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Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NHL | (31) Montreal Canadiens at (32) Pittsburgh Penguins | 7:07pm EST - Dec 11/2025 |
The PLAY: Pittsburgh Penguins -110
This is a FREE PLAY on the Pittsburgh Penguins.
I had a play on Pittsburgh in its last game, and it held a 3-2 lead into the final minute of the game in its eventual 4-3 shootout loss to Anaheim.
To say that loss was frustrating, both for them and for my clients and me, would be an understatement.
Now they have a chance to take out their frustrations on the Canadiens, and at this price, I think Pittsburgh is worth the price of admission on Thursday night.
When we look at the Penguins, we find that they're 14-7-7 overall, including 6-4-3 at home, while the Habs are 15-11-3 overall, including 8-3-2 on the road.
The Penguins now enter after back-to-back shootout losses, also falling 3-2 in a shootout at Dallas before the home loss to Anaheim on Tuesday.
Pittsburgh, though, is in a good spot to bounce back in, with San Jose, Utah, and Edmonton all coming to town after this.
Montreal enters having lost two straight, most recently the 6-1 home loss to the Lightning on Tuesday.
With another tough road game at New York, I think this is a difficult position for the Habs to try to bounce back in.
Situationally speaking, this one favors the home side for sure in my opinion.
A quick tale of the tape finds Montreal averaging 3.2 goals per game, while allowing 3.5.
Pittsburgh, on the other hand, averages 3.1 goals per game, while allowing 2.7.
Clearly, the difference comes on the defensive end.
I think it's also important to consider their current form when evaluating this play. Looking at the Canadiens' last two games reveals that they are struggling to generate offense, while doing nothing to slow down their opponents on the defensive end.
The Penguins, though, have been competitive in back-to-back shootout losses, and they had plenty of chances to put it away late in each game; it really was so close and could have gone either way.
When taking into account all of these situational factors, and combining it with this extremely reasonable line, the value for sure swings to the PENGUINS in this matchup on Thursday night.
Good luck, NP
Consultant Bio
Veteran handicapper Nick Parsons has been involved in the industry both as one of the World's leading sports prognosticating experts (in every major sport over the course of the last 20 years!), and he's also worked behind the scenes with some of the biggest companies and players in the market as well.
A "contrarian" at heart, Nick has always felt that being flexible with your approach when it comes to handicapping is the best way to secure profits over the short, mid, and long term. Parsons doesn't limit himself to any sort of bet, or style of wagering. If he sees value in a pick, whether it's an underdog or a favorite, then he plays it. His succinct and no "B.S." approach, while also always being fully accountable, is what his growing list of satisfied clients has grown to appreciate the most.
Nick's been in the trenches fighting the books every single day for the last 20 years. He's never once pretended that any part of this industry is "easy." It's not. But you can put his invaluable experience to work for you, as 2023 and 2024 have massive potential for this industry icon!