Sports Picks

New Mexico Lobos under 4.5 (-130) (Bet Online)

New Mexico has fallen on tough times under Bob Davie. The former Notre Dame head coach enters his 8thyear in Albuquerque. He started off strong, but has since had to deal with budget cuts, low recruiting rankings and attrition of top assistance, not to mention Davie himself was suspended for 30 days this offseason due to a criminal investigation involving the football program. He is having to replace both his offensive and defensive coordinators in a last gasp effort to hold on to his job in 2019.

New Mexico enters the season on a 0-6 run to end the 2018 campaign, the losses averaging by more than 25 points per game. If that was not enough of a red flag, the Lobos were outgained -276 yards per game in the back half of the season. These metrics point towards a team that quit and when placing bets on a season win total under 4.5, a team that has already proved “quitting” is an option is a prime candidate to repeat the past poor efforts. The top offensive skill position player Marcus Hayes (1stteam Mt West) transferred out. The offensive line losing (2ndteam MT West) Aaron Jenkins. Plus, the defensive line which let up over 215 yards per game on the ground losses Codey Baker who had 17 tackles for loss.

The Lobos do start off with a FCS opponent before heading to South Bend to take on Notre Dame. Unfortunately, the FCS opponent is a top 25 FCS ranked Sam Houston St. After Notre Dame, the prime spot for the Lobos to rack up wins is in the middle of their schedule, but they are terrible travel spots, @Liberty (In Virginia) then the very next week @San Jose St on the other side of the country. After October 11th,it gets real bleak to find wins’ vs stiffer Mt. West competition, where the Lobos were outgained by -180 in conference play last year. I strongly recommend an under bet on the New Mexico Lobos in likely Bob Davie’s final year as a FBS head coach.