Nick Borrman

• 232-192 (55%) Lifetime Soccer BEST BETS (4-5% Plays)
• 237-186 (56%) Lifetime Soccer Totals
• 56-38 (60%) +50.64u EURO Qualifiers
• 16-11-3 (59%) +15.10u Champions League
• 65-53 (55%) +11.47u 2019 MLS Season
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• Last updated Nov 11 4:13 PM EST

Follow Borrman on Twitter @Borrman00 for updates on teams, schedules, injuries and more as well as access to his Free Picks.

General Soccer Betting Info:

3-Way Betting:  You can bet the home team, the away team, or the draw.  Betting either team would be the equivalent of taking the -0.5 goal line spread which is also the same as the ML (moneyline).

2-Way Betting:  Eliminates the draw as an option and if the game ends in a draw, your bet is voided/refunded.  Listed as +0 or PK (pick).

Asian Handicap:  This is the same as traditional sports where you see lines at -0.5 or -1, however, you may also see quarter-goal lines and they can be on the spread or total.  Essentially a quarter-goal line is splitting your wager into two wagers on the half point on either side of that spread.  For example, if you wager on a team at -0.75, you are actually placing half your wager on -0.5 and half your wager on -1.  A win by two goals or more would result in a full win, a win by one goal would result in a half-win (you win the -0.5 portion of the bet, but push on the -1 portion) and a draw or loss would result in a full loss.

2019-2020 Soccer League Model Records: (Updated thru 11/10/19)

ALL LEAGUES: 354-306-47 (54%) +102.02u

UEFA Champions League: 16-11-3 (59%) +15.10u

UEFA Europa League: 10-15-2 (40%) -16.50u

UEFA Euro Qualifiers: 56-38 (60%) +50.64u

ENGLAND Premier League: 12-13-3 (48%) -1.30u

FRANCE Ligue 1: 14-13-4 (52%) +3.83u

GERMANY Bundesliga: 17-14 (55%) +11.35u

ITALY Serie A: 20-21-4 (49%) -7.90u

SPAIN La Liga: 16-13-1 (55%) +11.98u

BELGIUM Jupiler League: 8-13-2 (38%) -20.45u

NETHERLANDS Eredivisie: 16-15-1 (52%) -0.17u

RUSSIA Premier League: 17-6-1 (74%) +34.45u

BRAZIL Serie A: 36-35-8 (51%) +11.45u

MEXICO Liga MX: 13-16 (45%) -11.13u

USA MLS: 65-53-8 (55%) +11.47u

OTHER Leagues/Competitions: 18-16-3 (53%) +0.06u

ENGLAND Championship (Posting Entire Season as FREE releases on a 1-2u scale): 22-15-2 (59%) +9.95u

• SportGame SelectionGame Time

  SOCSlovakia at Croatia3:45pm EST - Nov 16/2019
  THE PLAY: Croatia -1.0 (-120)

  Euro Qualifier

  (225497) Slovakia at (225498) Croatia

  Both teams still have plenty to play for here.  Croatia sit atop the group with 14 points while Slovakia are in 3^rd with 10 points.  Hungary sit in the 2^nd spot with 12 points.  

  Croatia as most will remember, were the World Cup runners-up to France.  They have a very strong team and have one of the best midfields in all of international soccer with former Balloon d'or winner Luka Modric from Real Madrid, young Nikola Vlasic from CSKA Moscow, Perisic from Bayern Munich, Kovacic from Chelsea and Rakitic from Barcelona.  They almost always win the battle in the middle of the field and they really dominated the play against Slovakia in the first match, winning 4-0 in Slovakia and that was without Kovacic and Rakitic.

  Crotia is a tough place to play.  There aren’t many teams that go in there and have success.  They are 3-0 in group play so far and beat Spain here in the Nations League last year and drew against England.  They aren’t necessarily a high scoring team as those four goals against Slovakia were the most they have scored during all of these qualifiers, but like I said they are so good in the middle of the field, they can choke out much of the opposing attack before it happens and really limit the chances against them.  I like Croatia laying the goal here and I think at worst they win by one goal which obviously would just be a push on our bet, but I think they will really limit Slovakia and have a good chance at keeping a clean sheet while scoring two or maybe three themselves.  

  I wouldn’t wait on this.  I would not be surprised to see this tick to -1.25 closer to matchday.

