Free NFL Football Predictions for January 12

Steve Seagrave

Event: (385) Houston Texans at (386) Pittsburgh Steelers: Aaron Rodgers Passing Attempts

Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: January 12, 2026 8:15 PM EST

Free NFL Football Pick Today: Aaron Rodgers Passing Attempts Over 33.5 (-102)

Aaron Rodgers Passing Attempts Over 33.5 (-102):

Aaron Rodgers has utilized the short passing attack to his running backs & tight ends in recent weeks with DK Metcalf on the shelf due to a suspension. We have taken advantage with cashed tickets on his pass completions against the Detroit Lions and pass attempts against the Baltimore Ravens. Rodgers has recorded 47, 39 & 41 pass attempts in his last three games but his high pass attempt run goes back even further that as he's cleared this line in 7 of his last 11 games. The Houston Texans rank middle of the pack in pass attempts allowed on the season, but we have seen 3 of the last 4 opposing quarterbacks eclipse their respective lines as Riley Leonard logged 34 attempts, Justin Herbert (32) and Jacoby Brissett (40). The Pittsburgh Steelers are -3-point home favorites so they should see a pass heavy game script, and they are projected to see a 60.5% pass rate on Monday night. The Steelers offensive line ranks 3rd in pass protection so Rodgers should get time throw against an elite secondary. DK Metcalf will return but that will just give Rodgers his #1 target back, but I don't see Houston allowing a ton of deep shots. Look for Rodgers to continue to take what's there and utilize the short passing game.

*Playable at 34.5 or better

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

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Cajun Sports

Event: (385) Houston Texans at (386) Pittsburgh Steelers: Total

Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: January 12, 2026 8:15 PM EST

Free NFL Football Pick Today: Total Under 38.5 (-110)

Cajun Sports finished #3 at Sports Watch in the NFL for the regular season posting a record of 44-34-1 ATS (56.4%)(+$5,987). Cajun Sports NFL Complimentary Selection for Monday comes from the Houston Texans versus the Pittsburgh Steelers Wildcard Game on Monday night. Our play in this one is on the low side of the oddsmakers’ total. The weather is supposed to be typical for Pittsburgh this time of year which means really cold, below freezing is the forecast for the game. The Steelers defense has suffered from inconsistency in their secondary as evidenced by two easy touchdowns by the Ravens in their game last week. But their front seven is about as good as any in the league. They are led by Cameron Hayward who had seven tackles in their game last week and did a great job in shutting down Derrick Henry and giving Lamar Jackson trouble all night. On the other side of the field the Steelers will face arguably the best defense in the league. The strength of their defense is much like the Steelers’ it’s their front seven which has been wreaking havoc against opposing offenses all season. They are number one in the NFL in pressures and eighth overall in sack percentage. The Texans are also in the top three in takeaways and second in turnover margin. The Steelers will need to make sure Aaron Rodgers has his head on a swivel because the Texans defensive front will be coming. Our numbers project a low scoring game. Our TPR Index projects a game total of 34.3 points. The MM projects a total point differential of -4.49 points against the current total range in this contest. The SIM Matrix has UNDER with a 68.4 percent advantage against the oddsmakers total in tonight’s game. Play UNDER on NFL teams that attempted at least five field goals last game, 184-217 UNDER (54%)(+$1,460). Play UNDER on NFL Monday night home underdogs of seven or fewer points, 74-102 Under (58%)(+$2,060). Play UNDER in NFL games when a team is coming off a game with at least six lead changes and this game is projected to be close based on the line in the game, 56-84 UNDER (60%)(+$2,240). Our recommendation is to play the under in the Texans versus Steelers game on Monday night.

PLAY: 1% UNDER Houston vs Pittsburgh

Released/revised 3 day(s) ago