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Take #114 Commanders vs Giants Under

The first meeting of the season between the New York Giants and Washington Commanders ended in bizarre fashion, resulting in the lone tie of the NFL season through nine weeks.

The squads get together for a rematch Thursday night and each will be looking to pick up a victory this time around when the Commanders visit the Giants in East Rutherford, N.J.

The contest on Oct. 11 ended in a 27-27 tie after Washington quarterback Jayden Daniels didn't throw the ball on a called pass play and was tackled inbounds with eight seconds left and the Commanders in field-goal range. Washington had no timeouts remaining and was unable to line up and spike the ball before time expired.

New York scored two fourth-quarter touchdowns to overcome a 14-point deficit and tie the contest, but in overtime, Dominic Zvada missed a 46-yard field goal attempt and Cam Skattebo fumbled at the Washington 24-yard line, with Commanders defensive tackle Shy Tuttle recovering the ball.

Giants receiver Malik Nabers said the missed opportunities have heightened the urgency of the rematch.

"We want to go 1-0 but this game is more than 1-0. It's 2-0, just because the last game ended out in a tie that we should have had," he said. "So, both of us are fighting to get this game. We're trying to go 2-0 since we finished off in a tie last time, which we should have won."

The Giants (5-2-1) reside in first in the NFC East, while the Commanders (2-5-1) are in third place. The urgency is there for Washington, too as Daniels termed this week's game as a "must-win."

Washington is 1-3-1 in its past five games, including Sunday's 20-13 home loss against the Los Angeles Rams. But Commanders coach Dan Quinn doesn't want the "must-win" label affixed to the contest.

"I think everyone in this building understands that, so I'm not big on declarations," Quinn said, "but I think everybody here knows the importance of this game Thursday night and our readiness to go battle the division leaders at their spot. So, yeah, we all know how badly we need this."

Daniels passed for 274 yards and one touchdown against the Rams. In last month's game against New York, he passed for 199 yards and rushed for a season-high 103 yards and two touchdowns.

The third-year pro said he learned a lot about the Giants in the first matchup.

"We know the Giants, they have a lot of good athletic players that they like to get in the mix and blitz and try to create mismatches," Daniels said. "We just have to prepare for that."

New York is fresh off consecutive road victories over the Houston Texans (27-21 in overtime) and Philadelphia Eagles (19-11) and is beginning a stretch of four games in six at home.

Quarterback J.J. McCarthy suffered a hip injury in the win over Philadelphia, but he said Tuesday he will play against the Commanders.

McCarthy also will be making his first home start since being acquired from the Minnesota Vikings in September.

"I haven't thought about it until now, but I'm just so blessed to be a part of this team," McCarthy said. "... At the end of the day, it's running out there to do my job at a high level and go get a win on Thursday night. That's the only thing I care about."

Giants coach John Harbaugh expects Skattebo (hamstring) to return for Thursday's game after he sat out against the Eagles. He was a full practice participant Wednesday and didn't receive an injury designation. McCarthy, Nabers (knee) and left tackle Andrew Thomas (groin) were also full participants and are ready to go. Outside linebacker Malik Harrison (groin) was limited and is listed as questionable.

Washington ruled out center Lucas Patrick (concussion) and tight end Colson Yankoff (knee) after neither practiced all week. Receiver Treylon Burks (foot) missed practice Wednesday but is expected to play.

The Commanders defeated the Giants four straight times prior to the tie. With a ton of rain here tonight, we like the under

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This is a 2-team, 6-point teaser. For those unfamiliar, we are moving the spread six points in our favor on two games (in each case +2.5 to +8.5). Both legs have to hit. This would be considered a pretty standard "Wong Teaser," as we're moving through the key numbers of 3 and 7 in games where the respective totals are low.

