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Take Cincinnati – Pittsburgh UNDER (#463-464)

The Steelers are a ‘dead nuts’ Under team right now.  They’re playing at a slow pace with Aaron Rodgers burning clock between snaps.  The passing game has lacked any sort of explosiveness; a big part of the reason why Pittsburgh has scored a grand total of one touchdown in 25 drives through the first two games of the season.  Their offensive line isn’t protecting Rodgers or blowing open holes for the running backs.  Cincinnati, too, has been a ‘defensive mindset’ team through the first two weeks of the campaign; a revitalized unit that has legitimately been upgraded from recent seasons.  Expect time consuming drives, defense and field goals throughout.  Take the UNDER.

LA Rams -6.5 over the Giants lines up because Los Angeles is in a strong bounce‑back position at home, and the matchup tilts toward a Rams response after their 27–7 loss to San Francisco. Matthew Stafford struggled in that opener, completing 60% of his throws for just 155 yards with an interception, and the offense never found rhythm, as they possessed the ball only twice in the first quarter and once in the third. Sean McVay’s teams historically correct quickly in this spot, as he is 17‑8‑1 ATS coming off an outright loss as a favorite, and this is their first game back at SoFi after the Australia trip. The Giants looked sharp in their 28–20 win over Dallas, controlling the ball for more than 36 minutes and executing three long second‑half scoring drives, but they now face a Rams defense getting Aaron Donald back and a pass rush that should be far more disruptive than what they showed overseas. New York’s offense was efficient, yet this is a major step up in defensive talent, and the Giants’ secondary remains banged up heading into Monday night. With the Rams returning home, historically strong in bounce‑back situations, and facing a Giants team that may struggle to replicate last week’s efficiency against a healthier and more aggressive defense, laying the 6.5 aligns with both the matchup and the situational edge.

Blake Corum Rushing Yards Over 47.5 (-113):

Blake Corum shined in Week 1 against the San Francisco 49ers as he recorded 10 rushing attempts for 54 yards despite playing only 23% of the offensive snaps. I fully expect an uptick in those snaps as both head coach Sean McVay and offensive coordinator Nate Scheelhaase were very complimentary of Corum heading into Week 2. The game script was also against Corum in Week 1 with Los Angeles trailing for the entire game but this week the Rams are near touchdown favorites. The New York Giants run defense looked much better, but they dominated the time of possession against Dallas while holding the ball for 36:40 and the Cowboys only had 2 possessions in the 2nd half while trailing. Corum was much more efficient back for Los Angeles as Kyren Williams averaged only 3.7 yards per carry and he should more opportunities on Monday night.

*Playable at 49.5 or better

The Giants surprised me in week one. The Rams are coming off a bad loss in their opener and will be looking for revenge. The Rams' travel plans did not work for their trip to Australia; maybe it will benefit them on the return. With Garret on the IL and Donald's return questionable, the Rams' defense could be suspect. Take the Giants and the points.

Play on the NY Giants. This is a FREE PLAY!

PSP Data Driven play on Under.

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Our models suggest that the value is on the Under. The Under is 3-1 in the Rams last 4 games. The Under is 2-0 in the Rams  last 2 home games.