Free Sports Predictions: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports for March 26

Joseph D'Amico

Event: (621) St. Johns at (622) Duke: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: March 27, 2026 7:10 PM EDT

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Duke -6.5 (-110)

Joe D is one of the HOTTEST CAPPERS on the planet in 2026. As of posting this FREE WINNER, I am clicking on all cylinders in all sports, WINNING BIG, no matter the ball or puck. I have 4 SWEET 16 WINNERS posted for Thursday and Friday. Follow me with my SWEET 16 SLAM DUNK & ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE on Thursday, and my SWEET 16 BEST BET & (9-2 RUN) LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE WINNERS on Friday. As of post, I am also 1-0 in MLB, and have a THURSDAY SMASH WINNER (12-0 RUN). Just follow me all the way to the bank!

Fridays FREE WINNER: Duke Blue Devils.

Game622.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

As of posting this Free Play winner early Thursday morning, I see a line of -6.5. Even if this game goes up a full point or even a point than a half, I am comfortable with laying the wood with the Blue Devils.

As of posting this release early Thursday morning, most of the general public money is coming in on St. John's. My friends, I understand why. This is a team with a very seasoned and smart head coach, tallying an overall record of 30-6 this season, covering 20-of-36 lined games. They come in here on an eight-game straight up win streak, covering six of those eight games, as well. But I feel this is the game and the matchup the shoe drops on the Red Storm. They are due for a letdown, and I feel it will be here. The Blue Devils are one of the best teams in the country going 34-2 on the campaign and covering 20 of their 36 lined games. They come into this matchup winning 13 consecutive outings, covering seven of their last 11. Yes, as of posting this release, guard, Caleb Foster is still listed as questionable. Always do your due diligence and check status. But even if the standout player does not play, I still feel Duke will come up big here. This is a deep and talented team with a very smart head coach themselves. They have the talent to not just compete here, but to win big. With size and muscle up front, and speed savvy in the back, this team has very few flaws. They score more than St. John's, and allow considerably less. They are much better at defending the arc, and at both ends of the court are far superior on the boards. The Red Storm aren't going to be able to outmuscle them as they have in recent opponents. I'm going to go against the grain here, go against the general public, and say Duke wins and covers. Take the Blue Devils. Thank you.

Released/revised 14 minute(s) ago

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Oskeim Sports

Event: (621) St. Johns at (622) Duke: Total

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: March 27, 2026 7:10 PM EDT

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Total Under 141.5 (-110)

Rick Pitino has led St. John’s to the Sweet 16 for the first time since 1999. Since January 3, the Johnnies have suffered just one defeat, but their offense is relatively lackluster, sitting in the 180s for effective field goal percentage and in the 170s for two-point percentage. Additionally, Pitino’s team ranks 192nd in three-point shooting, making only 33.3% of their shots from beyond the arc. Since 2016, NCAA tournament games from Round 3 forward are 74-48-1 to the Under (60.7%), while Sweet 16 games are 49-34 to the Under (59%) since 2014, including 30-20 UNDER (60%) since 2018. St. John’s advanced to the Sweet 16 by defeating the Jayhawks 67-65 in a game that went under the total. Since 2019, college basketball teams coming off a straight-up win and under are 128-88-1 to the Under (59.3%) versus opponents ranked #1 or #2 in their previous game. Let’s also note that No. 1 seeds are 60-40-1 to the Under (60%) from Round 3 forward in the NCAA Tournament, including 33-9 UNDER (78.6%) since 2019, going under by an average margin of 6.6 points per game. Similarly, since 2013, college basketball teams that played a game in which their largest lead was at least 14 points and the final score was below the total have gone under in 254 of 449 games (56.8%) from Game 34 forward. This trend has grown stronger since the 2020-21 season, with teams going under in 146 out of 245 games (59.6%). Finally, this situation is 70-47 to the Under (59.8%) in the NCAA Tournament since 2019. Take the Under as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Friday, March 27.

Released/revised 25 minute(s) ago

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Steve Seagrave

Event: (905) Arizona Diamondbacks at (906) Los Angeles Dodgers: Kyle Tucker Hits + Runs + RBIs

Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)

Date/Time: March 26, 2026 8:30 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Kyle Tucker Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 1.5 (-145)

Seagrave is on a solid 5-2 run with his posted Free Picks since March 19th!

