David Hess is staying hot at SportsMemo, cashing three of his last four after last night’s Wichita State/Oklahoma State Over 164.5 came through. He turns to the NBA tonight with another strong Total locked in and ready to roll. Grab this bargain winner now for just $7—small price, big potential.
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NBA | (545) Golden State Warriors at (546) Dallas Mavericks: Total | 9:40pm EDT - Mar 23/2026 |
The PLAY: Total Over 230.5 (-110)
Over 230.5 is the right side because Dallas keeps dragging games into a faster, offense-first script, and Golden State does not need to be at full strength to cash this kind of number against a defense playing this poorly. The Mavericks are fifth in the league in pace, they’ve allowed 132.0 points per game over their last five, and they’re giving up 118.3 per game at home, which is exactly the kind of defensive profile that can revive a Warriors offense that has looked shaky lately. Golden State is still scoring 114.8 points per game on the season, and more importantly, its defense has slipped as well, allowing 117.6 per game over the last five, so this is not a matchup where Dallas should have trouble getting into rhythm. The Mavericks have averaged 119.4 points per game over that same five-game stretch, and their season profile still points to offense because they rebound well, push tempo, and create more possessions than most teams in the league. When you combine Dallas’ pace with two defenses trending in the wrong direction, 230.5 is not asking for anything outrageous, especially if this game stays competitive into the final two minutes where fouls can tack on the extra points that push an over home.