Free Major League Baseball Predictions for June 25

Steve Seagrave

Event: (953) Chicago Cubs at (954) New York Mets: Pete Crow-Armstrong Hits + Runs + RBIs

Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: June 25, 2026 7:10 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Pete Crow-Armstrong Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 1.5 (-125) Action

Seagrave is on a strong 50-38-1 (57%) run with his posted Free Picks since March 19th!

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Pete Crow-Armstrong Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 1.5 (-125) Action:

Pete Crow-Armstrong is riding a 13-game hit streak where he's covered this HRR line 12 times including each of his last 10 games. Now Crow-Armstrong gets another opportunity to feast on Freddy Peralta who he's gone 6-17 (.353) with a home run and a double. Peralta hasn't been in very good form as he has allowed 4+ earned runs in 4 of his last 6 outings including 10 earned runs to the Phillies in his last start and 6 earned runs to the Cardinals a few starts back. The former Brewer has pitched extremely well against this Cubs lineup outside of PCA, but he was in much better form in those days, and the Cubs already faced him in 2026 while scoring 3 earned runs across 5.2 innings of work. The Mets bullpen is absolutely gassed after three straight high scoring affairs including a double-header yesterday so four of their high leverage will likely be unavailable tonight. The weather conditions are better than any game thus far in this series as we will see wind blowing out to center field at 14 mph with temps in the mid-70's.

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Bryan Power

Event: (955) Arizona Diamondbacks at (956) St. Louis Cardinals: Total

Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: June 25, 2026 7:45 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Total Over 9.0 (-105) Zac Gallen (RHP), Michael McGreevy (RHP) Must Start

Looking at this matchup, I don't have much faith in either of the two starting pitchers. I bet the Over (9.0) in Zac Gallen's last start for Arizona. Gallen got rocked, giving up nine runs in just four innings, and I cashed my bet by the top of the fifth inning! It has been absolutely miserable season for Gallen thus far, particularly on the road where he has a 6.98 ERA and 1.81 WHIP.

For St. Louis, it will be Michael McGreevy getting the starting nod tonight. He's one of those guys where there's a significant gap between actual (3.35) and expected (5.69) ERA. That's typically a sign that regression could be the horizon. Sure enough, in his most recent start, McGreevy allowed five runs in five innings. He does not strike a lot of batters out either.

With the belief that both starting pitchers struggle here, I think betting the Over is the right call. The Over cashed last night here at Busch Stadium as the D'backs won 9-4. The Cardinals don't score as much at home as they do on the road, but a matchup with Gallen is ideal in for any lineup in any venue. Hopefully (fingers crossed) this game doesn't get rained out!

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Dan Kaiser

Event: (951) Philadelphia Phillies at (952) Washington Nationals: Moneyline

Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: June 25, 2026 6:45 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Philadelphia Phillies -165 Cristopher Sanchez (LHP), Cade Cavalli (RHP) Must Start

The Philadelphia Phillies are 44-36 this season. Philadelphia has a 4.12 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP.  Cristopher Sanchez is 9-3 with a 1.80 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in 105.0 innings. The Washington Nationals are 41-40 this season. Washington has a 4.69 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP. Cade Cavalli is 4-4 with a 4.07 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP in 77.1 innings.  Washington has lost three of its last four games.  The Nationals are 17-24 at home, and the Phillies are 21-17 on the road. Philadelphia has won four of its last five games. Sanchez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Cavalli has allowed 3+ earned runs in two of his last three outings. The Phillies have an advantage in starting pitching, and the Nats' bullpen has struggled over the last couple of games.

Play on Philadelphia. This is a FREE PLAY!