Next Winner HERE:

Kyle Tucker Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 1.5 (-145):

Kyle Tucker makes his debut as a Los Angeles Dodger tonight and he's in an enviable spot while batting second sandwiched in between players like Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman. This sets up Tucker to collect plenty of runs and RBIs. Tucker has gone 6-18 (.333) against tonight's starting pitcher Zac Gallen while posting a .924 OPS and driving in 5 runs. Gallen posted an ugly 4.83 ERA last season, and left-handed hitters posted a .326 wOBA against him. Gallen leans heavily on his fastball and Tucker has feasted on that pitch with a 12.4%-barrel rate. We also have favorable conditions with warm weather in Los Angeles and Dodger Stadium graded out as a top 5 hitting park during the 2025 campaign.

Released/revised 1 hour(s) ago

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Joe Duffy

Event: (919) Texas Rangers at (920) Philadelphia Phillies: Spread

Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)

Date/Time: March 26, 2026 4:15 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (146)

Successful teams from the previous season have shown strong Opening Day performance both straight up and on the runline. Favorites, in particular, have historically delivered, with runline returns producing a 13.7% ROI—and even higher, 14.5%, within this specific price range.

Picked up right where we left off in MLB, cashing the Yankees -1.5 and continuing a dominant run now in year 39, finishing 3-2 overall on the card.

Today’s board is loaded with high-level opportunity. Three NCAA Tournament releases headline the card, driven by a proven super system, an outsourced play from a respected professional bettor, and elite power ratings—exactly the combination that has fueled a strong March run.

On the MLB side, four releases are locked in, along with a strong NBA side, all backed by the same disciplined, analytics-driven approach that continues to produce consistent results across sports.

Released/revised 1 hour(s) ago

Dan Kaiser

Event: (903) Washington Nationals at (904) Chicago Cubs: Spread

Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)

Date/Time: March 26, 2026 2:20 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-102)

The Nationals have some young pieces who will eventually blossom into something, but this team just doesn’t have the talent to compete with most teams night to night. There’s going to be a lot of losing here. The Cubs are one of those teams I’ll be watching closely, as they’re heading in the right direction and have a deep playoff run written on them if they can get their health in order. it’s game one of a marathon season, but there’s just a massive gap between these clubs. I have to side with the Cubs and I’ll lay the RL to shave down the price.

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

CBB HOUSTON-ILLINOIS PRIME WINNER: $ 7.00
Dan is releasing his SWEET 16 top play on the Illinois and Houston game. He is looking to turn up the heat on the books during March Madness.

The Gold Sheet

Event: (503) New Orleans Pelicans at (504) Detroit Pistons: Ausar Thompson Points + Rebounds + Assists

Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)

Date/Time: March 26, 2026 7:10 PM EDT

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Ausar Thompson Points + Rebounds + Assists Over 21.5 (-103)

The Pistons suffered a heartbreaking loss last night coming back from 18 points down at halftime only to lose in overtime 130-129 to the Hawks. They’ll turn around to play the Pelicans at home tonight as we’ll look for Ausar Thompson to go over 21.5 points + rebounds + assists. He had 27 points + rebounds + assists last night and we’re starting to see his minutes tick up into the mid 30s while averaging 25.2 minutes per game this month. On the season Thompson averages 29 points + rebounds + assists per 40 minutes played and we should see increased minutes once again as Detroit will be playing without Cade Cunningham and Isaiah Stewart. The Pelicans have allowed the third most points per game to small forwards over the last 15 days and the 18 points Thompson put up last night was tied for third most in a game from him all season. It’s worth noting in the first head to head matchup Thompson had 24 points + rebounds + assists so let’s look for him to stuff the stat sheet as the Pistons look to quickly bounce back going over 21.5 points + rebounds + assists.

