Sniper Wes
Event: (101) Dallas Cowboys at (102) Detroit Lions
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: December 4, 2025 8:15 PM EST
Free NFL Football Pick Today: Total Over 54.0 (-110)
This total of 54.5 is high, but it’s high for all the right reasons. Dallas has been one of the best over teams in the league at 8-4, and they’ve been clearing numbers in the high 40s and 50s all season. The Cowboys bring the #1 offense, the #1 passing attack, and 29 points per game, and they’ve shown every week they can push a game into shootout territory.
Detroit isn’t far behind. The Lions match Dallas in nearly every offensive category, with elite balance and plenty of explosive play potential. When two top-tier offenses face each other, the total often comes down to whether either defense can slow things down — and that doesn’t look likely here.
Detroit will be without Terrion Arnold and Kerby Joseph, two major pieces in the secondary. Dallas’ defense is also dealing with multiple key injuries, which only increases the chances of long drives, chunk plays, and touchdowns.
Add in the fact that this game has huge playoff implications — which usually leads to aggressive decision-making, fourth-down attempts, and less conservative play-calling — and there’s even a realistic chance we see overtime, which is gold for total bettors.
Everything lines up for points on both sides.
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