Free English Premier League Predictions for May 3

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Pavlos Laguretos

Event: (200117) Manchester City at (200118) Everton: Total

Sport/League: EPL

Date/Time: May 4, 2026 3:00 PM EDT

Free English Premier League Pick Today: Total Under 3.0 (-121)

Everton vs Manchester City
EPL, Monday, 3pm ET

Play: Under 3 Goals
Odds at Time of Release: -121
Line Parameter: Line good to -130, no play if line moves to 2.75

The Asian Total in this game is set at 3, which means that getting the Under 3 wins if there are 0, 1 or 2 goals, it's a Push (refund) at exactly 3 goals, and loses at 4 goals or more.

Only 1 of Everton's L/6 matches had 4 goals, just 2 of L/15, and just 3 of L/22. Those are pretty solid numbers. And at home, only 1 of L/11 had 4 goals or more, and just 2 of 20 home matches this season.

Only 1 of Manchester City's L/9 matches had 4 goals or more, and just 3 of L/17. On the road, just 1 of L/8 had 4 goals or more, and just 3 of L/16. Also pretty solid numbers.

Only 1 of L/9 H2H had 4 goals or more, with a 4-0 run to the Under 2.5 Goals, and only 1 of L/5 in this venue had 4 goals or more, with a 3-2 to the Under 2.5 Goals.

Manchester City are locked in on the title and they are being very serious lately, on a 6-match winning streak with 4 clean sheets and just 1 of those matches producing 4 goals or more, the FA Cup vs Liverpool.

Everton are sneakily trying to get a European ticket for next season, they are just 2 points off the 7th spot and 4 points off the 6th spot, and with 4 matches to go, they have valid chances. Even a Draw against City would be a great result, and even if they lose they'll try to suffer minimal damage so as to not destroy their goal difference (which is the first tiebreaker).

I like the Under 3 Goals here, based on stats, form and history there is a good chance we see up to 3 goals. If we see exactly 3 this bet is refunded.

The Play is on the Under 3 Goals (-121), line good to -130

NOTE: This is a 3% client play for Pavlos at WagerTalk

Released/revised 23 hour(s) ago

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