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

*TODAY* NCAA 4% "CLUB 70" SUPER PLAY! (#1 BIG PLAY RECORD!): $ 7.00
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Oskeim Sports

Event: (905) Arizona Diamondbacks at (906) Los Angeles Dodgers: Spread

Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)

Date/Time: March 26, 2026 8:30 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-118)

Los Angeles starter Yoshinobu Yamamoto worked five scoreless innings in his final spring training outing and will continue to keep the ball on the bottom of the zone against an overly aggressive Arizona lineup looking to hit fastballs and off-speed pitches left up in the zone. During Spring Training and last season, right-handed Diamondbacks’ hitters struggled to hit pitches low and away, batting .171 on pitches that barely clipped the outside part of the zone, and hitting .096 on pitches located outside the zone. Since 2006, MLB favorites of -201 or greater are 2707-1030 (72.4%; +2.2% ROI) and 2009-1521 RL (+2.7% ROI) in games with totals of eight or more runs, including 1831-646 (73.9%; +3.7% ROI) and 1443-1035 RL (+2.9% ROI), winning by an average margin of +2.3 runs per game. Since 2005, large MLB favorites are 1517-652 (69.9%; +1% ROI) and 1096-896 RL (+2.5% ROI) in Game 1 of a series, including 887-357 (71.3%; +1.7% ROI) and 707-535 RL (+3.4% ROI) since 2017, winning by an average margin of +2.0 runs per game. Since 2002, Opening Day MLB home favorites are 129-74 (63.5%; +5.7% ROI) and +8.1% ROI RL. The Dodgers fall into one of my strongest early-season MLB systems that is 97-29 (77%; +27.8% ROI) and 67-44 RL (+34.1% ROI) and invests on certain unbeaten favorites in the opening game of a series when facing teams that won fewer than 93 games the previous season. This situation is 49-9 (84.5%; +40% ROI) and 37-21 RL (+34.7% ROI) since 2016, winning by an average of +2.9 runs per game. Finally, the Dodgers are 164-71 (69.8%; +8.1% ROI) and 107-102 RL (+4.6% ROI) in home games with totals of nine or more runs, whereas the Diamondbacks are 8-22 (26.7%; -16.8% ROI) as large divisional road underdogs. Take the Los Angeles Dodgers as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Thursday, March 26.

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

CBB TOTAL SHARP MONEY MOVE | 78-46 RUN | 114-74 CBB SURGE | 36-18 TOP PLAYS | +100 UNITS L/40 DAYS!: $ 7.00
#1 HANDICAPPER AT WAGERTALK L/40 DAYS (WIN %, UNITS & ROI) | 90-54 RUN | +85% NET PROFITJeff Keim is on a RED-HOT 114-74 (61%) college basketball run, and on Thursday, he is STEPPING OUT with a CBB Total Sharp Money Move backed by respected market action and key situational analysis.This is the type of TOTAL that sharp bettors target early, cre ...

David Hess

Event: (619) Arkansas at (620) Arizona: Total

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: March 26, 2026 9:45 PM EDT

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Total Under 165.5 (-116)

Arkansas/Arizona Under 165.5 makes sense because even though both teams can score, Arizona’s defensive profile and game control make it extremely difficult for this matchup to reach the mid‑160s. Arizona may play fast, but they defend at an elite level—3rd nationally in defensive efficiency and allowing just 68.4 ppg, including 66.8 ppg over their last eight. Their length and rim protection force opponents into long, contested possessions, and that’s exactly the kind of environment that slows Arkansas down. The Razorbacks put up big offensive numbers, but they’ve also benefited from facing weaker defenses, and their own defensive metrics—while not elite—are good enough to keep Arizona from turning this into a track meet. The broader market agrees: multiple national outlets project this matchup to trend lower than the posted total, with SportsLine’s model also favoring the Under after simulating the game 10,000 times. With Arizona controlling tempo, limiting transition, and dictating shot quality, this game is far more likely to settle into a controlled, defensive‑tilted battle rather than the shootout the number suggests.

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

Thursday Night Sweet 16 Totals Destroyer (5-0 Run): $ 7.00
David Hess delivered again last night, cashing the Illinois State–Dayton Under 139.5 with the game finishing at just 116 points. It was never in doubt. He’s now 6–1 in his last seven at SportsMemo, including a perfect 5–0 his last 5. David is locked in, seeing the board clearly, and tonight’s play is just $7.00.

Billy Coleman

Event: (615) Iowa at (616) Nebraska: Total

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: March 26, 2026 7:30 PM EDT

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Total Under 131.5 (-110)

It's tough to stomach an under play with a number this low, but that is what I am looking at for your free play today. They played 2x during the regular season with Iowa winning a slug fest at home 59-52, and Nebraska in overtime at home 84-75, with 19 points coming in the extra session. I am looking for something in between the two games from the regular season. Iowa plays at one of the slowest tempo's in the country, and both teams have stout scoring defenses ranking in the Top 15 in the country. With a trip to the Elite Eight on the line, and familiarity with each other, along with a few nerves look for a low scoring battle this evening. Take the under.

