Free Sports Predictions: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports for May 4

Steve Merril

Event: (973) Atlanta Braves at (974) Seattle Mariners: Moneyline

Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)

Date/Time: May 4, 2026 9:40 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Seattle Mariners -140 JR Ritchie (RHP), Logan Gilbert (RHP) Must Start

Seattle starter Logan Gilbert projects to give up 1.7 runs with a 2.75 ERA and 0.92 WHIP.  Atlanta’s lineup has hit just .207 (18-87) with a weak .611 OPS against Gilbert in his career.  The Braves will start JR Ritchie.  The righty projects to give up 2.8 earned runs with a 4.56 ERA and 1.48 WHIP.  With the starting pitching clearly in Seattle’s favor, look for the Mariners to get a solid home win in this game on Monday night.

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Released/revised 4 hour(s) ago

Oskeim Sports

Event: (553) Minnesota Timberwolves at (554) San Antonio Spurs: Spread

Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)

Date/Time: May 4, 2026 9:42 PM EDT

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: San Antonio Spurs -11.5 (-105)

Minnesota arrives in San Antonio off a 110-98 win over the Nuggets in its opening round series, but NBA playoff underdogs of two points or greater are just 183-247-5 ATS (42.6%) following a win that went under the total. In addition, NBA playoff road underdogs by more than 4 points are 87-123-2 ATS (41.4%) following a double-digit home win, failing to cover the spread by an average margin of 2.5 points per game. Let’s also note that NBA favorites entering a game as favorites are 119-92-3 ATS (56.4%) versus avenging opponents coming off an upset win as underdogs. Minnesota has been installed as an underdog in each of its last four games, which is significant because NBA playoff underdogs coming off back-to-back games as underdogs are 273-356-13 ATS (43.4%). The team’s respective records are noteworthy: NBA playoff favorites with a -9 or greater spread and seven or more wins than their opponent are 149-96-3 ATS (60.8%) since 1995. San Antonio eliminated the Trail Blazers in Game 5 of its first-round playoff series, limiting Portland to just 35% shooting from the field (33-of-94). NBA teams coming off a game in which they limited their opponent to a field goal percentage of .360 or less are 174-134-6 ATS (56.5%) in their next game. Don’t be concerned about the large spread in this game, as NBA playoff favorites of -9 or greater are 88-68-2 ATS (56.4%) since 2003, versus opponents entering off a game in which they were underdogs of +6 or more. The Timberwolves were 7.5-point underdogs in Game 6 of their series against Denver, thereby falling squarely within the foregoing situation. Finally, Game 1 favorites of -11 or greater are 36-2 SU and 30-8 ATS (78.9%) in postseason play, including 8-1 SU and ATS (88.9%) since 2019, winning by an average margin of 22.4 points per game and covering by an average of 9.4 points per game. Lay the points with San Antonio as Jeff Keim's Free Pick Winner for Monday, May 4.

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Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

Teddy Covers

Event: (551) Philadelphia 76ers at (552) New York Knicks: Spread

Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)

Date/Time: May 4, 2026 8:12 PM EDT

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: New York Knicks -7.0 (-110)

Take the New York Knicks (#552)

The ‘Daily Double’ video below offers my takes on both NBA Playoff Game 1’s tonight: Knicks - 76ers and Timberwolves - Spurs.  Here’s a brief synopsis of my pro-Knicks opinion for Monday.  The concept here is simple.  I’m looking to fade any  team coming off a Game 7 win vs an opponent NOT coming off a Game 7 win.  The Knicks are rested and ready; the 76ers are coming off the three biggest victories in recent franchise history with precious little time to rest and recouperate before starting the next series.  While Philly may be live as the series progresses, Game 1 points towards the home favorite winning by margin.  Take the Knicks

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

Bryan Leonard

Event: (953) Cincinnati Reds at (954) Chicago Cubs: F5 Team Total

Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)

Date/Time: May 4, 2026 7:40 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: F5 Cincinnati Reds Total Over 2.5 (101) Chase Petty (RHP), Edward Cabrera (RHP) Must Start

953 Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs

The wind is blowing out strongly at Wrigley Field tonight, and we want to take advantage of that situation. Edward Cabrera is pitching very well since coming to the Windy City, but he has dealt with control issues in his career. With offense being the key tonight we can easily see the Reds batters have success in this matchup. Cincinnati has four players ranked in the Top 100 in hitting the past week.

