Tokyo Brandon
Event: (607) BYU at (608) Baylor: Spread
Sport/League: CBB (See all free College Basketball picks)
Date/Time: February 10, 2026 7:00 PM EST
Free College Basketball Pick Today: Baylor +3.5 (-118)
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Stat Comparison (Since Jan 1, 2026)
(Where available from recent official box/season stats)
Category | BYU Cougars | Baylor Bears |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 86.7 | 84.1 |
Points Allowed Per Game | 73.0 | 75.0 |
Top 2 Scorers (Season Averages) | AJ Dybantsa ~25.3 ppg, | Cameron Carr ~19.6 ppg, |
Assist Leaders | Egor Demin ~3.1–5.2 apg (over last 10/season) | Obi Agbim ~5.2 apg |
Top 2 Rebound Leaders | Richie Saunders ~5.8 rpg (last 10) | Cameron Carr ~5.8 rpg (last 10) |
Injuries / Availability | No major injuries reported at time of search (~no news alerts) | No major injuries reported |
Season Trends (Since 1/1/26)
Compiled from trend data sources where available
Category | BYU | Baylor |
|---|---|---|
Last 10 SU | Mixed results with 4-6 in last 10 | Also mixed 5-5 in last 10 |
ATS (last 10) | Slightly volatile, lack of dominant trend | Also middling ATS performance |
O/U Results | 6/10 Overs (points > listed totals) | 5/10 Overs |
Home/Away Splits | Very strong at home; unbeaten at home in many recent seasons | Baylor middling at home (9-4) |
Losing/Winning Margins | Recent losses include double-digit deficits vs top teams | Win/loss margins fluctuate; blowout wins & close losses |
Player Matchup Notes
BYU’s AJ Dybantsa is the central offensive engine, averaging 25+ ppg over recent games, and BYU’s offense runs through him and Richie Saunders — both capable of creating consistent scoring. Their assist rate helps keep possessions high and efficient. Baylor’s top scorers like Cameron Carr and Tounde Yessoufou provide a balanced scoring attack, but Baylor’s defensive lapses have allowed high opponent scoring.
In rebounding, both teams pull similar numbers, but BYU’s recent defensive boards have halted second-chance opportunities while Baylor has had variable rebounding success. Assist/leaders indicate BYU can generate quality shots, while Baylor’s assist numbers show good ball movement — meaning this likely won’t be a low-possession grind. Both teams have faced top competition (BYU four straight losses to ranked teams and Baylor losses/near losses), so level-of-competition suggests adjustments on both sides will matter — particularly late game execution and turnovers.
Why I like it:
BYU is on a 4-game skid (and the recent scores have swung wildly).
Baylor’s last 10 are much more “Big 12 rock fight”: I totaled Baylor’s last 10 from their schedule—70.9 scored / 75.4 allowed (avg total 146.3).
BYU last 10 (from their schedule) come out around 83.7 scored / 81.7 allowed (avg total 165.4)—but their away defense in that stretch is the soft spot, and this is a road spot into a pace-controlling opponent.
Released/revised 56 minute(s) ago
Steve Seagrave
Event: (501) Detroit Pistons at (502) Charlotte Hornets: LaMelo Ball Points + Rebounds + Assists
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: February 9, 2026 7:10 PM EST
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: LaMelo Ball Points + Rebounds + Assists Under 32.5 (-124)
LaMelo Ball Points + Rebounds + Assists Under 32.5 (-124):
LaMelo Ball has fallen short of this line in 14 of 17 games with the combination of Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges and Kon Knueppel on the court when playing against teams ranked above average in PRAs allowed to opposing guards. During those games, Ball has averaged 26 PRAs and with those three players active he sees -4.5% decrease in usage rate and a -4.7% decrease in assist rate. Now Ball is facing a Detroit Pistons team that ranks #1 in PRAs allowed to opposing guards including the 4th fewest PRA s allowed to opposing point guards with an average of 31.9 per game. We have seen 9 of the last 15 similar guards fall short of their respective PRA lines against the Pistons. Ball already faced Detroit in December, and he finished with only 15 PRAs across 23 minutes of play. We have a low total in this game at 222.5 and there are plenty of mouths to feed in Charlotte nowadays, lets fade LaMelo in a brutal matchup.
Released/revised 2 hour(s) ago
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Tom Macrina
Event: (507) Milwaukee Bucks at (508) Orlando Magic: Spread
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: February 9, 2026 7:40 PM EST
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Milwaukee Bucks +11.0 (-112)
I like the Bucks +11 as a solid play here. The spread feels inflated given the matchup dynamics.
