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FREE PICK on Green Bay Packers (ML) | Good until -205.

The price is steep. But, I think it's worth it for TNF. The Packers are coming off a loss on the road to the Lions. They now return home to Lambeau for a primetime spot against Carolina. Josh Jacobs should feast. The Panthers allow 153.2 rush yards per game which ranks them dead last in the NFL. Go with Green Bay.

New England won-and-covered both meetings last season with both of those contests going over the total. Prior to last year's sweep, the Dolphins had won seven of the previous eight meetings in this AFC East matchup. The Patriots had a couple extra days to prep for this one after falling in Chicago last Thursday. That 30-24 defeat snapped a three-game winning streak. New England's last four games have all gone over the total. Miami snapped its six-game losing streak with a 28-25 win over the Jets last week. The Dolphins were coming off their bye week, and first-year head coach Jeff Hafley had to like what he saw from his struggling squad coming out of the break. After averaging 4.75 rushing attempts through the Dolphins' first four games, Miami is letting Malik Willis run a bit more. Willis has generated eight rushing attempts in each of the last two games, averaging 55.5 yards on the ground against the Bengals and Jets with a rushing touchdown in each game. With this game being at 4:25pm ET on Sunday afternoon, it offers a little bit of a unique look on Miami's win over the Jets last week. New York hosts the Raiders at 1pm ET with Las Vegas on a four-game losing streak. The Raiders have gotten crushed in their last four trips to the Eastern Time Zone. If the Jets beat the Raiders, then yeah, Miami can puff its chest out a little bit for that win last week and it gives them a little bit of legitimacy. If the Jets lose to the Raiders, then unfortunately for the Dolphins, that win last week is largely going to be forgotten because New York is going to be widely viewed as a bottom-5 (probably lower) team in the league. We fall on that side of the divide, and while Miami deserves props for breaking its winless streak, it probably came against the worst-coached team in the league. We have this game lined closer to double digits and we are comfortable laying the points with New England on the road. Play New England Patriots