Tokyo Brandon
Event: (909) Detroit Tigers at (910) Minnesota Twins: Moneyline
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: April 9, 2026 1:40 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Detroit Tigers -134 Action
Honey, bet the kids!
Detroit Tigers - Minnesota led the series 3-0 entering April 9, with Detroit having lost Game 1 (4/6), Game 2 (4/7), and Game 3 (4/8), and Game 4 still to be played on April 9. That makes Detroit a team that had lost 3 straight in the series and was playing the last game, and, reading condition 2 literally, a team that had already lost the series but still had one game left to play.
Silent Flaccidity
Twins — Minnesota beat Detroit 4-2 on April 7 and 8-6 on April 8, and the April 9 Tigers-Twins game is the series finale before Minnesota goes to Toronto on April 10.
DET at MIN — April 9, 2026
Model projection: Tigers 4.6, Twins 3.7
Game context
The listed matchup is Jack Flaherty vs. Mick Abel at Target Field, with Detroit priced around -126 to -136 and Minnesota around +115 to +113, while the full-game total is sitting between 8.0 and 8.5 across the main board snapshots. ESPN’s probable-pitcher card and multiple odds boards align on Flaherty and Abel as the starters for this game.
Starter and form layer
Flaherty’s 2026 surface line is poor at 0-1, 7.56 ERA, 1.80 WHIP in 8.1 IP, but the broader last-365-day baseline is much stronger because he finished 2025 at 13-7 with a 3.17 ERA in 162 innings. Within the required 3/1/2025–4/9/2026 window, the usable Flaherty-vs.-Twins sample is his August 6, 2025 start, when he allowed 5 ER in 4 2/3 IP; the 2024 lines in the prompt were excluded.
Abel’s current baseline is much shakier. He enters at 0-2, 11.05 ERA, 2.86 WHIP in 7.1 IP, and his most recent start was 4.0 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 3 BB against Tampa Bay. His broader MLB line is still rough as well, and there is no meaningful batter-vs.-pitcher sample against Detroit inside the requested window strong enough to move the model materially.
That creates a split starter signal: current-form edge is small-to-neutral, but true-talent and workload edge favors Detroit because Flaherty has the deeper established starting profile while Abel is still in a shorter, more volatile usage band. Flaherty is projected for roughly 5 2/3 innings; Abel projects closer to 4 2/3 to 5 innings.
Offense, bullpen, and April adjustment
Detroit’s offense has been better than Minnesota’s in the relevant small 2026 samples. The Tigers have a .707 OPS vs right-handed pitching this season and their team OPS has improved from .601 in March to .758 in April. Minnesota’s season OPS sits around .625, and over the last 10 games the Twins are hitting only .215 as a team; over their last five against right-handed pitching they were at a .600 OPS.
Bullpen form leans Detroit slightly. Minnesota’s overall last-10 team ERA is 4.09, while Detroit’s full-team ERA is 4.00 on the season and the Tigers’ relievers have not shown the same kind of fresh overuse penalty seen in some other games on the slate. Minnesota used Bradley for 6 1/3 innings and Topa for the save on April 8, so the Twins were not heavily overextended, but Detroit’s relief work after Skubal was relatively clean as well. That keeps the bullpen gap small rather than huge.
The matchup-specific recent series form favors Minnesota only slightly. The Twins are 2-0 vs Detroit in this current series, winning 7-3 and 4-2, but that is already reflected in the short-term offensive baseline and does not outweigh Abel’s weaker starting projection.
Projected starting pitcher box
Pitcher | IP | ER | H | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jack Flaherty (DET) | 5 2/3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
Mick Abel (MIN) | 4 2/3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Projected hitter box
Detroit projected hitters
Hitter | AB | BB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gleyber Torres | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Riley Greene | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Colt Keith | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Spencer Torkelson | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Kerry Carpenter | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Dillon Dingler | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Kevin McGonigle | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Zach McKinstry | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Javier Báez | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Minnesota projected hitters
Hitter | AB | BB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Byron Buxton | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Luke Keaschall | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Matt Wallner | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Josh Bell | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Ryan Jeffers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Trevor Larnach | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Austin Martin | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Victor Caratini | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Royce Lewis | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Wager & Probability Analysis — model driven
Moneyline
Team | Projected win % | Fair odds | Consensus odds | Consensus minus fair | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DET | 57.4% | -135 | -126 to -136 | +9 to -1 | Small value at -126, none at -136 |
MIN | 42.6% | +135 | +113 to +115 | -20 to -22 | No value |
Tokyo’s Clutch Index
Requested split: OPS with a runner on 3rd.
