David Hess is dialed in and ready to attack this afternoon’s board with a strong MLB total that jumps off the page. The matchup lines up cleanly, the metrics point to real value, and this number won’t stay soft for long. Even better — this afternoon’s play is just $7.00. This one is built to cash.
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| MLB | (927) Minnesota Twins at (928) Arizona Diamondbacks: Moneyline | 10:10pm EDT - Jun 20/2026 |
The PLAY: Arizona Diamondbacks -130 Action
Arizona is the right side because they’re simply a different team at Chase Field, now 24–15 at home after last night’s win, while Minnesota continues to struggle on the road at 16–22. Zac Gallen has always been a true home‑park arm, and even though his road numbers are ugly this season, he’s been steady in Phoenix with a 3.65 ERA in seven home starts and a long‑term track record that backs it up — 41–25 with a 3.31 ERA in 92 career starts at Chase Field. Taj Bradley has been serviceable on the road at 4.39 ERA, but he’s been hit hard in this building, going 0–1 with a 9.00 ERA in two career starts here. Minnesota allows 5.74 runs per game on the road, while the Diamondbacks give up just 4.14 per game at home, and Arizona’s bullpen has been more reliable in this park. With the home/road splits lining up cleanly, Gallen back in his best environment, and the Twins continuing to underperform away from Target Field, Arizona holds the matchup edge again.