Free Handicapping Plays - Sports Picks from Premium Cappers

Take Houston (#464)

While the recreational bettors fall in love with their favorite quarterback when it comes to betting Week 1 of the NFL, experienced pros know that getting stops – the better defense – is every bit as important as having an elite QB.  The Texans defense is better than the Bills defense on all three levels; one of many ‘depth concerns’ issues that Buffalo has after signing Josh Allen to his fat long term contract.  I trust Houston to get a key fourth quarter stop far more than Buffalo -- so crucial in this pointspread range -- just like they did last year when they held Matthew Stafford and the Rams to 14 points in Week 1.  This time around, however, I expect the Texans revamped offensive line to hold up; a game I expect them to win.  That said, I’d rather take the point and a half here ‘just in case’ of a tight finish -- the moneyline payout simply isn’t worth it.  Take the Texans

Eury Pérez hasn't been very good recently. In his most recent start, he allowed nine hits, three walks and six earned runs in 4 2/3 innings. In his previous start, he allowed five earned runs, while walking four, in just three innings. That's 11 earned runs (and seven walks) in 7 2/3 innings. Those games finished with 15 and 11 runs. Tong has only made three major league appearances this season. None of them were starts and the most recent was back in early June. For his career, the 23-year old has a 6.28 ERA and 1.67 WHIP. He's backed by a mediocre Miami bullpen. Entering Sunday, Marlin games averaged 8.61 runs and NY games averaged 8.65. With one unproven starter and another struggling starter, this should be a relatively high-scoring affair.

Nationals +187

Washington and Los Angeles meet on Sunday and the Nats have value. Andrew Alvarez has been a solid, consistent pitcher for this Nationals side over the last month. He’s been able to work deep into games and he’s not allowing a lot of traffic on the bases. Justin Wrobleski will have his hands full against one of the top run producing offenses in the game. The value is with Washington. Back the Nats. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the NATS ML. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Sunday FREE MLB ML Play

2-3 SATURDAY! FOOTBALL IS HERE! +150.42 units, 58.2% Winning Percentage (219-157-4) , 13.7% ROI since Mid-Dec! The current run has been strong, and today’s card is posted. A BIG 3× Play Card is up for today, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

The Dodgers enter Sunday night with momentum after winning three straight games and six consecutive meetings with Washington. Los Angeles owns the more reliable starting-pitching profile with Justin Wrobleski, who is 11-5 with a 3.65 ERA and has gone 4-2 at home this season. Wrobleski has also recorded at least five strikeouts in seven of his last eight home appearances and has won three of his last four outings against National League East opponents. Andrew Alvarez has pitched reasonably well for Washington, but his 2-6 record includes a 1-3 mark on the road, and the Nationals have struggled to provide him with consistent support. Washington has also lost four of its last five overall and nine consecutive road games against National League opponents. Los Angeles also possesses an elite pitching staff that ranks first in baseball in both opponent batting average (.220) and hits allowed. The series history is also overwhelmingly favorable, with the Dodgers winning six straight against Washington and covering the run line in six consecutive Sunday meetings.

Technically speaking, large favorites with the same or better record as their opponent over the last ten games are 2656-1067 SU (71.3%; +1.2% ROI) and 1735-1469 RL (+1.0% ROI), including 1244-466 SU (72.8%; +2.2% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average margin of 2.0 runs per game. Los Angeles falls into a very good 1687-714 (70.3%; +1.9% ROI) and 1058-958 RL (+1.8% ROI) Home Favorite Run Differential system of mine that invests on certain home favorites of -200 or greater and is 824-328 (71.5%; +3.5% ROI) and 620-527 RL (+3.4% ROI) since 2015, winning by an average of 2.0 runs per game. In contrast, Washington falls into very negative 3075-5417 (36.2%; -3.8% ROI), 2609-4642 (36%; -4.2% ROI), and 940-2282 (29.2%; -10.2% ROI) and 1322-1516 RL (-6.0% ROI) systems of mine that date to 2005 and invest against certain road underdogs versus .551 or greater opponents. The latter situation has lost by an average margin of 1.8 runs per game over the last two decades.

Los Angeles is supported by a plethora of team-specific trends, including:

• The Dodgers are 316-139 SU (69.5%; +9.3% ROI) and 214-200 RL (+6.6% ROI) in home games following two or more consecutive wins, provided they have a .531 or better record and are playing league opponents;

• The Dodgers are 186-68 SU (73.2%; +10.4% ROI) and 133-120 RL (+6.9% ROI) at home following a home win in which they hit fewer than two home runs;

• The Dodgers are 46-3 SU (93.9%; +33.6% ROI) and 34-14 RL (70.8%; +35.5% ROI) as large favorites in the final game of a series following a one-run win, winning by an average margin of 2.8 runs per game since 2003; and

• The Dodgers are 231-126 SU (64.7%; +9.6% ROI) and 170-164 RL (+1% ROI) when going for a series sweep since 2005.

With Wrobleski pitching well at home, Washington struggling on the road, and Los Angeles carrying the superior lineup and current form, take the Dodgers as Jeff Keim's Free Pick Winner for Sunday, September 6.

Washington Commanders Over/Under 7.5 Regular Season Wins **THIS IS A 4% CLIENT RELEASE PLAY** 11-3 L-14 FREE PLAYS

4% Washington Commanders UNDER 7.5 Regular Season Wins (-115) **Line already moved from +105 to -115**

UPDATE 8/31 11:30 AM EST: Watch my YouTube Video for a full breakdown of this play:

UPDATE 8/9 12:30 PM EST: Washington just lost their top OL LT Tunsil for probably the season, this line could move a little, get it in!

Washington went 5-12 last year, and I’m not buying a three-win jump.

Jayden Daniels played only 7 games in 2025 and dealt with a knee sprain, hamstring injury and dislocated elbow. He also led all NFL quarterbacks with 8.3 rushing attempts per game. After 148 carries as a rookie, his style continues to expose him to significantly more contact than the average QB. Durability has to be priced into this number.

Washington also replaced both coordinators. David Blough takes over the offense and Daronte Jones takes over the defense, and both will be first-time NFL play callers.

They’ve added some names on defense, but per PFF, only 2 projected defensive starters carry grades over 70. This was a bad defense last year, and I’m not convinced the makeover fixes it overnight.

They also have only 8 true home games, with the Colts “home” game being played in London, and they open @ Philadelphia and @ Dallas.

Looking at the first 11 games, I project Washington to be favored in only 1 or 2 of them.

I don’t need Washington to be bad.

7-10 cashes this ticket.

Coming off 5 wins, with Daniels’ injury history and rushing workload, two first-time play callers, a questionable defense and this schedule, 7.5 is too high.