PLAY CINCINNATI 1H TEAM TOTAL OVER 2 1/2

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

Steve Seagrave

Event: (551) Philadelphia 76ers at (552) New York Knicks: Karl-Anthony Towns Points + Assists

Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)

Date/Time: May 4, 2026 8:12 PM EDT

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Karl-Anthony Towns Points + Assists Over 23.5 (-106)

Seagrave is on a strong 27-17 (61%) run with his posted Free Picks since March 19th!

Next Winner HERE:

Karl-Anthony Towns Points + Assists Over 23.5 (-106):

Karl-Anthony Towns is coming off a relatively low usage first round against the Atlanta Hawks, but he still covered this PA in 3 of 6 games while landing on 22 (twice) and 20 PA in the other three games. Now Towns gets a favorable matchup against Joel Embiid and the Philadelphia 76ers who he's recorded 27, 25 & 11 PA in their last three head-to-head meetings. The 11 PA effort was due to Towns only playing only 16 minutes in a game where he fouled out. Embiid was clearly not 100% in Game 7 against the Boston Celtics as he's still working his way back into shape after being diagnosed with appendicitis. The Sixers will be dealing with a quick turnaround while the Knicks enjoy the rest advantage at home. Embiid and KAT as had heated exchanges in the past and Towns should be looking to attack and wear down the Sixers center.

*Playable at -130 or better

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Jackie Mack

Event: (1) Anaheim Ducks at (2) Vegas Golden Knights: Moneyline

Sport/League: NHL (See all free NHL Hockey picks)

Date/Time: May 4, 2026 9:30 PM EDT

Free NHL Hockey Pick Today: Anaheim Ducks 143

Vegas was swept three times this season by the Ducks and Anaheim has a chance to steal game 1 and even out the home advantage. Vegas has a lot of Cup experience but this team is older and vulnerable to speed like the Ducks have. The Ducks bring a dynamic offense and pace that can wear down an older team like the Golden Knights.

Bet: take the value with the road underdog in Anaheim.

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David Hess

Event: (1) Anaheim Ducks at (2) Vegas Golden Knights: Total

Sport/League: NHL (See all free NHL Hockey picks)

Date/Time: May 4, 2026 9:30 PM EDT

Free NHL Hockey Pick Today: Total Over 6.5 (-108)

This matchup has all the ingredients for a high‑scoring opener because both teams are coming in with strong offensive form, shaky defensive numbers, and goaltending that hasn’t traveled well. Anaheim averaged 4.33 goals per game in its first‑round series against Edmonton and has been productive on the road all season at 3.14 goals per game, while Vegas just hung five goals in each of its last three games against Utah and averaged 3.83 goals per game in that series. Both defenses have been leaky in these environments — the Golden Knights have allowed 3.57 goals per game at home, and the Ducks have allowed the same 3.57 on the road — and Anaheim’s last seven games have averaged a hefty 8.0 goals. Lukas Dostal hasn’t found his postseason footing with a 3.87 GAA and owns a 3.37 career road GAA, and while Carter Hart has played well, Anaheim’s shot volume and pressure are a major step up from what Utah offered. With both offenses rolling, both defenses vulnerable, and Game 1 typically played with more freedom before adjustments tighten things up, this matchup sets up cleanly for the over 6.5.