Team | rank |
|---|---|
DET | 12th–16th range |
MIN | 18th–24th range |
Two-team rank card among 30 clubs
Category | DET | MIN |
|---|---|---|
Today’s starting pitcher rank (ERA+WHIP curve) | 12th | 28th |
Bullpen last 10 days | 14th | 17th |
Lineup run production last 10 days | 15th | 22nd |
Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago
Other Picks/Packages
Today’s KBO Deal: Team Total Top Pick from a 10-Year MLB Scout & 3-Time #1 Capper: $ 7.00
DON’T MISS IT — Tokyo Brandon just dropped his KBO Wednesday late night bet and this is one of the sharpest value plays on the entire board! As a 10-year MLB scout and 3-time #1 capper in profit among all 33 WagerTalk cappers over the last five years, Tokyo Brandon spots edges the rest of the industry completely misses. This is a -1 alt run lin ...
Ricky Tran
Event: (53) Philadelphia Flyers at (54) Detroit Red Wings: Moneyline
Sport/League: NHL (See all free NHL Hockey picks)
Date/Time: April 9, 2026 7:07 PM EDT
Free NHL Hockey Pick Today: Detroit Red Wings -115
Red Wings
Released/revised 2 hour(s) ago
Other Picks/Packages
Ricky's $7 EUROPA LEAGUE - EARLY BIRD - Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina: $ 7.00
RICKY WINS YEAR AFTER YEAR (2022-2026) Ricky's Career Highlights: (As of March 2026) - 1,225-834 (60%) MLB Since 20218 - 128-84 (60%) Overall in 2026- 843-630 (+51 Units) Overall in 2024 - 728-570 (+30 Units) Overall in 2023 - 342-251 (+36 Units) Overall in 2020 - 22-9 (71%) UFC Since 2020
Tokyo Brandon
Event: (903) Arizona Diamondbacks at (904) New York Mets: Team Total
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: April 9, 2026 7:10 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Arizona Diamondbacks Total Over 2.5 (-145) Action
ALL-BASEBALL ALL-ACCESS YEAR PASS | EVERY LEAGUE! $699 DISCOUNT
This special is back until the end of April due to popular demand and the fact that Tokyo Brandon won't stop winning darnit!
50% OFF Every Baseball League from WagerTalk's Top Capper!
🔴click here! ➡ https://www.wagertalk.com/profile/tokyo-brandon#specials
Tokyo Brandon has been dominating since 2020. Don’t miss your shot to cash in with Tokyo Brandon’s baseball in 2026 at 50% for the entire year, every league!
Why trust Tokyo Brandon? Because the record speaks for itself:
#1 MLB profit 2024 (+145 units)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2024 (+180u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2022 (+125u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2021 (+225u)
#4 All-Sports Profit 2025 (+49u)
Tokyo Brandon has finished #1 overall in profit at WagerTalk among 33 cappers in 3 of the last 5 years and turned a profit in 5 of the last 6 seasons – no guessing here, just a consistent winning strategy and results. Your bankroll will thank you later, and your wallet will too with 50% off! (this includes MLB, KBO, Japanese, World Baseball Classic, Mexican baseball and EVERY other baseball bet all year)
🔴click here! ➡ https://www.wagertalk.com/profile/tokyo-brandon#specials
Follow
X @Tokyo Brandon
TikTok @tokyobrandonofficial
Instagram @tokyobrandon
_______
ARI at NYM — April 9, 2026
Model projection: Mets 4.4, Diamondbacks 3.8
Projection summary
The market is pricing New York as the favorite, with Arizona roughly +129 to +136 and New York roughly -135 to -162, while the total is sitting mostly at 7.5.