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Steve Merril

Event: (961) Texas Rangers at (962) Toronto Blue Jays: Moneyline

Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: June 25, 2026 7:07 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Toronto Blue Jays -152 MacKenzie Gore (LHP), Kevin Gausman (RHP) Must Start

Toronto starter Kevin Gausman projects to give up 2.2 runs with a 3.28 ERA and 1.11 WHIP.  Texas’ lineup has hit just .198 (17-86) with a weak .600 OPS against Gausman in his career.  The Rangers will start MacKenzie Gore.  The lefty projects to give up 2.7 earned runs with a 4.64 ERA and 1.45 WHIP.  With the starting pitching clearly in Toronto’s favor, look for the Blue Jays to get a solid home win in this game on Thursday night.

Play BLUE JAYS (-).

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Tom Macrina

Event: (963) New York Yankees at (964) Boston Red Sox: Total

Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: June 25, 2026 7:10 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Total Under 7.5 (-102) Cam Schlittler (RHP), Connelly Early (LHP) Must Start

We’ve got a strong pitching matchup tonight with two quality arms on the mound in Schlittler and Weathers. Both bullpens have been reliable overall this season, though Boston’s group has shown some fatigue and struggled a bit this week.

The trends line up nicely for a lower-scoring game here. The Yankees have been a strong Under team on the road, and the Red Sox have leaned Under at home as well. New York has cashed the Under in 4 straight games, while Boston has seen it hit in 3 of their last 4.

All signs point to a pitchers’ duel with limited offense.

Take: NYY/BOS Under 7.5

Let's cash some tickets!

Released/revised 4 hour(s) ago

Joe Duffy

Event: (951) Philadelphia Phillies at (952) Washington Nationals: Total

Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: June 25, 2026 6:45 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Total Under 8.5 (-105) Action

FREE PICK: Phillies-Nationals UNDER 8.5

Yesterday's meeting between these same clubs closed with a total a full run higher than today's number. Yes, Christopher Sanchez replacing Aaron Nola is the obvious reason for the adjustment, but that's exactly why this setup is so intriguing.

Rather than questioning the oddsmakers, we use their pricing to our advantage. When today's total is evaluated against recent totals in this situation, it triggers one of our proven UNDER angles that has produced a 4,403-3,630-385 record historically.

While the system got off to a slow start this season, it's heating up in a big way, cashing at an 8-3 clip over its last 11 qualifying plays.

Free Pick: Phillies-Nationals UNDER 8.5

Phillies vs. Nationals — Public Betting & Odds Report

Opener:

·       Phillies -185

·       Nationals +155

·       Total: 8.5

Best lines:

·       Phillies -178

·       Nationals +168

Best totals:

·       Over 8.5 (+108)

·       Under 8.5 (-105)

Splits on side:

·       86% of bets on Phillies

·       92% of money on Phillies

·       6% higher share of money than tickets, indicating larger wagers backing Philadelphia.

Splits on total:

·       66% of bets on the Over 8.5

·       66% of money on the Over 8.5

·       Perfect alignment between ticket count and money, showing broad agreement on the Over.

Takeaway:
The Phillies are one of the most heavily backed favorites on Thursday's board, attracting both overwhelming public support and an even larger percentage of the money. Meanwhile, the total leans to the Over, but without any notable sharp/public divergence, as both bets and money are split identically.

Released/revised 5 hour(s) ago

Tokyo Brandon

Event: (951) Philadelphia Phillies at (952) Washington Nationals

Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: June 25, 2026 6:45 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Philadelphia Phillies -1 (-152) Cristopher Sanchez (LHP) Must Start

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PHI AT WSN — JUNE 25, 2026

Projected final: PHI 4.8, WSN 3.2

Philadelphia’s advantage is concentrated in the starting-pitcher matchup. Cristopher Sánchez enters at 9–3 with a 1.80 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 121 strikeouts in 105 innings. Cade Cavalli enters at 4–4 with a 4.07 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 82 strikeouts. Sánchez’s last seven starts produced a 1.45 ERA, 0.87 WHIP and 54 strikeouts against six walks in 49⅔ innings.

