Free NFL Handicapping Plays - Sports Picks from Premium Cappers

FREE PICK on New England Patriots/Seattle Seahawks (UNDER) | Good until 42.5.

Super Bowl rematch here. Seattle won that game 29-13 (42 combined points). New England has new offensive weapons & should keep this one closer. Christian Gonzalez, the Pats best player/defender in the Super Bowl just got paid as well. Seattle comes into the new season with a new offensive coordinator and a new running back. People are very high on Jadarion Price. But, he's still unproven. Go with the UNDER in the opening game.

Kevin O’Connell didn’t waste any time naming Kyler Murray the starting quarterback, a good move if you know who your guy is so the team can develop chemistry without uncertainty. Murray has huge playmaking starters on offense, with Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison leading the way. The defense was great a season ago, finishing 3^rd in opponent yards per play and 7^th in points per game allowed. Defensive coordinator Brian Flores loves to blitz, and he’s done a tremendous job of finding ways to get to the opposing quarterback. The Packers are a team that’s due for regression, and they’ll be without running back Josh Jacobs do to his off the field troubles. Micah Parsons is also out for the first month of the season with a knee injury. Minnesota comes away a winner in this NFC North rivalry. Take the Vikings ML.

DON'T MISS JIMMY'S 5% TOP PLAY ON SUNDAY!

Take #476 Commanders vs Eagles Under

Both teams are entering the season with new offensive coordinators and new offensive systems, which is a big reason I expect this game to start slower than the market initially anticipated. Philadelphia is installing Sean Mannion’s motion-heavy, wide-zone offense with more under-center looks, play-action and timing throws, while Washington is also breaking in a new offensive coordinator.

That matters in Week 1. New terminology, timing and protection adjustments can lead to conservative play-calling early, particularly when facing quality defenses.

Philadelphia's Defense Is the Key

The Eagles still have the personnel to make life difficult for Jayden Daniels. Jalen Carter just received a massive extension, and Philadelphia's defensive front remains one of the strengths of this roster. The Eagles' depth chart also shows a strong defensive group anchored by Carter, Jordan Davis, Quinyon Mitchell and Riq Woolen.

Washington's offensive line is also a concern. The Commanders enter the matchup without starting left tackle Laremy Tunsil, while the Eagles should have an opportunity to pressure Daniels and make Washington work for every possession.

Washington's Defense Could Be Much Better This is the other side of the handicap.

Washington invested heavily in its defense, added first-round pick Sonny Styles at No. 7 overall, and is introducing Daronte Jones' new defensive system. The unit is expected to be more aggressive and disguise coverages, even though there are obviously questions about how quickly everything comes together.

And Philadelphia has its own offensive adjustment period. Hurts is working with his fifth offensive coordinator in five seasons, and the Eagles are replacing A.J. Brown while asking Dontayvion Wicks to take on a much larger role. That's a lot of moving parts for an offense being asked to operate differently.

The Line Movement Is Interesting. The total opened at 47.5 and has dropped to 44.5. That's meaningful market movement toward the defensive side.

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Take San Francisco (#453)

When we talk about NFL games played thousands of miles from home, we can expect some randomness.  When two division rivals with Super Bowl upside battle in Week 1, we can expect maximum intensity.  Put those two factors together and I’m not interested in laying points with the favorite; not even maybe.  For the LA Rams to be priced this high — as more than a field goal favorite against a playoff caliber foe on a neutral field — it tells us already that the betting markets are simply too high on Sean McVay’s squad to open the season.  This has all the makings of a ‘somebody is going to win this game bon a late score’ type of battle.  Catching more than three points with the underdog makes perfect sense to this bettor!  Take the 49ers.

Take Seattle - New England OVER (#451-452)

Video analysis for this matchup is posted below the write-up. 

The Patriots offense was upgraded this offseason, good news for New England supporters considering that a weaker offense than this one carried the Pats to the Super Bowl last year.  The Pats upgraded at WR in a big way with the additions of AJ Brown and Romeo Doubs, two legitimate playmakers.  And the Patriots offensive line, too, is both healthy and upgraded; bad news for a Seahawks defense likely without impact starting safety Nick Emmanwori.  New England could be without stud defensive end Christian Barmore as well, good news for Sam Darnold and the Seahawks passing game.  The Super Bowl cashed Under bets, but this Week 1 rematch is primed to cash Over bets!  Take the OVER.