Tokyo Brandon

Event: (977) Los Angeles Angels at (978) Los Angeles Dodgers: Moneyline

Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)

Date/Time: March 23, 2026 9:10 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Los Angeles Dodgers -160

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For Dodgers vs. Angels on Monday, March 23, 2026 PT at Dodger Stadium the expected pitching matchup is Roki Sasaki vs. Reid Detmers.

Projection

Projected score

Why

Sasaki is the harder pitcher to model because his spring has been shaky enough that outside reporting called it a “challenging spring,” but the Dodgers are still lining him up as a real regular-season piece. That gives him a wide band: elite bat-missing upside, but more blow-up risk than a typical Dodgers starter..

Fair odds

My projected win probability:

• Dodgers 63.8%

• Angels 36.2%

Converted to fair moneyline:

• Dodgers -176

• Angels +176

Book comparison

A current market snapshot showed roughly Dodgers -160 / Angels +140 for this game.

Released/revised 18 hour(s) ago

Opening Day MLB Bet — 10-Year MLB Scout | #1 at WagerTalk 3 of Last 5 Years | 7 BUCKS!: $ 7.00
Start the MLB season with a pick from someone who has done more than just talk baseball. Tokyo Brandon spent 10 years as an MLB scout and has been #1 at WagerTalk 3 of the last 5 years, giving bettors a rare mix of real baseball background and proven long-term results.This Opening Day MLB release is built for bettors who want more than hype. It is ...

Oskeim Sports

Event: (543) Toronto Raptors at (544) Utah Jazz: Spread

Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)

Date/Time: March 23, 2026 9:10 PM EDT

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Toronto Raptors -12.5 (-105)

Since 2009, NBA road favorites of five points or greater are 1823-1533-66 ATS (54.3%), while double-digit road favorites are 390-319-15 ATS (55%), including 192-107-6 ATS (64.2%) following the All-Star break, provided they have a non-division game on deck. Toronto falls into profitable 314-249-10 ATS (55.8%) and 264-201-11 ATS (56.8%) statistical profile indicators of mine that date to 1999 and invest on NBA road favorites of greater than eight points with certain turnover margins. Toronto arrives in Utah off back-to-back losses to the Nuggets (121-115) and Suns (120-98), which is significant because NBA road favorites coming off two or more consecutive losses are 830-675-25 ATS (55.1%) since 1999, including 359-264-7 ATS (57.6%) since the beginning of the 2017-18 season. The Raptors find support in a very good 341-212-12 ATS (61.7%) NBA Road Favorite Scoring Margin system of mine that dates to 1989 and invests on large road favorites with certain scoring margins. This situation has been 229-140-5 ATS (62.1%) since 2016, covering the spread by an average margin of +3.3 points per game. Finally, Toronto is a perfect 12-0 SU and ATS as a favorite of -12 or greater with at least two days of rest, winning by an average margin of 22.2 points per game and covering the spread by an average of 8.8 points per game. Lay the points with the Toronto Raptors as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Monday, March 23.

Released/revised 7 hour(s) ago

David Hess

Event: (545) Golden State Warriors at (546) Dallas Mavericks: Total

Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)

Date/Time: March 23, 2026 9:40 PM EDT

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Total Over 230.5 (-110)

Over 230.5 is the right side because Dallas keeps dragging games into a faster, offense-first script, and Golden State does not need to be at full strength to cash this kind of number against a defense playing this poorly. The Mavericks are fifth in the league in pace, they’ve allowed 132.0 points per game over their last five, and they’re giving up 118.3 per game at home, which is exactly the kind of defensive profile that can revive a Warriors offense that has looked shaky lately. Golden State is still scoring 114.8 points per game on the season, and more importantly, its defense has slipped as well, allowing 117.6 per game over the last five, so this is not a matchup where Dallas should have trouble getting into rhythm. The Mavericks have averaged 119.4 points per game over that same five-game stretch, and their season profile still points to offense because they rebound well, push tempo, and create more possessions than most teams in the league. When you combine Dallas’ pace with two defenses trending in the wrong direction, 230.5 is not asking for anything outrageous, especially if this game stays competitive into the final two minutes where fouls can tack on the extra points that push an over home.