Philadelphia has scored 344 runs with 103 home runs, a .321 on-base percentage and .424 slugging percentage. Washington has scored 429 runs with a .248 average, .301 on-base percentage and .400 slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s full-season scoring total is lower, but the lineup’s current power, Sánchez’s run prevention and Cavalli’s baserunner rate create a favorable matchup-specific projection.

STARTING-PITCHER COMPARISON

PROJECTED STARTING-PITCHER BOX SCORE

Sánchez’s expected workload is elevated by his recent efficiency. His last seven starts averaged just over seven innings, and he allowed only eight earned runs across 49⅔ innings.

Cavalli projects for approximately 5⅓ innings. Philadelphia’s combination of left-handed power and patient right-handed hitters increases the chance of a pitch count approaching 90 before the sixth inning is completed.

BULLPEN ANALYSIS

Philadelphia’s most important bullpen advantage is reduced exposure. Sánchez projects to cover seven innings, leaving only six outs for the relief unit.

Washington projects to require approximately 3⅔ relief innings. That is problematic after Brad Lord and several other relievers were used during Tuesday’s high-scoring game. Lord entered that game with a 2.29 ERA but allowed the decisive ninth-inning rally after recording two quick outs.

Philadelphia’s bullpen also surrendered three runs in the eighth inning Tuesday, so recent performance is not treated as a major strength. The model advantage comes primarily from Sánchez reducing the number of bullpen innings.

FULL-GAME TOTAL ANALYSIS

Sánchez’s seven-inning expectation is the main under driver. The warm weather and Washington’s recent offensive form prevent a higher confidence grade.

The under remains playable through approximately -125. The value becomes thin between -126 and the -133 model price.

TOKYO’S CLUTCH INDEX — RUNNER ON THIRD WITH LESS THAN 2 OUTS

COMPOSITE MLB RANKINGS

Rank scale: 1 is best and 30 is worst.

Best side: PHI moneyline -185

Released/revised 18 hour(s) ago

David Hess

Event: (951) Philadelphia Phillies at (952) Washington Nationals: Total

Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: June 25, 2026 6:45 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Total Over 8.5 (-110) Action

The Over 8.5 is the right side because Nationals Park has been one of the most explosive run environments in baseball all season, and this matchup brings two vulnerable pitching profiles into a park that punishes mistakes. Washington home games are averaging 11.32 runs per game, and the Nationals themselves put up 5.39 per game here. Philadelphia hasn’t been a strong road offense overall at 3.92 per game, but they’ve erupted for 19 runs in the first two games of this series and now get Schwarber back in the lineup. Christopher Sánchez has been excellent at home, but his road ERA jumps to 3.23, and he’s been far less effective in this park with a 4.73 ERA in three career appearances at Nationals Park. Cade Cavalli’s surface ERA at home looks fine at 3.73, but his home starts have averaged 10.75 runs because the Washington bullpen behind him has been a mess — a 5.30 ERA at home and 5.57 over its last 10 games. Philadelphia’s bullpen hasn’t been sharp either with a 5.03 ERA over its last five. These teams have already played six times this year and those games have averaged 11.33 runs. With two lineups in good form, two bullpens leaking, and a park that consistently inflates scoring, the Over 8.5 remains the stronger play.

Released/revised 5 hour(s) ago

David's Thursday Night MLB Totals Crusher: $ 7.00
David Hess has a strong MLB total lined up for this evening, and the matchup gives him exactly the kind of edge he loves to attack. The numbers point to value, the read is clean, and the window won’t stay open long. Even better — tonight’s play is just $7.00. This one deserves a spot on your card.