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

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Tokyo Brandon

Event: (919) Texas Rangers at (920) Philadelphia Phillies: Cristopher Sanchez Strikeouts

Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)

Date/Time: March 26, 2026 4:15 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Cristopher Sanchez Strikeouts Over 5.5 (-140)

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_______

Cristopher Sánchez is lined up for the Phillies’ home opener against Texas on Thursday, March 26, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park, with Nathan Eovaldi opposing him. Parsed odds pages show a 5.5 strikeout prop for Sánchez, with DraftKings showing the Over at -138; the opposite side on the parsed odds feed was not cleanly book-labeled, but the same market block showed the other side around +105.

1) All starts between 3/1/2025 and 3/26/2026 vs all teams
Sánchez had 212 strikeouts in 32 starts in the 2025 regular season.
All-start K/start average = 212 / 32 = 6.625.

2) Starts vs Texas between 3/1/2025 and 3/26/2026
His 2025 game log shows a start at Texas on 8/8/2025 with 6 strikeouts in 6.0 innings.
Vs. Texas K/start average = 6.0

3) March starts between 3/1/2025 and 3/26/2026 vs all teams
His 2025 game log shows one March regular-season start, 3/31/2025 vs Colorado, with 7 strikeouts in 5.1 innings.
March K/start average = 7.0

Weighted base projection

6.3875

Weighted base = 6.4 Ks.

Split adjustments

Home adjustment
FanGraphs splits show Sánchez had 115 strikeouts in 97.2 home innings in 2025, which corresponds to 15 home starts and a home K/start average of 115 / 15 = 7.67. His full-season average was 6.63, so his home split was +1.04 Ks/start above overall. To avoid double-counting location that is already partly embedded in the season average, I apply half that delta:

Ballpark adjustment
None. This is a home start.

Day/night adjustment
This is a day game. I could verify the game time, but I could not cleanly extract a trustworthy parsed 2025 day/night strikeout split for Sánchez from public pages without risking bad data, so I used a 0.0 adjustment instead of inventing one. The game being a day start is confirmed.

Fatigue / injury adjustment
I’m treating fatigue as neutral (0.0). There is no current opener reporting that he is returning from an MLB injury, and he was already being reported as Philadelphia’s Opening Day starter. His most recent competitive outing visible in public reports was March 13 in the WBC quarterfinal, which leaves ample rest before March 26..

Final projection

6.9075

Final projection: 6.9 strikeouts

As matchup context only, not as an extra adjustment, Texas struck out 23.6% of the time against left-handed pitching in 2025, which is consistent with a projection above 5.5.

Probability and fair odds.

• Over 5.5: 68.6%

• Under 5.5: 31.4%

Converted to fair American odds:

• Over 5.5 fair: -219

• Under 5.5 fair: +219

Wager & Probability Analysis chart

Fair-odds vs DK chart

Betting takeaway

My model lands on Cristopher Sánchez 6.9 Ks, so it is clearly over the DraftKings number of 5.5. The three-weight structure is already favorable at 6.4, and his 2025 home split pushes it materially higher. The matchup-specific start vs Texas was 6 Ks, his lone March start in the window was 7 Ks, and Texas’ 2025 strikeout rate vs lefties was not low. The only thing keeping this from a 5/5 confidence play is that it is Opening Day, where pitch counts can be a little less predictable.

Best wager: Over 5.5 strikeouts
Projection: 6.9
Fair line: -219
DraftKings line used: 5.5, Over -138

Released/revised 1 day(s) ago

Opening Day MLB Bet — 10-Year MLB Scout | #1 at WagerTalk 3 of Last 5 Years | 7 BUCKS!: $ 7.00
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Pro Sports Picks

Event: (15) Colorado Avalanche at (16) Winnipeg Jets: Spread

Sport/League: NHL (See all free NHL Hockey picks)

Date/Time: March 26, 2026 8:07 PM EDT

Free NHL Hockey Pick Today: Winnipeg Jets +1.5 (-150)

PSP Data Driven play on Jets.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog. The Jets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games. The Avalanche are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.

