Tokyo Brandon
Event: (304627) NC Dinos at (304628) SSG Landers: Moneyline
Sport/League: KBO
Date/Time: May 5, 2026 1:00 AM EDT
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Bottom line projection
1st 5 innings: NC 2.3 — SSG 3.4
Full game: NC 4.8 — SSG 5.7
Main edge: SSG by about 0.9 runs, driven by Shin Yeong-woo’s command risk/short-start profile, SSG’s home setting, and NC likely needing a lot of bullpen outs. The total stays high because Incheon-Munhak has played run-friendly in 2026, but the clear/cool weather and wind in from right field knock it down a bit.
Team | Starting Pitcher | RPG (10) | RPG L10 (10) | SP Career Rank (10) | Career WHIP | SP Career BB/K% | SP Season ERA | SP Season WHIP | SP Season BB/K% | BP (10) | ||||
NC | SHIN Yeong Woo | 8 | 3 | 9.7 | 2.03 | 124.0% | 9.00 | 1.00 | 75.0% | 6 | ||||
SSG | CHOI Min Jun | 3 | 2 | 6.6 | 1.58 | 0.0% | 1.54 | 1.24 | 56.5% | 7 | ||||
Chart 1 — projected score
Market | NC | SSG | Total | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1st 5 innings | 2.3 | 3.4 | 5.7 | SSG F5 |
Full game | 4.8 | 5.7 | 10.5 | SSG ML / Over-lean if market ≤ 9.5 |
Chart 2 — starting pitcher projected game stats
Pitcher | Team | IP | ER | H | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shin Yeong-woo | NC | 2 1/3 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 2.8 |
Choi Min-jun | SSG | 4 2/3 | 2.1 | 4.7 | 4.8 | 2.7 |
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