David Hess has a fresh MLB total ready for tonight, and he’s carrying real momentum after going 2‑0‑1 across his last three releases. This matchup gives him a clean numerical edge, the line fits his read, and the value is sitting wide open. At just $7.00, this total is primed to deliver.
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| MLB | (929) Kansas City Royals at (930) New York Mets: Total | 7:10pm EDT - Jul 8/2026 |
The PLAY: Total Over 9.0 (-109) Action
The Over 9 makes sense because both teams are walking into a matchup where the run environment, recent form, and pitching setup all point in the same direction. Kansas City’s offense has erupted for 31 runs across its last two games, and while they’ve averaged just 3.89 runs per game on the road, the Mets have allowed 5.09 per game at home. New York’s last seven home games have averaged a massive 14 runs, and tonight’s pitching combination doesn’t offer much resistance. Steven Cruz will open for the Royals, and even though he threw 1.1 shutout innings in his lone start, that game still produced 23 total runs because the Kansas City bullpen — now sitting at a 6.04 ERA on the road — completely imploded. Christian Scott has pitched well overall, but his last two home starts have come with a 6.00 ERA, and the Mets’ bullpen has been a disaster lately with an 8.54 ERA over its last ten. Kansas City has allowed 9.00 runs per game in its last seven road contests, and both offenses have enough pop to take advantage of shaky relief work. With two volatile pitching plans, two struggling bullpens, and a park that’s been producing huge numbers, this matchup has a clear path to another high‑scoring result.