Mike Lundin
Event: (306523) Coppin State at (306524) South Carolina State: Spread
Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)
Date/Time: February 16, 2026 4:30 PM EST
Free College Basketball Pick Today: South Carolina State -4.5 (-118)
Coppin State @ South Carolina State CBB Free Pick
The Angle(s): This will be South Carolina's mere second game as a favorite, but the Bulldogs won and covered as a 1½-point favorite over Delaware State less than a month ago and they've won and covered in three consecutive games as favorites or underdogs of no more than 3½ points. Coppin State is 9-14 against the spread as underdogs.
The Bet: SCST.
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Released/revised 22 minute(s) ago
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Tokyo Brandon
Event: (3709) Nebraska at (3710) Stanford: Moneyline
Sport/League: BSB (See all free Baseball picks)
Date/Time: February 16, 2026 3:00 PM EST
Free All Baseball Pick Today: Nebraska 118
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_______
Nebraska vs Stanford (college baseball) — 02/16, 17:00
What I’m using
Venue / context: neutral-site tournament game at Salt River Fields at Talking Stick (Scottsdale).
Head-to-head: basically nonexistent — only one recorded meeting (1968; Stanford 4–3).
So “H2H” is more trivia than signal.
1) Pitching (starter + staff quality)
Nebraska — projected starter
Gavin Blachowicz is listed as Nebraska’s starter.
In 2025 he went 3–0 with a 3.80 ERA.
Stanford — likely starter quality tier (important caveat)
I don’t have an officially published Stanford starter for this specific game in the sources available, so I’m treating it as a back-end starter / depth arm scenario (common in 4-games-in-4-days tournament setups).
Stanford’s 2025 staff shows a lot of “good bats, shaky run prevention” fingerprints:
Joey Volchko: 6.01 ERA (15 GS, 70.1 IP)
Matt Scott: 6.02 ERA (11 GS, 52.1 IP)
Nick Dugan: 4.80 ERA (14 G, 8 GS)
Pitching lean: slight Nebraska, because we know Nebraska’s starter and he has a solid prior-year profile, while Stanford’s depth starters were volatile.
2) Bats (team offense + key hitters)
Stanford team slash/OPS: .297 / .376 / .468 (.843 OPS)
Nebraska team slash/OPS: .275 / .368 / .427 (.795 OPS)
Key Stanford bats
Trevor Haskins: .945 OPS, 14 HR
Jimmy Nati: .948 OPS, 16 HR
Key Nebraska bats
Dylan Carey: .864 OPS, 8 HR
Cayden Brumbaugh: .839 OPS
Offense lean: Stanford.
3) Bullpen / late-game conversion
Nebraska has a clearly-defined late-game weapon:
Luke Broderick: 13 saves, 3.25 ERA, 10.8 K/9 in 2025.
For Stanford, the visible pitching lines show multiple heavy-usage arms with mid/high ERAs (above), which usually means more “bullpen adventure” in close games.
Bullpen lean: Nebraska
Projection (win probability + fair odds)
Putting it together:
Stanford’s bats are better on paper.
Nebraska’s known starter + clearer late-game path nudges this toward a tight game at a neutral site.
My projected win probability
Nebraska: 49% → fair line +104
Stanford: 51% → fair line -104
Book odds vs my projection (value)
DraftKings odds given:
Nebraska +114
Stanford -145
Implied win % from DK (raw, includes vig):
Nebraska +114 → 46.7%
Stanford -145 → 59.2%
(No-vig normalization for reference: Nebraska 44.1%, Stanford 55.9%.)
Value table
Team | DK odds | DK implied % | My win % | My fair odds | Edge (pp) | EV per $100 risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nebraska | +114 | 46.7% | 49.0% | +104 | +2.3 | +$4.86 |
Stanford | -145 | 59.2% | 51.0% | -104 | -8.2 | -$13.83 |
Moneyline value call: Nebraska +114 is the only side that grades as +EV with this projection (small edge). Stanford -145 is priced too steep relative to a near-coinflip game.
Released/revised 10 hour(s) ago
Pro Sports Picks
Event: (306513) Colgate at (306514) Boston U: Spread
Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)
Date/Time: February 16, 2026 6:00 PM EST
Free College Basketball Pick Today: Boston U +2.5 (-110)
PSP Data Driven play on Boston University.
At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.
Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog. Boston University is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games. Colgate is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road.
Released/revised 2 hour(s) ago
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Ricky Tran
Event: (881) Houston at (882) Iowa State: Total
Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)
Date/Time: February 16, 2026 9:00 PM EST
Free College Basketball Pick Today: Total Under 134.5 (-110)
Ricky's play on Under.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- The Under is 6-0 in Houston's last 6 games played in February.
- The Under is 4-1 in Iowa State's last 5 games against Houston.
- The Under is 6-0 in Iowa State's last 6 games played in February.
Verdict: Points should be hard to come by in this game.
Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago
Oskeim Sports
Event: (306537) Stephen F. Austin at (306538) Texas A&M Corpus: Spread
Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)
Date/Time: February 16, 2026 8:00 PM EST
Free College Basketball Pick Today: Texas A&M Corpus +5.5 (-120)
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi is coming off a 76-63 win over Lamar as 2.5-point home favorites, in which the Islanders shot 44% from the field and made 24-of-35 free throw attempts. Stephen F. Austin remains the class of the Southland Conference, arriving with a 23-3 record, including going 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS in its last ten contests. This background is important because college basketball teams coming off a game in which they attempted 35 or more free throws are 115-78-1 ATS (59.6%) in February games against opponents with at least 14 wins. This situation has been an even better 86-44 ATS (66.2%) since the beginning of the 2021-22 season. Finally, Stephen F. Austin played on Friday, which is relevant because the Lumberjacks are just 13-27 ATS (32.5%) with limited rest since 2020, failing to cover the spread by an average margin of -4.5 points per game. Take Texas A&M-Corpus Christi plus the points as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Monday, February 16.
Released/revised 9 hour(s) ago
Terry Edelmann
Event: (4593) Canada at (4594) Switzerland
Sport/League: HKY (See all free Hockey picks)
Date/Time: February 16, 2026 3:10 PM EST
Free All Hockey Pick Today: (CAN) Sarah Fillier Anytime Goal (-110)
Women’s Olympic Hockey
Switzerland vs Canada
Play: (CAN) Sarah Fillier Anytime Goal (-110) at Fanduel
Sarah Fillier has had a fantastic Olympics, tallying three goals and three assists. She scored a goal and an assist in the first game between these teams and added another goal and assist in Canada's recent quarterfinal game against Germany. This is a great opportunity for Fillier to continue her goal-scoring success in this matchup.
Released/revised 10 hour(s) ago
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Tokyo Brandon
Event: (3705) Washington at (3706) Houston: Moneyline
Sport/League: BSB (See all free Baseball picks)
Date/Time: February 16, 2026 1:00 PM EST
Free All Baseball Pick Today: Houston -115
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_______
Washington vs Houston (Feb 16, 2026) — projection & moneyline value
My pick: Houston (slight favorite)
What I’m keying off (pitching/bats/bullpen)
Houston’s mound form this weekend has been legit. They’ve already used Paul Schmitz (vs #21 Wake Forest Demon Deacons), Kendall Hoffman (vs Boston College Eagles), and Richie Roman (vs Manhattan Jaspers), with multi-inning relief backing it up (notably long saves/long closes).
Houston did lose late-game certainty with reliever Antoine Jean out (elbow surgery), but they’ve covered that gap so far by spreading leverage innings around.
Washington’s pitching options listed in their notes are Hayden Lewis, Jay Miller, Gunnar Nichols, and a “TBD” arm (likely the 4th-day starter).
Jackson Thomas (a key returner) posted a 4.10 ERA last season with notably low walks/HR allowed on the staff, which matters if he’s today’s starter or bulk guy.
Bats / lineup quality: Houston returns a lot of proven production (e.g., Tre Broussard speed + pop, Xavier Perez, Cade Climie power/OBP, Tyler Cox).
Washington’s offense is led by Casen Taggart (.331 / .468 OBP last year), but the bigger question is whether they can keep runs off the board.
Because the market is basically a coin flip, the starting pitcher mismatch is usually what decides it. With Houston already showing strong bullpen depth and Washington coming in with more “who’s the 4th-day arm?” uncertainty, I shade Houston.
Win probability + fair odds
Houston: 55% win probability → fair line: -122
Washington: 45% win probability → fair line: +122
Moneyline value vs DraftKings
Team | DK moneyline | DK implied win% | My win% | My fair odds | Edge (My% − DK%) | EV ROI at DK line* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Washington Huskies | -105 | 51.22% | 45.00% | +122 | -6.22% | -12.14% |
Houston Cougars | -115 | 53.49% | 55.00% | -122 | +1.51% | +2.83% |
Released/revised 11 hour(s) ago
Ben Burns
Event: (875) Syracuse at (876) Duke: Spread
Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)
Date/Time: February 16, 2026 7:00 PM EST
Free College Basketball Pick Today: Duke -20.0 (-114)
Duke owns Syracuse. The Blue Devils are a perfect 10-0 the past 10 meetings. None of those 10 games were particularly close. Five of the past six, including each of the past three, saw Duke win by at least 20 points. The gap is as big as ever this season. The Blue Devils are 23-2 overall, a perfect 12-0 at home. The Orange are 15-11, just 2-4 on the road. The Orange have dropped each of their past four road games, the last three of those losses coming by double-digits. Blue Devils should pull away and win by more than 20.
Ben Burns has the #1 UFC record since 2023. He's perfect in 2026 and 11-1 his last 12.
Released/revised 15 hour(s) ago
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