Free NFL Handicapping Plays - Sports Picks from Premium Cappers

Rams +2.5

The Rams have the value and are worth a move. The Chiefs will play their starters for only a handful of snaps and then turn it over to their backups, where there isn’t much depth. Meanwhile for the Rams, they’re going to see a lot of Ty Simpson and Stetson Bennett. The duo will battle all preseason for the backup role and that should provide them with good value here as the motivation factor is in play. Expect both to split a majority of the snaps and have a field day against the Chiefs 2nd and 3rd stringers. Back the Rams. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the RAMS ATS. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Saturday FREE NFL ATS Play

2-1 FRIDAY! +163.56 units, 59.3% Winning Percentage (211-145-4), 15.8% ROI since Mid-Dec! The current run has been strong, and today’s card is posted. A BIG 3× Play Card is up for today, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

Jacksonville qualifies for the 84-43 ATS road-underdog system at +2.5.

However, Liam Coen has confirmed that Jacksonville's starters will not play, making this overwhelmingly a reserve evaluation. New Orleans also plans extensive reserve usage after getting significant work during its joint practices.

The system is strong enough to warrant attention, but 61% of tickets are already on Jacksonville, and the personnel edge isn't sufficiently clear for a premium release.

PICK: JAGUARS +2.5

DUFFY IS ABSOLUTELY ROLLING

Joe Duffy is a PERFECT 7-0 in preseason football and 8-0 overall the last two nights after another Juicy Lucy Wise Guy winner! Saturday brings 5 NFL releases, led by a pair of POWERFUL, PREMIUM Wise Guys. The Grandmaster is RED HOT. Get Saturday’s NFL card NOW!

Take #130 Rams vs Chiefs Under

The Unders went 6-0 in last night's NFLX action, and we're going right back to the Under in this preseason matchup. Both teams are expected to lean heavily on their quarterback depth, which could make sustained offense difficult.

Stetson Bennett will start for the Rams, with first-round rookie Ty Simpson also expected to see significant action. Kansas City will counter with Justin Fields before turning things over to rookie Garrett Nussmeier and Chris Oladokun. Patrick Mahomes will not play.

With both starting quarterbacks sitting and multiple backups expected to handle the majority of the game, we're expecting plenty of conservative play-calling, missed opportunities, and stalled drives. The current total is around 36.5, which leaves little room for an offensive explosion.

Check us out on Social Media:

YouTube: @TheSniperPicks

Instagram: @TheSniperPicks

TikTok: @TheSniperPicks

Facebook: @TheSniperPicks

Twitter (X): @TheSniperPicks

Over the last ten seasons, the Jets have averaged 4.9 wins per year and they have only gone over this 5.5 win total three times. You can point to injuries and in-season trades as a big reason why last season was a failure, but we now have a ten-year sample size of this being one of the worst organizations in the NFL. Geno Smith was brought back to the franchise after a disastrous run in Las Vegas with the Raiders, but we're struggling to see the upside. The Athletic just released a comprehensive QB ranking that was voted on by coaches and front office personnel. Smith was voted as the 30th-best quarterback heading into the 2026 season. One defensive coordinator was quoted as saying, "He looked terrible on the film we saw." Another defensive coach put more blame on the Raiders' system around him, saying "Once you get hit and keep getting hit and hit and hit, how good are you going to be? They had no identity on offense. Geno got a bad rap. He was getting murdered out there." That's fair, but why is there any reason to believe things are going to be any better with this team? Head coach Aaron Glenn was retained, but nearly every assistant coaching position was flipped after last year’s 3-14 campaign. Frank Reich has been brought in to lead the offense, but Reich hasn't coached in the NFL since 2023 when he went 1-10 with the Carolina Panthers. Bill Musgrave was hired as the quarterbacks coach. Musgrave was the Browns' QB coach last season and Cleveland had arguably the worst offense in the NFL. We're really struggling to see how the Jets are going to double their win total from three to six this season. It's not like this team was knocking on the doorstep and suffered a couple heartbreaking losses along the way. They finished with a -203 point differential, allowed the second-most points in the league and suffered eight double-digit losses. When the NFL schedule was released, DraftKings released opening point spreads on every game for every team for the upcoming season. The Jets are not projected to be favored by more than a field goal in any game this season, and only five games have a point spread between -2.5 and +2.5. So in order to eclipse this win total, the Jets would have to go 5-0 in those toss-up games (vs Cleveland, Las Vegas, Arizona and Miami x2) and still would need to pull another upset along the way. We don't see that happening.

Washington Commanders Over/Under 7.5 Regular Season Wins

4% Washington Commanders UNDER 7.5 Regular Season Wins (+105)

UPDATE 8/9 12:30 PM EST: Washington just lost their top OL LT Tunsil for probably the season, this line could move a little, get it in!

Washington went 5-12 last year, and I’m not buying a three-win jump.

Jayden Daniels played only 7 games in 2025 and dealt with a knee sprain, hamstring injury and dislocated elbow. He also led all NFL quarterbacks with 8.3 rushing attempts per game. After 148 carries as a rookie, his style continues to expose him to significantly more contact than the average QB. Durability has to be priced into this number.

Washington also replaced both coordinators. David Blough takes over the offense and Daronte Jones takes over the defense, and both will be first-time NFL play callers.

They’ve added some names on defense, but per PFF, only 2 projected defensive starters carry grades over 70. This was a bad defense last year, and I’m not convinced the makeover fixes it overnight.

They also have only 8 true home games, with the Colts “home” game being played in London, and they open @ Philadelphia and @ Dallas.

Looking at the first 11 games, I project Washington to be favored in only 1 or 2 of them.

I don’t need Washington to be bad.

7-10 cashes this ticket.

Coming off 5 wins, with Daniels’ injury history and rushing workload, two first-time play callers, a questionable defense and this schedule, 7.5 is too high.