The weather is a mild run suppressor. Queens is forecast around 43°F at first pitch, dropping toward 40°F, with clear conditions, which trims carry relative to a warmer April game at Citi Field.
The starter layer leans slightly to Arizona on established track record, but the current-form and bullpen layers lean to New York. Eduardo Rodriguez opened 2026 with 5.0 scoreless innings, 4 hits allowed, 5 strikeouts, 2 walks at Dodger Stadium. Nolan McLean’s current 2026 line is 1-0, 2.61 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, 12 strikeouts, and his first two starts included 5 innings with 8 strikeouts vs. Pittsburgh and 5 1/3 innings, 1 earned run, 1 hit allowed vs. San Francisco.
The recent offense and bullpen context is better for New York. Over the last 10 games, the Mets have scored 42 runs with a .675 OPS, while Arizona is at a .642 OPS over its last 10 and has been much softer overall, hitting .215 in that stretch. New York also owns MLB’s best team ERA over the last 10 games at 2.11, while Arizona’s bullpen sits at 4.30 ERA over the last 10 and has been hit harder in the shorter recent slice.
The handedness split matters. The Mets have been excellent in their recent small sample against left-handed pitching, posting a 1.176 OPS over their last three games vs lefties, while Arizona is around league middle against lefties at .700 OPS this season. Arizona’s recent performance against lefties has been playable, but not overwhelming, at .769 OPS over its last 10 games against left-handed pitchers.
Run-build calculation
Team | Baseline offense | Starter adjustment | Bullpen adjustment | Park/weather | Travel/fatigue | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ARI | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.1 | +0.2 | 3.8 |
NYM | 4.1 | +0.1 | +0.3 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 4.4 |
Why the model lands there
Arizona gets a small positive from Rodriguez’s strong opener and the fact that McLean is still in a rookie workload band, but New York gets it back from the stronger recent bullpen, the better recent overall run prevention, and the sharper current lefty split. Citi Field weather knocks the raw total down a bit, but not enough to erase New York’s edge.
Projected score boxes
First 5 innings
Team | Projected runs |
|---|---|
ARI | 1.9 |
NYM | 2.3 |
Full game
Team | Projected runs |
|---|---|
ARI | 3.8 |
NYM | 4.4 |
Projected starting pitcher box
Pitcher | IP | ER | H | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) | 5 1/3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
Nolan McLean (NYM) | 5 0/3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
Projected hitter box
Arizona projected hitters
Hitter | AB | BB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Corbin Carroll | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Ketel Marte | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Geraldo Perdomo | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Gabriel Moreno | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Adrian Del Castillo | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Nolan Arenado | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Jose Fernandez | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Jorge Barrosa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Alek Thomas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
New York projected hitters
Hitter | AB | BB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Francisco Lindor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Bo Bichette | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Marcus Semien | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Francisco Alvarez | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Mark Vientos | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Luis Robert Jr. | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Brett Baty | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Ronny Mauricio | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Tyrone Taylor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Wager & Probability Analysis — model driven
Moneyline
Team | Projected win % | Fair odds | Consensus odds | Consensus minus fair | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ARI | 43.3% | +131 | +129 to +136 | -2 to +5 | Tiny value only at the high end |
NYM | 56.7% | -131 | -135 to -162 | -4 to -31 | No value |
Full-game total
The projected total is 8.2, which sits above a consensus market of 7.5. That creates a model lean to the over. Market references for this game show 7.5 as the main current number.
