David Hess cashed his Top Totals play yesterday on Valpo/Drake Over 143.5 as the teams flew past the number and combined for 157 points. Tonight he’s shifting gears with a strong CBB side play, a matchup he’s broken down with confidence and precision.
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| CBB | (609) Virginia at (610) Florida State: Total | 7:00pm EST - Feb 10/2026 |
The PLAY: Total Over 152.5 (-110)
This matchup has a very real path to the Over because both teams are playing faster, more offensively driven basketball than their historical reputations suggest, and the recent numbers on each side point toward another high‑possession ACC game. Florida State has turned their home floor into a track meet in league play—75.0 ppg scored, 81.2 ppg allowed, and their ACC home games are averaging a wild 157.8 ppg, driven by pace (they’re 19th nationally) and a defense that gives up clean looks early in the clock. Virginia isn’t the old grind‑it‑out version anymore; they’ve averaged 74.5 ppg in their last five ACC road games and are shooting 54.5% on twos in conference play, with a much quicker offensive rhythm than in past seasons. FSU’s defensive issues—46.2% FG allowed, 35.4% from three—fit perfectly with a UVA team that’s been far more aggressive from deep, taking over 30 threes per game in ACC action. With Florida State pushing tempo, Virginia willingly playing faster, and both defenses giving up efficient scoring inside and out, this projects as another high‑octane ACC game. Over 151.5 is the right side.