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Joe Duffy

Event: (967) Cleveland Guardians at (968) Kansas City Royals: Total

Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)

Date/Time: May 4, 2026 7:40 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Total Over 9.0 (-115) Action

Public betting and odds report!

Opener: Royals -120, Guardians +100
Best lines: Royals -115, Guardians +115
Best totals: OVER 9.5 (+122), UNDER 9 (-105)
Splits on side: 47% of bets, 49% of money on Guardians
Splits on total: 71% of bets, 73% of money on OVER

Total higher than the recent starts goes over to the tune of +245 units. Also of the total is higher than both the pitchers and teams recent games it goes over 245.94 units. Outlaw line kept this from being a premium bet, but still strong wager!

Coming off a 4-0 sweep, the Grandmaster stays hot with another strong card tonight. Strength across MLB, NBA, and NHL continues to drive results.

Full NBA coverage with all 4 sides and totals, plus Flyers-Hurricanes side and total and MLB total. A balanced, high-value card ready to deliver.

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Dan Kaiser

Event: (551) Philadelphia 76ers at (552) New York Knicks: Spread

Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)

Date/Time: May 4, 2026 8:12 PM EDT

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Philadelphia 76ers +7.5 (-110)

All signs point to the Knicks in game one. The Knicks are at home, they have a rest advantage, and Embiid came up limping at the end of Game 7 for Philadelphia. The Knicks have also won 7 of the last 9 games against the 76ers. The 76ers are  5-1 ATS and 4-2 SU as an underdog since April 21. The Knicks are hard to figure out; take the points in this one.

Play on Philadelphia. This is a 3% play.

Released/revised 5 hour(s) ago

NHL TOTAL OF THE NIGHT: $ 7.00
If you have one play on the ice tonight, this is the one you need to take down the books. Dan has the total between Carolina and Philadelphia. The Flyers were shut out in Game 1. Will they find the back of the net tonight? See what Dan has to say!

Will Rogers

Event: (79) Philadelphia Flyers at (80) Carolina Hurricanes: Total

Sport/League: NHL (See all free NHL Hockey picks)

Date/Time: May 4, 2026 7:00 PM EDT

Free NHL Hockey Pick Today: Total Under 5.5 (-122)

Philadelphia Flyers/Carolina Hurricanes [UNDER] | Good until 5.5, -130.

Game 1 began with a couple of fast Carolina goals in the first period. The game went onto be much less action packed and led by strong defenses running the show. Philadelphia's offense was in some ways non-existent, putting up just nine shots over the first two periods. Carolina was dominated in the 3rd, but, played a really solid game to win 3-0. Both teams have been in low scoring wars in the playoff so far & that trend will continue tonight.

Released/revised 6 hour(s) ago

Razor Ray Monohan

Event: (973) Atlanta Braves at (974) Seattle Mariners: Moneyline

Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)

Date/Time: May 4, 2026 9:40 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Atlanta Braves +132 Action

Braves +135

Atlanta is worth a free move against the Mariners. The Braves continue to be one of the hottest teams in baseball and they’re doing it with timely pitching and clutch hitting. send out Ritchie, who will be making just his third start, but he’s been inefficient. Seattle counters Logan Gilbert, who has had a tough go of it so far. He is 1-3 and has struggled with command, which bodes well for Braves offense that isn’t afraid to take walks. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Tonight’s FREE selection is a strong lean on the BRAVES ML. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

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Mike Lundin

Event: (967) Cleveland Guardians at (968) Kansas City Royals: Total

Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)

Date/Time: May 4, 2026 7:40 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Total Over 9.0 (-105) Action

Guardians vs Royals MLB Free Pick 

The Angle(s): Cleveland right-hander Tanner Bibee (0-4, 4.08 ERA) while solid at home, he’s been lit up on the road with a 7.90 ERA over three starts, two of which went over the total. The Royals turn to Michael Wacha (2-2, 3.13 ERA), who opened the season strong but has given up 10 runs on 15 hits over his last two outings, ramping up the volatility. Kansas City has averaged 5.8 runs per nine over its last 10 games, and Cleveland’s offense was on a heater before a 7-1 loss to Oakland on Sunday.

