Oskeim Sports
Event: (573) Portland Trail Blazers at (574) San Antonio Spurs: Spread
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: April 28, 2026 9:30 PM EDT
Free NBA Basketball Pick Today: San Antonio Spurs -11.5 (-115)
Portland arrives in San Antonio for Game 5 off back-to-back losses, and Round 1 road underdogs coming off consecutive defeats are just 32-41-1 ATS (43.8%) since 2012. The total is lower than in the last two games, which matters because NBA playoff favorites are 33-20 ATS (62.3%) in Game 5 with totals of 220 or less, provided the totals have dropped from each of the previous two games. Portland is installed as an underdog for the fifth consecutive game in this series, which is significant because NBA playoff underdogs coming off back-to-back games as underdogs are 264-352-13 ATS (42.9%). The team’s respective records are noteworthy because NBA favorites of -9 or greater with seven or more overall wins over their opponents are 148-93-3 ATS (61.4%) since 1998. San Antonio’s defense will be critical in Game 5, as the Spurs are 45-10 SU and 36-17-2 ATS when limiting opponents to fewer than 115.5 points per game. San Antonio is ranked eighth in the NBA in points allowed per game (111.5), while the Trail Blazers rank 16th in scoring offense (115.5 PPG). Finally, the Spurs fall into a profitable 249-191-6 ATS (56.6%) system of mine that dates to 2009 and invests on NBA playoff teams that possess certain ATS margins. Lay the points with the San Antonio Spurs as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Tuesday, April 28.
Released/revised 14 hour(s) ago
Sniper Wes 
Ben Burns 
Mark Zinno 
Tony Karpinski 
David Delano 
Dan Kaiser 
Steve Merril 
David Hess 
Steve Seagrave 
Gianni the Greek 