Free Handicapping Plays - Sports Picks from Premium Cappers

Cincinnati starter Nick Lodolo projects to give up 2.9 runs with a 4.88 ERA and 1.45 WHIP.  Chicago’s lineup has hit a solid .298 (42-141) with a strong .883 OPS against Lodolo in his career.  The Cubs will start Matthew Boyd.  The lefty projects to give up 2.9 earned runs with a 4.89 ERA and 1.47 WHIP.  With both starting pitchers not projecting too well, expect the offenses to thrive resulting in a high-scoring game on Saturday night.

Play OVER the total.

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Starting pitching

This is the clearest starting-pitcher mismatch..

Choi Seung-yong — Doosan: 3-12, 5.92 ERA, 1.56 WHIP. Against KT in 2026: 0-2, 7.98 ERA in 14⅔ innings, with 18 hits and 13 earned runs. His latest 10 outings have produced a 7.15 ERA over 45⅓ innings.

Davis Daniel — KT: 2-2, 2.61 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 33 K in 31 IP. He already faced Doosan on August 26 and allowed two earned runs over six innings. His last five starts include 6 IP/1 ER with 9 K against KIA, six scoreless against Hanwha, and that six-inning/two-run Doosan outing.

Recent-five advanced contact numbers underline the difference: Daniel .275 xwOBA allowed versus Choi .360.

Offense

Doosan has averaged 6.38 runs/game over its last 10, KT 6.0. But KT's offensive quality has been better underneath it: .397 xwOBA versus Doosan .346.

Doosan loses Park Jun-soon, who carried a .303 average, 16 HR and .873 OPS in the Asian Games roster snapshot. KT, importantly, loses no position player to the Korea roster. That gives KT the biggest relative lineup advantage among today's four favorites.

Doosan still has some hot bats: Park Seoung-jae was hitting .441 over his last 10, and Im Seo-jun .412.

Bullpen

Here's why I don't want KT at a huge price: Korea took closer Park Yeong-hyun (2.54 ERA) plus starters So Hyeong-jun and Oh Won-seok. The starter absences don't directly remove tonight's Daniel, but losing Park Yeong-hyun changes how KT protects a one- or two-run lead. Doosan's latest-seven bullpen peripherals were actually marginally better, with a 13.2% swinging-strike rate compared with KT's 12.7%.

F5 projection: Doosan 1 – KT 3

FREE PICK on Chicago Cubs (ML) | Good until -154.

Pitching Matchup: Matthew Boyd/Nick Lodolo (Action).

Chicago lost yesterday's game off a caught stealing. While it was probably going to fall short anyways, I am looking for the Cubs to put up a much better performance on Saturday. Matthew Boyd actually has a 2.95 earned run average in road games this season -- Nick Lodolo has a 5.12 overall earned run average. Cincinnati is also out of the playoff race and Chicago is battling for the 4 seed. Go with the Cubs.

Saturday Card Headliner is a TOP Team Total with a 14+ point Z-FACTOR. Rob is the ONLY 2 TIME CFB CHAMP ON THE NETWORK . Last Saturday He went 6-1. Comp play below.
 
The Saturday CFB Comp Play is on Toledo -6. Game 140 at 3 eastern. The Rockets hung tough in a opening week loss at Michigan St then bounced back here at home last week to crush Central Connecticut. Now they get Temple who lost at home by 18 to Penn. St. Rob notes that home favorites of 17 or less that scored 49 or more in a home favored win have covered 9 of 11 since 1983 vs a team that was a dog of at least 14 points in their last game. Look for Toledo to get the cover. GL Rob V-
 
