David Hess is locked in on the MLB night slate, and he’s ready to unload a big totals winner under the lights. The matchup, number, and metrics all point to a clean edge he’s primed to attack. If you want a sharp, high‑value play to anchor your evening card, tonight’s MLB Total is built to cash.
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| MLB | (971) Toronto Blue Jays at (972) Atlanta Braves: Total | 7:15pm EDT - Jun 3/2026 |
The PLAY: Total Under 8.0 (-105) Action
This is a Client Play
The Under 8 sets up well because Truist Park has played far tighter than Atlanta’s overall offensive reputation suggests, and both starters come in with the kind of form that keeps games from getting loose. Last night’s matchup finished with seven runs, and that fits the pattern — Atlanta home games are averaging just 7.50 total runs, a massive drop from the 9.65 per game their road contests produce. Patrick Corbin has quietly been one of the steadier arms in the league this season, allowing two earned runs or fewer in seven of his ten starts and posting a 2.97 ERA across six road outings. He’s given up only two earned runs total in his last two starts and hasn’t allowed more than three in any outing except one. He draws an Atlanta lineup that scores just 4.39 runs per game at home, far below its road production. Grant Holmes has been reliable at Truist with a 3.90 home ERA, including a sharp 2.40 ERA over his last three starts in this park, and he’s backed by a bullpen carrying a 3.31 ERA at home and a dominant 2.33 ERA over its last ten games. Toronto’s offense doesn’t travel well either, averaging only 3.68 runs per game on the road. Corbin’s road starts have averaged just 6.33 total runs, and Holmes’ last four home outings have averaged only 5.2. With both offenses in their weaker scoring splits and both pitchers in strong current form, this matchup leans toward another low‑scoring game.