Market | Projected total | Win % | Fair odds | Consensus odds | Consensus minus fair | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Over 7.5 | 8.2 | 56.0% | -127 | -103 to -105 | +22 to +24 | Value |
Under 7.5 | 8.2 | 44.0% | +127 | -115 to +100 range | -27 to -242 | No value |
First 5 innings total
Market | Projected F5 total | Win % | Fair odds | Consensus odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Over 4.0 | 4.2 | 53.0% | -113 | N/A | N/A |
Under 4.0 | 4.2 | 47.0% | +113 | N/A | N/A |
Best model lean: Over 7.5
Side: No strong moneyline edge
Tokyo’s Clutch Index — OPS with man on 3rd and less than 2 outs
Team | Rank |
|---|---|
NYM | 10th–14th range |
ARI | 16th–20th range |
Two-team rank card among 30 clubs
Category | ARI | NYM |
|---|---|---|
Today’s starting pitcher rank (ERA+WHIP curve) | 14th | 11th |
Bullpen last 10 days | 19th | 1st |
Lineup run production last 10 days | 20th | 11th |
Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago
Other Picks/Packages
Today’s KBO Deal: Team Total Top Pick from a 10-Year MLB Scout & 3-Time #1 Capper: $ 7.00
DON’T MISS IT — Tokyo Brandon just dropped his KBO Wednesday late night bet and this is one of the sharpest value plays on the entire board! As a 10-year MLB scout and 3-time #1 capper in profit among all 33 WagerTalk cappers over the last five years, Tokyo Brandon spots edges the rest of the industry completely misses. This is a -1 alt run lin ...
Jimmy Adams
Event: (909) Detroit Tigers at (910) Minnesota Twins: Moneyline
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: April 9, 2026 1:40 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Detroit Tigers -134 Action
This is a complete fade of Mick Abel, who has gotten smacked in the mouth both times he’s taken the mound this season. Abel gave up 5 earned in just 3.1 innings in his first appearance and then 4 earned last time out against the Rays. He has just as many walks as strikeouts on the season, a wOBA of .486, and ranks in the 4th percentile in pitching run value overall. Abel has also been an extreme fly ball pitcher which will help Detroit plate some runs today. Jack Flaherty is in bounce back mode himself, but he’s a much more proven commodity with the better lineup behind him. Take the Tigers.
80% (8-2) 5% TOP PLAY RUN!
100% (4-0) MLB BEST BET RUN! (4% or higher)
DON’T MISS TODAY’S MLB BEST BET!
Released/revised 5 hour(s) ago
Other Picks/Packages
MLB THU BOOK BASHER! 75% (6-2) RUN! : $ 7.00
Jimmy is on a 75% RUN over his past 8 plays right here at SportsMemo and has ANOTHER WINNER READY TO CASH on Thursday! MAKING MONEY for his clients both here and at Wagertalk, Jimmy continues to BUILD HIS CLIENT'S BANKROLLS with MLB action underway! Don’t miss out! Grab this HIGH CONFIDENCE WAGER now as Jimmy continues to CASH TICKETS!
Tokyo Brandon
Event: (304149) LG Twins at (304150) NC Dinos: F5 Spread
Sport/League: KBO (See all free KBO League picks)
Date/Time: April 9, 2026 5:30 AM EDT
Free KBO League Pick Today: F5 NC Dinos +0.5 (-118)
ALL-BASEBALL ALL-ACCESS YEAR PASS | EVERY LEAGUE! $699 DISCOUNT
This special is back until the end of April due to popular demand and the fact that Tokyo Brandon won't stop winning darnit!
50% OFF Every Baseball League from WagerTalk's Top Capper!
🔴click here! ➡ https://www.wagertalk.com/profile/tokyo-brandon#specials
Tokyo Brandon has been dominating since 2020. Don’t miss your shot to cash in with Tokyo Brandon’s baseball in 2026 at 50% for the entire year, every league!
Why trust Tokyo Brandon? Because the record speaks for itself:
#1 MLB profit 2024 (+145 units)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2024 (+180u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2022 (+125u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2021 (+225u)
#4 All-Sports Profit 2025 (+49u)
Tokyo Brandon has finished #1 overall in profit at WagerTalk among 33 cappers in 3 of the last 5 years and turned a profit in 5 of the last 6 seasons – no guessing here, just a consistent winning strategy and results. Your bankroll will thank you later, and your wallet will too with 50% off! (this includes MLB, KBO, Japanese, World Baseball Classic, Mexican baseball and EVERY other baseball bet all year)
🔴click here! ➡ https://www.wagertalk.com/profile/tokyo-brandon#specials
Follow
X @Tokyo Brandon
TikTok @tokyobrandonofficial
Instagram @tokyobrandon
_______
Projection
1st 5 innings: NC 3.2 – LG 1.7
Full game: NC 5.4 – LG 4.1
Why the model lands there
1) Starting-pitcher edge
Koo Chang-mo has been excellent to open 2026: 11 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 9 K, 4 BB in 2 appearances, and NC is at home.
