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Last updated Nov 24, 12:00 PM EST
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NFL | (307) Kansas City Chiefs at (308) Dallas Cowboys | 4:30pm EST - Nov 27/2025 |
The PLAY: Patrick Mahomes OVER 20.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Patrick Mahomes OVER 20.5 Rushing Yards (-114) DK
Patrick Mahomes has crushed this line with 28+ rushing yards in 7/11 games this season (64%) while averaging 28.9 yards per game. That includes last week's game against the Indianapolis Colts where he ran the ball four times for 30 yards. The Dallas Cowboys defense has struggled to stop the passing game at home, but they have also allowed the 3rd most rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks with 24.6 per game. The Cowboys offense should find success against the Chiefs with Dak Prescott airing it out and that's reflected in the total being driven up to 52.5. Kansas City leads the NFL in passing rate and that leads to opportunities for Mahomes to collect rushing yards on scrambles. Kareem Hunt is a 30-year-old running back that is coming off a 30-carry effort after not logging more than 13 carries all season so you can't expect for him to be very fresh on a short week. These are the types of critical games where Mahomes is much more likely to play hero ball, and I fully expect a big game on ground on Thanksgiving.
Consultant Bio
Steve Seagrave has had a passion for breaking down and analyzing sports for decades and he has consistently picked winners while focusing on steady growth and never chasing losses. He specializes in player and team props in the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, CFB, and CBB but he is not afraid to utilize a side or total when necessary. Seagrave owned and operated multiple sports-themed pizzerias for over a decade so he knows what it takes to thrive in what can be a brutal industry. In 2020, Seagrave successfully sold the business to chase his dream of becoming a professional sports handicapper. Since then, he has assisted in several profitable seasons with his mentor Andy Lang, written articles for WagerTalk News & the Goldsheet, and co-hosted “Road to Millions”.
Seagrave has been involved in sports and sports gambling for his entire life. As a proud New Englander, he has been an avid fan of all the local teams and was a dedicated fantasy sports player long before it was cool. Seagrave learned the gambling ropes under a bookmaking mentor but eventually decided to go into business for himself by making his own picks. Once player and team props became widely available in sportsbooks, it was a natural fit based on his fantasy sports knowledge and experience.
Since going pro, Seagrave hit the ground running with a profitable MLB season where he picked 56% winners. He has also cashed 66% of his NFL Max Play tickets and 80% of his College Football plays. Seagrave also has a great track record with future plays, going 18-8 (69%) in the NFL, MLB, and NBA during the past two seasons. He has also always had a passion for writing and has contributed countless articles for WagerTalk News and the Goldsheet. This past year, Seagrave was also an integral part in launching Andy Lang's “Road to Millions”, a sports gambling show that focuses on strict bankroll management.
Seagrave utilizes extensive statistical analysis, trends, and game script to track down the winners and he prides himself on honesty and transparency. You can count on well-researched plays with detailed write-ups for selections in the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, CFB, CBB, and more. Seagrave is thrilled to be part of the Sports Memo team and looks forward to bringing you winners on a consistent basis.