Steve Seagrave
Event: (145) Philadelphia Eagles at (146) Los Angeles Chargers
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: December 8, 2025 8:15 PM EST
Free NFL Football Pick Today: Jalen Hurts UNDER 28.5 Pass Attempts (-119)
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Jalen Hurts UNDER 28.5 Pass Attempts (-119) DK
I fully expect the Philadelphia Eagles to utilize Jalen Hurts legs more and I expect them to be playing with the lead considering Justin Herberts condition after a surgery on his non-throwing hand. Hurts has gone under this line in 6 of his last 8 games against teams ranked top 20 in pass attempts allowed while averaging 27.3 pass attempts per game. The Los Angeles Chargers rank 5th in pass attempts allowed to opposing quarterbacks (29.1/game) and they have held 9/12 opposing quarterbacks under their respective attempt lines. They have actually held 4 of the last 5 quarterbacks under this particular line including Geno Smith (23), Trevor Lawrence (22), Cam Ward (27) and Carson Wentz (27). Hurts has thrown the ball a ton in back-to-back games but Philadelphia was trailing to Dallas and Chicago. I expect a more run heavy script on Monday Night Football as the Eagles play with a lead on the road.
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Tom Macrina
Event: (145) Philadelphia Eagles at (146) Los Angeles Chargers
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: December 8, 2025 8:15 PM EST
Free NFL Football Pick Today: Total Over 41.5 (-108)
Head-to-Head History
Chargers have historically owned the series, but the only prior meeting in Los Angeles went to Philadelphia 26-24.
Most recent matchup: 2021 in Philadelphia → Chargers won 27-24.
Chargers have taken 3 of the last 4 meetings overall.
Last 4 H2H games all finished with both teams scoring 24+ points (average total: 53.5 PPG).
Recent trend: 6-1 to the Over between these franchises (though the sample is old).
Current Records & Betting Trends
Both teams enter 8-4 straight up.
Eagles: 7-5 ATS | 4-2 ATS on the road | 2-2 ATS last 4 | 3-3 O/U on road
Chargers: 6-6 ATS | 4-2 ATS at home | 6-6 O/U overall
Chargers have won & covered their last 3 home games.
Eagles have lost & failed to cover their last 2 games.
Team-Level Performance
Chargers rank as a solidly average offense and one of the league’s better scoring defenses (top-8 in points allowed).
Eagles’ offense has cratered over the last month, averaging just 15.5 PPG over the L4, while the defense has carried them (allowing 16.0 PPG in that span).
Key Injuries
Eagles: OUT – DT Jalen Carter (massive loss to interior pass rush & run defense), RT Lane Johnson (Eagles are historically poor without him protecting Hurts’ blindside; OL run-blocking also suffers).
Chargers: Justin Herbert is expected to play. RB Omarion Hampton is also expected back — big boost to a ground game that has been solid.
Matchup Angles
Eagles got gashed for 200+ rushing yards by Chicago last week. The Chargers, with a healthy Hampton and Herbert’s play-action threat, should be able to exploit that softness on the ground.
Conversely, the Chargers rank bottom-10 against the run. If Saquon Barkley and the Eagles can re-establish the run game, it should open the RPO and play-action game for Jalen Hurts — an area where Hurts has historically feasted on the road.
With Jalen Carter sidelined, Herbert should have cleaner pockets and more time to attack downfield against an Eagles secondary that can be had when the pass rush disappears.
Bottom Line
This has all the makings of a competitive, relatively high scoring affair despite the low total (41.5). Both offenses have clear paths to success on the ground, which should loosen up the passing games and keep the clock moving less than usual. The last four meetings all cleared 48+ points, and the personnel/matchup weaknesses line up for both sides to reach the 20s again.
Play: Over 41.5
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For a limited time, get every basketball play from Tom Macrina for three full days — including NBA and College Basketball selections and any Best Bets, Game of the Month, or Game of the Year releases — all for just $49!That’s only $16.33 per day for every premium hoops play your handicapper releases. You’ll also receive instant access the m ...