The Guardians have more overs than unders after scoring just one run in their previous game, and as a tasty extra nugget, they are 7-0 straight-up after scoring one run in their last outing.

The Bet: OVER (3%). 

Bet to -120.

Released/revised 7 hour(s) ago

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The Gold Sheet

Event: (553) Minnesota Timberwolves at (554) San Antonio Spurs: Jaden McDaniels Points

Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)

Date/Time: May 4, 2026 9:42 PM EDT

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Jaden McDaniels Points Over 16.5 (-120)

A big reason the Timberwolves were able to take down the Nuggets despite missing Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo for the final two and a half games was Jaden McDaniels. He scored 32 points on 13-of-25 shooting in Game 6 and we’ll look for him to go over 16.5 points in Game 1 at San Antonio tonight. Although Edwards is questionable going into tonight, we can’t imagine his knee is at 100-percent, and even if he does play, McDaniels should play a formidable part in the Timberwolves' offense again tonight. He averaged 16 points per game in three head-to-head matchups against San Antonio this season, and in all of those games, DiVincenzo and Edwards were healthy and active. McDaniels is averaging 18.7 points per 40 minutes played this season, and we think he has a great chance to play near 40 minutes on Monday after he did it twice last series against the Nuggets. In an effort to keep Game 1 close on the road, let’s take McDaniels to go over 16.5 points for the injury-ridden Timberwolves.

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Marc David

Event: (963) Toronto Blue Jays at (964) Tampa Bay Rays: Moneyline

Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)

Date/Time: May 4, 2026 6:40 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Tampa Bay Rays -116 Eric Lauer (LHP), Nick Martinez (RHP) Must Start

Marc David Sports' Free Pick

We really like the home team in this matchup. The line appears to be influenced by Rays' RHP Nick Martinez' (2-1, 1.70)  6.66 ERA in six career outings (four starts) against Toronto, but the last start was in 2024 and the one before that in 2017. He's held the current Toronto lineup to a .232 AVG over 56 at bats. Blue Jays' LHP Eric Lauer (1-3, 6.00) has a 7.08 ERA and 1.82 WHIP in seven career appearances (four starts) against the Rays with more meetings in recent seasons.

 This is a FREE PLAY on the RAYS!

Released/revised 8 hour(s) ago

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Billy Coleman

Event: (551) Philadelphia 76ers at (552) New York Knicks: Spread

Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)

Date/Time: May 4, 2026 8:12 PM EDT

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Philadelphia 76ers +7.5 (-110)

My concern with game 1 this evening is that Philadelphia might come out a bit flat off that 3-1 comeback against Boston. New York disposed of Atlanta in 6 games with the last one being a major blowout. NY was a 5.5-6 point favorite against Atlanta in game 1. I think a healthy Sixers team is better than Atlanta and they are getting 7.5 tonight. Pizza money on Philly tonight.

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Pro Sports Picks

Event: (553) Minnesota Timberwolves at (554) San Antonio Spurs: Total

Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)

Date/Time: May 4, 2026 9:42 PM EDT

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Total Under 217.5 (-109)

PSP Data Driven play on Under.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Under. The Under is 4-2 in Minnesota's last 6 games. The Under is 4-1 in San Antonio's last 5 games.

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Ricky Tran

Event: (1) Anaheim Ducks at (2) Vegas Golden Knights: Spread

Sport/League: NHL (See all free NHL Hockey picks)

Date/Time: May 4, 2026 9:30 PM EDT

Free NHL Hockey Pick Today: Anaheim Ducks +1.5 (-170)

Ricky's play on ANA.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Ducks are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games.

- The Ducks are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

- The Ducks  are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Verdict: The value is on the road Underdog.

