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Tulsa returns home off back-to-back road games with the last being a blowout win over Rice.  The Golden Hurricane are now in a bad spot as they must face the triple-option offense of Army on a short week.  Tulsa hasn’t been able to stop the Black Knights recently; allowed 74 points in the last 2 meetings.  Army comes into this game in terrific current form after winning 3 of their last 4 games while scoring 105 total points in their last 3 games.  Tulsa is also a team that wants to play at a fast pace, but Army is very deliberate while play ball control and running the clock.  This is simply a bad matchup for Tulsa, so take Army plus the points in this game on Friday night.

Play ARMY (+).

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KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE:

Play ON home favorites of -3.5 to -8.5 if they have a winning record, are off 3 straight conference wins, and are facing an opponent with a winning record.

Applies to Utah.

23-5 ATS (82%) since the 2022 season, covering the spread by an average of 8.8 points per game!

The CFB Comp Play is on Tulsa minus the point or two at 8:30 eastern. Tulsa hosts Army tonight after beating them on the road last season. Rob notes that CFB Friday night road dogs of less than 4 points are 1-11 straight up and 1-10-1 to the spread long term in week 13 or earlier if the total is 69 or lower and they are in off a home win and the home team is off a road win. This should be a higher scoring game and Tulsa will need to stop the vaunted Army ground game. The Cadets defense is not as good as years past and could struggle to contain the Tulsa offense here. Play on Tulsa. GL Rob V-

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Both teams can score like crazy and have average defenses.

Team

PPG

PA

2PT%

3PT%

FT%

ORB

REB

BLK

Fouls

Liaoning

96.0

88.5

50.5%

40.0%

71.4%

10.5

40.0

2.0

23.0

Sichuan

94.0

86.5

59.7%

40.7%

54.5%

10.0

33.5

5.5

21.5

Game totals so far:

Liaoning: 179, 190
Sichuan: 182, 179

All four have reached at least 179.

And both teams have been willing to score immediately rather than spend the first quarter probing.

Projected total: 183.

OVER 178.5 -110

This is a free play on 1H Under.

The Ducks are reeling after losing starting QB Dante Moore, and the combination of Brock Thomas and Dylan Raiola have been put together back to back poor performances. Just how bad? Last week they had the worst EPA per drop back of any QB in the country that week. The previous week Raiola had the worst EPA per drop back of any QB in the county in any game over the past three years. Illinois lost their starter, and will be starting a freshman in his first career start. Expect an ugly game here in Illinois on Saturday.

GL,

Jesse Schule