Free Sports Predictions: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports for February 13

Ben Burns

Event: (657) South Alabama at (658) Arkansas State: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 14, 2026 3:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Arkansas State -7.5 (-115)

My son used to play high-school basketball with Adam Olsen of South Alabama. As a result, I watched Olsen dominate in person numerous times. He's an excellent player who has helped lead the Jaguars to an 18-7 record. As impressive as they've been, I feel that Olsen and the Jags are in the wrong place, at the wrong time.

I've successfully played on the Red Wolves in each of their past two games. They haven't just won, they've dominated. Scores of 91-54 and 103-70. Prior to the first of those wins, I said this of Arkansas State: "The Red Wolves had a lot of change from last year's 25-win team but they've got a lot of talent. They've now had time for the players to learn the system and are coming off a road win at Coastal Carolina. They'll make the most of the break from conference play and win their second straight ..."

Now off three straight wins, the Red Wolves are full of confidence and playing their best basketball of the season. Expect them to avenge the earlier OT loss in relatively decisive fashion.

Ben Burns is the #1 CBB handicapper again this season. Better yet, he's #1 of All-Time

Released/revised 4 hour(s) ago

Tokyo Brandon

Event: (301265) Nagasaki at (301266) Gunma: Moneyline

Sport/League: JBL (See all free Japan B League picks)

Date/Time: February 14, 2026 1:05 AM EST

Free Japan B League Pick Today: Gunma 163

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Nagasaki at Gunma (2/14/2026) — Game 1 of 2

Team snapshot (since 10/2/2025)

Player vs player matchups (what matters on-court)

Even without full per-player stat tables, the roles are clear from league/team context:

• Johnson (Nagasaki) vs Gunma’s primary stopper wing/big switch: Johnson is a high-usage scorer (22.6 PPG), and this matchup is basically “can Gunma keep him out of the paint without giving up Nagasaki’s 3-point volume?” If Gunma has to overhelp, Nagasaki’s season profile says they’re comfortable letting it fly from three.

• Nagasaki spacing vs Gunma defense: Nagasaki’s offense is built on high made-threes and efficiency; Gunma’s identity is holding opponents down (74.3 allowed). Whoever wins that tug-of-war probably wins the total, too.

• Glass + second chances: These teams aren’t wildly separated on team rebounding totals, but Gunma’s defense tends to keep games from turning into track meets—so a few extra offensive boards can swing spread outcomes more than usual.

Form + home/away (last 10 games, computed from game logs since 10/2/2025)

From each club’s most recent 10:

• Nagasaki last 10: 91.2 scored / 80.1 allowed (total environment ~171.3).

  • Last 10 home: 93.2 / 77.0

  • Last 10 away: 89.2 / 83.2

• Gunma last 10: 83.1 scored / 71.9 allowed (total environment ~155.0).

  • Last 10 home: 88.0 / 71.2

  • Last 10 away: 78.2 / 72.6

That clash is why the market total sits in the mid-160s: Nagasaki brings offense, Gunma brings containment.

1) Buying plus-money on a defense that’s been elite all season

Gunma is allowing just 74.3 PPG, holding opponents to 43.9% FG and 33.3% from 3 across 37 games. That’s the profile that can “steal” a game even when the other team is better offensively.

2) The matchup is basically “Gunma’s 3-point defense vs Nagasaki’s 3-point identity”

Nagasaki’s offense is powered by volume + efficiency from deep: 13.4 threes made per game on 38.6%. If Gunma keeps that closer to “normal human basketball,” Nagasaki’s scoring can drop fast.

3) Low-possession games are underdog candy

Gunma’s season scoring environment (82.9 for / 74.3 against) is naturally lower than Nagasaki’s (93.3 for / 77.8 against). If Gunma dictates tempo, fewer possessions means more variance → more upset equity.

4) Late-game math favors Gunma if it’s close

Gunma shoots 79.0% FT (solid for closing) and commits only 11.2 turnovers per game in the team stats table. If you’re holding a dog ML ticket, you want the game to be tight in the last 3 minutes—Gunma’s profile supports that.

5) They have a stable on-ball engine to keep it organized

Yuma Fujii leads Gunma in assists and steals (and is listed as their points leader in the RealGM leaders section), which matters because “live underdog” games die when the dog can’t generate decent shots late.

6) The price itself gives room to be “kinda right”

Market examples I’m seeing have Gunma around 2.55 decimal (≈ +155) and +164 in another book view—meaning you only need roughly ~38–39% true win probability to break even. Gunma’s defense + home floor can plausibly get you there.

Released/revised 4 hour(s) ago

Sniper Wes

Event: (619) Texas A&M at (620) Vanderbilt: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 14, 2026 1:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Texas A&M +7.5 (-110)

Take #619 Texas A&M Over Vanderbilt

A&M was rolling until thier last three games in which they've taken losses to Missouri, Florida and Alabama. They just lost by one-point to Missouri and they actually played well in that game but could not execute down the stretch. Vandy is 20-4, they play well at home at 10-2 at Memorial Gymnasium. The Commodores were the first SEC team to reach 20 wins, and they had that terrible loss to Oklahoma but rebounded and just beat Auburn on the road 84-76 which is impressive. We like Texas A&M here. They likely bounce back after losing three straight, and that Vandy win was huge over Auburn so they could have a letdown, and we will roll with the Aggies.

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Released/revised 5 hour(s) ago

Sniper Wes $7 NCAAB Ball Buster!!: $ 7.00
Sniper Wes $7 NCAAB Ball Buster!!One college hoops battle. One sharp edge. Just $7 to get in and grind out the win. Lock it up and let’s cash!!

Sniper Wes

Event: (617) Kansas at (618) Iowa State: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 14, 2026 1:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Iowa State -5.5 (-110)

Take #618 Iowa State Over Kansas

Iowa State imploded at the end of their last game vs TCU, leading by 5-Points with 2:38 left and they would not score again, the Horned Frogs finished on a 12-0 run, and they were a +7.5 underdog. Very embarassing loss for the Cyclones. They shot 22% from downtown and turned the ball over 17 times, so point being here at home they will want to bounceback in a big way vs Kansas as the Jayhawks now lead Iowa State in the standings, so this is a pretty monumental game. Remember, Darryn Peterson was out for Kansas in their last win over Arizona who was undefeated coming into Allen Fieldhouse, but the Jayhawks still got the job done. Whether or not Peterson plays, we like Iowa State here to bounce back at home in a big way.

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Released/revised 5 hour(s) ago

Sniper Wes $7 NCAAB Ball Buster!!: $ 7.00
Sniper Wes $7 NCAAB Ball Buster!!One college hoops battle. One sharp edge. Just $7 to get in and grind out the win. Lock it up and let’s cash!!

Jeff Michaels

Event: (889) UNLV at (890) Boise State: Total

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: February 13, 2026 10:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Total Over 152.5 (-110)

(889) UNLV at (890) Boise State: Total

Total Over 152.5 (-110)

The Boise State Broncos season open went over and they then posted 8 straight unders.
Moving forward to Mountain West action they have now gone 10-1 over/under in conference action covering 9 straight by 23.2 points per game.

The UNLV Rebels, with their #33 tempo rank, have gone over in 4 straight games covering by 18.8 points per game.

Released/revised 10 hour(s) ago