Steve Merril
Event: (915) Tampa Bay Rays at (916) Toronto Blue Jays: Total
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: May 13, 2026 7:07 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Total Over 7.5 (-108) Griffin Jax (RHP), Dylan Cease (RHP) Must Start
Toronto starter Dylan Cease projects to give up 2.4 runs with a 3.81 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. Tampa Bay’s lineup has hit a solid .310 (13-42) with a strong .876 OPS against Cease in his career. The Rays will start Griffin Jax. The righty projects to give up 2.5 earned runs with a 4.10 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. With both starting pitchers not projecting too well, expect the offenses to thrive resulting in a high-scoring game on Wednesday night.
Play OVER the total.
-------------------
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Jackie Mack
Event: (919) Seattle Mariners at (920) Houston Astros: Total
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: May 13, 2026 8:10 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Total Over 9.0 (-115) Action
McCullers has struggled this season with his command and has seen limited action which makes him more vulnerable in this spot to getting hit up. Miller too has seen limited action over the last year due to injury so he is vulnerable in his first start of the season. Both sides showed yesterday that they can hit and put up runs in this series and this game should look like yesterday's with plenty of runs. These two have gone over the total in six of their last eight meetings and McCullers' last three starts have seen the totals combine to go into double digits in all three games too.
Bet: Take Over the Total.
Released/revised 51 minute(s) ago
Joe Duffy
Event: (517) Cleveland Cavaliers at (518) Detroit Pistons: Total
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: May 13, 2026 8:00 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Total Under 212.5 (-108)
Cavaliers vs Pistons — Public betting and odds report!
Opener:
Cavaliers -4
Total 211.5
Best lines:
Cavaliers -4.5 (+104)
Pistons +3.5 (+111)
Moneyline: Cavaliers -160 / Pistons +160
Best totals:
Over 212.5 (+102)
Under 212.5 (+108)
Splits on side:
65% of bets on Pistons
72% of money on Pistons
Sharp money diff: Cavaliers +7%
Splits on total:
96% of bets on Over
95% of money on Over
Sharp money diff: Over +1%
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1593-1114-68.
Postseason totals angle that goes under 628-476-30.
Massive alert tonight from Joe Duffy
The first-ever ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️ 5-Star Wise Guy Best Bet of the NBA playoffs is now live. This is one of the biggest NBA release we have ever issued and one of the strongest postseason positions since launching in 1988.
MLB continues to dominate, NBA playoff winners keep rolling, and NHL has also been producing during the postseason run.
All serious bettors already know: rare 5-Star Wise Guy releases are reserved for only the strongest positions on the board. Tonight is one of those nights. NHL Wise Guy up and a pair of day MLB winners
Released/revised 1 hour(s) ago
Andy Lang
Event: (927) Arizona Diamondbacks at (928) Texas Rangers: F5 Moneyline
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: May 13, 2026 8:05 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: F5 Arizona Diamondbacks -112 Ryne Nelson (RHP), Kumar Rocker (RHP) Must Start
This is a strong early pitching edge for Arizona.
Ryne Nelson had a rough patch late in April, but he’s looked like a completely different pitcher to start May. Over his last two starts, he’s allowed just 6 hits and 2 earned runs across 12.1 innings, showing much better command and confidence.
On the other side, Kumar Rocker has been getting hit hard lately. In his last two outings, he’s given up 11 hits and 8 earned runs in only 5.2 innings. That’s exactly the kind of form you want to fade in a First 5 spot.
Arizona’s offense is also still producing. Even though they didn’t cash the First 5 yesterday, they still scored 4 runs in the game and had won the First 5 outright in the previous three contests.
With the hotter starter and an offense creating early chances, Arizona has the edge through five innings.
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Bryan Leonard
Event: (923) Detroit Tigers at (924) New York Mets: Moneyline
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: May 13, 2026 7:10 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: New York Mets -112 Framber Valdez (LHP), Christian Scott (RHP) Must Start
924 Detroit at NY Mets
The Tigers offense has produced pretty well on the season. But this matchup may be a tough one for Detroit. This is a very pitcher friendly stadium, and Christian Scott has a very bright future. Only Riley Greene is listed as one of the Top 100 hitters in baseball over the past week.
