Oklahoma State at Kansas State Betting Preview
College basketball handicapper JM Sports breaks down tonight’s Oklahoma State at Kansas State showdown in the Big 12. At the time of posting, the Wildcats have opened as a 2-point home favorite over the road Cowboys, with the total sitting at 120.5 points.
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Wednesday, February 2 | Big 12 Basketball Betting Notes |
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Point Spread: | Oklahoma State Cowboys +2 at Kansas State Wildcats |
Total: | 130.5 Points |
Game Time: | 9:00pm ET / 6:00pm PT |
Arena: | PNC Arena in Raleigh, NC |
TV: | ESPNU |
Oklahoma State at Kansas State Analysis
Sometimes the true battle can’t always been seen on paper. When you look at it for what it is, this game doesn’t seem like it will be very interesting, two teams that are just barely hanging on to a .500 record on the season, both are under .500 in the conference and find themselves in the bottom half of the Big 12 Conference.
When the true story is Oklahoma State and Kansas State have both played schedules ranked in the top-25 in terms of difficulty, and a 10-10 record for both teams isn’t yet a sign to give up on the season.
Oklahoma State is outscoring their opponents by 2.7 PPG on average this season, but they are getting outscored by over six points on the road. Kansas State is 6-5 on their home court, and they have actually outscored their difficult list of opponents by over six points per game on their home court.
Oklahoma State Offense Struggling
Oklahoma State Cowboys head to Kansas State to take on the Wildcats at home. Oklahoma State has lost three straight games, dropping their conference record to just 3-5 on the season. Both teams have thrived on their defense this season, with Oklahoma State proudly in the top 20 in terms of efficiency, including being the 13th best team defending against shots inside the arc.
They have some legitimate depth on the team, consolidating enough of a rotation to be the #38 team in D1 in bench minutes on the season. The defense has been their saving grace, but when you look at the offensive aspect of Oklahoma State, things slowly shift.
They rank just #153 in offensive efficiency, coming in at #325 in 3PT percentage, which will make things even more difficult against the 3rd best team in the nation covering the deep ball! This will be Oklahoma State’s 14th game against teams ranked in the top-100 in defensive efficiency according to KenPom.
They have put up just 61.8 points on average in the previous 13 games, which has resulted in a 3-10 record against those teams!
Oklahoma State and Kansas State Two of the Same
Kansas State is sitting in a very similar position as Oklahoma State, and while they find themselves a little farther behind in the Big 12 standings, just under .500 on the season, but dominating the head-to-head record against the spread.
These teams have split the last eight games, with Oklahoma State winning the most recent four, after losing four straight prior to that, but K-State has covered six of those eight games against the spread. They look to bring their top defense and end the four game losing streak against Oklahoma State.
Kansas State comes in ranked #37 in defensive efficiency, as I mentioned before they are #3 in defending shots beyond the arc, and they are allowing the 38th least PPG in D1, allowing just 63 PPG to the opposition. K-State struggles in height, sitting at a disadvantage against a taller Oklahoma State team, but they do hold the offensive advantage, sitting at #115 in offensive efficiency, just under 40 spots ahead of the Cowboys.
Kansas State is 3-4 on the season coming off a game where they failed to cover the spread, but they aren’t new to playing in this situation. They are also accustomed to playing top quality defenses, just like the Cowboys, while Oklahoma State is the 5th best defense Kansas State has played this year, this is also their 14th game against top-100 defenses on the season.
In their previous 13 games, Kansas State is putting up 62.7 PPG on average, slightly higher then how Oklahoma State has fared, but is also 3-10 against those 13 teams.
Both of these teams have faced similarities in terms of talent when it comes to the opposition, but even in terms of competition both teams have faced Wichita State, Kansas, Texas, West Virginia, Texas Tech, Baylor, and TCU, and those are just the teams on the top-100 defense list.
Kansas State beat Wichita State by six points (Ok. State lost by nine), both teams lost to Kansas & West Virginia, both teams have split their two games against Texas, both teams played TCU close (w/ Oklahoma State getting the win & Kansas State leaving with a loss).
While the similarities never seem to end, although Texas Tech and Baylor speak the differences, two top-15 defensive units, Oklahoma State lost to Texas Tech by 21 points (their biggest loss of the year) but they beat Baylor by seven as a 14 point underdog! Kansas State on the other hand, handled Texas Tech by double digits, winning by 11 points as a 4.5 point underdog, but they lost to Baylor by 25 (their biggest loss of the season)!
Oklahoma State at Kansas State Prediction
When you look at the players that are leading these teams, you get a better idea of their strengths and their weaknesses. Oklahoma State is led offensively by Isaac Likekele, who comes in #10 in the conference in assists per game, the only player on their team that ranks in the top-10 in any major offensive stat in the Big 12 conference.
Yet, on the other side of the ball, Ok. State has a couple players that find their names a little higher on the stat boards in the conference. Avery Anderson, Bryce Williams, and Rondel Walker are ranked #4, #5 & #6 in the conference in steals per game, all averaging 1.85 or more steals per game.
Moussa Cisse (1.68) and Kalib Boone (1.38) find themselves leading the leader board in blocks per game in the conference, sitting #1 & #2 respectively in the Big 12.
Kansas State finds their sole defensive player on the list is Markquis Nowell who is #1 in the Big 12 in steals per game, averaging 2.33 steals every game this season, which also makes him the only player that is making a name for themselves statistically on the national level, coming in at #13 in D1 ball with those steal numbers.
On the other side of the ball, Markquis Nowell also finds himself on the assist charts, 2nd in the conference in assists per game, averaging 5.2 on the season.
Mark Smith leads the conference in rebounds per game, locking down over 8 boards per game, while Nijel Pack is the lone man in the game that has consistently put up points on the year, coming in ranked 4th in the conference in PPG, putting up 16.6 points on average this season.
Opinion : Kansas State (-2); K-State has held the head-to-head advantage against the spread, along with the fact that they are 7-3 against the spread as a favorite this season. They have also played better in the last five games, as well as playing better at home, in comparison to Oklahoma State playing on the road.
Interested in placing a bet on tonight’s Oklahoma State at Kansas State contest? DraftKings is offering a $1,000 Deposit Bonus for first-time bettors in New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Indiana, Colorado, Illinois, Iowa, Tennessee, Michigan, Virginia, Wyoming and Arizona.
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Oklahoma State at Kansas State Preview from GoldSheet
College Basketball Stat Sheet
GoldSheet prepares a daily college basketball stat sheet, which offers a head-to-head comparison for how teams are performing in a number of key areas heading into a game. Check out Wednesday’s sheet, with notes on tonight’s Oklahoma State at Kansas State contest.
NCAAB Odds Screen
Sportsmemo’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the college basketball point spreads, moneylines, first half lines and betting percentages for all of Wednesday’s NCAAB games, including this Oklahoma State at Kansas State showdown, from your desktop or phone.
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