Milwaukee has shown real momentum lately, winning and covering in each of their last three games. They're on a three game winning streak overall, battling through injuries (notably without Giannis) but finding ways to grind out results and keep games competitive.
Orlando, meanwhile, has been frustratingly inconsistent this season. Despite a decent record, their defense has slipped to middle of the pack levels, and the offense has regressed at times amid ongoing injury issues and uneven effort. They've struggled to string together wins—rarely building momentum, with long stretches of alternating results or bigger losses against quality opponents. Home court advantage helps, but this doesn't scream like a blowout setup.
This is the first of a rare back to back between these two teams in Orlando, which could introduce fatigue or adjustment factors, especially for a Bucks squad already showing resilience on the road.
Double digit spreads in NBA games often overprice favorites when the underdog is hot and the home team isn't dominating consistently. The Bucks have the recent form to hang around, keep it within single digits for much of the game, or make a late push. Value lies with Milwaukee getting the points.
Play: Bucks +11
Let's cash some tickets!
Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago
Tom Macrina
Event: (503) Chicago Bulls at (504) Brooklyn Nets: Spread
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: February 9, 2026 7:40 PM EST
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Brooklyn Nets +4.0 (-108)
The Chicago Bulls are in a rough spot right now, losers of their last four games with no signs of covering spreads consistently in that stretch. Zooming out, they've only managed one win in their last seven (1-6), highlighting a team that's struggling to find any rhythm or defensive consistency.
As road favorites, the Bulls have been particularly unreliable this season—I can't trust them in that spot. Their overall road record is poor, and when favored away from home, they've failed to cover in most cases, often getting exposed against motivated or desperate opponents.
Meanwhile, the Brooklyn Nets just snapped a funk with a convincing home win over the Washington Wizards (127-113 on Feb 7), showing some offensive pop and swagger at Barclays Center. They're coming in as sizable underdogs, but this feels like a classic spot where the line could move toward the favorite as public money piles on Chicago—similar to patterns we've seen in other recent Bulls matchups.
Given the Bulls current skid, road favorite issues, and the Nets fresh momentum at home, I'm fading Chicago here.
Play: Nets +4.5
Let's cash some tickets!
Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago
Bryan Power
Event: (515) Oklahoma City Thunder at (516) Los Angeles Lakers: Team Total
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: February 9, 2026 10:10 PM EST
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Oklahoma City Thunder Total Over 115.0 (-112)
The Lakers still have a bottom eight defensive rating and even without SGA, OKC should still eclipse its team total for this evening's game on Peacock.
Jalen Williams will be back and the Thunder also recently acquired Jared McCain from the Sixers. So that should soften the blow of not having SGA in the lineup.
OKC averages 119.9 points per game for the season. Coming off B2B 106-point efforts and seeking to avoid what would be the team's first 3-game SU losing streak of the season, we should see some offense from them tonight.
Released/revised 5 hour(s) ago
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Dan Kaiser
Event: (503) Chicago Bulls at (504) Brooklyn Nets: Spread
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: February 9, 2026 7:40 PM EST
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Chicago Bulls -4.0 (-110)
The Bulls (24-29) are looking to snap a four-game losing streak and trail Charlotte by one game for tenth place in the Eastern Conference standings. The Brooklyn Nets have dropped eight of their last ten games. Chicago G Josh Giddey has been sidelined with a hamstring injury and is listed as doubtful for this contest. These two teams rank in the bottom seven of the league in defensive efficiency. The Bulls have a lot of new players who are trying to show something to the Bulls or other teams in the league.
Play on Chicago. This is a FREE PLAY!
Released/revised 5 hour(s) ago
Joe Duffy
Event: (515) Oklahoma City Thunder at (516) Los Angeles Lakers: Spread
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: February 9, 2026 10:10 PM EST
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Oklahoma City Thunder -6.5 (-114)
This one checks every elite box.
The proven angle of angry road favorites off a loss vs. home teams off a win has delivered 313-197-10 long term — and the situational setup is textbook.
Then comes the Luck Factor edge, where sharp analytics expose regression spots the market lags on.
OKC sits at -3.0, the Lakers at +4.8, creating a massive 7.8-point Luck Gap in favor of the Thunder. That’s the kind of hidden value pros hunt relentlessly.
Bounce-back mode activated.
After a rare off Saturday, the Grandmaster answered immediately with a dominant 5-1 day. That’s how elite professionals operate.
Joe Duffy Records
· All Sports: 352-284
· Basketball: 192-150
Monday is locked and loaded with 5 NBA winners, led by TWO highest-rated Wise Guy plays — the gold standard in sports betting. A 4-0 college basketball sweep is on deck.