As poor as the Mets have hit this season, we are seeing signs of a breakout. In the last week Benge and Semien seem to be breaking out of season long slumps, with both ranking in the Top 100 the last seven days. AJ Ewing was promoted yesterday, and he was a key reason for the team's success yesterday. We are very excited to see how he improves this Met's scoring unit with his great speed and hitting ability. Cheap number on a team we expect to get hot in a hurry.
PLAY NY METS
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Razor Ray Monohan
Event: (517) Cleveland Cavaliers at (518) Detroit Pistons: Total
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: May 13, 2026 8:00 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Total Under 212.5 (-108)
UNDER 213
Cleveland and Detroit meet in a pivotal game 5 and the under has value. This game is going to be filled with a lot of intensity and that will result in these defenses really picking things up. Expect this game to have a much slower tempo and for both of these teams to drag out a lot of possessions as this game gets deeper and deeper. Consistency has been the key to this series and neither side has been able to sustain it when playing on the road offensively. Expect a lot of sloppy possessions as well, resulting in a lower scoring game. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Tonight’s FREE selection is a strong lean on the UNDER. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.
Wednesday FREE NBA O/U Play
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OVERALL 9-2 MAY 81.8% +20.4u 61.8% ROI | NHL 39-22 64% +51.95u (#1 NHL SINCE 12/19/25) | NHL 28.9% ROI — Razor heads back toward the NHL slate tonight. This selection is included as part of Razor’s Long Term and Seasonal Sports Passes, classified as a 3★ release. This lines up cleanly with the current form.
Tokyo Brandon
Event: (909) San Francisco Giants at (910) Los Angeles Dodgers: Spread
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: May 13, 2026 10:10 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-115) Action
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========
SFG @ LAD — 5/13/2026
Current matchup: SFG 17-24, 7-12 away; LAD 24-17, 13-9 home. Probable starters: Robbie Ray, 3-4, 2.76 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 47 K; Shohei Ohtani, 2-2, 0.97 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 37.0 IP, 42 K. Current market range used: SFG +199 to +235, LAD -240 to -312, full-game total 8.0 to 8.5. Consensus value table uses SFG +215, LAD -270, full-game total 8.0.
Team baseline is heavily LAD: SFG has scored 139 runs with a .244 AVG, .292 OBP, .364 SLG, and 3.4 runs/game; LAD has scored 206 runs with a .265 AVG, .344 OBP, .434 SLG, and 5.02 runs/game. SFG staff profile is 4.03 ERA / 1.34 WHIP; LAD staff profile is 3.42 ERA / 1.139 WHIP.
Lineup basis: SFG — Willy Adames, Luis Arraez, Matt Chapman, Rafael Devers, Casey Schmitt, Heliot Ramos, Jung Hoo Lee, Harrison Bader, Jesus Rodriguez. LAD — Dalton Rushing, Miguel Rojas, Freddie Freeman, Will Smith, Andy Pages, Kyle Tucker, Teoscar Hernández, Max Muncy, Santiago Espinal. Mookie Betts is not expected to start, and Ohtani may not hit while pitching; that creates a material LAD lineup deduction even with Ohtani’s pitching edge.
Ray’s recent form is steady but walk-prone. His May starts total 12 1/3 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 3 HR, 4 BB, 12 K; his full 2026 game log shows 5+ IP in every start and no outing above 3 ER. His road profile is weaker than the season line: 4.15 ERA in 17 1/3 road innings, with the team losing all three of his road starts.
Ohtani is the main suppressor. He has 6 starts, 37.0 IP, 0.97 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 42 K, and only 4 ER allowed. His home split: 18 IP, 8 H, 2 ER, 8 BB, 1.00 ERA. His prior start was 7 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 8 K.
Batter-vs-pitcher edge is mixed. Dodgers with strong historical samples vs Ray include Miguel Rojas, Enrique Hernández if active, and Freddie Freeman; Will Smith and Max Muncy have weaker samples. Ohtani’s pitching history vs SFG is excellent at 0.43 ERA and 25 K in 4 appearances, but most of that is older than the core modeling window, so it was used lightly.
Weather/park: Dodger Stadium is outdoor, with game weather around 63-64°F, 0% precipitation, and light wind. The park/weather adjustment is slight-over for wind but still modest overall because temperature is not especially hot.
