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Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| MLB | (969) Los Angeles Angels at (970) Tampa Bay Rays: F5 Total | 4:10pm EDT - May 30/2026 |
The PLAY: F5 Total Under 3.5 (104) Action
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LAA @ TBR — 5/30/2026
Projected score: TBR 4.6, LAA 3.5
Projected full-game total: 8.1
Projected 1st 5: TBR 2.2, LAA 1.5
Detmers’ last start was dominant: 8.0 IP, 1 H, 1 ER, 14 K, 0 BB. The model still discounts him because the previous May start was 5.2 IP, 8 ER, and the overall May line remains volatile. Rasmussen’s May run prevention has been steadier: four May starts, 24.1 IP, 8 ER, 19 K, 5 BB, including 7.0 scoreless innings at New York in his last start.
The lineup edge leans Tampa Bay. LAA’s projected lineup is Zach Neto, Mike Trout, Vaughn Grissom, Jorge Soler, Wade Meckler, Jo Adell, Oswald Peraza, Donovan Walton, and Logan O’Hoppe. TBR’s projected lineup is Yandy Díaz, Jonathan Aranda, Junior Caminero, Ryan Vilade, Cedric Mullins II, Ben Williamson, Chandler Simpson, Nick Fortes, and Taylor Walls. The game is listed as indoor at Tropicana Field.
Friday’s game matters because Tampa Bay won 8-5 after a seven-run seventh inning, while both bullpens showed some late stress: LAA’s pen gave up the decisive rally, and TBR’s pen let an 8-2 game become 8-5 with the bases loaded in the ninth.
Market | Consensus line | Model total | Fair over odds | Fair under odds | Consensus odds | Value | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st 5 under | 4.0 | 3.7 | +138 | -138 | -110 proxy | Small value | 3/5 |