 
SU: 11-0 
ATS: 9-2 ATS
 
Team: 37.9
Opp: 15.5
 
 
Oct 10, 1998 - Sat 7 1998 AIR NAVY home 21-0 14-0 7-7 7-0 49-7 -14.5 None 42 27.5 - - - W W - 0
Oct 11, 2003 07:00 Sat 8 2003 TXT IWST home 14-7 7-7 24-7 7-0 52-21 -16.5 None 31 14.5 - - - W W - 0
Nov 06, 2004 10:05 Sat 11 2004 NEV SJST home 7-0 7-0 14-10 14-14 42-24 -14 None 18 4 - - - W W - 0
Nov 13, 2010 01:21 Sat 11 2010 KTKY VAN home 3-3 7-10 14-0 14-7 38-20 -15.5 54 18 2.5 4 3.25 0.75 W W O 0
Sep 08, 2012 07:00 Sat 2 2012 MIS UTEP home 7-0 14-0 0-10 7-0 28-10 -8 55.5 18 10 -17.5 -3.75 -13.75 W W U 0
Oct 04, 2014 03:30 Sat 6 2014 CLEM NCST home 21-0 10-0 10-0 0-0 41-0 -14.5 64.5 41 26.5 -23.5 1.5 -25.0 W W U 0
Oct 08, 2016 03:30 Sat 6 2016 OKST IWST home 7-3 7-14 7-14 17-0 38-31 -15 67.5 7 -8 1.5 -3.25 4.75 W L O 0
Oct 13, 2018 01:00 Sat 7 2018 MONM BUCK home 0-0 9-6 7-7 20-6 36-19 -12 56.5 17 5 -1.5 1.75 -3.25 W W U 0
Nov 10, 2018 04:00 Sat 11 2018 MONS NCOL home 7-7 14-0 0-0 14-0 35-7 -14.5 59.5 28 13.5 -17.5 -2.0 -15.5 W W U 0
Sep 21, 2019 04:00 Sat 4 2019 MIZ SCAR home 7-0 10-7 14-7 3-0 34-14 -9.5 61.5 20 10.5 -13.5 -1.5 -12.0 W W U 0
Oct 08, 2022 12:00 Sat 6 2022 FLA MIZ home 10-0 0-10 7-0 7-7 24-17 -11 53.5 7 -4 -12.5 -8.25 -4.25 W L U 0
 
Sep 19, 2026 03:00 Sat 3 2026 TOL TEM home - - - - - -5.5 50.5

Last week’s college football got us all paid, especially with my big game releases. This week, we’re going to take it up a notch as we make a big payday together in NCAAF: 1-0 EARLY WINNER, 1-0 CONSENSUS WINNER, 1-0 UNDER THE RADAR WINNER, my first HIGH ROLLER WINNER, and my first NO LIMIT WINNER. Get ‘em all, and make Saturday a PAYDAY!

As of releasing this play, I see Alabama -19.5. Anything up to -21 is a gift.

Saturday’s FREE WINNER: Alabama Crimson Tide.

Game 150.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

This will be the third consecutive week. I’ve come in on the Tide with a free play release, and I expect it will be my third consecutive week winning my free play release. Yes, this is a lot of points. But a win is a win, my friends. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. Well, I think we can all agree the way these two teams have looked thus far this early in the regular season ‘Bama will be serving up a big cold dish of revenge. If you recall a season ago, these two teams met in their season opener back at the end of August when Alabama was nearly a two-touchdown favorite, and fell short, 31-17. After that, the Crimson Tide then rattled off eight consecutive wins and overall, 10 victories in their final 11 games. This is a game they’ve had circled since the schedule came out. Last season was a disaster for the Seminoles. This season began with high expectations. However, in their first game of the regular season at home as a 31.5-point favorite, they eked out a 17-point victory over New Mexico State. A week later also at home, they were bested by SMU, 27-24. Going back a bit, they have now failed to cover four in a row and eight of their last 10 contests. To say this team is point spread poison would be an understatement. The Crimson Tide began this campaign demolishing East Carolina at home, 48-10. Then a week later on the road trailing at the midway point, came back big-time in the second half and crushed Kentucky, 45-17. Their young quarterback, Russell took responsibility for several first half miscues, and showed his maturity in the second half of play. They will ride that momentum into this week’s matchup as they’re looking to redeem themselves from last season’s early loss at the hands of this opponent. Granted FSU is coming off a bye, and had extra time to prep. But they just don’t have the talent to compete here. Seminoles quarterback, Ashton Daniels is in for a long day here going up against a very stout, ferocious, ‘Bama stop-unit. I’m not impressed with this young man. And I think things go from bad to worse for him. Roll Tide. Thank you.