Free NFL Handicapping Plays - Sports Picks from Premium Cappers

Take #253 Patriots/Bills Over

The Patriots have struggled to find consistency offensively, with Drake Maye completing 63.7% of his passes for 585 yards through three games. While the results haven't been what New England wanted, this is a matchup where the Patriots should be forced to stay aggressive. Facing a 3-0 Buffalo team creates a game script where New England can't afford to sit back and play conservatively.

Buffalo has also shown the ability to generate points and sustain offensive pressure. With the Bills playing at home and coming in with plenty of confidence, we expect them to put points on the board and force New England to respond. That could create the kind of back-and-forth scoring environment we're looking for with this total.

The Patriots also have plenty of familiarity with Buffalo, and we expect them to come into this rivalry game ready to compete. Even if the Bills control portions of the matchup, New England should have opportunities to generate points of its own. A competitive game is especially helpful for the Over because both offenses should remain aggressive into the second half.

We expect this AFC East battle to produce plenty of scoring opportunities, with Buffalo contributing heavily and New England doing enough to keep the scoreboard moving.

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Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Over 88.5 (-113):

Jonathan Taylor has covered this line in 2 of his first 3 games of the season with 68, 92 and 98 yards for an average of 86 yards per game. The Indianapolis Colts have only handed the ball of on 44% of their offensive snaps, but Taylor has still seen amazing volume with 23, 24 and 19 rushing attempts. Indianapolis has an elite offensive line that currently ranks 6th in run blocking according to PFF. The Washington Commanders did a solid job keeping the lid on Seattle Seahawk and Dallas Cowboy running backs, but Saquon Barkley did run for 83 yards against them in Week 1. However, Washington's linebacker core has been bit by the injury bug as Leo Chenal is out for the season (neck) and Frankie Luvu is dealing with a nagging groin injury. This game will be played overseas in London, and the Colts find themselves as -3.5-point favorites which should set Taylor up with a positive game script.

Philadelphia has won ten of the last 11 meetings with Los Angeles, including three victories over the last two seasons. Eight of the last nine contests between the Eagles and Rams have gone over the total. LA blew a 26-7 lead at Lincoln Financial Field last season. Jalen Hurts connected with DeVonta Smith for the go-ahead touchdown with under two minutes remaining, and the Eagles' special teams unit blocked LA's game-winning field goal attempt as time expired. We're not sure how much of the Rams' early-season struggles should be blamed on their schedule and travel, but Sean McVay has been elite at preventing losing streaks and getting a strong bounce-back effort following a loss. Los Angeles is 34-20-3 against the spread following a straight-up loss, and blindly backing the Rams in this spot would have produced a +20.5-percent ROI since McVay took over the Rams' program. Rams' wide receiver Puka Nacua has missed each of the last two games, and head coach Sean McVay was not beaming with optimism that Nacua would be back at full strength in this game. Speaking of 'not beaming with optimism,' that would be a kind way to describe what Eagles fans are feeling this week after watching their team score seven points on Monday night in Chicago. If the timekeeper had a slightly-faster finger, Philadelphia would have gotten shut-out against the Bears because the lone touchdown was scored with one second (probably closer to 0.1) remaining in the first half. Since the beginning of the 2025 season, the Eagles' offense has produced 60 drives that have gone three-and-out (29.0-percent is the highest rate in the NFL). During that time, Philadelphia's average distance-to-go on third down is 7.7 yards, which is the second-highest mark in the league. The Eagles' rushing attack has produced either zero or negative yards on 131 rushing attempts, which is the second-highest mark in the league. The coaching changes and wide receiver moves have produced very little difference thus far. The Rams know how to bounce back from a loss under McVay, and while Lincoln Financial Field is typically a tough place to play, the Philly Phaithful may have an appetite to turn sour on the home team if this offensive spiral continues. Play LA

Colts -3.5

Indy has the cleaner path to controlling this game. Washington is allowing more than 280 passing yards per game, and opposing QB's have consistently found room against a defense that has surrendered 11 TD's through three weeks. The Commanders are also allowing TD's on 75% of opposing red-zone trips. That gives Daniel Jones a favorable matchup, but Jonathan Taylor is where I expect Indy to establish control. Washington is coming off an emotional win behind Mariota, while the Colts just handled a physical Houston defense. At 3.5, I'll lay it. Back Indy. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the COLTS -3 to -3.5. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

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+136.71 units, 57.5% Winning Percentage (227-168-5) , 11.8% ROI since DEC 2025. The current run has been strong. A BIG Card is going up for this weekend, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Football gridiron pass is discounted too! Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

Take Arizona (#257) on the Moneyline

In two games with Jameis Winston behind center, the Giants have scored a grand total of zero touchdowns.  New York managed to steal a ‘four field goals was good enough’ win last Sunday, but it’s surely worth noting that the G-men are just 1-7 SU/ATS in their last eight tries off a single victory; not a team stringing good performances together.  The season ending injury to stud pass rusher Brian Burns won’t help matters, especially given the Cardinals propensity for grinding out first downs. Arizona had nearly 39 minutes of possession last week while hanging 30 points on the 49ers.  The early week sharp $$ has shown on the road team for good reason! In this near pick ‘em pointspread range, my experience has shown that it’s preferrable to take Arizona on the moneyline – a SU win ensures we get paid. Take the Cardinals.