Released/revised 5 hour(s) ago

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Pro Sports Picks

Event: (917) Boston Red Sox at (918) Cincinnati Reds: Spread

Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)

Date/Time: March 26, 2026 4:10 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Cincinnati Reds +1.5 (-129)

PSP Data Driven play on Reds.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog. The Red Sox are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games. The Red Sox are 2-5 in its last 7 games against an opponent in the National League.

Released/revised 1 day(s) ago

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Ricky Tran

Event: (913) Chicago White Sox at (914) Milwaukee Brewers: Moneyline

Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)

Date/Time: March 26, 2026 2:10 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Milwaukee Brewers -184

Ricky's play on MIL.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago White Sox.

- Chicago White Sox is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games.

- Chicago White Sox is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road.

Verdict: The value is on the Home favorite.

Released/revised 6 hour(s) ago

Ricky's $7 NBA Punisher - Hornets$ vs Knicks$ : $ 7.00
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Razor Ray Monohan

Event: (21) Anaheim Ducks at (22) Calgary Flames: Moneyline

Sport/League: NHL (See all free NHL Hockey picks)

Date/Time: March 26, 2026 9:07 PM EDT

Free NHL Hockey Pick Today: Calgary Flames +120

Flames +120

The Flames are worth a move against the Ducks. Calgary is off an impressive shootout win over LA and they’re a tough team to deal with right now. They play extremely physical and will wear teams down, which is what they’ll do here. The Ducks have been inconsistent at times on the road and they’re going to have one eye on their key matchup with Edmonton this weekend. Back the Flames to +110. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Tonight’s FREE selection is a strong lean on the FLAMES ML. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Thursday FREE NHL ML Play

1-1-1 WEDNESDAY! EN FUEGO! +116.85 units, 59.6% Winning Percentage (136-92-3) , 17.9% ROI since Mid-Dec! The board is live and today’s card is posted. A BIG 7× Play Card is up for Thur$day, and today’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a Top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he's locked in right now. Clients are cashing, the consistency is showing, and he's climbing the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.

Released/revised 11 hour(s) ago

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Rob Vinciletti

Event: (911) Cleveland Guardians at (912) Seattle Mariners

Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)

Date/Time: March 26, 2026 10:10 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Seattle Mariners -175 Action

ONLY 2 TIME MLB CHAMP- 3 TIMES on SIDES

Opening Day 16-0 MLB Power System Play headlines Bases Along with our Strongest SWEET 16 TOP PLAY in Tournament Action. MLB Comp play below

The MLB Comp play for Opening day is on the Mariners at 10:10 eastern. Seattle is a big high here but they are at home and have Gilbert going. Cleveland falls into an opening day system that is 1-7 for road dogs with a total less than 7. Seattle is 7-1 in their last 8 home openers and won all 3 here last year over the Guardians. Gilbert has won 6 of his last 7 home starts. Cleveland lost both starts Tanner Bibee made vs Seattle last season. He allowed 8 runs in his final spring start and will need to really be much better here. Look for Seattle to get the win. GL Rob V-

SU: 1-7

2008/03/31 box Mon 2008 away Astros Roy Oswalt -R Padres Jake Peavy -R 150 6.5 9 4-14 0-0 0-4 0 -2.5 U -4 L 0-4

2014/03/31 box Mon 2014 away Rockies Jorge De La Rosa -L Marlins Jose Fernandez -R 130 6.5 9 6-14 0-0 0-9 0 4.5 O -9 L 1-10

2016/04/05 box Tue 2016 away Red Sox David Price -L Guardians Corey Kluber -R 113 6.0 9 11-5 0-1 4-0 0 2.0 O 4 W 6-2

2023/03/30 box Thu 2023 away Guardians Shane Bieber -R Mariners Luis Castillo -R 100 6.5 9 4-7 0-0 0-3 0 -3.5 U -3 L 0-3

2023/03/30 box Thu 2023 away Phillies Aaron Nola -R Rangers Jacob deGrom -R 115 6.5 9 12-10 0-0 4-5 0 11.5 O -4 L 7-11

2023/03/30 box Thu 2023 away Tigers Eduardo Rodriguez -L Rays Shane McClanahan -L 185 6.5 9 6-6 0-0 0-4 0 -2.5 U -4 L 0-4