Released/revised 8 hour(s) ago

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Oskeim Sports

Event: (41) Ottawa Senators at (42) New York Rangers: Moneyline

Sport/League: NHL (See all free NHL Hockey picks)

Date/Time: March 23, 2026 7:37 PM EDT

Free NHL Hockey Pick Today: Ottawa Senators -175

Since 2003, NHL conference road favorites of less than -250 are 3149-2125 (59.7%; +2.7% ROI). Ottawa is coming off a 5-2 win over the Maple Leafs on Saturday, while the Rangers enter off a disappointing 3-2 loss to Winnipeg yesterday. Those scheduling dynamics are significant because NHL favorites of less than -200 are 1587-990 (61.6%; +3.9% ROI) versus unrested opponents, including 541-309 (63.6%; +7.6% ROI) since the beginning of the 2020-21 season. Even better, .501 or greater rested favorites are 1080-539 (66.7%; +4.4% ROI) versus unrested opponents, including 414-174 (70.4%; +6.7% ROI) since the beginning of the 2020-21 season. Moreover, .501 or greater road favorites of -150 or greater coming off a win are 522-245 (68.1%; +3.0% ROI) versus .499 or worse conference opponents, including 421-192 (68.7%; +3.3% ROI) since the beginning of the 2011-12 season. Since 2003, NHL favorites averaging three or more goals per game coming off two or more consecutive games allowing two or fewer goals are 566-380 (59.8%; +1 ROI) since 2003, including 252-156 (61.8%; +2% ROI) since the beginning of the 2021-22 season. Finally, since 2003, NHL road favorites with fewer than three days of rest are 2359-1556 (60.3%; +2.0% ROI) with a road game on deck. Take the Ottawa Senators as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Monday, March 23.

Released/revised 9 hour(s) ago

The Gold Sheet

Event: (539) San Antonio Spurs at (540) Miami Heat: Dylan Harper Points

Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)

Date/Time: March 23, 2026 7:40 PM EDT

Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Dylan Harper Points Over 10.5 (-114)

The Spurs look to make it six straight wins tonight as they play in Miami against a Heat team looking to snap a four-game losing streak. We’ll look at backup point guard Dylan Harper going over 10.5 points with the Heat allowing the third most points per game to point guards over the last 15 days and ninth most to the position on the season. Harper got the spot start in their last game against the Pacers with both Stephon Castle and Devin Vassell sidelined due to injuries. Both are currently questionable at the time of this writing for tonight as Harper scored 24 points on 9-13 shooting in their absence. The second overall pick in 2025 is averaging 13 points per game in March on nearly 58% shooting and when these two met in San Antonio way back on October 30th Harper had 13 points on 5-10 shooting. The Heat run at the fastest pace of any team this season which will equate to more possessions all around and although Miami sits sixth in defensive rating this season, the rank just 25th in defensive rating over their last five games. With that, let’s take Harper to score over 10.5 points tonight in Miami against the Heat as the Spurs look to continue their winning ways.

Released/revised 11 hour(s) ago

Trent Bets

Event: (41) Ottawa Senators at (42) New York Rangers: Adam Fox Assists

Sport/League: NHL (See all free NHL Hockey picks)

Date/Time: March 23, 2026 7:37 PM EDT

Free NHL Hockey Pick Today: Adam Fox Assists Over 0.5 (116)

(41) Ottawa Senators at (42) New York Rangers: Adam Fox Assists

Adam Fox Assists Over 0.5 (+116)

*This is an unofficial free play for Trent Bets clients

I'm riding with Adam Fox to record an assist as my free daily player prop on Monday. Fox has been banged-up this season, but he's still nearly a point-per-game guy with 37 points in 43 games. The New York d-man has been rolling recently, logging 1+ assist in four of his last five games, as well as in 17 of his last 27 contests.

It's no surprise that Fox's return has provided some stability for the Rangers' offense. They've been on fire over the last 10 games, ranking fourth in G/60 minutes (3.77) and first in shooting percentage (16.59%). Fox plays an integral role for New York, walking the line on the top power-play unit and absorbing a solid 23:42 TOI/G overall. He'll be facing an Ottawa penalty kill that's 30th in the NHL (74.63%), while their goaltending core has combined to rank dead last in team SV% (.872). This is a great matchup for Fox to stay hot and log another apple.

Line Parameters: Play to -110

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Released/revised 11 hour(s) ago

Will Rogers

Event: (617) Texas at (618) Purdue: Spread

Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)

Date/Time: March 26, 2026 10:00 PM EDT

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Purdue -7.5 (-115)

[FREE PICK] on Purdue - ATS | Good until -9.5.

Texas enters the Sweet Sixteen as the only double-digit seed left, thanks largely to its ability to win close games late. However, I think that it's going to be different this time around. The Longhorns have had issues defending the three-point line, which is a dangerous weakness against a Purdue team that thrives from deep. The Boilermakers rank No. 1 in offensive efficiency and No. 8 in three-point shooting, giving them a massive advantage with the ball in their hands in this game. If Purdue finds its rhythm, it should be able to exploit Texas all game long. Add in a solid defensive performance, which the Boilermakers are most definitely capable of, and this could turn into a blowout.

