Hot Streaks:
13-4 (77%) L7 DAYS - 26-13 (67%) IN OCTOBER - 25-12 (68%) NFL L30 (No. 1 L30 DAYS!) - 6-0 (100%) CFB RUN (No. 1 L7 DAYS!)
3-1 (75%) NHL SURGE ~ 109-85 LONG-TERM NHL!
RED HOT 17-5 ALL NFL LAST THREE COMBINED SUNDAYS!
No. 2 NBA/CBB COMBINED L/YEAR: +83.85 units, 55.6% Winning Percentage (202-161-5) , 6.2% ROI
HOT 12-4 TOURNEY RUN, ALSO 18-7 L25 TOURNEY RUN and long-term 310-265 CBB RUN!
5-1 (83%) IN THE NBA PLAYOFFS - 117-90 NBA YTD and long-term 438-378 NBA RUN!
Last updated Oct 17, 6:40 AM EDT
Member Notes
No. 2 Combined NBA/CBB Capper 2024/25!
No. 1 NFL CAPPER L4 WEEKS 22-8 (73%) NFL L4 WEEKS!
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| CFB | (377) Mississippi State at (378) Florida | 4:15pm EDT - Oct 18/2025 |
The PLAY: Florida -9.0 (-109)
This is a FREE PLAY on Florida.
The Gators are 2-4, while the Bulldogs are 4-2.
Florida is 2-1 SU/ATS at home, while Mississippi State is 1-1 SU/ATS on the road.
The Gators have faced some stiff competition and are off the 34-17 loss at Texas A&M as 7-point dogs.
So far, Florida has failed to live up to expectations, but it still has a shot at eligibility, especially with a win here on Saturday afternoon.
The Gators won't likely be a favorite at any other point in the season, but they do have a bye week coming up to get ready for the final five games, including a neutral site affair against Georgia when they come out of their bye, following by games at Kentucky and Ole Miss, and then finishing the season with back-to-back home games against Tennessee and FSU.
The Bulldogs are 4-2, winning their first four games, but dropping their last two, falling 41-34 in overtime at home to Tennessee, before a 31-9 loss at Texas A&M two weeks ago.
With a huge nationally televised game at home against Texas next week, the visitors could also easily be caught "looking ahead" here.
This is exactly what the doctor ordered for the Gators.
Besides the win over ASU, the Bulldogs' other wins look pretty empty.
Billy Napier's job is on the line essentially, and I look for his team to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish.
Consider FLORIDA.
Good luck, NP
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NHL | (25) Tampa Bay Lightning at (26) Detroit Red Wings | 7:07pm EDT - Oct 17/2025 |
The PLAY: Detroit Red Wings +1.5 (-170)
This is a FREE PLAY on the RED WINGS on the puckline (I also like Detroit on the moneyline if you prefer).
I think the Lightning are overvalued in this spot, and it's Detroit that comes in as a live dog. You can play this one of two ways, depending on your risk tolerance.
I think the Wings offer tremendous value as a live dog to win this one outright, but I also think Detroit is the correct call by laying the reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance on the puckline option.
As primarily a situational handicapper, I love the way this one sets up for the home side.
Tampa Bay is just 1-3, and it's off a 3-2 OT loss in the Nation's capital. After this, it has a game at Columbus tomorrow night, followed by five whole nights off.
I feel it's a trap here for the Lightning as they get caught looking ahead.
Detroit, though, comes in as arguably the hottest team in the nation, having played arguably the toughest schedule, dropping their first game at home to Montreal, before then posting three straight victories, including two in a row over Toronto, and then most recently a dominating 4-1 home victory over Florida.
With a tough opponent in the Oilers coming to town on Saturday, the Wings will put their full focus on the ice here on Thursday, another situational factor working in their favor.
Nikita Kucherov and Lucas Raymond lead the teams, but the latter has the advantage here at home.
The Lightning have been so good for so long, and over that same span, the Wings have been trash.
But Detroit has made big strides in the last two years, especially over the second half of last season.
And now I think they're completely undervalued here at home by the oddsmakers on Friday night.
As I said, depending on your risk tolerance, you can play this one of two ways: either on the ML or the PL.
Good luck, NP
Consultant Bio
Veteran handicapper Nick Parsons has been involved in the industry both as one of the World's leading sports prognosticating experts (in every major sport over the course of the last 20 years!), and he's also worked behind the scenes with some of the biggest companies and players in the market as well.
A "contrarian" at heart, Nick has always felt that being flexible with your approach when it comes to handicapping is the best way to secure profits over the short, mid, and long term. Parsons doesn't limit himself to any sort of bet, or style of wagering. If he sees value in a pick, whether it's an underdog or a favorite, then he plays it. His succinct and no "B.S." approach, while also always being fully accountable, is what his growing list of satisfied clients has grown to appreciate the most.
Nick's been in the trenches fighting the books every single day for the last 20 years. He's never once pretended that any part of this industry is "easy." It's not. But you can put his invaluable experience to work for you, as 2023 and 2024 have massive potential for this industry icon!