2% Teaser (2-team, 6-point) - Washington (8:15 ET Thurs) & Carolina (1:00 ET Sunday): You probably remember the last time the Commanders and Giants met as the game ended in a tie (27-27) due to Washington's inability to manage the clock at the end of overtime. The Commanders were the better team that day, outgaining the Giants 6.3 to 4.9 on a per play basis. They also led by 14 in the 4Q. In a similar vein, the Commanders also outgained the Rams on a per play basis (5.4 to 4.7) only to come up short again on the scoreboard. Dan Quinn's team is now 2-5-1 SU on the season. I know it's tough to trust them, especially with an injury at center, but that's where the teaser option comes in. While the Giants' SU record is 5-2-1, four of their wins have come by eight points or less. The one exception was at home against Arizona where they had a 98-yard INT return on the final play to get the final margin to 12. Remember that JJ McCarthy is the starting QB for New York.

For the second leg of this teaser bet, let's take Carolina up to +8.5 as well. The Panthers were pretty unfortunate to lose 26-21 at home to Denver last week. There was a controversial INT ruling in the end zone that went against them. Fortunately, I had them in a tease and cashed (other leg was Seattle). Carolina had the YPP edge (5.7 to 4.8) over the Broncos. Now, money has come in AGAINST the Panthers this week as the Saints are favored after opening as the dog. Again, just like the Giants, New Orleans struggles to win by margin. All three of their wins this season have been by seven points or fewer. I played the Saints ML last week and got a very fortunate win as they stopped Cleveland's potential game-winning 2-point attempt in OT. The fact that New Orleans, who was playing at home and off a bye, struggled to beat a Browns team playing its third consecutive road game and starting Shedeur Sanders at QB was very eye-opening. 2% Teaser (2-team, 6-point) - Washington and Carolina (must get +7.5 or better on both legs)

Washington getting 2.5 points against the Giants on Thursday night is a strong underdog play, as I believe New York is a bit overrated, and the Commanders hold a significant advantage at quarterback with Jayden Daniels. The Giants are 5-2-1 this season, but their offense has been inconsistent, averaging just 22.8 points per game, and they're coming off an ugly 19-11 victory over Philadelphia. Washington has struggled at 2-5-1, but the Commanders have been extremely careful with the football, committing only five turnovers all season, the second-fewest in the NFL, compared to 12 for New York. Daniels has also enjoyed considerable success against the Giants, posting a 3-0-1 career record against them, including a 27-27 tie earlier this season in which he rushed for 103 yards and two touchdowns. Washington actually had an opportunity to win that game in overtime before poor clock management prevented a potential game-winning field goal. The Commanders also rank 11th in rushing offense at 118.3 yards per game, and that ground attack could be particularly important with wet and windy conditions expected at MetLife Stadium. New York quarterback J.J. McCarthy is coming off a hip injury, and although he's expected to play, I still prefer Daniels in this matchup. The historical betting trends are also attractive, as the Giants are 0-10 ATS following an ATS victory in Games 9 through 12 and just 2-9 ATS as division home favorites following back-to-back straight-up wins. Washington, meanwhile, is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games following a non-division opponent during that same portion of the schedule. With the Commanders holding the quarterback advantage, protecting the football better, and facing an overrated Giants team on a short week, I expect Washington to keep this game extremely competitive and potentially pull off the outright upset.

Ricky's play on WAS.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Commanders are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games.

- The Commanders are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 head to head meetings.

- The Commanders are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Verdict: The value is on the road Underdog.

Seagrave is on a strong 32-23 (58%) run with his posted Free Picks since August 27th!

Next Winner HERE:

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards Over 8.5 (-121):

Austin Ekeler has covered this line with 11+ receiving yards in 3 of 5 games since joining the Washington Commanders. That run includes a Week 5 game against the New York Giants where Ekeler made the most of one target while recording 15 receiving yards. Last week, Ekeler set or tied season highs with snap share (45%), targets (3), receptions (2) and receiving yards (18). The Giants have been a tough matchup for receiving backs, but Elijah Mitchell logged 20 receiving yards against them last week, Woody Marks logged 15 yards against them in their prior game and Alvin Kamara got them for 35 yards in the early season. We are going to see chilly, wet and windy conditions at Giants Stadium so Ekeler could be utilized by Jayden Daniels on check downs.

*Playable at 9.5 or better