Free Handicapping Plays - Sports Picks from Premium Cappers

Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels — Under 7 (-108)

The first thing that jumps out here is the market itself. The Under is drawing a low ticket count but the majority of the money — sharp, lopsided action that's already pulled the total down. That kind of split (few bets, most of the dollars) usually signals informed money leaning one way.

The trends back it up. Cleveland has cashed the Under in the majority of their road games, and Los Angeles has been profitable on Unders all season. Add to that: neither offense has been good this year. On the mound, Gavin Williams has pitched well away from home, and Walbert Urena has been excellent all season. Both bullpens have held up strong too.

Two weak lineups, two pitchers performing above their surroundings, and reliable bullpen support on both sides — the recipe points toward a suppressed-scoring game.

Play: Under 7 (-108)

Let's cash some tickets!

Take #110 Commanders vs Ravens Under

We like the Under in this one. With the starters expected to sit, we’re looking at two teams leaning heavily on their backup quarterbacks, which should make points tough to come by.

Washington has Sam Hartman and Athan Kaliakmanis available, while Baltimore is expected to turn to Tyler Huntley. Kaliakmanis actually looked sharp in Week 2, completing 11-of-14 for 162 yards, but Washington's offense still managed only 13 points against Detroit.

The Ravens also scored just 13 points in their previous preseason game against Minnesota, while their young defense has been playing extremely well. Baltimore's defense produced a strong 13-3 win over the Vikings and generated consistent pressure and turnovers.

With limited offensive firepower, backup quarterbacks, and two defenses that have shown they can dictate preseason games, we're expecting another low-scoring affair.

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Nick Sogard Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 1.5 (-120):

Nick Sogard has stepped into the leadoff hitter role for the Boston red Sox, and he's been on fire while covering this HRR line in each of his last 7 games and 54% of his games on the season. During the last 15 days, we have seen Sogard bat .327 with a .957 OPS and 2 two home runs. Tyler Phillps has been a serviceable option for the Miami Marlins, but he maxes out at about 5 innings of work, and he's backed by a bullpen that ranks 26th in ERA (4.63), 21st in WHIP (1.38) and 23rd in FIP (4.44) during the last 30 days. The Red Sox have been smashing right-handed pitching during the last 30 days as they rank #1 in both wRC+ and ISO power. Sogard will be leading off on the road with a guaranteed full 9 innings of at-bats which will give him a ton of HRR opportunities.

*Playable at -135 or better

I broke this play down on the Morning Wager with Bryan Power on the WagerTalk YouTube channel, linked here: