Oskeim Sports
Event: (649) Illinois at (650) Connecticut: Spread
Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)
Date/Time: April 4, 2026 6:09 PM EDT
Free College Basketball Pick Today: Illinois -2.0 (-110)
Illinois reached the Final Four by virtue of a 71-59 win over Iowa, limiting the Hawkeyes to 18-of-47 (38%) shooting from the field. That result is relevant because the Fighting Illini fall into a very good 303-227-12 ATS (57.2%) system of mine that dates to 2012 and invests on certain teams off a game in which they allowed fewer than 67 points. This situation is 95-60-3 ATS (61.3%) since the beginning of the 2021-22 season. Illinois is one of the best free-throw shooting teams in the nation, ranking 5th in FT% (78.0). which is significant because NCAA Tournament teams shooting 75% or better from the foul line are 203-155-3 ATS (56.7%), including 115-78 ATS (59.6%) since 2021. Even better, NCAA Tournament teams shooting 77% or better from the charity stripe are 85-58 ATS (59.4%), including 65-39 ATS (62.5%) since 2018. Illinois enters the Final Four off four consecutive ATS tournament wins, which is a ‘buy’ sign on the Fighting Illini because NCAA Tournament teams coming off four straight SU and ATS wins are 21-12-1 ATS (63.6%). In addition, college basketball teams coming off 4 consecutive ATS Tournament wins are 22-12-2 ATS (64.7%) from the Elite Eight Round forward, covering the spread by an average margin of +3.7 points per game. Finally, NCAA Tournament teams coming off a win over Duke, like the Huskies, are 2-8 SU and ATS (20%) in their next game, falling short of market expectations by an average margin of -4.5 points per game. Lay the points with the Fighting Illini as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Saturday, April 4.
Released/revised 38 minute(s) ago
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Tokyo Brandon
Event: (963) New York Yankees at (964) Seattle Mariners: Moneyline
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: March 31, 2026 9:40 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: New York Yankees -112 Max Fried (LHP), Logan Gilbert (RHP) Must Start
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_______
Fried brings the better run-prevention baseline after a 19-5, 2.86 ERA, 1.10 WHIP 2025 and a scoreless 6 1/3 in his 2026 opener; Gilbert’s baseline is still strong after a 3.44 ERA, 1.03 WHIP 2025, though his opener was a 5 1/3-IP, 3-ER outing. T-Mobile Park is still one of MLB’s most run-suppressing parks, with MLB listing it 30th in runs and hits and 20th in homers over 2023-25, while Statcast’s 2025 park factor page showed a 91 run factor there.
Seattle entered this game 5th in MLB in runs and 8th in OPS, while the Yankees were 15th in runs and 17th in OPS; on the mound, New York entered 1st in MLB team ERA and Seattle 8th. Sample too small to trust.
The roster/travel context is mildly favorable to Seattle. New York is continuing a West Coast trip from San Francisco to Seattle, while Seattle stays home after the Cleveland series, so there is no “returning home from road trip” flat-spot deduction for either club. Injury-wise, Anthony Volpe is out for the Yankees and J.P. Crawford out for Seattle, which affects the likely bottom-third lineup construction for both teams. Weather is mostly a non-factor here because the game is at T-Mobile Park, and ESPN listed Seattle gametime conditions in the mid-to-upper 50s.
The cleanest HTH Yankees note is Cody Bellinger: 5 AB, .600 AVG, 1.100 OPS vs. Gilbert. For Seattle vs. Fried, the preview snippet shows Randy Arozarena 0-for-4, Mitch Garver .929 OPS in 6 AB, and Josh Naylor with no prior matchup listed, which supports a conclusion of “some scattered familiarity, but not enough to override the core talent/park model.”.
Model build
I used this run framework:
Baseline SP run allowance over expected outing length: Fried 2.1 runs allowed over 6.0 IP; Gilbert 2.4 runs allowed over 5.2 IP.
Bullpen add-on: Yankees 1.4 runs over final 3.0 IP; Mariners 1.4 runs over final 3.1 IP.
Park adjustment: -0.35 total runs for T-Mobile suppression.
Night-game adjustment: -0.05 total runs.
No-bottom-9 adjustment: -0.05 runs from Seattle because New York is a slight road favorite in my model.
Travel/fatigue: -0.05 runs from New York for continued road travel; 0.00 for Seattle.
That lands here:
Projected full-game score: NYY 3.8, SEA 3.5
Projected full-game total: 7.3
1) Projected score boxes
1st 5 innings
Team | Projected Runs |
|---|---|
Yankees | 2.1 |
Mariners | 1.9 |
Full game
Team | Projected Runs |
|---|---|
Yankees | 3.8 |
Mariners | 3.5 |
2) Starting pitcher boxscore projection
Pitcher | Team | IP | ER | H | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Max Fried | NYY | 6 0/3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 1 |
Logan Gilbert | SEA | 5 2/3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 2 |
3) Projected hitter stat lines
Yankees
Hitter | AB | BB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Austin Wells | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Aaron Judge | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Cody Bellinger | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Paul Goldschmidt | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Giancarlo Stanton | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Ryan McMahon | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
José Caballero | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Trent Grisham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Mariners
Hitter | AB | BB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brendan Donovan | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cal Raleigh | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Julio Rodríguez | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Josh Naylor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Randy Arozarena | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Luke Raley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Dominic Canzone | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Cole Young | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Leo Rivas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Wager & Probability Analysis
Moneyline
Team | Model Win % | Fair Odds | Market Snapshot | Edge vs Fair | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yankees | 54.3% | -119 | -112 to -122 | from +7 cents to -3 cents | Thin edge |
Mariners | 45.7% | +119 | -108 to +102 | clearly worse than fair | No value |
Full-game total
Using model total 7.3:
Market | Model Prob | Fair Odds | Market Snapshot | Edge vs Fair | Value | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Over 7.0 | 52.3% (push excluded) | -110 | -118 | -8 cents | No value | 1 |
Under 7.0 | 47.7% (push excluded) | +110 | -102 | worse than fair | No value | 1 |
Over 7.5 | 44.6% | +124 | around +100 to -105 range at 7.5 markets | worse than fair | No value | 2 |
Under 7.5 | 55.4% | -124 | around -110 to -115 range at 7.5 markets | modest positive | Small value if you can get 7.5 | 2 |
Team rank snapshot, 1-30
Category | Yankees Rank | Mariners Rank | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
Starting pitcher this season | 1 | 8 | Team pitching ERA proxy through season to date |
Bullpen last 10 days | 1 | 8 | Same caveat: early-season proxy from team run prevention because official bullpen-only recent split was not cleanly exposed |
Lineup run production last 10 days | 15 | 5 | Official MLB team runs leaderboard, season-to-date proxy |
These are very small-sample ranks, so I’d treat them as descriptive, not predictive.
Why Yankees -112:
Fried has the stronger run-prevention profile entering the game.
In his 2026 opener, Max Fried went 6 1/3 scoreless innings with a 0.47 WHIP, while Logan Gilbert’s opener was 5 1/3 innings, 3 earned runs with a 5.06 ERA so far. That gives New York the cleaner starting-pitching floor.Fried’s form is exactly what you want for a road favorite in a low-total park.
Reuters’ game recap shows Fried allowed just 2 hits and 1 walk in that opener, and ESPN’s game page confirms this is at T-Mobile Park with Fried vs. Gilbert listed as the probable starters. In a lower-scoring environment, a steadier ace matters more.T-Mobile Park helps the better prevention side.
Statcast’s park factors list T-Mobile Park with a 91 run factor over the relevant rolling window, which is below league average and supports a suppressed-scoring game. That tends to help the side with the slightly better run-prevention projection, which in this matchup is New York because of Fried.The Yankees’ pitching staff has started hotter than Seattle’s.
The series preview notes New York opened the season by allowing just one run over three games in San Francisco. That supports the idea that if Fried gets them through six, the bullpen can protect a narrow edge.The market is close enough that even a modest SP edge can matter.
ESPN’s matchup page had this game around essentially a coin flip, with its predictor at SEA 52% / NYY 48%, and the betting line around Yankees -112 / Mariners -108. When the market is this tight, a model that prefers Fried and makes NYY closer to -119 can justify a small Yankees play.There is at least one notable Yankees batter with good history vs. Gilbert.
MLB’s preview snippet showed Cody Bellinger is 3-for-5 (.600) with a 1.100 OPS vs. Gilbert. Batter-vs-pitcher data is usually secondary, but in a tight game it is one more plus for New York rather than Seattle..
Released/revised 23 hour(s) ago
Teddy Covers
Event: (963) New York Yankees at (964) Seattle Mariners: Total
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: March 31, 2026 9:40 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Total Under 7.0 (-119) Max Fried (LHP), Logan Gilbert (RHP) Must Start
Take New York - Seattle UNDER (#963-964) (listed pitchers)
The 'Double Gamer' video below has my take on two West Coast Games for $5 Tuesday: Yankees - Mariners and Dodgers - Guardians. I'll do a brief write-up of the New York - Seattle here.
I'm listing pitchers here only because if either starter gets scratched, we'll be able to re-make this bet at a better number than the current widely available Under 7 (-120).
Unders beget more Unders when it comes to MLB betting. Cold lineups stay cold until proven otherwise; starting pitchers compete with one another for ace level showings and bullpens stay relatively fresh. The Yankees next Over in 2026 will be their first Over of the season -- a lineup that isn't hitting out on the West Coast just yet backed by a pitching staff that has been nothing short of 'lights out' thusfar. Five of the last six meetings between these two teams on this field have finished with final scores of 2-1 or 3-2. Expect more of the same tonight! Take the UNDER.
Released/revised 5 hour(s) ago
Oskeim Sports
Event: (891) Oklahoma at (892) Colorado: Spread
Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)
Date/Time: April 1, 2026 8:00 PM EDT
Free College Basketball Pick Today: Oklahoma -6.5 (-110)
Oklahoma (19-5) and Colorado (17-15) face off in the College Basketball Crown quarterfinals on Wednesday in Las Vegas, Nevada. Colorado arrives off back-to-back losses to Arizona (89-79) and Oklahoma State (92-83), with both games going over the posted totals of 156.5 and 164.5 points, respectively. Oklahoma enters off seven consecutive ATS wins, including covering against the Razorbacks (82-79) as 6.5-point underdogs in the SEC tournament. Since 2016, well-rested college basketball teams coming off three or more consecutive overs like Colorado are just 132-176-3 ATS (42.9%) versus opponents arriving off a neutral-site contest. This situation has been 72-103 ATS (41.1%) since the beginning of the 2021-22 season. Similarly, college basketball teams coming off an over are 162-208-2 ATS (43.8%) when playing with ten or more days of rest, provided one additional parameter is satisfied, including 56-109 ATS (33.9%) since the beginning of the 2022-23 season, falling short of market expectations by an average margin of 2.7 points per game. Finally, Oklahoma falls into a profitable 69-42 ATS (62.2%) system of mine that dates to 2017-18 and invests on certain college basketball teams coming off a game in which they attempted 65 or more field goals from Game 34 forward. This situation has been 55-27 ATS (67.1%) since the beginning of the 2022-23 season. Lay the points with the Oklahoma Sooners as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Wednesday, April 1.
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4. #1 BASKETBALL TOP PLAYS: 34-20 (63%)
5. TORRID MLB RUN: 101-60 (63%) | 4 TITLES
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Jackie Mack
Event: (513) Portland Trail Blazers at (514) Los Angeles Clippers: Spread
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: March 31, 2026 11:10 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Los Angeles Clippers -5.5 (-105)
The Clippers have dominated this team and enter this game on a five game winning streak and some momentum. The Clippers have been better at home while Portland has struggled on the road this season. The Clippers have a positive net rating and have the better defensive metrics while Portland has a negative net rating and have been inconsistent all season. Both will be battling in this game but the Clippers have the motivation to pull away late to win and cover and should control the pace while they lean on their veteran players like Kawhi, also having the edge at home too.
Bet: lay the small number with the Clippers.
Released/revised 7 hour(s) ago
Andy Lang
Event: (507) Toronto Raptors at (508) Detroit Pistons
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: March 31, 2026 8:10 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Daniss Jenkins OVER 14.5 Points
This is a buy-low spot after the number dropped from 16.5 to 14.5 following two slight unders (13 and 15). The key is nothing has changed with his role—he’s still getting 13–15 shot attempts per game and making around 6 field goals, which keeps him right on the edge of clearing this number even before free throws.
The recent dip is mostly due to variance at the line—he hasn’t made a free throw in the last two games, which is unlikely to continue. Any normal regression there pushes him comfortably over this total.
The matchup adds even more upside. Toronto is allowing 25.5 points per game to point guards, one of the worst marks in the league. With steady volume, expected bounce-back at the line, and a favorable defensive opponent, this number is simply too low.
Released/revised 8 hour(s) ago
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11-4 Run | +19 Units- The MLB run continues to deliver, now sitting at 11-4 for +19 units. The reads have been sharp early in the season, and we’re consistently finding spots where the numbers haven’t adjusted yet. This Best Bet stands out as the top play on the board and fits the same winning profile. Let’s keep stacking early-season profits ...
Steve Seagrave
Event: (513) Portland Trail Blazers at (514) Los Angeles Clippers
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: March 31, 2026 11:10 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Toumani Camara Points + Rebounds Over 18.5 (-122)
Seagrave is on a solid 7-4 run with his posted Free Picks since March 19th!
Next Winner HERE:
Toumani Camara OVER 18.5 Points + Rebounds (-122):
Jerami Grant has already been ruled out for this contest and Toumani Camara has covered this line 9 of his last 11 games without him on the court while averaging 17.8 points & 4.9 rebounds on 9.8 rebound chances per game. Without Grant, there is an extra 18+ points & 3+ rebounds per game on the table and Camara has been a clear beneficiary. Shaedon Sharpe also remains out and Camara has cleared this PR line in 3/3 games without both players on the floor while averaging 29.7 PR per game. The Los Angeles Clippers rank bottom 10 in defense against above-the-break threes where Camara does a ton his scoring and he's already had success in this matchup with 23 PR across 39 minutes in December. The Clippers are a strong defense, but they have allowed the 9th most points to opposing forwards during their last 15 games. We have seen multiple forwards eclipse their respective PR lines against LA including Obi Toppin (28), Marvin Bagley III (24), PJ Washington (27), Precious Achiuwa (38) and Matas Buzelis (29). Camara will see increased usage with solid rebounding opportunities, and this is a very manageable number in what should be a competitive game with a spread of -5.5.
*Playable at 19.5 or better w lower juice
Released/revised 9 hour(s) ago
Dan Kaiser
Event: (963) New York Yankees at (964) Seattle Mariners: Total
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: March 31, 2026 9:40 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Total Over 7.0 (-104) Max Fried (LHP), Logan Gilbert (RHP) Must Start
I am going against the grain here. Both offenses can explode at any time and put this game over. I can see why people will take the under. Fried dominated last season and had a great outing in his opener for the Yankees. Gibert has been consistently good and could shut down the Yankees. Neither pitcher will throw a complete game, and the Yankees' bullpen has been unreliable. I think this number is a little low, especially with the offensive potential from both teams.
Play on the OVER. This is a FREE play
Released/revised 9 hour(s) ago
The Gold Sheet
Event: (509) Dallas Mavericks at (510) Milwaukee Bucks
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: March 31, 2026 8:10 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Cooper Flagg (DAL) Over 32.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists at Milwaukee
As we head towards the last handful of games this regular season, Cooper Flagg looks to put a bow on a Rookie of the Year campaign as well look at him going over 32.5 points + rebounds + assists. Sure, the Mavericks have only won three games this month but tonight are small favorites on the road at Milwaukee against the Bucks. In their first head-to-head meeting way back in November Flagg had 39 points + rebounds + assists on 9-15 shooting and that was with the Bucks pretty much at full strength including Giannis Antetokounmpo who will be out once again tonight. Last night was a forgettable night for Flagg who had just 17 points + rebounds + assists on 5-19 shooting, but in the five games before that Flagg averaged 35.8 points + rebounds + assists per game. Those games were all against playoff contenders whereas Milwaukee’s season is pretty much over ranking 29th in defensive rating over the last 10 games. The Mavericks are running at the third fastest pace among all teams over their last 10 games so let’s take Flagg to remain competitive for Dallas going over 32.5 points + rebounds + assists against the Bucks who have allowed 128.2 points per game over their last four.
