Free NFL Handicapping Plays - Sports Picks from Premium Cappers

The Texans went toe-to-toe with the Bills last week. They came up short but gave a good Buffalo team all it could handle. Having lost, they'll be feeling some extra urgency. They weren't happy with their defense against Buffalo and are determined to be better on that side of the ball this week. Recall that the Texans were 12-5 last season, 7-2 at home. The Bengals were certainly better than their record indicated last year, at least when Burrow was at QB. However, they will still 6-11. This team hasn't fixed everything. Yes, they beat the Bucs at home. However, they benefitted from four Tampa fumbles and still only won by six. The Texans have won nine of the past 11 h2h meetings, including four of the past five. Expect them to bounce back and continue that series success on Sunday afternoon.

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FREE WINNER: Commanders/Cowboys Over

Both teams showed defensive vulnerabilities in Week 1. The Cowboys' defense surrendered 28 points to the Giants and allowed them to convert 9 of 11 third downs. Meanwhile, the Commanders defense gave up 24 points to the Eagles. If we look at their head-to-head meetings, the over has hit in five of the last six meetings between these division rivals. Additionally, dating back into their recent team histories, the over has cleared in eight of Washington's last ten games and eight of Dallas' last nine. With dynamic quarterbacks like Jayden Daniels and Dak Prescott operating against struggling defensive units, you can expect a high scoring game that easily exceeds the total here. Play the Over.

Take Kansas City - Indianapolis OVER (#277-278)

The Colts sure look like an Over team to this bettor in early season play.  Indy’s defense couldn’t stop the run OR the pass during their 0-7 slide to close out 2025 and Baltimore annihilated this stop unit last week.  Kansas City’s improved running game/offensive balance is primed to give the suspect Colts stop unit all kinds of problems AND to be efficient in the red zone like they were last week against Denver’s strong defense.  But it’s not like the Colts don’t score TD’s in the red zone with their balanced offense; setting the stage for what should be a relatively high scoring affair on Sunday Night.   All the deets are in the video below.  Take the OVER.

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NFL 2-Team 6-Point Teaser

4% Teaser: Chargers -0.5 / Rams -1 (-125) (Win and Tie is PUSH)

Chargers teased from -6.5 to -0.5 and Rams teased from -7 to -1. Search for the best numbers and know each book's teaser rules.

Here is a video breakdown on youtube:

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I like both Los Angeles teams to bounce back and win this week. One of my favorite spots in the NFL is backing a good-to-great team with a good-to-great coach and good-to-great quarterback after they were embarrassed the previous week, and we get that twice here. The Chargers were humbled 26-14 at home by Arizona, and I expect a completely different effort from Jim Harbaugh and Justin Herbert. Harbaugh’s Chargers are 7-4 straight up in regular-season games immediately following a loss over his first two seasons, and this has also been a great matchup for LA, they’ve beaten the Raiders four straight times and Las Vegas has lost five straight meetings at SoFi.

The Rams fit the same profile after getting embarrassed 27-7 by San Francisco in Australia. Sean McVay has historically been excellent at getting his teams off the mat, going 33-20-3 ATS following a loss, and last season the Rams went 4-1 straight up in regular-season games immediately after a defeat. They’ve also had an extended week to regroup and prepare for this one. Matthew Stafford now gets a Giants secondary that had three of its top four cornerbacks on the initial injury report, which is not where you want to be against Stafford, Puka Nacua and Davante Adams. I’m betting on two quality coaches and two veteran quarterbacks responding at home rather than allowing one bad performance to turn into two.

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Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Over 8.5 (-108):

Daniel Jones dealt with a ton of pressure against the Baltimore Ravens in Week 1, but he still only managed to run the ball once for four yards. Jones played with injuries for the majority of the 2025 campaign, but he still recorded double digit yardage in 5 of 13 games including a 16-yard effort (3 carries) against the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 12. The Chiefs ranked below average in rushing yards allowed to opposing quarterbacks with an average of 19.3 yards per game. Jones is very active in short yardage situations, and he thrives when the lights shine the brightest which will be the case in a standalone game on Sunday night. The Chiefs should be playing with a lead as -.6.5-point home favorites and that should keep Jones in passing situations that give him opportunities to scramble and collect yardage.

*Playable at 9.5 or better