Yonny Chirinos has opened 2026 very poorly for LG: 6 IP, 10 ER, 15 H, 6 K, 2 BB across 2 starts, and he is on the road.
2) Batter-vs-pitcher, current-roster evidence
In Koo’s Sept. 24, 2025 start vs LG, he allowed 4 ER in 4 1/3 IP. Current LG bats that hit him in that game included Hong Chang-ki (1 H), Shin Min-jae (2 H), Park Hae-min (3 H), Moon Bo-gyeong (1 H), Moon Sung-ju (1 H), Oh Ji-hwan (1 H), Park Dong-won (1 HR). That keeps LG from projecting too low despite Koo’s hot 2026 form.
In Chirinos’ Oct. 1, 2025 start vs NC, the Dinos put 7 runs on LG and pushed Chirinos out in the 5th with traffic on. Current NC bats who produced against that LG staff sequence while Chirinos started included Kim Ju-won, Park Kun-woo, Davidson, Kim Whee-jip, Kim Hyung-jun, and others; that supports a shorter leash and stronger NC early scoring probability.
3) Expected innings per starter
Koo projection: 5 2/3 IP. His 2026 usage is already back into starter territory at 165 pitches over 11 innings, roughly 82.5 pitches/start, which is enough for a mid-5th to 6th-inning expectation if effective. His prior return-phase game vs LG in Sept. 2025 was capped at 73 pitches / 4 1/3 IP, but his 2026 workload has clearly moved past that phase.
Chirinos projection: 4 1/3 IP. His 2026 results are poor, and the combination of hard contact plus road setting makes a short leash much more likely than a clean 6+.
4) Bullpen adjustment
LG bullpen fatigue is real in leverage spots. On April 7, LG used Kim Jin-sung, Jang Hyun-sik, Woo Kang-hoon, You Young-chan after Song Seung-ki. On April 8, LG again used Bae Jae-june, Kim Jin-sung, Jang Hyun-sik, You Young-chan after Wells. That means You Young-chan pitched on back-to-back days, and Jang / Kim Jin-sung also carried recent workload.
NC’s bullpen has volume stress too. On April 7, NC used Shin Yeong-woo, Kim Young-kyu, Won Jong-hae after Verhagen. On April 8, NC used Lim Ji-min, Won Jong-hae, Kim Jin-ho, Bae Jae-whan, Ryu Jin-wook, Chun Sa-min after Shin Min-hyeok. That is a lot of recent middle-relief volume, though the specific late-game fatigue profile is still a bit worse for LG because of the back-to-back closer usage.
5) April, home/away, and day-of-week skew
I applied a small April suppression to pure raw summer-style totals, but not enough to overcome Chirinos’ current form, because the weather is mild rather than cold and both teams are already scoring in this series.
LG is away and NC is home at Changwon NC Park. The first two games of this series were both won by LG, but the travel/rest edge still belongs to NC in the structural sense because they are finishing a home series.
For Thursday, the biggest practical trend signal is not a mystical weekday effect; it is that Thursday is usually the third straight game of the set, which matters because of bullpen carryover and lineup fatigue. That nudges the game a little away from a pure starter-only projection and slightly toward late scoring variance.
6) Weather and park
Forecast around game time is roughly 68°F / 20°C and clear to mostly clear, which is favorable for ordinary carry and clean field conditions, not a cold damp suppressor.
Changwon NC Park’s dimensions are modern and fairly balanced, and it has often been described as at least somewhat hitter-friendly rather than a run-killing yard. I only used this as a small nudge.
7) Lineup/fatigue notes
LG’s recent top of order has been stable around Hong Chang-ki, Park Hae-min, Austin Dean, Moon Bo-gyeong, with Moon Sung-ju / Cheon Seong-ho / Oh Ji-hwan / Park Dong-won / Shin Min-jae rotating around them.
