Free NFL Handicapping Plays - Sports Picks from Premium Cappers

Take Kansas City - Indianapolis OVER (#277-278)

The Colts sure look like an Over team to this bettor in early season play.  Indy’s defense couldn’t stop the run OR the pass during their 0-7 slide to close out 2025 and Baltimore annihilated this stop unit last week.  Kansas City’s improved running game/offensive balance is primed to give the suspect Colts stop unit all kinds of problems AND to be efficient in the red zone like they were last week against Denver’s strong defense.  But it’s not like the Colts don’t score TD’s in the red zone with their balanced offense; setting the stage for what should be a relatively high scoring affair on Sunday Night.   All the deets are in the video below.  Take the OVER.

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NFL 2-Team 6-Point Teaser

4% Teaser: Chargers -0.5 / Rams -1 (-125) (Win and Tie is PUSH)

Chargers teased from -6.5 to -0.5 and Rams teased from -7 to -1. Search for the best numbers and know each book's teaser rules.

Here is a video breakdown on youtube:

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I like both Los Angeles teams to bounce back and win this week. One of my favorite spots in the NFL is backing a good-to-great team with a good-to-great coach and good-to-great quarterback after they were embarrassed the previous week, and we get that twice here. The Chargers were humbled 26-14 at home by Arizona, and I expect a completely different effort from Jim Harbaugh and Justin Herbert. Harbaugh’s Chargers are 7-4 straight up in regular-season games immediately following a loss over his first two seasons, and this has also been a great matchup for LA, they’ve beaten the Raiders four straight times and Las Vegas has lost five straight meetings at SoFi.

The Rams fit the same profile after getting embarrassed 27-7 by San Francisco in Australia. Sean McVay has historically been excellent at getting his teams off the mat, going 33-20-3 ATS following a loss, and last season the Rams went 4-1 straight up in regular-season games immediately after a defeat. They’ve also had an extended week to regroup and prepare for this one. Matthew Stafford now gets a Giants secondary that had three of its top four cornerbacks on the initial injury report, which is not where you want to be against Stafford, Puka Nacua and Davante Adams. I’m betting on two quality coaches and two veteran quarterbacks responding at home rather than allowing one bad performance to turn into two.

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Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Over 8.5 (-108):

Daniel Jones dealt with a ton of pressure against the Baltimore Ravens in Week 1, but he still only managed to run the ball once for four yards. Jones played with injuries for the majority of the 2025 campaign, but he still recorded double digit yardage in 5 of 13 games including a 16-yard effort (3 carries) against the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 12. The Chiefs ranked below average in rushing yards allowed to opposing quarterbacks with an average of 19.3 yards per game. Jones is very active in short yardage situations, and he thrives when the lights shine the brightest which will be the case in a standalone game on Sunday night. The Chiefs should be playing with a lead as -.6.5-point home favorites and that should keep Jones in passing situations that give him opportunities to scramble and collect yardage.

*Playable at 9.5 or better

Take Green Bay First Half (#251)

This ‘Daily Double’ video offers my take on Sunday NFL action: Packers vs Jets ad Ravens vs Saints.  Here’s a brief write-up of my Green Bay vs New York betting opinion.

I don’t trust the Packers to hold leads right now, considering they’ve blown four double digit leads while losing six straight dating back to last year.  That said, Green Bay has been good enough to build those leads, and the Jets off a dominant showing in Tennessee — heck, the Jets off a rare win — are primed for a lesser performance here. Geno Smith wasn’t touched by the Titans defense; the Packers sacked Carson Wentz three times last Sunday and picked off Kyler Murray once.  Look for the Packers to get the lead here, and with our ‘first half’ bet, we won’t need to worry if they blow it.  Take the Packers FIRST HALF.

If you would have printed out the box score and handed it to Panthers' fans before Sunday's game against the Bears, almost every Carolina fan would have signed up for it on the spot. You're tellin' me we're going to score 37 points and generate 478 yards with 24 first downs while going 4-for-4 in the red zone?! We would imagine that most folks inside Bank of America Stadium would have signed up for that. Unfortunately, those numbers were only good enough for a 22-point defeat against the white-hot Bears. Bryce Young has seemingly formed a nice bond with Jalen Coker, but an offense with only two viable receivers (along with Tetairoa McMillan) is likely going to struggle. Xavier Legette and Jimmy Horn Jr. both failed to catch a pass on Sunday and Horn Jr. fumbled a punt, which has seemingly sealed their fate at the bottom of the depth chart. With Michael Penix Jr. and Tua Tagovailoa both unavailable, the Falcons called upon Cooper Rush for a surprise start against the Steelers. Trailing by three with the ball near midfield in the fourth quarter, Rush had a screen pass intercepted by TJ Watt and returned for a touchdown. When asked about the potential return of either Penix Jr. or Tagovailoa, Falcons' head coach Kevin Stefanski simply replied, "No updates" in his Monday press conference. Carolina has had Atlanta's number over the past few years (4-1 straight-up and ATS last five meetings), and even though things got out of hand against the Bears, the Panthers still have some positives to take away from that result.
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