Steve Seagrave
Event: (241) Pittsburgh Steelers at (242) Chicago Bears
Sport/League: NFL (See all free NFL Football picks)
Date/Time: November 23, 2025 1:00 PM EST
Free NFL Football Pick Today: Rome Odunze Anytime Touchdown (+165) FD
Seagrave is on a strong 59-45 (57%) run with his posted Free Picks at Sportsmemo since July 12th, 2025
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Rome Odunze Anytime Touchdown (+165) FD
The key to this play is Rome Odunze playing against man coverage where he's dominated the target share at a 30% rate compared to a 23% target share against zone coverage. Odunze has faced four teams ranked top 8 in man coverage and logged 7 catches for 128 yards & 2 touchdowns against the Detroit Lions, 7/114 against the Baltimore Ravens, 6/86/2 TD against the New York Giants and 2/32 against the Washington Commanders. Although he did have a short TD nullified in a ticky-tack illegal formation penalty against Washington. The Pittsburgh Steelers play man coverage at the 5th highest rate in the NFL, and they have allowed the MOST wide receiver yards with 186 per game. The Steelers defense is banged up with four defensive backs on the shelf and Darius Slay is questionable after missing last week's game. D'Andre Swift was limited in practice early in the week and he should be available, but Odunze should still be the focal point of this offense. Odunze scored a touchdown in each of his first four games, and he only has one touchdown in his last six games, but he's still scored in 50% of his games and this is a great get right spot.
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Farley Bets
Event: (247) New England Patriots at (248) Cincinnati Bengals
Sport/League: NFL (See all free NFL Football picks)
Date/Time: November 23, 2025 1:00 PM EST
Free NFL Football Pick Today: Cincinnati Bengals +6.0 (-110)
1:00 PM EST. The problem, whether Joe Burrow plays or not, is obviously the Bengals’ defense. They’re bad, very bad. So bad that they allowed the Jets to gain 502 yards and score 39 points a few weeks ago. Yikes. But here’s the thing.
Joe Burrow is the kind of player that completely changes a franchise. Yes, that dude above, with the frizzy wild hair and dorky smile, is a transformative player, and he has a real shot at playing this week. It’s a psychological affect more than anything else. The team trusts Burrow, he has an “OG” quality to him, not flappable, confident, and arm-talent as high-quality as any thrower in the world. When someone like that returns, and he’s a generational player, immediately the franchise’s belief exponentially rises. Even the defense plays better; we’ve seen it plenty of times before.
And here’s the thing: Flacco has not been practicing, Burrow has. Tee Higgins also recently told the media that Burrow is 100% in practice; aka he looks ready.
Against the blitz, with or without Ja’Marr Chase, Burrow is a top-3 quarterback in the NFL and you could make a strong case that he’s the best the league has to offer, especially considering the lack of defensive support and pass protection he’s received since he was drafted.
Finally, the more I’ve looked into this game, the more I think this is a sneaky trap spot for New England. The extended rest may not benefit a team that’s been running hot with momentum; if anything it could throw them out of rhythm. And the Bengals, who are 3-7, aren’t out of the playoff picture yet.
Another spoiler for free subscribers: we have the Patriots -2.5 in a teaser, so really we’re hedging this and giving ourselves a very realistic position here. Considering how good New England has been, even if Burrow plays this might be a close game but a loss for Cincinnati, thus a situation where we could cover both ways. We’re doing it.
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Razor Ray Monohan
Event: (169) Baylor at (170) Arizona
Sport/League: CFB (See all free College Football picks)
Date/Time: November 22, 2025 1:00 PM EST
Free College Football Pick Today: Baylor +7.0 (-109)
Baylor +7
Baylor is worth a free move here against Arizona. This is a home game for Arizona, starting at 10am local time as they’re feeling the effects of playing in the Big 12 now. Baylor can catch Arizona sluggish early in the game and take advantage of it. The Bears need one more win to become bowl eligible and this is a spot where they can keep things close throughout. Grab the points. My daily free plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Remember folks, money management is the key to profits when it comes to sports gambling. Strong lean on the Bears +7. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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Sniper Wes
Event: (117) Hawaii at (118) UNLV
Sport/League: CFB (See all free College Football picks)
Date/Time: November 21, 2025 10:30 PM EST
Free College Football Pick Today: Hawaii +3.0 (-109)
Timmy Chang’s squad has been rock-solid, winning four of their last five and coming in off a bye, which should help offset the long travel. UNLV has taken the last two meetings, giving Hawaii a clear revenge angle in a game they’ve likely had circled.
The Rainbow Warriors sit at 7-3 (7-3 ATS) and bring the better defense into this matchup. Getting points with the stronger stop unit and the fresher team is a spot we’re happy to back. Hawaii plus the points goes in the pocket.
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Farley Bets
Event: (265) Carolina Panthers at (266) San Francisco 49ers
Sport/League: NFL (See all free NFL Football picks)
Date/Time: November 24, 2025 8:15 PM EST
Free NFL Football Pick Today: San Francisco 49ers -6.5 (-117)
(265) Carolina Panthers at (266) San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers -6.5 (-117)
Monday, 8:15 PM EST. The NFL really is a week-to-week league, isn’t it? Even the market routinely overreacts, which is pretty awesome for us. In this case, the market is being incredibly stupid by trusting Bryce Young. Why? Because he just had the best game of his life, against the Falcons, a team that’s dissolving by the second. And I guess we’re just supposed to forget about Carolina’s despicable 3-17 road record with Young under center? In the words of Macaulay Culkin, I DON’T THINK SO. Brock Purdy and the 49ers were clean, efficient, and picked apart the Cardinals in Week 11 on the road. We like them to roll at home here.
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Ben Burns
Event: (203) Michigan State at (204) Iowa
Sport/League: CFB (See all free College Football picks)
Date/Time: November 22, 2025 3:30 PM EST
Free College Football Pick Today: Michigan State +17.0 (-110)
The Hawkeyes are off a tough loss out on the West Coast, at USC. They fought hard but fell short. Unaccustomed to traveling back home from LA and potentially still thinking about last week's loss, asking them to blow out the Spartans by more than two touchdowns is asking a lot. The Spartans won by 12 last season, out gaining the Hawekeyes by a 468-283 margin in total yards while dominating time of possession. Including that result, six of the past seven meetings were decided by 12 or less. Grab the points.
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