Van Gerwen’s current form is a major concern. Since missing Week 3 of the Premier League due to illness, he has struggled to regain consistency, losing in each of the following three weeks. While he picked up a couple of wins on March 6, his recent loss to Niels Zonneveld — a player not in strong form — is another red flag that he’s not playing at his usual elite level.
Van Veen, on the other hand, has been competitive against top-tier opponents. His recent losses have come against Johnny Clayton and Luke Humphries, both elite players in the current form cycle. He continues to perform well in this format and has shown he can hang in tight matches against high-level competition.
With Van Gerwen still looking out of rhythm and Van Veen proving he belongs against top players, this sets up as a clear fade spot on MVG.