Released/revised 16 hour(s) ago

Tokyo Brandon

Event: NC Dinos at Hanwha Eagles

Sport/League: KBO (See all free KBO League picks)

Date/Time: March 24, 2026 12:00 AM EDT

Free KBO League Pick Today: Hanwha Eagles -120

1. Game context

   • This is a KBO preseason game: starters are often shorter than regular-season outings, and managers are more willing to bridge with multiple pitchers. Hanwha manager Kim Kyung-moon explicitly said Ryu Hyun-jin and Wang Yan-cheng will both pitch, with Wang stretched toward about 80 pitches, and only around two relievers expected afterward. That materially reduces Hanwha bullpen exposure relative to a normal spring game.

   • NC’s official page still listed the March 23 starter as TBD, but manager comments reported by MyDaily/Nate said Kim Tae-gyeong was the current favorite to take that turn.

2. Recent form

   • Hanwha entered this game off two straight spring losses to Lotte, 12-6 and 10-6, after scoring 13 and 7 in the prior two games; NC entered off back-to-back losses to KT, 8-2 and 6-2. That leaves Hanwha’s offense warmer than NC’s, but Hanwha’s recent run prevention weaker.

   • 2026 preseason standings had NC 4-5-1 and Hanwha 4-6-0, so neither team had dominant spring form overall.

3. Probable starters and leash

   • Hanwha starter modeled: Ryu Hyun-jin. His 2025 KBO line was 3.23 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 139⅓ IP, 122 K, 25 BB. Because he just returned from the WBC, where he threw 3.0 IP/50 pitches vs Taiwan and 1⅔ IP/40 pitches vs Dominican Republic, I trimmed his likely spring outing to about 3.0–3.1 IP even though the manager left the exact limit to him.

   • NC starter modeled: Kim Tae-gyeong. His 2025 line was rough: 10.64 ERA, 2.45 WHIP in 11.0 IP, with 20 H and 9 BB allowed. That profile supports a short leash of roughly 3⅓ IP in this spot.

4. Pitcher-vs-opponent signal since 7/1/2024

   • Um Sang-back faced NC on April 18, 2025 and July 3, 2025, allowing 4 ER in 5.0 IP and 3 ER in 3⅔ IP respectively. Since today’s Hanwha plan is now Ryu/Wang, Um games only as a loose indicator that the NC core can scratch runs against Hanwha right-handed starters, but not as the main pitching baseline.

5. Likely lineups used for projections

   • NC has recently used a spring top/middle including Kim Joo-won, Park Min-woo, Park Gun-woo, Davidson, Kim Hwi-jip, Lee Woo-sung, Kim Hyung-jun, Kwon Hee-dong, Choi Jung-won.

   • Hanwha has recently used Oh Jae-won, Peraza, Moon Hyun-bin, Roh Si-hwan, Kang Baek-ho, Chae Eun-seong, Ha Ju-suk, Heo In-seo, Sim Woo-jun.

6. Bullpen condition / usage

   • Hanwha’s own manager effectively telegraphed a lower-stress bullpen plan for this game because Ryu + Wang are expected to cover most innings.

   • NC used a fuller bullpen chain on March 22 against KT after Koo Chang-mo threw only 2.0 IP, then went through six relievers. That raises NC’s late-game run-prevention risk slightly.

7. Run model

   • Baseline spring total from recent form and context: 8.6 runs.

   • Hanwha offense adjustment: +0.6 for stronger recent top-six and weaker projected NC starter.

   • NC offense adjustment: -0.3 for facing Ryu first, then Wang length, plus cooler spring environment.

   • Bullpen adjustment: +0.4 Hanwha / -0.1 NC because NC likely leans on more exposed middle relief while Hanwha should get longer bridge work from Wang.

   • Final projected scoring:

     • F5: Hanwha 2.8, NC 1.8

     • Full game: Hanwha 5.2, NC 4.1

1) Projected score chart

2) Starting pitcher projection chart

Modeled bulk/bridge note: Hanwha’s run prevention after Ryu assumes Wang Yan-cheng covers roughly 3.0 IP before the late relievers, because Hanwha’s manager explicitly said Ryu and Wang would share the game and Wang could go up to around 80 pitches.

3) Projected hitter stat chart

NC projected hitters

Hanwha projected hitters

4) Moneyline chart from projected score only

Bottom line:
F5 Hanwha 2.8 – NC 1.8
Final Hanwha 5.2 – NC 4.1

The biggest edges in the projection are Hanwha’s starting-pitching plan (Ryu + Wang) and NC’s shakier projected first arm / bullpen path.

Released/revised 20 hour(s) ago

Opening Day MLB Bet — 10-Year MLB Scout | #1 at WagerTalk 3 of Last 5 Years | 7 BUCKS!: $ 7.00
Start the MLB season with a pick from someone who has done more than just talk baseball. Tokyo Brandon spent 10 years as an MLB scout and has been #1 at WagerTalk 3 of the last 5 years, giving bettors a rare mix of real baseball background and proven long-term results.This Opening Day MLB release is built for bettors who want more than hype. It is ...