BTC Sports
Event: (234153) Austria at (234154) Italy
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: June 26, 2021 3PM EDT
Play: Italy Total Over 1.5 (-135)
Dating back to the last round of EURO qualification in November 2019, Austria has only kept a clean sheet in four of their last 16 matches. Latvia (The No. 138 team in the world) and the Faroe Islands (No. 113) have each scored on Austria. Austria allowed 1.55 expected goals per game during the group stage, and that was in the weakest group of the tournament with North Macedonia. Dating back to the beginning of EURO qualification in March 2019, Italy has scored 2+ goals in 19 of their last 24 matches. Italy generated 2.3 expected goals per game in their group stage matches, and I don't see any reason why they won't slip a couple past Austria on Saturday. At the time of posting, Italy team total over 1.5 is available at: Pinnacle (-128); DraftKings (-137); William Hill (-137); and Caesars (-140).
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