2023/03/30 box Thu 2023 away Giants Logan Webb -R Yankees Gerrit Cole -R 140 6.5 9 4-8 0-0 0-5 1 -1.5 U -5 L 0-5

2025/03/27 box Thu 2025 away Tigers Tarik Skubal -L Dodgers Blake Snell -L 140 6.5 9 9-7 0-0 0-2 0 2.5 O -1 L 4-5

2026/03/26 22:10 Thu 2026 away Guardians Tanner Bibee -R Mariners Logan Gilbert -R 152 6.5

Released/revised 15 hour(s) ago

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Oskeim Sports

Event: (613) Illinois at (614) Houston: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: March 26, 2026 10:05 PM EDT

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Illinois +2.5 (-102)

Illinois arrives in the Sweet 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament off a dominating 76-55 win over VCU, which is significant because college basketball underdogs coming off a game in which they allowed 60 points or fewer are 144-105-3 ATS (57.8%) in the NCAA Tournament. Similarly, NCAA Tournament teams entering off a game in which they allowed 55 points or fewer are 152-118-2 ATS (56.3%), including 81-49 ATS (62.3%) as underdogs. Houston ranks third in the nation in Points Per Game Allowed (62.2), but college basketball favorites allowing fewer than 63 points per game are just 91-118-2 ATS (43.5%) in NCAA Tournament affairs. Meanwhile, Illinois is one of the most reliable teams from the free-throw line, ranking fifth nationally at 78.4%. That metric is important because college basketball teams priced between -6 and +6 shooting 77% or better from the charity stripe are 48-36 ATS (57.1%) in the NCAA Tournament. Let’s also note that Big 12 Conference teams are 9-18 ATS (33.3%) in the Sweet 16 Round over the last twelve years, while Houston head coach Kelvin Sampson is 3-5 SU and 2-6 ATS from the Sweet 16 forward. The Big Ten Conference has gone 34-19 ATS (64.2%) in the NCAA Tournament over the past three years, including 11-5 ATS (68.8%) this season, the best mark of any conference. Grab the points with the Illinois Fighting Illini as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Thursday, March 26.

Released/revised 16 hour(s) ago

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Tokyo Brandon

Event: (903) Washington Nationals at (904) Chicago Cubs: Spread

Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)

Date/Time: March 26, 2026 2:20 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-101)

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Core input snapshot

Chicago’s 2025 offensive baseline was much stronger. The Cubs averaged 4.83 runs/game at home in 2025 and posted a .751 OPS vs left-handed pitching. Washington averaged 4.24 runs/game overall in 2025, scored 368 runs in 81 road games (about 4.54/game) with a .705 away OPS, and had just a .639 OPS vs left-handed pitching.

The starter gap leans heavily toward Chicago. Cavalli went 3-1 with a 4.25 ERA in 10 starts in 2025, while Boyd went 14-8 with a 3.21 ERA in 2025. Boyd was 12-1 at home with a 2.51 ERA in 2025 home starts, while Cade Cavalli’s road ERA was around 6.2 in his 2025 road sample.

For late-form proxies from 2025, the Cubs’ bullpen had a 2.69 ERA over its last 10 games, while the Nationals’ offense scored 4.4 runs/game over its last 10 and the Cubs scored 3.2 runs/game over their last 10. That gives Washington a mild recent-offense proxy edge, but Chicago still owns the stronger full-season baseline and the better starting-pitcher setup here.

Projected WSN runs = 2.8

Projected CHC runs = 5.8

Score projection

Starting pitcher box score projections

Projected hitter lines

Nationals

Cubs

Wager & Probability Analysis

Full game total

• Over 8.5: 51.7%

• Under 8.5: 48.3%

Fair odds:

• Over 8.5: -107

• Under 8.5: +107

First 5 innings total

If a book posts 4.5, the fair prices are roughly:

Bottom line

Projected score: Cubs 5.8, Nationals 2.8.
Best side: Cubs ML, but only small value at -201 versus my fair line of about -220.
Totals: I’m close to neutral, with only a slight full-game over lean if the market sits 8.5 and the juice is cheap.
Most important driver: the combo of Boyd’s 2025 home dominance, Washington’s weak 2025 production vs lefties, and Cavalli’s shakier road sample..

