7-2 RUN IN 4% AWAY SPREAD BETS (+13.64u)
Pavlos is on a 7-2 run in 4% Spread Bets on Away Sides (+13.64u) and currently on a 7-3 HEATER in Soccer L/5 Days over at WagerTalk for +14.24u. Up now is a 4% Spread Bet in the Conference League (3pm ET start), as Pavlos is fading one of the favourites in a day where he expects a LOT of dogs to bite. Good luck!
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Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| UEFA | (234017) Mainz 05 at (234018) Olomouc: Spread | 4:00pm EDT - Mar 12/2026 |
The PLAY: Olomouc +0.75 (-116)
Sigma Olomouc vs Mainz
Conference League, Thursday, 3pm ET
Play: Sigma Olomouc +0.75
Odds at Time of Release: -116
Line Parameter: Line good to -125
Another match where I disagree with the odds, as Sigma are +420 underdogs at home, the Draw is at +263 and Mainz are -133 favourites, with the Spread at 0.75. Fading Mainz here.
Mainz are sitting dangerously close to the relegation zone in the Bundesliga with 24 points, as many as St Pauli below them, who are inside the red zone. Mainz play a huge match on the weekend, away at Werder Bremen, who are at 25 points, so a relegation battle. Failing to win that match and things could get hairy for Mainz, who play vs Frankfurt and Hoffenheim after that, so there is a very good chance they might find themselves inside the relegation zone.
Mainz have been very bad on the road for quite some time now, won just 1 of L/12 away matches in all competitions (W1 D4 L7), and that win came by a single goal. They do play a bit better since the change in coach in mid-December, but it was their previous coach that did pretty good in the Conference League.
All the while, Sigma Olomouc have been pretty solid at home, losing just 4 of 17 matches in all competitions (W8 D5 L4), and 3 of those 4 losses came by exactly 1 goal. With a W1 D2 L1 record in the Conference League, and rather comfortable in the standings of their domestic league, Sigma will go all in for a win here. And even if they don't win, I doubt they will lose by 2+ goals to a Mainz side that will slightly rotate and are coming here without their best player (Amiri).
The Play is Sigma Olomouc +0.75 (-116), line good to -125, that's a split line between Sigma +1 and Sigma +0.5, which means that we win the bet if they win, if they draw, and we also get half our stake back if they lose by exactly 1 goal.
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Consultant Bio
Pavlos betting on European sports when he was in High School, back when most people his age didn’t even know how to bet. After acquiring a Bachelor’s Degree in International Economic Relationships & Development from the Democritus University in Greece, Pavlos took a different path.
Things really took off for him in 2014 when he officially started writing predictions for US-based sites. Things picked up pretty quickly and he has produced thousands upon thousands of match previous and predictions. He tends to venture off the beaten path, looking for hidden gems in a myriad of games you can bet on.
Single and double bets aside, Pavlos likes to play the odds as well. While some days there are safe single bets, there are other days that provide opportunities for different bets. Bets like Correct Scores, amount of Yellow Cards, Half-Time/Full-Time result and all kinds of prop bets. Pavlos covers the following leagues: Major League Soccer (MLS), Copa America, EURO Cup, English Premier League German Bundesliga, Spanish La Liga, Italian Serie A, French Ligue 1, Champions League and Europa League.
The betting systems he created have seen some massive pay-outs over the years. A couple of correct scores paired together can potentially save your entire season. These are small-stake bets that cost a few units, but could bring massive returns on your investment.