David Hess delivered again last night with Kansas–Houston staying under 136.5, and he’s right back at it with another totals play he trusts. This matchup lines up cleanly with his numbers, the value is strong, and the play is available for just $7.00. A sharp, high‑confidence spot ready to fire.
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| CBB | (623) San Diego State at (624) Utah State: Spread | 6:00pm EDT - Mar 14/2026 |
The PLAY: Utah State -1.5 (-110)
Utah State -1.5 makes sense because the Aggies bring the more complete offensive profile into this matchup, and their efficiency gives them the edge against a San Diego State team that can go long stretches without scoring. Utah State leads the Mountain West in conference scoring at 81.5 ppg, shooting 49.5% from the field and an elite 59.9% on twos, and they pair that with top‑tier ball movement and the No. 1 assist rate in league play. San Diego State’s defense is always tough, but this version hasn’t been as airtight as past years, allowing 70.3 ppg in conference play and ranking outside the top ten in opponent three‑point percentage. The Aggies also defend better than they get credit for—holding league opponents to 72.7 ppg and 43.6% shooting—and they’ve been the more consistent team over the last month. With Utah State’s offensive balance, superior efficiency, and the ability to force SDSU into a half‑court game where the Aztecs have struggled to generate clean looks, the Aggies are in the stronger position to cover this short number.