Released/revised 10 hour(s) ago
Cajun Sports
Event: (511) Cleveland Cavaliers at (512) Los Angeles Lakers: Spread
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: March 31, 2026 10:40 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Los Angeles Lakers -2.0 (-110)
CAJUN SPORTS COMPLIMENTARY SELECTION TUESDAY
SPORTS MEMO has all your favorite handicappers with a top play for ONLY $7 seven days a week! For Tuesday’s Complimentary Selection we turn to the NBA where the Cleveland Cavaliers are on the road in Los Angeles where they will take on the host Lakers. After losing to the Heat last week the Cavs offense has exploded over their last two outings, and they will be seeking their third win in a row. These teams will be playing the final game of their two-game season series with the Cavs rolling in the first meeting back in January where they won 129 to 99. The Lakers will be playing the second game of a back-to-back tonight. They do have some good news as they get Luka Doncic back in the lineup after a one game suspension. He was suspended for picking up his sixteenth technical foul against the Nets. It appears the Cavs will be without Jarrett Allen for this one and that could be a problem for them especially with Doncic returning to the Lakers lineup. Doncic has had success against this Cavs team, especially over their last ten meetings. Doncic has averaged just over thirty points per game, with almost eight rebounds per game while shooting fifty-two percent from the field and forty-three from long range. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 6.3 points in favor of the Lakers. The SIM Matrix has the LA Lakers with a 68.6 percent advantage against the Cleveland Cavaliers in this contest. Play AGAINST NBA teams from the Central Division playing on no more than one day’ rest and they are averaging a total of at least 231.5 on the season, 63-37 ATS (63%)(+$2,230). PLAY: LOS ANGELES LAKERS (-1.0 to -3.5)
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Joe Duffy
Event: (507) Toronto Raptors at (508) Detroit Pistons: Spread
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: March 31, 2026 8:10 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Toronto Raptors +2.5 (-112)
Turbo version of the counterintuitive pointspread vs points-per-game margin angle continues to deliver at 1038-736-29. When the line doesn’t align with surface metrics, we trust what the oddsmakers are signaling. The Outlaw Line slots this just below premium status, but it remains a strong, qualified play.
Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy brings a tight, high-efficiency card today—two MLB sides targeting value-rich dogs and short favorites, plus the top NBA side and a premier total. This is a precision-based approach built on proven analytics and disciplined execution.
Released/revised 10 hour(s) ago
Pro Sports Picks
Event: (513) Portland Trail Blazers at (514) Los Angeles Clippers
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: March 31, 2026 11:10 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Los Angeles Clippers -197
PSP Data Driven play on Clippers.
At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.
Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games. Portland is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games against LA Clippers.
Released/revised 16 hour(s) ago
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Billy Coleman
Event: (505) New York Knicks at (506) Houston Rockets: Spread
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: March 31, 2026 8:10 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Houston Rockets +1.0 (-110)
I think the wrong team is favored here tonight as you have the Knicks a slight favorite over Houston. In the first meeting it took a a huge rally by the Knicks in the 4th quarter ( 33-15 ) to overtake Houston 108-106 as a 3.5 point favorite. Houston had a team meeting prior to the Memphis game and have now rattled off 2 consecutive double digit wins. NY was an 8.5 point underdog to OKC. So this line is telling me that OKC is 9 points better than Houston on a neutral court ? I look for Houston to gain a season split with NY this evening. Take the Rockets.
Released/revised 13 hour(s) ago
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MLB 4% BEST BET " GOLD CLUB ELITE" 4% PLAYS A PIPING HOT 9-2 81% + 24.5 UNITS: $ 7.00
Billy stepped out with his first Best Bet of the MLB season last night a 4-0 winner on Atlanta. Two things to keep in mind, one is Billy does not give out pricey favorites in baseball. and 2, his 4% Best Best are on a scorching 9-2 81% run. A 4% Best Bet awaits for just $7 !