The Gold Sheet

Event: (955) Arizona Diamondbacks at (956) St. Louis Cardinals: Alec Burleson Bases

Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: June 25, 2026 7:45 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Alec Burleson Bases Over 1.5 (101) Action

Alec Burleson has earned a hit in 22 of his last 23 games, so that's a great starting spot when you're getting plus-money on him to generate more than 1.5 total bases. He should enjoy a favorable matchup on Thursday against Zac Gallen, who has seemingly hit a wall this season. Gallen's .304 expected batting average allowed is one of the worst marks of any starting pitcher in baseball this season. His strikeout rate has dropped from 25.1-percent in 2024 to 21.5-percent last year to 14.3-percent so far in 2026. His 5.66 expected ERA is nearly a run-and-a-half higher than his expected ERA from last season. In four starts in the month of June, Gallen has an 8.85 ERA with a 2.11 WHIP with only ten strikeouts against 102 batters faced. In his last start against the Twins, Gallen allowed nine runs on 12 hits with two walks in 4.0 innings. Gallen has allowed at least three runs in nine of his last ten starts. Burleson enters Thursday in the top-15th percentile among hitters in expected batting average, expected slugging percentage, average exit velocity and hard-hit rate. He's hitting .335 with a .412 on-base percentage against right-hand pitching this season and 31 of his 34 extra-base hits have come against righties. Burleson only has two strikeouts in his last nine games, so he's a candidate to put the ball in play every time he's at the plate.

Released/revised 7 hour(s) ago

Nick Parsons

Event: (961) Texas Rangers at (962) Toronto Blue Jays: Spread

Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: June 25, 2026 7:07 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Texas Rangers +1.5 (-170) MacKenzie Gore (LHP), Kevin Gausman (RHP) Must Start

This is a FREE PLAY on the Texas Rangers.

MacKenzie Gore is 4-6 with a 4.07 ERA for Texas and he's coming off a gem vs. the Friars, allowing one run over six frames but unfortunately getting saddled with the no-decision. He struck out six. He has a sharp 92:37 K:BB over 84 innings of work.

Kevin Gausman is 4-5 with a 4.04 ERA for the Jays, and he was most recently shelled for seven runs off seven hits over two innings in a loss to the Cubs.

It was the third time in his last four starts that he's conceded four or more runs.

Considering the form of these starters, I think we're getting great value on Gore and the Rangers with the extra 1.5 runs of insurance on the runline option.

Consider TEXAS on the RUNLINE.

Good luck, NP

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Jimmy Adams

Event: (959) Houston Astros at (960) Detroit Tigers: Moneyline

Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: June 25, 2026 6:40 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Detroit Tigers -112 Action

Troy Melton has been flying somewhat under the radar since being called upon as a starter for Detroit, allowing 2 runs or less in 4 of his 5 trips to the bump. He gave up just 1 run on 1 hit last time out against the White Sox. Tatsuya Imai has had command issues all season long, and Houston has a subpar bullpen waiting behind him. We’ll look for Detroit to take Game 1 of their weekend set at home. Take the Tigers.

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Pro Sports Picks

Event: (951) Philadelphia Phillies at (952) Washington Nationals: Moneyline

Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: June 25, 2026 6:45 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Philadelphia Phillies -183 Action

PSP Data Driven play on Phillies.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. Philadelphia are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games. Washington are 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the National League East Division.

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Sniper Wes

Event: (953) Chicago Cubs at (954) New York Mets: Moneyline

Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: June 25, 2026 7:10 PM EDT

Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Chicago Cubs -105 Matthew Boyd (LHP), Freddy Peralta (RHP) Must Start

Take #953 Cubs Over Mets

We get Boyd vs. Peralta here in New York, and Matthew Boyd has a limited sample size this season, only 24 innings under his belt, but he has given up 16 earned runs in those 24 innings, so he needs to bounce back here to get things back on track. He faces a Mets team that has lost five straight, and they are one of the worst-hitting teams in baseball. Freddy Peralta has given up 17 earned runs in his last 13 innings, so he needs to bounce back as well, but the Cubbies have scored 29 runs in the first three games of this series, so he is running into the wrong team at the wrong time, and we like the Cubs to get the sweep here.

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