Free NFL Handicapping Plays - Sports Picks from Premium Cappers

Take Chicago (#269) on the Moneyline

The ‘Daily Double’ free picks video below offers my take for Eagles - Panthers and Bears - Falcons this week.  Here’s a brief write-up for Atlanta - Chicago.

I understand that Caleb Williams may not play for the Bears this week, very questionable as I write this on Friday.  That said, I want NO part of Atlanta on Sunday, and I’m more than willing to lock in at this near pick em price with Ben Johnson’s team now —if Williams does suit up, we’ll be getting the best of the number and if he doesn’t,there’s still reason to think Atlanta is likely to be a little flat this week after three straight ‘max intensity national TV games’ ended with an exhausting OT loss to Baltimore last Sunday. In this near pick ‘em pointspread range, I’ll use a moneyline bet, asking for only the SU win, no margin needed.  Take the Bears on the Moneyline

Seagrave is on a strong 20-15 (57%) run with his posted Free Picks since August 27th!

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Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Over 53.5 (-114):

Tony Pollard has only cleared this line in 2 of 5 games thus far in 2026, but he has fallen just short in back-to-back games with 14 carries for 52 yards and 16 carries for 48 yards. Now Pollard has the opportunity to feast on an Indianapolis Colts defense that ranks DEAD LAST in opponent rush EPA and 31st in opponent rush success rate while allowing over 5 yards per carry. We have already seen three running backs absolutely smash this total against the Colts including Jaylen Warren (101), Kenneth Walker III (117) and Derrick Henry (144). Fellow running back Tyjae Spears has missed practice this week due to a knee injury so Pollard could be in line for some extra touches. Pollard has recorded 14+ carries on each of his last four games and with that type of workload he should easily surpass this line against this horrible run defense.

*Playable at 57.5 or better

This is a free play on DAL.

We saw a record 51 turnovers in Sunday's NFL games, and Green Bay was one of the teams that benefited the most from that. Their blowout win over the Bears came thanks to five Chicago turnovers. The Packers wins have come in overtime at the Jets in a game that New York dominated in the box score and should have won. They beat practice squad quarterback in Tampa and they won at home against Chicago's 2nd and 3rd string QBs in a game effected by turnovers. That gives them a grand total of zero legit wins if you are asking me. Dallas is still elite offensively, and the Pack aren't the best equipped to take advantage of their defensive shortcomings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Pittsburgh is 4-1 straight-up and against the spread over the last five meetings with Tampa Bay, but these cross-conference foes have not met since the Steelers' 20-18 home win in October 2022 when Kenny Pickett and Mitchell Trubisky were running the offense. Tampa had some extra time to prep for this one after winning in Dallas last Thursday as a 9.5-point 'dog. Jalon Daniels was very impressive in his first career start, going 19-of-25 with only one sack and no turnovers. Bucky Irving added 165 yards on the ground with a pair of touchdowns. The vibes are also high in Pittsburgh this week after the Steelers earned a nice home win over the Colts. Pittsburgh's last three games have seen an average of 54.7 points per game, with all three of those contests flying over their respective totals. Jaylen Warren took another step forward in the Steelers' offense, rushing for 101 yards and a touchdown on 15 carries to go along with 87 yards and a touchdown in the passing game. After throwing two interceptions the previous week against the Browns, Aaron Rodgers played a clean game against the Colts' defense but he’s beginning to run out of weapons. Running back Rico Dowdle and wide receiver Michael Pittman have both missed extended time, and fellow receiver Roman Wilson is now expected to miss multiple weeks with a bad finger. You're now looking at a Steelers' receiving corps that features DK Metcalf, Germie Bernard and a slew of tight ends and running backs with a 42-year-old quarterback. That's not the type of team we're looking to lay points with on the road at the moment. And while the black-and-gold will undoubtedly travel well to Tampa and make an impact in the noise department, playing in South Florida is still difficult. The Bengals and Dolphins played one of the hottest October games in NFL history last week. That might be something to monitor for a Steelers team that hasn't left the Northeast this season (heck, they didn't even leave the Northeast in the preseason either). Tampa had extra time to rest and prep for this one. And with the current state of the NFC South, the Bucs can be right back in the division hunt with a win on Sunday. Play Tampa Bay Bucs

This is a free play on ATL moneyline.

The line suggests that Caleb Williams is set to return after suffering what appeared to be a career ending injury against the Vikings. The status of RB1 Kyle Monangai is even more uncertain, and if he does return he will likely not be 100 percent given the turf toe diagnosis. The Bears lead the NFL in rushing, but it's a tough matchup against the Falcons defense that has been one of the top units versus the run. The Falcons are the #2 ranked rushing offense, and the Bears defense doesn't matchup well against Bijan Robinson. If both starting QBs play, this is a case of the wrong team favored IMO.

GL,

Jesse Schule