David Hess smashed last night’s Toronto–Utah Over 231.5, with the game soaring to 270 points, and he’s not slowing down. Tonight he shifts to the NHL board with a strong totals play he trusts. He’s also 4–1 in his last five at SportsMemo, and this one is just $7.00.
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NHL | (43) Toronto Maple Leafs at (44) Boston Bruins: Total | 7:07pm EDT - Mar 24/2026 |
The PLAY: Total Under 6.5 (-120)
Toronto/Boston Under 6.5 makes sense because this matchup sets up as a defensive, low‑event game, especially with Toronto’s offense sputtering and Boston’s home defensive numbers tightening even further. The Leafs have struggled badly without Auston Matthews, and their scoring has dipped across the board—they’re sitting at 3.1 goals per game, but recent form is well below that, and they’ve had trouble generating consistent chances with a bottom‑tier shot rate (27.0 shots per game, 22nd). Boston has been one of the toughest home defenses in the league, allowing just 2.58 goals per game in their own building, and their structure tends to suffocate teams that lack elite finishing. The Bruins don’t need to run up the score to control a game, and while they should find a few goals against a Toronto defense that’s been leaky all year (3.5 GA, 30th), the Leafs simply aren’t in a position to trade chances or push pace. With Boston’s home defensive strength, Toronto’s diminished scoring punch, and a matchup that historically trends tight, this game projects to stay under 6.5.