Free NPB Handicapping Plays - Sports Picks from Premium Cappers

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F5 Under

The key is that both starting pitchers can win their individual matchup. Inoue has the much easier opposing offense to face, but Kanemaru has been exceptional specifically against Yomiuri. Your sheet notes that all five of Kanemaru's starts against Yomiuri this season have been quality starts, totaling 32⅓ innings and 36 strikeouts.

That creates a lot of realistic winning scores for U3.5 after five:

0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0, 0-2, 2-1, 1-2, 3-0, 0-3.

You only lose once the teams combine for 4+ runs in five innings.

BKanemaru can pitch very well and keep Chunichi alive into the late innings. A game sitting 1-1 or 2-1 after six innings is excellent for the under but introduces considerable variance into a -135 moneyline.

Most likely F5 scores:

Yomiuri 1-0
1-1
Yomiuri 2-0
Yomiuri 2-1

Full-game projection remains approximately:

Yomiuri 3 – Chunichi 2

Betting grades

F5 Under 3.5
This would be my bet.