty possessions and hang around the number.

• Air Force’s scoring “ceiling game” is real, and it only needs to show up a little.
  ESPN’s game preview note highlights Lucas Hobin coming off a 26-point game. If Hobin (or one other Falcon) is even moderately hot, +28.5 becomes much more reasonable.

• Inflation / public bias tends to pile onto the fun team at home.
  New Mexico at The Pit is a popular public click, and big-favorite lines can creep upward because nobody wants to hold their nose and buy the ugly dog.

• The “blowout script” can actually help +28.5.
  If New Mexico jumps out big, they may slow pace (more half-court, more clock), which reduces total possessions and makes it harder to extend margin from “up 20” to “up 35.”

• Air Force injury news can be less damaging than it looks if it forces tighter rotation efficiency.
  Catchings/Frisch have been listed as questionable on some boards. If one plays limited but the remaining rotation is clean and low-turnover, the cover becomes more plausible.

The one thing you’re really betting (the “cover recipe”)

Air Force +28.5 is basically a bet that New Mexico wins comfortably but not vindictively, and that Air Force avoids the two margin accelerants:

1. turnover avalanche → runouts/dunks, and

2. getting destroyed on the glass for 15+ extra shots (Buljan types).

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Kevin Dolan

Event: (224417) Fiorentina at (224418) Jagiellonia Biaystok: Team Total

Sport/League: UEFA (See all free UEFA picks)

Date/Time: February 19, 2026 3:00 PM EST

Free UEFA Pick Today: Jagiellonia Biaystok Total Under 1.5 (-242)

This line is set super-high on Thursday and there's a very good reason for that, namely that Jagiellonia Biaystok are very likely going to struggle offensively in this one.

While the line on the total is set high, our numbers make it even higher (in the mid-260's range), as Fiorentina allowed just 0.83 GA/G to opponents during the league phase of this competition, while Jagiellonia Biaystok scored just five times in total, to firmly rank near the bottom-of-the-pack in terms of scoring.

While scoring 2+ goals here is obviously possible for the Polish side, it's extremely unlikely given they've yet to score two goals in a single game in this competition all season, and with this being their first-ever game facing Italian opposition, we don't expect that to change on Thursday.

PLAY: JAGIELLONIA BIAYSTOK TEAM TOTAL UNDER 1.5 (-242)

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Ben Burns

Event: (306551) Gardner Webb at (306552) Charleston Southern: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 6:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Charleston Southern -17.5 (-106)

Charleston Southern is laying more than two touchdowns today. A lot of points for a team which is 1-9 its past 10 games. That's how bad Gardner Webb is though. The Runnin' Bulldogs are 3-24 on the season, 0-13 on the road. They've conceded more than 100 points in back-to-back games. Also, the Buccaneers could easily be a lot better than 1-9 over their past 10. Four of the nine losses were in Overtime and another two came by less than five points. They're still a respectable 8-3 at home. When the Bucs finish on top, as they should today, the victories tend to be by a comfortable margin. Ten of their 12 wins have been by double-digits. Look for them to blow out the Runnin' Bulldogs in this one. *good up to -19

You're likely aware that Ben Burns just finished with the #1 NFL record (9-0 L9, 43-18 L61) again. Football in the rear view mirror, the #1 Basketball Handicapper of All-Time is #1 again this college basketball season.

Released/revised 11 hour(s) ago

Pro Sports Picks

Event: (619) TCU at (620) Central Florida: Moneyline

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 7:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Central Florida -142

PSP Data Driven play on UCF.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. Central Florida is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games. TCU is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games on the road.

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Ricky Tran

Event: (655) Minnesota at (656) Oregon: Moneyline

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 10:30 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Oregon -175

Ricky's play on OREG.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Minnesota is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games.

- Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road.

- Minnesota is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.

Verdict: The value is on the Home favorite.

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Jimmy Adams

Event: (623) Louisville at (624) SMU: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 7:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Louisville -3.5 (-110)

One of the marquee matchups of the day takes us to Dallas, Texas, where Louisville looks to extend on a 5 game winning streak. The Cardinals have never lost to SMU, and these teams met on New Year's Eve, with Louisville coming away with a 14 point victory. Freshman Mikel Brown Jr. has been setting records for the Cardinals, who have the highest scoring offense in the ACC. They’re 11^th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 8^th in 2 point shooting percentage in the nation. Take Louisville.

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Oskeim Sports

Event: (617) South Carolina at (618) Florida: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 7:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: South Carolina +23.5 (-105)

South Carolina arrives in Florida off six consecutive losses, with the last two coming by a combined 33 points. In contrast, the Gators are coming off a 92-83 win over Kentucky and have won five straight contests, including a 95-48 victory over the Gamecocks on January 28. Since 2007, college basketball road underdogs with same-season revenge are 323-234-13 ATS (58%) following back-to-back losses by ten points or more. This situation improves to 206-145-4 ATS (58.7%) when our road underdogs are getting double digits from the oddsmakers, including 90-53 ATS (62.9%) since 2021. South Carolina has failed to cover the spread in 4 of its last 6 games, but double-digit road underdogs failing to cover by more than 40 combined points in their last 5 games are 394-296-8 ATS (57.1%). In contrast, the Gators have covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games, but .601 or greater double-digit favorites that have covered six or more of their last eight games are just 403-492-14 ATS (45%), including 269-342-11 ATS (44%) since 2017. Grab the points with South Carolina as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Tuesday, February 17.

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Tom Macrina

Event: PGA Genesis Invitational

Sport/League: GLF (See all free Golf picks)

Date/Time: February 19, 2026 6:00 PM EST

Free All Golf Pick Today: To Record A Top 20 Viktor Hovland 135

Viktor Hovland has a strong track record at The Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club, posting a Top 20 finish in all four of his previous starts there. His results include a standout T4 in 2022 and consistent performances like T5 (2021), T20 (2023), and T19 (2024), showcasing how well the course suits his game—particularly his ball striking and creativity on approach shots.

After a solid T10 at the WM Phoenix Open (finishing at 12-under with rounds including a strong 65), Hovland followed up with a disappointing T58 at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. That result was a letdown, especially after early promise, but it came on a very different layout with challenging weather conditions—far removed from Riviera's demands.

Riviera plays to Hovland's strengths: precision iron play, creativity around the greens, and the ability to navigate a thoughtful, strategic course rather than one relying heavily on length or scrambling in wind. With his history of success here and signs of form earlier in 2026 (including a T14 at the Hero Dubai Desert Classic), this feels like a spot for a rebound.

We're confidently backing Hovland to deliver a Top 20 finish this week.

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