NC’s recent lineup core has centered on Kim Ju-won, Park Min-woo, Davidson, Park Kun-woo, Kim Whee-jip, Lee Woo-sung, Kim Hyung-jun, with the bottom third rotating.
I did not find evidence of a recent doubleheader or extreme travel fatigue spot that would justify a heavy hitter-fatigue penalty for either club, so I kept that adjustment light. The main fatigue signal is bullpen usage, not lineup exhaustion.
Score chart
Segment | LG | NC |
|---|---|---|
1st 5 innings | 1.7 | 3.2 |
Full game | 4.1 | 5.4 |
Starting pitcher projection chart
Pitcher | Team | IP | ER | H | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yonny Chirinos | LG | 4 1/3 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 |
Koo Chang-mo | NC | 5 2/3 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 |
Projected hitter stat chart
Using a likely lineup based on the first two games of this series, not an official posted lineup.
LG projected lineup
Hitter | AB | BB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hong Chang-ki | 4.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 |
Park Hae-min | 4.3 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
Austin Dean | 3.9 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 |
Moon Bo-gyeong | 4.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 |
Moon Sung-ju | 4.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 |
Cheon Seong-ho | 4.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 |
Oh Ji-hwan | 4.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 |
Park Dong-won | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 |
Shin Min-jae | 4.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
NC projected lineup
Hitter | AB | BB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kim Ju-won | 4.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
Park Min-woo | 4.5 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
Matthew Davidson | 4.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.1 |
Park Kun-woo | 4.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 |
Kim Whee-jip | 4.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 |
Lee Woo-sung | 4.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 |
Kim Hyung-jun | 3.8 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.3 |
Choi Jeong-won | 3.9 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
Seo Ho-cheol | 3.8 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 |
Win% / odds chart
I converted the projected full-game score (NC 5.4, LG 4.1) into win probabilities using a baseball scoring-strength conversion. That yields about NC 62.3% / LG 37.7%.
Team | Projected win % | Projected fair odds | DraftKings moneyline today | DK odds minus projected odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
NC Dinos | 62.3% | -166 | N/A* | N/A |
LG Twins | 37.7% | +166 | N/A* | N/A |
Released/revised 11 hour(s) ago
Other Picks/Packages
Today’s KBO Deal: Team Total Top Pick from a 10-Year MLB Scout & 3-Time #1 Capper: $ 7.00
DON’T MISS IT — Tokyo Brandon just dropped his KBO Wednesday late night bet and this is one of the sharpest value plays on the entire board! As a 10-year MLB scout and 3-time #1 capper in profit among all 33 WagerTalk cappers over the last five years, Tokyo Brandon spots edges the rest of the industry completely misses. This is a -1 alt run lin ...
Ben Burns
Event: (67) Minnesota Wild at (68) Dallas Stars: Moneyline
Sport/League: NHL (See all free NHL Hockey picks)
Date/Time: April 9, 2026 9:07 PM EDT
Free NHL Hockey Pick Today: Dallas Stars -122
When I was a kid, Dallas didn't have a team and Minnesota's team was called the North Stars. Eventually, the North Stars moved to Dallas, dropping the "North" and becoming the Stars. Minnesota went a period without having a team. Their fans didn't forget. When the Wild entered the league, Minnesota players and fans always had some extra energy and motivation when Dallas would come to town. Having not had their team taken, Dallas fans generally didn't feel the same way.
Whether or not it has anything to do with the historic connection, the home team has always tended to do well in this series. That's continued to be the case, as the home team has won five straight meetings, including all three this season. Including their win here in October, the Stars are 34-8-1-6 all-time agains the Wild, at the American Airlines Center. They've been dominant at home again this season; I like their chances of continuing their success here and levelling the season series. *good up to -135
Released/revised 13 hour(s) ago
Gianni the Greek 
Bryan Power 
Terry Edelmann 
Oskeim Sports 
Mark Zinno 
Steve Merril 
Sniper Wes 
Joseph D'Amico 
Rob Vinciletti