Free Handicapping Plays - Sports Picks from Premium Cappers

Take #406 Jets vs Steelers Under

We're going right back to the Under in this preseason matchup. The Under went 12-4 last week, and we're riding that trend rather than overreacting to a few high-scoring results.

The Steelers opened preseason play with a 28-9 victory over Green Bay. The quarterbacks put up respectable numbers, but much of that production came against second- and third-team defenses, so we're not putting too much stock into those numbers. Aaron Rodgers is also expected to sit again.

The Jets are in an interesting rebuilding phase. They added Geno Smith and several veteran defensive pieces while moving on from Quinnen Williams and Sauce Gardner for draft capital. With New York seemingly positioning itself for a potential quarterback selection in 2027, the long-term priority is developing the roster rather than chasing preseason wins.

New York lost 24-16 to Tampa Bay last week, a game that went Over its total. But that was one of the exceptions in an otherwise Under-heavy opening week.

With preseason quarterback rotations, vanilla offensive game plans and defenses generally dictating the action, we're expecting scoring opportunities to be limited.

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Take #404 Niners vs Chargers Under

We’re riding the Under here, especially with the recent NFLX trend continuing. The Chargers opened as 1.5-point favorites before the line flipped to San Francisco -1.5, a notable three-point swing.

Los Angeles is coming off a convincing 27-7 win over Houston, while San Francisco dropped its opener 19-13 to Tennessee. The Chargers also have Trey Lance and DJ Uiagalelei available at quarterback, while their offensive line should be stronger with Rashawn Slater and Joe Alt back in the mix.

The bigger concern is San Francisco’s quarterback situation. Kurtis Rourke impressed in the opener, completing 12 of 14 passes for 101 yards, but he left the game with a rib injury and was hospitalized for evaluation.

Brock Purdy is expected to get a couple of series before Mac Jones takes over and potentially plays through halftime. The 49ers have also been dealing with injuries at several offensive positions, and their joint practice with Los Angeles exposed some issues in the secondary and offensive rhythm.

The Chargers' defense should provide another difficult test, and with quarterback rotations, limited starter reps and the Under trend we've seen early in the preseason, we're expecting a slower-paced, lower-scoring game.

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Matt McClain Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+110)

McClain has owned this matchup, hitting .400 against Liberatore with a home run in the mix. Add in a game environment that's projected to be run-heavy, and this is a good spot to back him going over on the combined total.

Let's cash some tickets!

Luis Arraez Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 1.5 (-136) Action:

Sandy Alcantara has been lights out recently but he's struggled with the Philadelphia lineup as current Phillies are batting .299 against him with 7 home runs across an insane sample size of 348 plate appearances. That includes Bryce Harper going 16-49 (.327) 3HR, Luis Arraez 4-8 (.500), Alec Bohm 14-37 (.378) and Trea Turner 17-47 (.362) 2HR. Alcantara shut down the Phillies at home earlier this season, but he did allow 4 runs (2ER) on 8 hits across 6 innings of work against them on the road. The Marlins starter owns a 4.08 ERA on the road compared to a 2.69 ERA at home. The Phillies lineup has been on fire since Don Mattingly called a closed-door meeting while scoring 7, 9, 7, 6 and 6 runs during a 5-game winning streak. Luis Arraez has covered this line in six straight games, and he will also get opportunities against a Miami bullpen that ranks 28th in ERA and 21st in WHIP during the last 30 days.

*Playable at -150 or better

This is a Client Play

Washington +120 makes sense because even with the Nats scuffling on this trip, they’ve still been a solid road team all season at 33‑31, and tonight they hold clear edges on the mound, in the bullpen, and at the plate. Cade Cavalli has been the stabilizer of their rotation, going 5‑1 with a 2.13 ERA over his last six starts and posting a 3.23 ERA on the road, where Washington has won four of his last five. Kumar Rocker has gone the other direction, carrying an 8.10 ERA over his last three starts — all Rangers losses — and he’s been far worse at home with a 4.84 ERA and a 3‑8 record. Washington’s bullpen has been sharper lately with a 3.51 ERA over its last ten games compared to Texas at 4.86, and the Nats bring the stronger offense in this matchup, averaging 5.16 runs per game on the road while the Rangers sit at just 4.13 at home. With the better starter, better pen, and better road offense, Washington is the value side.