Free Handicapping Plays - Sports Picks from Premium Cappers

Seagrave is on a solid 70-58-1 (55%) run with his posted Free Picks since March 19th!

Next Winner HERE:

Hunter Brown Strikeouts Over 5.5 (-115) Home Listed Pitcher Must Start:

It's been a bit of an up & down season for Hunter Brown, but he's still ranks in the 74th percentile with a strikeout rate just under 25% and he's covered this line in 4/7 starts at home. The Seattle Mariners own a 22.5% strikeout rate, and they have posted an ugly .660 OPS during the last week. Brown hasn't faced the Mariners in 2026, but he struck out 7 and 9 Seattle sluggers in his last two head-to-head outings of 2025. Current Mariners own a 24.5% strikeout rate against Brown across 106 plate appeances. Joe Espada generally gives Brown a long leash and the Astros pen could use a lengthy outing.

*Playable at -130 or better

Texas/A’s Under 10 makes sense because despite Sutter Health Park’s reputation for chaos, this particular matchup hasn’t played like the typical track meet, and the pitching lines up far better for a quieter game. The first two games of the set averaged just 9.5 runs, and all six meetings between these teams in this park this year have averaged the same 9.5. Cody Bradford has been sharp in limited action with a 2.38 ERA in two starts, and his career numbers support him — a 2.93 ERA in August and a 1.56 ERA across three starts against the A’s. Jacob Lopez has been even better lately, carrying a 2.36 ERA over his last five starts and a 2.70 ERA in his last three at home; even that 16‑run outlier wasn’t on him, as he allowed only two runs in seven innings before the bullpen imploded. Texas hits just .228 against lefties on the road, the A’s hit .223 at home, and neither offense has shown the firepower to consistently punish mistakes. With both starters in form, both offenses limited by splits, and this matchup already trending under in this park, 10 feels inflated.

960 Colorado at San Francisco

The Giants have simply dominated the Rockies over the years, and home teams normally perform well with the series being tied. Blade Tidwell has a 0.71 home ERA on the season in an obvious small sample size. But since taking over as a starter he has an outstanding 60 average Game Score. With the Rockies being 22-42 on the road this season, this line is quite the bargain.

PLAY SAN FRANCISCO

Now on an 80-46 overall MLB run, we are stepping out with an early 4% play on Sunday. Now on a 24-10 run with our 4 & 5% selections. Also on a 16-7 run with our MLB Totals. And you can grab that 4% Over/Under Winner on the early slate right now!

Seattle owns a 143 wRC+ (43% above the league average) against righties on the road over the last two weeks.

Houston owns a 144 wRC+ (44% above the league average) against righties at home over the last two weeks.

The OVER is 16-2-2 since Game #85 when Houston faces a team that is averaging .6 or fewer errors per game. Those games went OVER by an average margin of 2.5 runs per game!

The OVER is 12-1 since Game #85 when Houston faces an AL team that is averaging 4.2 or fewer runs per game. Those games went OVER by an average margin of 2.7 runs per game!

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Los Angeles southpaw Tarik Skubal toes the rubber with a 2.93 ERA, 2.99 xERA, 2.80 FIP, and 3.0 WAR, together with elite 10.7 K/9 and 1.5/BB/9 rates. Skubal’s counterpart, Logan Henderson, is coming off an outing against the Padres in which he allowed three runs on five hits and one walk while striking out seven batters over 6.1 innings. The talented right-hander owns impressive numbers across the board: 2.88 ERA, 2.68 xERA, 3.35 FIP, and 3.00 xFIP, together with a 31.9% K%, a 5.1% BB%, and a 26.9% K-BB%. The key in this game is compelling technical trends supporting the Dodgers:

• Since 2004, MLB home favorites of -130 or greater in afternoon affairs with totals of less than 8 runs are 1089-616 (63.9%; +2% ROI) versus league opponents;

• Since 2003, large home favorites with immediate revenge are 864-363 (70.4%; +4.2% ROI) in afternoon games;

• Since 2003, MLB home favorites with starting pitchers whose WHIP is 1.30 or better are 1288-688 (65.2%; +2.9% ROI) versus opposing starters whose ERA is 3.50 or better in May-August affairs; and

• Los Angeles is 264-178 (59.7%; +2.9% ROI) following a game in which they scored one run or less, including 76-43 (63.9%) since 2021;

Milwaukee also falls into my very negative 3061-5392 (36.2%; -3.7% ROI) and 2599-4623 (36%; -4.2% ROI) systems that date to 2005 and invest against certain road underdogs versus .551 or greater opponents. These situations have lost by an average margin of 1.1 and 1.2 runs per game, respectively. Take the Los Angeles Dodgers as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Sunday, August 16.