Best in show.
You can ride along… or watch it happen again.
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Razor Ray Monohan
Event: (513) Cleveland Cavaliers at (514) Denver Nuggets
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: February 9, 2026 9:10 PM EST
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Over +239.5 (-110)
OVER 239.5
Cleveland and Denver meet and this game should produce a lot of fireworks. With the acquisition of Harden, we saw this Cavs team look a lot better as they continued to push the tempo offensively. They have another scoring threat and Denver has struggled defensively. They’re allowing nearly 117 ppg and they’ve been able to overcome that thanks to their 120.4 ppg offensively. This has the makings of a back and forth game all night long as we’ll see both teams push the issue in transition. Back the over. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Tonight’s FREE selection is a strong lean on the OVER. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.
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Released/revised 8 hour(s) ago
Oskeim Sports
Event: (501) Detroit Pistons at (502) Charlotte Hornets: Spread
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: February 9, 2026 7:10 PM EST
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Detroit Pistons -2.5 (-115)
Since 1989, NBA road favorites priced between -2 and -5 in games with totals of 210 to 235 points are 470-385-17 ATS (55%) in the second half of the regular season. Charlotte returns home from a 126-119 win at Atlanta and is looking to avenge a 112-86 loss to the Piston on December 20. However, since 1989, NBA teams with same-season revenge in competitively priced games are 112-160-2 ATS (41.2%) versus opponents coming off a home win by 20 or more points. These teams have gone 32-52 ATS (38.1%) since 2016. The Pistons arrive off a 118-80 win over New York in which they limited the Knicks to 35.0% shooting from the field, which is significant because NBA teams coming off a game in which they limited their opponent to a field goal percentage of .360 or less are 161-125-6 ATS (56.3%). Finally, Detroit falls into a profitable 140-91-9 ATS (60.6%) contrarian system of mine that dates to 1989 and invests against certain .311 or greater teams coming off four or more consecutive wins. Take Detroit as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Monday, February 9.
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Ralph Michaels
Event: (515) Oklahoma City Thunder at (516) Los Angeles Lakers: Total
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: February 9, 2026 10:10 PM EST
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Total Under 223.5 (-110)
(515) Oklahoma City Thunder at (516) Los Angeles Lakers: Total
Total Under 223.5 (-110)
When both teams have win% 58%+ and if the Fav of -3 of -3 & higher won the last meeting by 10+ pts the O/U is 104-171-9 (38%)
OKC is 2-7 O/U as an AF with both team on 1 day rest
The Lakers are 10-19 O/U as a Dog/Fav to -5
Released/revised 8 hour(s) ago
Ben Burns
Event: (509) Sacramento Kings at (510) New Orleans Pelicans: Total
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: February 9, 2026 8:10 PM EST
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Total Over 231.0 (-110)
Both these teams rank in the bottom five in terms of points allowed. They each concede more than 120 ppg. Off 12 straight losses, the Kings aren't winning. They're still scoring though. Saturday saw them lose 132-126. They've gone over the 110 mark in each of their last four games, reaching at least 125 in two of those. The Pelicans upset Minnesota last game, 119-115. Their previous game was a 141-137 loss, 256 of those points coming in regulation. The last meeting finished with 273 points, 254 in regulation. Another high-scoring affair seems likely.
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Tim Michael
Event: (517) Memphis Grizzlies at (518) Golden State Warriors: Spread
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: February 9, 2026 10:10 PM EST
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Golden State Warriors -6.5 (-115)
T.M. Selection: Warriors.
The Grizz are a pathetic 9-15 on the road, while the Warriors are 17-9 at home. Golden State is looking to bounce back following a 105-99 loss to the Lakers, but they crushed the Grizzlies here 131-118 back in October, and I'm predicting a similar outcome here as well. The Grizz come in with zero momentum after back-to-back losses at Portland and I think they'll struggle here as well vs. the motivated home side; consider the Warriors!
T.M. Prediction: 122-100 Golden State.
