David Hess has a fresh WNBA total locked in for tonight, and this matchup gives him exactly the kind of angle he loves to fire on. The numbers match his read, the pace profile fits perfectly, and the value is sitting wide open for anyone ready to jump in. At just $7.00, this is a sharp, high‑confidence total built to hit.
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| WNBA | (605) Seattle Storm at (606) Phoenix Mercury: Total | 10:00pm EDT - Jul 2/2026 |
The PLAY: Total Over 167.5 (-110)
The Over 167.5 has a clean path because Phoenix home games have consistently turned into track meets, and Seattle’s defensive numbers on the road haven’t traveled nearly as well as their reputation. The Mercury allow 93.4 points per game at home and score 87.6 themselves, and that alone pushes this matchup toward a higher total. Seattle’s offense can be hit‑or‑miss on the road, but their defense has been the real issue away from home, giving up 89.4 points per game and struggling to contain teams that push tempo. Phoenix shoots better in their own building, and their spacing tends to force opponents into faster possessions, which is exactly where Seattle’s road defense has cracked. With both teams capable of scoring in bunches when the pace picks up, and Phoenix’s home environment routinely producing high‑scoring games, this matchup has all the ingredients to get past the number.