Free NFL Handicapping Plays - Sports Picks from Premium Cappers

Off a 26-3 loss to Houston, the Titans are 0-5. Struggling on both sides of the ball, they've now lost 33 of their last 39 games. This figures to be another tough matchup for them. The Colts also lost their last game. However, they'd won two in a row before that. With back-to-back tough road contests following this one, Indianapolis needs to take advantage of this winnable game. The Colts have beaten the Texans six straight times. This season, the Titans are last in total offense (31st in passing and 27th in rushing) and they're also last in terms of average time of possession. They average just 11.6 ppg. Indianapolis averages 24.8 ppg. Last season's two games were both blowouts, the Colts winning by scores of 38-14 and 41-20. They should be able to win this one by at least a touchdown. *good at -7 or better

The Chargers' offensive problems underpin this play. Los Angeles is averaging just 16.8 points and 292.8 yards per game, ranking 30th and 25th in the NFL, while Justin Herbert has thrown only five touchdowns against seven interceptions. Worse, an injury-ravaged offensive line started four rookies last week, including three making their first NFL starts.

Kansas City is allowing only 19.3 points per game, and with the Chiefs rested off their bye, this is a difficult matchup for a Chargers offense that hasn't scored more than 23 points in a game. Kansas City has also become more balanced offensively behind running back Kenneth Walker III, which gives the Chiefs another way to control possession and shorten the game rather than relying exclusively on Patrick Mahomes.

This rivalry has also produced tight, lower-scoring games recently, including Kansas City's 19-17 and 13-12 wins in 2024 and the Chargers' 16-13 win at Arrowhead last season. With Los Angeles struggling to generate points and Kansas City able to control the game without needing an offensive shootout, 41.5 is high enough to attack the Under.

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLES:

1) The UNDER is 8-1 since last season when the Chargers allowed 150 or fewer passing yards in their last game, staying UNDER by an average of 6.4 points!

2) The UNDER is 7-0 since the 2024 season when the Chiefs are at home against a division opponent, staying UNDER by an average of 8.4 points!

3) The UNDER is 7-0 since last season when the Chiefs play with the total between 35.5 and 45, staying UNDER by an average of 7.9 points!

4) The UNDER is 10-1 since last season when the Chiefs are off an ATS loss, staying UNDER by an average of 6.8 points!

The Cowboys are in major bounce back mode after an embarrassing loss to a rookie quarterback on Thursday night football. When it comes to defense, this team is a disaster, but Green Bay ranks middle of the pack on that side of the ball, just 14^th in EPA play play defensively. This is a game where Dallas’ offense can light up the scoreboard, and it will be difficult for the Packers, even at home, to keep up. The Cowboys are 5^th in EPA per play offensively and Dak Prescott is 5^th in adjusted EPA per play amongst quarterbacks. The Packers have strung together a few wins, but the first was against a rookie making his first career start and the 2^nd was against a backup last week in Tyler Bagent, who has been awful. At some point the defense has to show us something and we are backing one of the best offenses in football in a prime spot. Take the Cowboys.

This is a Free play on LV TT Over.

I am not sure I want to bet on Vegas to win or cover in this game, but I do think they should score some points. The Bills defense has been terrible this season, particularly against the pass. The Bills rank 31st in the NFL allowing over 280 yards per game. The Raiders can certainly take advantage of that, as Kirk Cousins ranks 2nd in the NFL with a dozen passing TDs. At home in an indoor game, the Raiders should get theirs in what I think will be a high scoring game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Take Chicago (#269) on the Moneyline

The ‘Daily Double’ free picks video below offers my take for Eagles - Panthers and Bears - Falcons this week.  Here’s a brief write-up for Atlanta - Chicago.

I understand that Caleb Williams may not play for the Bears this week, very questionable as I write this on Friday.  That said, I want NO part of Atlanta on Sunday, and I’m more than willing to lock in at this near pick em price with Ben Johnson’s team now —if Williams does suit up, we’ll be getting the best of the number and if he doesn’t,there’s still reason to think Atlanta is likely to be a little flat this week after three straight ‘max intensity national TV games’ ended with an exhausting OT loss to Baltimore last Sunday. In this near pick ‘em pointspread range, I’ll use a moneyline bet, asking for only the SU win, no margin needed.  Take the Bears on the Moneyline