Released/revised 2 day(s) ago

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Jimmy Adams

Event: (615) Iowa at (616) Nebraska: Moneyline

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: March 26, 2026 7:30 PM EDT

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Nebraska -128

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Released/revised 18 hour(s) ago

Teddy Covers

Event: (619) Arkansas at (620) Arizona: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: March 26, 2026 9:45 PM EDT

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Arizona -7.5 (-110)

Take Arizona (#620)

Arizona has been as elite as elite gets in the College Basketball world this season; a worthy #1 seed and a team I believe has ‘win the whole enchilada’ potential.  Arkansas got hot down the stretch, and they’ve got a head coach in John Calipari who has won a previous title (and reached six previous Final Fours); a coach who comes with a massive reputation (and a modest pointspread ‘tax’) attached to that reputation.  Yet even with Calipari’s track record and Arkansas’ ‘hot now’ status, the Razorbacks are still the second biggest underdog on the board in the Sweet 16.  That speaks volumes about how good Arizona is – especially defending the low post; bad news for potential #1 draft choice Darius Acuff’s ability to drive and dish.  And it’s surely worth noting that when Arkansas lost this year, their STRONG tendency was to lose by margin; just 2-6 ATS in their eight defeats.  Take Arizona.

Released/revised 20 hour(s) ago

Oskeim Sports

Event: (617) Texas at (618) Purdue: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: March 26, 2026 7:10 PM EDT

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Texas +7.5 (-110)

Texas reached the Sweet 16 Round by virtue of three consecutive upset wins over North Carolina State (68-66), BYU (79-71), and Gonzaga (74-68) as 1.5-point, 2.5-point, and 6.5-point underdogs, respectively. Those results are significant for three reasons. First, NCAA Tournament teams coming off back-to-back wins in which they covered the spread by double-digits are 71-49-2 ATS (59.2%). Second, NCAA Tournament teams coming off back-to-back upset wins as underdogs are 31-16 ATS (66%) from Round 3 forward. Third, NCAA Tournament underdogs coming off three or more consecutive ATS wins are 46-24-2 ATS (65.7%) from Round 3 out since 2012. Since 2012, NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 favorites of -5 or more are 19-27 ATS (41.3%), including 8-13 ATS (38.1%) since 2020, and have fallen short of market expectations by an average margin of 4.4 points per game. Purdue head coach Matt Painter has enjoyed success during the early stages of the NCAA Tournament, going 23-7 ATS in the Round of 64 and 32, but he’s just 5-7 ATS in the Sweet 16 or later. Finally, Texas head coach Sean Miller has been an underdog in the NCAA Tournament fifteen times, and has gone 11-4 ATS in those contests, including a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS in this year’s tournament. Grab the points with the Texas Longhorns as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Thursday, March 26.

Released/revised 21 hour(s) ago

CBB TOTAL SHARP MONEY MOVE | 78-46 RUN | 114-74 CBB SURGE | 36-18 TOP PLAYS | +100 UNITS L/40 DAYS!: $ 7.00
#1 HANDICAPPER AT WAGERTALK L/40 DAYS (WIN %, UNITS & ROI) | 90-54 RUN | +85% NET PROFITJeff Keim is on a RED-HOT 114-74 (61%) college basketball run, and on Thursday, he is STEPPING OUT with a CBB Total Sharp Money Move backed by respected market action and key situational analysis.This is the type of TOTAL that sharp bettors target early, cre ...

Ben Burns

Event: (921) Tampa Bay Rays at (922) St. Louis Cardinals: Moneyline

Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)

Date/Time: March 26, 2026 4:15 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: St. Louis Cardinals 106

It's never wise to read too much into spring training results. However, one doesn't want to discount them entirely either. Liberatore, St. Louis's expected starter, had a sparkling 1.80 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in four spring starts, striking out 19 in 15 innings. He walked only two. Liberatore noted: "That's two too many." He delivered five shutout innings in his final spring start. On the other hand, Rasmussen had a 4.91 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in his four spring starts. He got rocked for 11 hits and eight runs (7 earned) in his final spring start. The Cards were 44-37 at home last season while the Rays were 36-45 on the road. In the first ever opening day meeting between these teams, let's go with the home underdog Cardinals.

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