Starting Pitcher Projection
Starting pitcher | Team | Projected IP | ER | H | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Robbie Ray | SFG | 5 2/3 | 2.4 | 5.2 | 5.8 | 2.7 |
Shohei Ohtani | LAD | 6 1/3 | 1.4 | 4.0 | 7.2 | 1.9 |
Tokyo's Clutch Index - runner on third with less than 2 outs
Team | Rank 1-30 | OPS |
|---|---|---|
LAD | 6 | .895 |
SFG | 26 | .641 |
Boxscore projection | SFG | LAD |
|---|---|---|
1st 5 innings | 1.2 | 2.2 |
Full game | 3.0 | 4.5 |
Released/revised 16 hour(s) ago
Mike Lundin
Event: (909) San Francisco Giants at (910) Los Angeles Dodgers: Spread
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: May 13, 2026 10:10 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-110) Robbie Ray (LHP), Shohei Ohtani (RHP) Must Start
Giants vs Dodgers MLB Free Pick
The Angle(s): The Los Angeles Dodgers have dropped four straight and are creeping into “chase” territory, if that’s your thing. As for me, this looks like a prime bounce-back spot. They draw left-hander Robbie Ray who has a 2.76 ERA on the season, but note that Los Angeles tagged him for 12 runs on 14 hits over 14 2/3 innings last season.
The Bet: Dodgers -1½ (3%).
Bet to: Dodgers -1½ -125.
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MAGIC MIKE'S $7 Cubs/Braves MLB BOOKIE BLA$TER: $ 7.00
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Marc David
Event: (923) Detroit Tigers at (924) New York Mets: Total
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: May 13, 2026 7:10 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Total Over 8.0 (-110) Action
Marc David Sports' Free Pick
We really like the over in this matchup. The Mets have shown flashes at the plate, putting up 10 runs at Coors on May 8 and again in a 10-2 win yesterday, but they’ve also mixed in several low-scoring efforts in between. Still, this sets up as a favorable spot against Framber Valdez, who’s coming off a rough outing where he allowed 10 runs (seven earned) and now sits with a 4.57 ERA.
Mets RHP Christian Scott (3.27 ERA) has been solid early on, but he’s still relatively untested, and Houston has done a decent job backing Valdez with run support. With both pitching question marks and recent signs of offensive upside, this one points toward the over.
Value to Over 8 -125.
This is a FREE PLAY on the OVER!
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Oskeim Sports
Event: (517) Cleveland Cavaliers at (518) Detroit Pistons: Spread
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: May 13, 2026 8:00 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Detroit Pistons -4.0 (-103)
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Cleveland evened its second-round series against the Pistons with a 112-103 victory Monday night. Donovan Mitchell tied an NBA playoff record with 39 points in the second half, while James Harden had his 40th playoff double-double with 24 points and 11 assists. Detroit has now lost two straight, but .551 or greater NBA teams with rest coming off back-to-back losses are 691-551-20 ATS (55.6%), including 168-120-3 ATS (58.3%) since 2020, covering the spread by an average margin of 2.5 points per game. These teams have been 286-216-7 ATS (57%) in the postseason, including 133-87-1 ATS (60.5%) since 2016, covering by an average of 4.1 points per game. In contrast, NBA playoff underdogs entering off consecutive wins are 229-300-8 ATS (43.3%) since 1996. Let’s also note that NBA playoff home favorites coming off a loss, like Detroit, are 351-275-8 ATS (56.1%), including 397-315-11 ATS (55.8%) in Game 2 or beyond of a series. Finally, postseason favorites of fewer than two points are 132-171-1 ATS (43.6%) in a tied series, while Round 2 home teams are 37-21 ATS (63.8%) following a Round 2 loss, covering by an average of 6.3 points per game. Lay the points with the Detroit Pistons as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Wednesday, May 13.