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The Gold Sheet
Event: (517) Memphis Grizzlies at (518) Golden State Warriors
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: February 9, 2026 10:10 PM EST
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Pat Spencer (GSW) Over 18.5 Points + Rebounds vs Memphis
It’s brother vs brother in tonight’s Grizzlies vs Warriors game as Cam and Pat Spencer with Steph Curry still sidelined for Golden State. If you look at Pat Spencer’s season stats you might be puzzled why we’re taking him to go over 18.5 points + rebounds but he’s been a focal point of this Warriors team as of late with Curry recovering from injury. He has averaged 20.5 points + rebounds in the last three games for Golden State in which Curry has missed while shooting 54% overall from the field and an even better 58% from three-point range. He has seen 29 minutes per game across his last three which is a far cry from the 15 minutes per game he has been averaging for the season. Spencer only got one minute of action the last time these two teams met so you’ll know he’ll be itching to get on the court as a starter this time around against his brother. Spencer should have plenty of scoring and rebounding opportunities with the Grizzlies running at the sixth fastest pace this season and playing without a true big man as of late trading away Jaren Jackson Jr. along with Jock Landale at the trade deadline. Zach Edey and Santi Aldama are still sidelined with injuries with 6’8 Kyle Anderson filling in as the de-facto center. The Grizzlies sit dead last in defensive rating across their last five games so let’s go with Pat Spencer to be active on both sides of the floor for the Warriors going over 18.5 points + rebounds against a floundering Grizzlies team tonight.
Released/revised 10 hour(s) ago
The Insiders Room
Event: (513) Cleveland Cavaliers at (514) Denver Nuggets: Spread
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: February 9, 2026 9:10 PM EST
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Cleveland Cavaliers 0.0 (-110)
FREE PLAY on the Cavaliers.
The Nuggets are 14-10 SU at home and only 12-12 ATS, while Cleveland is 15-10 SU on the road.
The Nuggets just snapped a three-game slide with a 136-120 win at Chicago, but they struggled at Cleveland last month, falling 113-108.
The Cavaliers have won three straight and we think they carry that momentum over here, as they look to take advantage of a still banged-up Denver side that's missing key pieces.
Our suggestion is to lay the short points with confidence.
Good luck, TIR
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Mike Lundin
Event: (501) Detroit Pistons at (502) Charlotte Hornets: Total
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: February 9, 2026 7:10 PM EST
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Total Under 223.5 (-112)
Pistons vs Hornets NBA Free PICK
The Angle(s): Both teams are close to 60% to the under on the season and nine of the last 10 meetings have stayed under the total. The Charlotte Hornets have really evolved as a team, and they've made huge progress defensibly holding six of their last 10 opponents to fewer than 100 points. With the Hornets 70% to the under against teams with a winning record, I like the under at this number.
The Bet: UNDER.
Released/revised 13 hour(s) ago
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Kings/Pelicans NBA BOOKIE BU$TER: $ 7.00
Four straight profitable NBA seasons until an off year 2024, and this year Mike is destined to bounce back! For Monday, Mike has a solid pick on Kings v. Pelicans!Looking to turn your sports interest into a second income? Mike “The Moneymaker” Lundin is your guy. His picks don’t just win, they teach you how to think like a pro, breaking dow ...
Ricky Tran
Event: (515) Oklahoma City Thunder at (516) Los Angeles Lakers
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: February 9, 2026 10:10 PM EST
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Oklahoma City Thunder -202
Ricky's play on OKC.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- Oklahoma City is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games against an opponent in the Pacific Division.
- Oklahoma City is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games played in February.
- Oklahoma City is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings.
Verdict: The value is on the road favorite.
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The Money Baller
Event: (507) Milwaukee Bucks at (508) Orlando Magic: Total
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: February 9, 2026 7:40 PM EST
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Total Over 218.5 (-110)
Even if both teams look clunky offensively at first glance, the defensive form says we don’t need perfection to clear 218.5. Orlando has been struggling defensively in recent games, but also add in the fact they play faster and are efficient offensively at home and we are looking at a bunch of possessions and points for both sides.
Using themoneyballer.com's stats, insights, tools and models...there are multiple paths to the over. Orlando generates points at the stripe and Milwaukee lives behind the arc. If Milwaukee gets anything resembling normal 3-point shot quality (especially above-the-break), Orlando’s free-throw pressure does the rest and keeps the scoring line moving even through half-court droughts. That’s why we are on the Over 218.5, good up to 220.5.
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Since joining the site, The Money Baller Play of the Day is hitting at 66.7%, and that’s not by accident. The process is simple, repeatable, and disciplined. We’re not chasing steam or guessing outcomes...we’re letting the data lead and the market follow.This matchup is a huge mismatch, and the number doesn’t come close to reflecting it. Th ...
Jimmy Adams
Event: (513) Cleveland Cavaliers at (514) Denver Nuggets: Spread
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: February 9, 2026 9:10 PM EST
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: Denver Nuggets +1.0 (-110)
Nikola Jokic is averaging a triple double this season and hasn't missed a beat since his return from injury. With James Harden still figuring things out in a Cavs uniform, look for Denver to pick up the victory in front of the home fans tonight. Take the Nuggets.
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