Razor Ray Monohan
Event: (649) Illinois at (650) Connecticut
Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)
Date/Time: April 4, 2026 6:09 PM EDT
Free College Basketball Pick Today: Under +140 (-110)
UNDER 140
UCONN and Illinois meet in the Final 4 and the under is worth a move. UConn’s defense has been a difference maker all season and especially in the tournament. They shut down shooters and they’re one of the best defensive rebounding teams. They’re going to set the tone earlier and force Illinois into a much slower game than they’d like. This is going to be a half court type of game with both teams slowing the tempo down. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Tonight’s FREE selection is a strong lean on the UNDER 140 to 138. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.
Saturday FREE Final 4 O/U Play
The wins keep stacking. EN FUEGO! +125.82 units, 60.1% Winning Percentage (140-93-3) , 18.8% ROI since Mid-Dec! The board is live and today’s card is posted. Today’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a Top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he's locked in right now. Clients are cashing, the consistency is showing, and he's climbing the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.
Released/revised 23 hour(s) ago
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+45.44 UNITS, 53.2% (156-137-3) MLB | +125.82 UNITS, 60.1% (140-93-3) OVERALL | 5.2% ROI MLB | 18.8% ROI OVERALL— Razor heads to the MLB board with a 3★ release. This selection is included with Razor’s Long Term and Seasonal Sports Passes. This is where the numbers line up.
Pavlos Laguretos
Event: (225217) Bolivia at (225218) Iraq
Sport/League: SOC (See all free Soccer picks)
Date/Time: March 31, 2026 11:00 PM EDT
Free All Soccer Pick Today: Miguel Terceros Anytime Goalscorer Including Extra Time (+440)
Iraq vs Bolivia
World Cup Qualifiers, Tuesday, 11pm ET
Play: Miguel Terceros Anytime Goalscorer Including Extra Time
Odds at Time of Release: +440 FanDuel
Line Parameter: Line good to +250, if line not available, take Miguel Terceros Anytime Goalscorer up to +250
Pretty balanced odds here, Iraq are -117 to Qualify, Bolivia are -107, as for regulation, Iraq are +150 favourites, the Draw at +220 and Bolivia +190 underdogs here, with the Spread at PK, or 0.25, depending where you look, and the total at 2.25 goals.
Iraq will be looking to make their second World Cup in their history, and for the first time since 1986, while Bolivia will be looking to return to the World Cup after 1994, and for the 4th time. So both teams are more than hungry for a ticket here.
This match is played in Mexico, so no home advantage for either side, maybe a bit for Bolivia, who are more likely to have fans there instead of Iraqis, with all that's going on in the Middle East. In fact, the team had to take a private jet out of Iraq, and the situation was up in the air until a few days ago.
Skipping sides and totals, this is a very tough game for me to pick a side or a total. Going with a player prop here, this is a game that I can't read too well, but I saw a pretty big price (and a bookie mistake) and the stats are solid.
Bolivia's Miguelito (or Miguel Terceros) scored in their last match vs Suriname, and he was by far their best scorer in the South American Qualifiers, with 7 goals in 13 matches, and actually finished 2nd in the scoring table behind only Lionel Messi.
Now here's the weird part on FanDuel. He is +410 to score anytime, which means that this bet stands for 90 minutes only. But he is +440 to score anytime INCLUDING EXTRA TIME, a price better by 30 cents and we also get 30 more minutes of extra time. Not sure what's going on with the odds there, but we ride.
Miguel Terceros Anytime Goalscorer Including Extra time is +440 at FanDuel. Can't find it? Pivot to Miguel Terceros Anytime Goalscorer (+410 FD), I'd bet this to +250
The Play is Miguel Terceros Anytime Goalscorer Including Extra Time (+440 FanDuel), line good to +250. If line not available, take Miguel Terceros Anytime Goalscorer up to +250
Released/revised 1 day(s) ago
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