PROVEN PERFORMANCE
-> Dominant 10-1 Overall Run
-> 140-93 (60.1%) Overall Run | +95 Units
-> Basketball: 105-71 (60%) | +86.2 Units
-> #1 NBA, 2025-26 Season (WP/ROI)
-> #1 NHL, 2025-26 Season (WP)
-> Top Plays (All Sports): 47-30 (61%)
Released/revised 23 hour(s) ago
Oskeim Sports
Event: (37) Montreal Canadiens at (38) Buffalo Sabres: Moneyline
Sport/League: NHL (See all free NHL Hockey picks)
Date/Time: May 14, 2026 7:00 PM EDT
Free NHL Hockey Pick Today: Montreal Canadiens 102
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Zach Benson broke a tie with a third-period power-play goal as the Sabres beat Montreal 3-2 on Tuesday night in Game 4, evening the Eastern Conference semifinal series. The Canadiens are primed to bounce back in Game 5 as NHL playoff teams coming off an upset loss as home favorites are 276-217 (56%; +5.1% ROI), including 109-71 (60.6%; +9% ROI) since the beginning of the 2019-20 season. Montreal finds support in a similar 207-157 (56.9%; +2.3% ROI) system dating to 2007 that invests against certain postseason teams coming off a game as road underdogs with fewer than two days of rest. Let’s also note that NHL playoff division road underdogs coming off a loss are 57-43 (57%; +37.1% ROI) versus opponents entering off a win, including 28-16 SU (63.6%; +55.9% ROI) and 34-10 PL (77.3%; +17.4% ROI) since 2019. Since 2015, .500 or greater NHL road teams are 71-54 (56.8%; +30.8% ROI) in Game 5 of a playoff series, including 47-33 (58.8%; +30.6% ROI) since 2019. Finally, the Canadiens fall into a very good 244-142 (63.2%; +15.3% ROI) statistical profile indicator of mine that dates to 2003 and involves shots on goal in the team's previous two playoff games. This situation has been 117-63 (65%; +15.7% ROI) since 2016. Take the Montreal Canadiens as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Thursday, May 14.
PROVEN PERFORMANCE
-> Dominant 10-1 Overall Run
-> 140-93 (60.1%) Overall Run | +95 Units
-> Basketball: 105-71 (60%) | +86.2 Units
-> #1 NBA, 2025-26 Season (WP/ROI)
-> #1 NHL, 2025-26 Season (WP)
-> Top Plays (All Sports): 47-30 (61%)
Released/revised 4 hour(s) ago
Jimmy Adams
Event: (905) Chicago Cubs at (906) Atlanta Braves: Moneyline
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: May 13, 2026 7:15 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Chicago Cubs -135 Action
The Braves have been fantastic at the plate this season, but their winning streak comes to an end today for a variety of reasons. The first is the pitcher they’re sending to the mound. JR Ritchie simple cannot throw strikes. He walked 6 batters last time out against Seattle and the Mariners had multiple opportunities to do more damage than they did. Chicago will capitalize off of those. It’s not just the free passes either, as constantly working as of 2-0 and 3-1 counts will come back to hurt you at this level, as the young rookie will soon find out. The North Side also has Shota Imanaga throwing, and he’s allowed a total of just 1 run over his past 2 starts with 15 K’s spanning 13 innings. Imanaga has now allowed 1 run or none in 6 of his past 7 starts and he has a solid bullpen working behind him. Take the Cubs.
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Released/revised 8 hour(s) ago
Pro Sports Picks
Event: (905) Chicago Cubs at (906) Atlanta Braves: Spread
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: May 13, 2026 7:15 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Atlanta Braves +1.5 (-134) JR Ritchie (RHP) Must Start
PSP Data Driven play on Braves.
At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.
Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog. Atlanta is 13-5 in its last 18 games. Atlanta is 7-1 in its last 8 games against an opponent in the National League.
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Ricky Tran
Event: (915) Tampa Bay Rays at (916) Toronto Blue Jays: Moneyline
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: May 13, 2026 7:07 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Toronto Blue Jays -160 Dylan Cease (RHP) Must Start
Ricky's play on TOR.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- Dylan Cease is 3-1 in his last 4 starts for the Blue Jays.
- The Blue Jays has won 4 of their last 7 home games.
- The Blue Jays are 9-7 in their last 16 games.
Verdict: The value is on the Home favorite.
