Steve Seagrave
Event: (451) Atlanta Falcons at (452) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: December 11, 2025 8:15 PM EST
Free NFL Football Pick Today: Bucky Irving OVER 20.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Seagrave is on a strong 65-52 (56%) run with his posted Free Picks at Sportsmemo since July 12th, 2025
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Bucky Irving OVER 20.5 Receiving Yards (-110) CAE
Bucky Irivng has covered this line in 4/6 games on the season while averaging 39.8 receiving yards per game and landing on 20 yards exactly once. The lone game where Irivng failed to record 20 receiving yards was Week 1 against the Atlanta Falcons, but that was the first game of the season and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers receiving core was close to full strength. Now Mike Evans & Jalen McMillan are listed as questionable and tight end Cade Otton is listed as doubtful so Irving could be utilized as a safety blanket for Baker Mayfield. The Falcons have been vulnerable to opposing running backs through the air as they have allowed the 12th most yards (32.8/game), 9th most targets (5.9/game) and 13th most receptions (4.5/game). On the season, Irving has averaged 3.8 receptions a game and 10.1 yards per reception, so we only need a few grabs to eclipse this number. Irving just beat this line while catching only 2/3 targets and recording 26 yards against the New Orleans Saints.
*Playable at 22.5 or better
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Sniper Wes
Event: (451) Atlanta Falcons at (452) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: December 11, 2025 8:15 PM EST
Free NFL Football Pick Today: Total Under 44.5 (-105)
The Bucs won the first H2H this year back in Week 1 by a FG, but that was a long time ago and both teams are really banged up now. Mike Evans actually might play here after a broken collarbone earlier in the year but I doubt it. Atlanta has a ton of injuries as well, Penix is out for the year, and Kirk Cousins has played underwhelming football. Both teams have .500 records as it related to the Over/Under this season, but we actually like the under. Don't forget, the Buccaneers are averaging just 15.7 points across their last three games, so they are really struggling on offense. The Falcons average 19ppg, but a lot of that came with Penix at the helm, Cousins looks washed and they couldn't do anything vs Seattle last week. Like the under here as Atlanta has to play outdoors which is never beneficial to them, and points will likely be hard to come by.
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