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Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NBA | (545) Sacramento Kings at (546) Golden State Warriors: Gary Payton II Points | 10:10pm EDT - Apr 7/2026 |
The PLAY: Gary Payton II Points Over 11.5 (102)
The Warriors are locked into the 10th seed play-in spot ahead of their game at home against Sacramento tonight. Sure, Steph Curry is back scoring 29 points in their 117-116 loss against Houston last time out so how much will he play tonight against the worst team in the West? We’re going to take a shot on Gary Payton II going over 11.5 points tonight averaging 13.7 points per game in March and going over this number in three of his last four games. What’s even more impressive is that he’s shooting 71% over his last five games while averaging 10 shot attempts per game during that time. The Kings defense has been absolutely dreadful this season sitting 29th in defensive rating across their last 10 games and allowing the seventh most points per game to shooting guards this season. It’s worth noting that Gui Santos will miss this game for Golden State and although Santos and Payton II don’t play the same position, Santos has been averaging 16.3 points per game since the all-star break and those points will need to be made up if Golden State wants to win easily tonight. Payton averages just 15.3 minutes played per game this season but has been averaging 22.3 minutes per game since the all-star break and also averaging 19.1 points per 40 minutes played this season. With that, let’s take Payton II to be a force off the bench against a deflated opponent in the Kings going over 11.5 points.
Consultant Bio
Founded in 1957, GoldSheet is the country's longest-running sports betting newsletter. The GoldSheet newsletter prides itself on providing in-depth analysis as early as possible to assist handicappers. When the dust settles on injury news, weather reports and line moves, the GoldSheet team offers its highly-respected LTS plays. Separate from the newsletter but never contrasting selections in the newsletter, these LTS selections have consistently kept GoldSheet atop WagerTalk's leaderboard since our debut in 2021. Simply put: These plays are the best of the best, and they are a big reason why GoldSheet has been a trusted source in the sports betting industry for seven decades.
- 2021 College Football Season: +85.5% Profit behind a 45-21-3 Record (No. 1 at WagerTalk)
- 2021-22 NFL Season: +10.3% Profit behind a 33-28-1 Record
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- 2022-23 NFL Season: +55.9% Profit behind a 49-28-3 Record (No. 1 at WagerTalk)
To help you prepare for the 2025-26 NFL season, the GoldSheet team has compiled team previews for all 32 squads that will be updated through out the summer. Check out some of our team previews on the WagerTalk News site: