Oskeim Sports
Event: (509) New York Knicks at (510) San Antonio Spurs: Spread
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: June 13, 2026 8:30 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: San Antonio Spurs -5.5 (-105)
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Game 4 produced one of the most stunning results in NBA Finals history, as the Knicks erased a 29-point deficit to edge San Antonio 107-106. The Spurs were in complete control early, setting Finals records for a road team with a 19-point lead after the first quarter and a 27-point advantage at halftime while knocking down 14 three-pointers in the opening half and scoring a record 76 first-half points away from home. However, New York, which had already overcome double-digit deficits in each of the first three games of the series, quickly shifted the momentum after halftime. San Antonio shot just 20.5% from the field in the second half, including 3-of-17 from beyond the arc, and committed nine turnovers while making only eight field goals. The collapse paved the way for the largest comeback ever witnessed in an NBA Finals game. Despite that context, historical trends suggest that San Antonio is primed to bounce back in Game 5 on Saturday.
• Since 2003, NBA playoff home favorites coming off a loss are 356-281-8 ATS (55.9%).
• Since 2005, NBA home favorites of greater than -4 are 31-23-2 ATS (57.4%) in the NBA Finals, including 12-7-2 ATS (63.2%) since 2018.
• Since 1998, NBA playoff home favorites of greater than -4 coming off a loss that went under the total are 62-28-1 ATS (68.9%) when trailing in a series.
Lay the points with the San Antonio Spurs in Game 5 as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Saturday, June 13.
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