  3% TAKE CROATIA -1

  Line Parmeter: 3% at -1 up to -130, no play at -1.25

• SportGame SelectionGame Time

  SOCSweden at Romania2:45pm EST - Nov 15/2019
  THE PLAY: Total OVER 2.25 (+100)

  Euro Qualifier

  (225437) Sweden at (225438) Romania

  Two very evenly matched teams here.  Both teams are within one point of each other for the 2^nd qualification from this group along with Spain.  Sweden holds the one point advantage over Romania which is notable because of who each of these teams play in their last group match.  Sweden will face Faroe Islands after this game and Romania unfortunately will face Spain.  So Romania is looking at a must-win here to get two points clear of Sweden, then they need to at least draw with Spain to give themselves a chance.  If that does happen, Romania and Sweden will be even on points (assuming of course Sweden beats Faroe Islands) and with them splitting their two matches in the group, the tiebreaker goes to goal differential between the teams which Sweden won the first game 2-1.  

  So I bring this up as Romania knows this and know a win against Spain will be tough, so their best chance at progressing is to win this match as big as possible.  Of course Sweden can look at this the opposite way, but I’m thinking once that first goal goes in, no matter who scores, this game should open up big time as both teams will look to take chances.  If a 0-0 scoreline carries midway into the 2^nd half, then the play is probably dead.

  In the group, both teams are 6-2 Over this number and Sweden has had all eight games reach the 2-goal mark, while Romania has seven reach the mark with just one falling short. I think worst case is two goals here which a 1-1 score is likely, but I like the fact here that Romania is going to have to press for goals and a win here which could leave them vulnerable on the counter.

  3% TAKE OVER 2.25 GOALS

  Line Parameter: Play good at 2.25 up to -125, drop to 2% at 2.5

• SportGame SelectionGame Time

  SOCLithuania at Portugal2:45pm EST - Nov 14/2019
  THE PLAY: Portugal -3.5 (-105)

  Euro Qualifier

  (225417) Lithuania at (225418) Portugal

  Surprisingly, at least I consider it suprising, Portugal are not locked into a Euro spot yet and only sit one point clear of Serbia for the 2^nd qualification from the group.  Ukraine rolled through the group with six wins and one draw and have locked up the #1 spot as they are 8 points clear of Portugal with two games to go.  The excuse I’ll give Portugal is that they were preoccupied with the Nations League matches this summer, which of course they won, so they slipped up somewhat in some of their qualifier matches, although they lost 1-2 at Ukraine last month so you can’t blame that.

  That being said, this is the best scenario here for Portugal.  Lithuania is not good.  They are ranked #132 in the FIFA rankings and haven’t won a single game in the group stage so far with six losses but did manage one draw against Luxembourg.  In the reverse fixture at home, Lithuania lost 1-5 against Portugal as Ronaldo scored four goals.  The stat line for that game reads 66% possession to Portugal, with 31 shot attempts and 14 on goal, compared to 7 shots attempts and only 3 on goal for Lithuania.  In all honesty I was surprised that they even got three on goal and actually scored.  But that was at home, and here when they visit Portugal, I’m expecting a shutout and a very easy win by Portugal.

  This is a big number to lay, and honestly only in these international games can you ever justify laying these types of lines, but I think we are looking at a 5-0 win here.  Everything I’m seeing now indicates a full-strength squad for Portugal, including Ronaldo, as again, they need to win to earn their qualification.  They will be missing young superstar Joao Felix who is injured but they won’t even feel that in this match.

  3% TAKE PORTUGAL -3.5

  Line Parameter: Play good to -3.75

Nick Borrman has carved out a name for himself betting on soccer. He has been actively giving out free picks and analysis on soccer matches for several years through his Twitter handle @Borrman00. He was also an original writer on podbet.com, posting detailed write-ups of his picks.

Soccer

Borrman fell in love with professional ‘football’ (as anyone outside of the United States would refer to it) the first time he attended an MLS game seven years ago.  Now, he uses statistical analysis as well as current trends to successfully find value on soccer matches across the globe.  Borrman focuses much of his attention on the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and Serie A, as well as the most prestigious tournament of them all, the Champions League.  Of course, you can’t forget the fast-growing MLS which finishes the year-round soccer schedule through the summer months in North America.  Borrman derives many of his plays from his model forecasts and releases plays several days ahead of time to consistently beat line moves.

Golf

Borrman has been around golf his entire life and grew up playing every summer with his parents who were members of a local country club.  He eventually found his career working in the golf business as a Class A PGA Professional.  He has taken his vast knowledge of the game of golf and applies it to PGA Tour picks.  Borrman has taught golf to all levels for the last 15 years and understands the intricacies of the sport, the nuances of playing at different courses and the difficutly of bringing top level focus and physical energy week-in and week-out.  He is using this knowledge and trend forecasting to find Head-to-Head Tournament winners each week on the PGA Tour.

Both sports are year-round and Borrman only focuses his attention on these sports while most people, especially the oddsmakers, focus their attention on the major American sports, leaving plenty of value on the table to exploit!

Check out his weekly Podcasts on Sportsmemo.com and weekly soccer show, Stoppage Time, with Wagertalk's Carmine Bianco.