Free NFL Handicapping Plays - Sports Picks from Premium Cappers

UNDER 46.5

The Colts and Chiefs have value to the under. Indianapolis struggled in their week 1 game against the Ravens and things don’t get any easier for the here. The Chiefs dominated defensively and will ride that momentum into play here. Kansas City will also look to establish a run game early and this keep the clock moving as this game goes on. Back the under. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the UNDER to 46. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

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FOOTBALL IS HERE! +153.45 units, 58.2% Winning Percentage (226-162-5) , 13.5% ROI since Mid-Dec! The current run has been strong, and today’s card is posted. A 5-Pack of NFL football up this week. Purchase a 1-day pass for best value! $59 Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access too! Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

This one is interesting because the market is telling us something different from the Action carry projection.

Jeanty had an enormous Week 1 role:

23 carries, 102 yards
6 targets, 6 catches, 45 yards
2 receiving TDs
29 total touches

He accounted for 147 of Las Vegas' 290 offensive yards. (TalkSport)

Your SportsLine projection has him at 30 receiving yards, already above the current 26.5.

The matchup/game script enhances the receiving argument. Los Angeles is roughly a 6.5-point favorite, meaning Las Vegas is considerably more likely to trail than it was against Miami. That potentially converts some Jeanty rushes into routes/checkdowns/screens.

And Klint Kubiak isn't merely using Jeanty as a conventional running back. Las Vegas used 21 personnel on 36% of its Week 1 snaps, moving Jeanty around and specifically designing passing-game opportunities for him. (Silver And Black Pride)

That's the piece I like most.

Bowers being doubtful matters here, too. Jeanty already received six targets without Bowers last week. Las Vegas doesn't have a dominant WR1 demanding 10-12 targets.

There is also outside agreement: another current handicap specifically identifies Jeanty Over 26.5 receiving yards, based largely on his 29-touch Week 1 role. (Covers.com)

I'd project approximately:

5.0-5.5 targets
4.2-4.6 receptions
29-33 receiving yards

I don't love Over 4.5 receptions because you're paying for five catches rather than simply one moderate receiving gain. The yardage gives Jeanty more paths to win.

Price parameters: OVER 26.5 up to about -125. At 29.5 I'd downgrade considerably.

This is preferable to stretching for a higher conventional McLaurin total.

Week 1 produced only two receptions for 14 yards, creating a natural buy-low situation. Dallas is also without starting safety Malik Hooker, and McLaurin's history against this opponent is unusually consistent: 50+ receiving yards in six consecutive meetings and nine of 12 career games against Dallas. (Covers.com)

Independent Week 2 projections generally have him above 50, with several above 60 and one handicap at approximately 63 yards. (Covers.com)

Washington should also have to throw if Dallas plays from ahead, giving McLaurin multiple paths to volume.

BET: TERRY McLAURIN 50+ RECEIVING YARDS.

I particularly like it if the price is roughly -125 or better. We look for line to come back down

Chargers -6.5 over the Raiders makes sense because Los Angeles is in a strong historical and situational spot, and the matchup itself favors a rebound performance at home. The Chargers were sloppy in their Week 1 loss to Arizona, but they still marched 77 yards for a touchdown on their opening drive and have consistently dominated this series at SoFi Stadium, winning five straight home meetings and beating the Raiders by double digits in each of the last four matchups. Justin Herbert threw for 209 yards and a touchdown last week, and while Ladd McConkey’s rib injury is a concern, the Chargers still generated explosive plays early and should find more rhythm against a Raiders defense that allowed 185 passing yards and benefited from Miami’s mistakes more than sustained stops. Las Vegas did open with a solid win, but Kirk Cousins still threw two interceptions, and their offensive line now faces a Chargers front that historically gives Herbert the edge in this matchup — he’s 8–3 against the Raiders as a starter, and Maxx Crosby’s pressure hasn’t prevented Los Angeles from controlling recent games. The trends only strengthen the case: the Chargers are 9‑0 ATS their last nine as favorites of more than six off a straight‑up favorite loss, Harbaugh is 10‑1 ATS in his last 11 divisional games, and Los Angeles is 5‑0 ATS in the last five home meetings. With the Chargers in a bounce‑back spot, the Raiders stepping up in class, and the matchup history overwhelmingly favoring the home side, laying the 6.5 fits both the statistical profile and the trend-based angles.

This may be the best buy-low prop on the board.

Pickens' Week 1 box score wasn't impressive, but his underlying usage was: six targets and 104 air yards. That tells us Dallas was already deploying him as a meaningful intermediate/deep target. The poor result came from failing to convert opportunities rather than from a disappearing role. (Cover The Slate)

There is substantial independent corroboration. Another handicap released Pickens OVER 59.5, specifically noting two Week 1 drops, including an opportunity that potentially could have produced a very long touchdown. (Betting News)

Washington is also a substantially more appealing matchup for the Dallas passing game than the Week 1 result suggests. At 63.5, Pickens doesn't require massive reception volume. Four catches averaging 16 yards gets him over the number. That's an excellent structure for a receiver carrying his downfield usage.

BET: GEORGE PICKENS OVER 63.5 RECEIVING YARDS.

Excellent at 59.5-61.5. Playable through 64.5.