Free NFL Handicapping Plays - Sports Picks from Premium Cappers

The Under 39.5 in Sunday's Arizona/Seattle matchup is an attractive play, particularly with the Seahawks featuring the NFL's top-ranked defense and both teams dealing with significant offensive injuries. Seattle is allowing a league-low 250.0 total yards per game, including just 156.0 passing yards, while surrendering only 19.9 points per contest. The Seahawks have also been outstanding against the run, ranking seventh nationally at just 94.0 yards allowed per game, which should make life difficult for an Arizona offense averaging only 21.9 points. The Cardinals will be without starting left tackle Jayden Williams, guard Jon Gaines II, and running back Bam Knight, creating additional challenges against this outstanding defensive unit. Seattle has its own offensive concerns, with starting quarterback Sam Darnold ruled out and Drew Lock taking over under center. The Seahawks will also be without starting left tackle Charles Cross, guard Quenton Nelson, and wide receiver Rashid Shaheed. Seattle has struggled offensively lately, averaging just 17.0 points over its last three games, and those protection issues could make moving the football even more difficult. Arizona has been vulnerable defensively, allowing 29.8 points per game, but Seattle's quarterback situation and offensive line injuries should help limit that advantage. The first meeting between these teams produced just 38 combined points, with Seattle winning 31-7 in September. With the Seahawks capable of controlling this game defensively and both offenses facing personnel challenges, I expect a conservative, lower-scoring NFC West battle that stays Under 39.5.

This is a free play on Under.

So Baker Mayfield is back, and he's thrown for a whopping 64 yards over the past two games. He didn't complete a pass in a 16-0 win over the Falcons in bad weather. Bucky Irving has been running wild, but I don't like the Bucs chances of running on a Bears defense that has stuffed the run in recent weeks. Tampa is still the best in the business when it comes to stopping the run, and they boast one the top scoring defenses in the NFL. This total looks a little high when you consider the Bears are on a short week, in a let down spot facing a stout defense.

GL,

Jesse Schule

(469) Houston Texans at (470) Los Angeles Chargers: Spread

Houston Texans -5.5 (-115)

AF of -4 & higher off a loss and HF vs. an opponent off a loss are 40-14-3 (74%)!

Away teams off a bye and off a loss as a Fa/Dog to +6.5 are 54-31-2 (64%)!

The Chargers D has played well 3 of their  L4 games but the offense is avg 14 PPG and 288 YPG this season scoring only 6 and 9 pts their L2 games while gaining 237, 259 and 295 yards with only 14, 15 & 14 FD’s.

Houston has to be fuming, playing as bad as they did prior to their bye, losing as a DD Fav at the NYG, but they are 5-1 ATS off a loss as Fav of -4

Marc David's NFL Free Pick

We really like home favorite in this matchup. The Packers (5-3) are a solid team, but this is a long trip east to face a Patriots defense that's been playing at a high level. Green Bay's offense hasn't been lighting up the scoreboard, it has been particularly weak on the ground with 60.6 rushing yards per game and 2.9 yards per rush attempt, both dead last in the NFL, and Gillette is a tough place to get things going.

The Patriots (5-3) are coming off a strong win in Miami, their fourth in five games, and the defense has been the story. With Drake Maye running the show and a home crowd behind them, New England feels like the more complete team right now.

Short number at home, good defense, and a team that's been taking care of business in Foxborough.

This is a FREE PLAY on the Patriots ATS.

Ricky's play on NE.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Patriots are 4-1 in their last 5 games.

- The Patriots  are 3-2 in the last 5 head to head meetings.

- The Patriots are 3-0 in their last 3 home games.

Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.