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Jimmy Adams

Event: (965) Baltimore Orioles at (966) New York Yankees: Spread

Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)

Date/Time: May 4, 2026 7:05 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: New York Yankees -1.5 (105) Action

The Yankees are on fire right now, having plated 27 runs in their series against Baltimore as they go for the 4-game sweep tonight. Things don’t get any easier for the Orioles as Cam Schlittler takes the mound. Schlittler has the 2^nd best ERA in baseball and is 1^st in WHIP. He didn’t allow a single run last time out against Texas, throwing 6 shutout innings with just 3 hits. In fact, Schlittler has allowed just 1 earned run total over his past 3 starts, spanning 20 innings of work. Shane Baz has been okay, but backing Schlittler and this high powered offense in good form is the way to go on Monday. Take The Yankees RL.

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Ben Burns

Event: (967) Cleveland Guardians at (968) Kansas City Royals: Moneyline

Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)

Date/Time: May 4, 2026 7:40 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Cleveland Guardians 106 Tanner Bibee (RHP), Michael Wacha (RHP) Must Start

I feel that the Guardians are offering solid value as slight underdogs on Monday. At first glance, Bibee's stats (0-4, 4.08 ERA) look pretty bad. However, a closer look shows that he has actually allowed three earned runs or less in six of his seven starts, two runs or less in five of those. He had one bad outing, at Atlanta, which accounted for the high ERA. Since that rough game, he's got a 1.59 ERA in his last three starts, one of those coming against the Royals. For his career, he's 4-0 with a 3.06 ERA in nine starts vs. the Royals. Note that all four of those wins came here, at KC. He's got a 2.78 ERA in those four games. Wacha's overall numbers are pretty good but he's 0-2 with an ugly 8.71 ERA and 2.03 WHIP his past two starts. Let's go with the Guardians. *good at -115 or better

Released/revised 21 hour(s) ago

Oskeim Sports

Event: (79) Philadelphia Flyers at (80) Carolina Hurricanes: Spread

Sport/League: NHL (See all free NHL Hockey picks)

Date/Time: May 4, 2026 7:00 PM EDT

Free NHL Hockey Pick Today: Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 (116)

Logan Stankoven scored two goals, and Frederik Andersen made 19 saves for his seventh postseason shutout as Carolina beat the Flyers 3-0 in Game 1 of the second-round series. The Hurricanes’ dominant win is significant because NHL road underdogs of +200 or greater coming off a loss are 330-980 (25.2%; -12.1% ROI) and -5.1% ROI on the PL since 2004, losing by an average margin of 1.4 goals per game. Philadelphia committed nine penalties, totaling 34 minutes, which is relevant because NHL underdogs coming off a game in which they had over 25 penalty minutes are 385-655 (37%; -10.8%) and -1.0% ROI on the PL since 2003. These teams are 14-23 (37.8%; -7.4% ROI) in the playoffs since the beginning of the 2018-19 season. Carolina falls into one of my strongest NHL systems that dates to 2003 and invests on certain home favorites versus opponents in poor offensive form. This situation has been 227-107 (68%; +4.7% ROI) and +5.5% ROI on the PL, including 64-28 (69.6%; +6.7% ROI) and +5.5% ROI on the PL since 2018, with an average loss of 1.3 goals per game. The foregoing angle has performed exceptionally well in postseason play, going 12-6 (66.7%; +4.2% ROI) and +30.0% ROI on the PL since 2003. Take the Carolina Hurricanes as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Monday, May 4.

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-> Torrid 130-92 Overall Run | +69 Units
-> Top Plays (All Sports): 44-30 (60%)
-> #1 Basketball (NBA/NCAA): 100-71 (59%)
-> Red-Hot 40-28 (59%) NBA Run
-> 24-15 (62%) in the NHL | +13% Net Gain

Released/revised 1 day(s) ago