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Ricky's $7 MLB Punisher - 8-2 (80%) last 10 MLB!: $ 7.00
RICKY WINS YEAR AFTER YEAR (2022-2026) Ricky's Career Highlights: (As of March 2026) - 1,225-834 (60%) MLB Since 20218 - 128-84 (60%) Overall in 2026- 843-630 (+51 Units) Overall in 2024 - 728-570 (+30 Units) Overall in 2023 - 342-251 (+36 Units) Overall in 2020 - 22-9 (71%) UFC Since 2020
Steve Seagrave
Event: (517) Cleveland Cavaliers at (518) Detroit Pistons: Tobias Harris Points + Rebounds + Assists
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: May 13, 2026 8:00 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Tobias Harris Points + Rebounds + Assists Over 27.5 (-109)
Seagrave is on a strong 31-21 (60%) run with his posted Free Picks since March 19th!
Next Winner HERE:
Tobias Harris Points + Rebounds + Assists Over 27.5 (-109):
Tobias Harris has stepped up his game in the postseason while clearing this line in 8/10 games including 3 of the first 4 games of this series while averaging 28 PRAs per game. Harris actually struggled in Game 4 while shooting only 6-17 from the field and he still managed to record 29 PRAs. The rebounds have been consistent for Harris as he's grabbed 8, 7, 5 & 8 boards on 11, 8, 10 & 11 rebound chances. The Cavaliers defense trapped Cade Cunningham and forced the ball from his hands and that led to a playoff high 5 assists for Harris in Game 4. The Cavaliers defense ranks top 13 in PRAs allowed to every position outside of power forward where they rank 27th with an average of 24.1 per game. This is critical Game 5 back at home in Detroit after two losses on the road and Harris is a veteran presence that has basically become the Pistons second best option.
*Playable at -130 or better
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Rob Vinciletti
Event: (207093) Hibernian at (207094) Rangers: Total
Sport/League: SOC (See all free Soccer picks)
Date/Time: May 13, 2026 3:00 PM EDT
Free All Soccer Pick Today: Total Over 3.0 (-111)
HUMP DAY HOCKEY HEADLINES. Soccer comp below
The Wednesday Soccer comp play is on the Over 3 goals in the Hibernian at Rangers match at 3 eastern. Rangers is a big favorite here and likely bag the 3 points as they have dominated in this series and have a strong home field. Rangers, however has shown defensive liabilities and Hibernian who is 5th in the Scottish top flight table compared to 3rd for Rangers has shown ability to find the back of the net consistently. Hibernian has been able to score multiple goals on the road this season They likely can get at least one here today. Look for some scoring here and play the Over 3 goals in this game. GL Rob V-
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Teddy Covers
Event: (915) Tampa Bay Rays at (916) Toronto Blue Jays: Moneyline
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: May 13, 2026 7:07 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Tampa Bay Rays 135 Action
Take Tampa Bay (#915) (action)
No team in baseball has been hotter than the Rays, now 22-7 in their last 29 contests while dominating the injury riddled, underachieving, sub .500 Blue Jays. Seeing Tampa at this plus price is all about Dylan Cease on the hill for Toronto; coming off back-2-back gems in his last two trips to the hill. That said, the Jays are a modest 4-3 with Cease on the hill since April 1st and current Rays have hit .310 against him in their careers, with an .868 OPS. Only one of these two lineups is hitting consistently; only one of these two bullpens is trustworthy. ‘Action’ wager here – we’ll be getting the best of the number if Cease gets scratched for any reason. Take the Rays.
Released/revised 15 hour(s) ago
Ben Burns
Event: (629) Seattle Storm at (630) Toronto Tempo: Spread
Sport/League: WNBA (See all free WNBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: May 13, 2026 7:00 PM EDT
Free WNBA Basketball Pick Today: Toronto Tempo -3.5 (-105)
The Toronto Tempo likely won't win many games this season. However, this should be a good spot to earn their first. The Storm did beat Connecticut last game but the Sun are rebuilding this season. The Storm had a major roster overhaul themselves and are also rebuilding. They're transitioning away from the previous core, trading away veterans and going with a youth movement. They've got a new coach and are more focused on long-term development than "winning now." While the same could be said of the Tempo, Canada's first ever team definitely want to earn "Win #1." With the home crowd behind them, I like their chances of getting it. *good at -4 or better
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#1 CAPPER AT SPORTSMEMO: NHL VIOLATOR (5-0 L5, 13-2 L15!): $ 7.00
Ben Burns, the #1 Handicapper at SportsMemo, has hit five straight and 13 of his last 15. Here's his sixth straight winner. For ONLY $7, you need to add it the top of your Wednesday card immediately!

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