Free Sports Predictions: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports for February 21

Steve Seagrave

Event: (539) Orlando Magic at (540) Phoenix Suns: Anthony Black Points + Rebounds + Assists

Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 21, 2026 5:10 PM EST

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Anthony Black Points + Rebounds + Assists Over 24.5 (-135)

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Anthony Black Points + Rebounds + Assists Over 24.5 (-135):

Franz Wagner is out and Jalen Suggs is listed as a game time decision after leaving his last game with back spasms. The Orlando Magic are playing the first leg of a back-to-back while having to travel from Phoenix to LA so I fully expect Suggs to rest. Anthony Black has covered this line in 10/12 games without Wagner & Suggs on the court during the 2025-26 campaign. In those 12 games, we have seen Black's usage & volume shoot through the roof as he's averaged 33+ minutes & 14.8 FGAs per game. The Phoenix Suns rank middle of the pack defensively but Black should see an easier defensive matchup with Dillon Brooks being busy with Paolo Banchero. The spread is a near pick'em so we should avoid a blowout leading to full minutes.

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Tokyo Brandon

Event: (821) Cal Santa Barbara at (822) Hawaii: Moneyline

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 21, 2026 10:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Hawaii -175

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UC Santa Barbara @ Hawai’i — today (since 1/1/26)

Comparison chart

Trends & patterns (with a real “since 1/1/26” lens)

Recent form (all games listed here are after 1/31/26)

• UCSB last five: L 85–83 OT, L 89–79, W 76–68, W 84–79, L 85–75

• Hawai’i last five: L 86–75, L 84–60, W 89–74, W 72–67, W 89–82

ATS / O-U context (season-to-date, plus location splits that matter today)

• ATS: UCSB 10–15 overall; 2–9 as away team. Hawai’i 9–14 overall; 5–9 at home.

• O/U: UCSB 14–11 overall; Hawai’i 7–16 overall; Hawai’i 3–11 at home..

Player matchup breakdowns:

Mahaney/Shaw shot quality vs Hawai’i’s defensive shell: UCSB’s offense is at its best when Aidan Mahaney is getting downhill into pull-ups or spray-out threes, and CJ Shaw’s efficiency (and physicality) punishes teams that over-help. Hawai’i’s season-long defensive numbers suggest they’re comfortable making you take “plan B” shots, so UCSB’s ability to keep turnovers down and force rotations is the hinge.

Little’s health matters more than it sounds: Miro Little is UCSB’s table-setter (4.5 apg) and a top rebounder too; if he’s limited (questionable), UCSB can still score, but their late-clock organization gets shakier—exactly where Hawai’i’s defense tends to win possessions.

Glass + paint: Sensley/Little rebounding vs Isaac Johnson’s interior gravity: Zion Sensley’s rebounding rate is elite for a guard, which helps UCSB survive against Hawai’i’s size and team rebounding. On the other side, Isaac Johnson is Hawai’i’s best “stable” scoring source inside; if UCSB keeps him off the line and avoids foul trouble, they can stay within one or two possessions all night.

Erickson/Bullock creation vs UCSB perimeter defense: Hunter Erickson drives Hawai’i’s passing volume, while Dre Bullock is a primary scorer and secondary creator. UCSB’s path is to contest without sending extra help (so Hawai’i can’t get easy kickout rhythm) and then run after misses—because Hawai’i’s away/home splits suggest they’re less comfortable when the game gets loose..

Why I am betting Hawaii:

• Home-court + travel tax is real here. Hawai’i at the Stan Sheriff Center is a different animal, and UCSB has to do the full Pacific travel + body-clock weirdness. That edge matters most in late-game execution (FTs, defensive rotations, fewer “dumb” possessions).

• Defensive gap favors Hawai’i in a 40-minute game. Season profile: Hawai’i allows 68.5 ppg vs UCSB 73.5 ppg. In a near coin-flip matchup, the team that can get two or three extra stops tends to be the ML side.

• Better “floor” scoring balance. Hawai’i’s top options (Isaac Johnson + Dre Bullock) are less “all threes, vibes, and prayers” and more steady two-level scoring; that’s useful if refs tighten up / legs are heavy / pace slows.

• UCSB’s key organizer is dinged up. Miro Little is listed questionable in the injury aggregation; if he’s limited, UCSB’s half-court offense can get sticky late, which is where home favorites win close games.

• Revenge angle with a concrete prior result. UCSB beat Hawai’i 77–62 on Jan 18, 2026. Rematches in-conference often come with sharper game-plans (especially at home), and Hawai’i has a clear “we know what failed” tape..

Released/revised 16 hour(s) ago

Cajun Sports

Event: (761) Alabama at (762) LSU: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 21, 2026 6:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Alabama -7.5 (-110)

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Dan Kaiser

Event: (791) Texas A&M at (792) Oklahoma: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 21, 2026 8:30 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Texas A&M +1.5 (-115)

The Sooners will not only be looking for a win but to pay better after losing by double digits against Tennessee. Oklahoma is 2-1 in its last three games, scoring 186 points in those two wins. Oklahoma lost the first meeting between the two as A&M forced 15 turnovers and dominated in the paint. This is a perfect revenge spot for Oklahoma, but I will take the Aggies to win again.A&M

Play on Texas A&M to -1. This is a free play.

