Free NFL Handicapping Plays - Sports Picks from Premium Cappers

Michael Penix Under 0.5 INT (-124)

We're backing Michael Penix to keep it clean in his return from the torn ACL he suffered in November.

Atlanta's offense has been dreadful, averaging just 8 PPG. With Cooper Rush under center, they couldn't even get into the red zone. Penix is a clear upgrade, and his ball security is a big reason we like this number. He did throw an interception in each of his first three starts, but he's been pretty clean since.

Kevin Stefanski's offenses preach ball protection, and this one will run through Bijan Robinson. We don't expect a complicated game plan for Penix in his first game back, which keeps his decisions simple and his risk low. He's also practiced with the ones, and his weapons are comfortable with him throwing them the ball.

A conservative, run-centered script, a quarterback who has protected the ball, and a coach who demands the same make the Under a strong play at -124.

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Jordan Love Passing Yards Over 226.5 (-114):

Jordan Love is coming off a lackluster game where he completed 16 of 29 passes for only 145 yards but he was dealing with wet conditions on the road in New York. Now he'll playing in the home opener at Lambeau Field against an Atlanta Falcons defense that has allowed 287 passing yards against Bryce Young and 221 passing yards against Aaron Rodgers. The Falcons just lost their best cornerback as AJ Terrell Jr has landed on the IR due to a groin injury and they have been stout against the run while ranking top 10 in EPA allowed. Without Josh Jacobs, the Packers are only averaging 3.3 yards per carry (29th) after holding Pittsburgh to 58 rushing yards and Carolina to 68 rushing yards. Green Bay did just lose Jayden Reed, but they still have other solid options, and they may be forced to throw despite being favored by -4.5 points.

*Playable at 230.5 or better

Seahawks -7

Seattle’s defense is the difference for me here. The Seahawks have allowed just 17 points through two games, and now they draw Marcus Mariota with Jayden Daniels sidelined. That’s a tough assignment against a Seattle front that should control the line of scrimmage. Drew Lock has also done exactly what you want from a backup, including three TD passes last week, while Jaxon Smith-Njigba remains a matchup problem. Seattle has won 15 of its last 16 road games, so traveling east doesn’t scare me much. Washington has too many problems to solve against one of the league’s best defenses. Lay the touchdown. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the SEAHAWKS ATS. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

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At Maracana Stadium in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Baltimore has won-and-covered each of the last two meetings, with the last one being a 28-25 road win in Dallas in September 2024. The Cowboys' last eight games have all gone over the closing total. Since the beginning of the 2024-25 season, the over is 14-5 in Baltimore's road games. On paper, this figures to be one of the best games of the Week 3 slate, but who knows what kind of conditions you're going to get in Brazil. Don't forget, Virginia and NC State were supposed to open the college football season in Rio but elected to move the game to Charlottesville after logistical issues in Brazil. This will be the NFL's first game at Maracana Stadium in Rio after a pair of games at Arena Corinthians in São Paulo each of the last two seasons. Packers-Eagles in 2024 and Chargers-Chiefs in 2025 were both Week 1 contests, so this is the first time the NFL has gone to South American in the middle of the season. Ravens' head coach Jesse Minter was the Chargers' defensive coordinator last year, so he has some experience with making this trek. Ravens' first-year offensive coordinator Declan Doyle was the talk of the town after Week 1, but he finds himself on the opposite end of that role after last week's loss to New Orleans. In a game where the Ravens were either tied or leading for 58:32 out of a possible 60 minutes, Derrick Henry only received 16 carries including just five after halftime. On a day when Baltimore was missing wide receivers Zay Flowers and Ja'Kobi Lane, Henry probably should have had a bigger role in the Ravens' offense. Given the trends between these two teams, we can only look toward the over. Temperatures aren't expected to get above 80-degrees on Sunday in Rio, but humidity will likely be an issue and we've already seen both defenses wear down in the second halves of games this season. In that Chiefs-Chargers game in São Paulo last season, we saw 23 points scored over the final 16 minutes. In that Eagles-Packers game from two years ago, we saw 57 points scored over the final three quarters. Neither defense may be able to withstand the tough conditions that this environment will bring. Play the Over

Take Cincinnati – Pittsburgh UNDER (#463-464)

The Steelers are a ‘dead nuts’ Under team right now.  They’re playing at a slow pace with Aaron Rodgers burning clock between snaps.  The passing game has lacked any sort of explosiveness; a big part of the reason why Pittsburgh has scored a grand total of one touchdown in 25 drives through the first two games of the season.  Their offensive line isn’t protecting Rodgers or blowing open holes for the running backs.  Cincinnati, too, has been a ‘defensive mindset’ team through the first two weeks of the campaign; a revitalized unit that has legitimately been upgraded from recent seasons.  Expect time consuming drives, defense and field goals throughout.  Take the UNDER.