Free NPB Handicapping Plays - Sports Picks from Premium Cappers

Tokyo Brandon is+50 units in 2026, he has a 4% KBO best bet tonight. The ONLY way to get his plays is by clicking here and getting a 1 day pass, triple play or a double play special ➡ wt.buzz/tb
-- -- --

I like Yomiuri Giants 1st 5 team total UNDER 1.5 (-130) today against DeNA starter Katsuki Azuma.

The matchup is unusually strong for the under. Azuma has a 2.19 ERA in 22 starts this season, and he’s been even better lately: 0.64 ERA, 0.79 WHIP over 14 innings in September.

More importantly, Azuma has absolutely owned Yomiuri in 2026: 3 starts, 21 innings, 2 total runs allowed, 0.86 ERA, 0.67 WHIP, .189 batting average allowed, 21 K and zero walks. And those numbers are actually even stronger for this specific wager:

• April 3: Giants scored 0 runs through 5 against Azuma; their only run came in the 7th.

• August 19: Azuma threw 7 scoreless innings against Yomiuri.

• September 2: Giants scored 0 through the first 5; Azuma went 7 innings and allowed only 1 run.

So Yomiuri has scored ZERO runs in the first five innings in all three Azuma starts this season — 15 consecutive F5 innings without a run against him.

There is some recent offensive risk. Yomiuri scored 2 runs through five yesterday against Taira, and they had recent 5-run games against Chunichi. But Azuma is a substantially tougher matchup, and he's already demonstrated three times that this particular Giants lineup/profile struggles to manufacture early offense against him.

My number:

Bet

Market

My probability

My fair odds

Edge

Yomiuri F5 TT Under 1.5

-130

69%

-223

+12.5 percentage points

-130 requires only 56.5% to break even. I have the under around 69%, so there's a pretty substantial cushion.

Projected Yomiuri runs through 5: 0.95
Most likely outcomes: 0 runs → 39%, 1 run → 37%, 2+ runs → 24%.

Rating: — strong play

At -130, I'd play it. I'd still be interested around -150 to -155. The thing I like most isn't Azuma's overall ERA — it's the three-for-three F5 shutout history against this exact opponent in 2026.