Released/revised 5 hour(s) ago

Mark Zinno

Event: (767) Michigan at (768) Duke: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 21, 2026 6:30 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Michigan -2.5 (-110)

The Wolverines don't have any observable flaws and they overwhelm opponents over 40 minutes. On paper, these teams seem similar statistically, but I think there's a bit of a gap between them -- particularly on the defensive side.

Michigan is the top team in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency. Duke ranks second in that category, but their numbers are inflated against a weaker ACC. Eleven of the 18 ACC teams rank outside the top 70 in adjusted offensive efficiency, with three of them outside the top 100. Additionally, Duke's scoring numbers take a hit away from Cameron Indoor (86.7 points per game compared to just 79.2 in road/neutral games). The Wolverines defense will give the Blue Devils all they can handle.

Michigan may be better away from home this season. They are a perfect 13-0 in games away from Ann Arbor and only three of those games have been decided by fewer than 10 points, with an average margin of victory of 16.3 points. Both of Duke's losses this season have come on the road.

Michigan is the deeper, more experienced team, and is the better free throw shooting team. The Wolverines are also a better 3-point shooting team away from home. If this game were at Duke, I'd have a slightly different feeling on the Blue Devils. But it's not, so I'm laying it here with Michigan.

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Joe Duffy

Event: (541) Philadelphia 76ers at (542) New Orleans Pelicans: Spread

Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 21, 2026 7:10 PM EST

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: New Orleans Pelicans +3.5 (-105)

NBA Free Pick – Joe Duffy

This is a fully corroborated global contrarian position. Our betting indexes span offshore markets, Las Vegas, every regulated U.S. jurisdiction, and trusted underground intel sources. Across the board, this sets up as a strong fade-the-public opportunity.

Now layer in the analytics.

Luck Factor Analysis

“Luck Factor” isolates variance-driven outcomes by comparing actual wins to analytically projected wins based on efficiency metrics and play-by-play modeling. It strips out noise — turnovers luck, late-game randomness, shooting variance — to identify regression candidates.

Philadelphia is +1.8 wins above expectation.
New Orleans is –3.6 wins below expectation.

That creates a 5.4-game Luck Gap — a substantial differential signaling the underdog is materially undervalued and positioned for positive regression.

Add the situational overlay:

Teams angry off a loss versus opponents coming off an emotionally draining game with 8+ lead changes are 1116-892-31 ATS. That is a long-term, database-backed edge.

Everything aligns:

• Contrarian market support

• Significant Luck Gap

• Strong regression profile

• Proven situational system

Recommendation: PELICANS +4

The larger picture reinforces the process.

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Season-to-date performance:

All Sports: 388-314 (55%) +4446
Basketball: 228-180 (56%) +3047
College Basketball: 157-114 (58%) +3178
NBA: 56-43 (57%) +887

This is disciplined market evaluation — power ratings, regression analytics, situational modeling, and calibrated Wise Guy deployment.

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Released/revised 5 hour(s) ago

Bryan Leonard

Event: (539) Orlando Magic at (540) Phoenix Suns: Spread

Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 21, 2026 5:10 PM EST

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Orlando Magic +1.5 (-108)

539 Orlando at Phoenix

The Suns have been very good at home this season when scoring 114.9 points or better, producing a 20-5 mark. But they are once again without Devin Booker, who is out with a hip problem. He is the straw who stirs the drink for this Suns team. Which means we are looking for a lower scoring affair in this one. Orlando has won four of five as of late, and they have fared well in this building recently.

Phoenix has dropped four of five themselves with the offense being a concern. Scoring 94, 109, 120, 103 and 97 points as of late. The 120 was against the defensive weak Dallas Mavericks. While the team total under for the Suns isn't a bad way to look at this one. We will stick with the Magic is a win and cover situation.

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Marc David

Event: (767) Michigan at (768) Duke: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 21, 2026 6:30 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Michigan -2.5 (-110)

David's CBB Free Pick

We really like the road favorite in this matchup. The 25-1 Spartans are undefeated away from home and undefeated ATS as road favorites laying no more than 7 points.

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Released/revised 8 hour(s) ago

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Pro Sports Picks

Event: (813) Idaho at (814) Sacramento State: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 21, 2026 10:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Sacramento State +3.5 (-110)

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Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog. Sacramento State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home. Idaho is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games against an opponent in the Big Sky conference.

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Ben Burns

Event: (819) Iowa State at (820) BYU: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 21, 2026 10:30 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: BYU +3.5 (-110)

Off b2b wins over top 10 opponents, the Cyclones figure to be ripe for a letdown on Saturday night. Keep in mind that those wins over Houston and Kansas both came at home, where the Cyclones are a perfect 15-0. They're mediocre (4-3) on the road though; their last away game resulted in a 7-point loss at TCU. The Cougars are tough (10-2) at home. They've beaten Iowa State each of the last two h2h meetings. I like their chances of pulling off the upset.

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Released/revised 22 hour(s) ago