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Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| CBB | (637) Fresno State at (638) Utah State: Spread | 9:00pm EST - Feb 10/2026 |
The PLAY: Fresno State +19.0 (-110)
Utah State is clearly the better team, but this is simply more points than I am comfortable laying with the favorite. Fresno State has been one of the most reliable ATS teams in the Mountain West, going 15–7 against the number this season and 6–1 ATS over its last seven games. The Bulldogs have also had success specifically in this matchup, going 4-0-1 ATS in the last five head-to-head meetings, including the first meeting earlier this year when they covered as a 14.5-point home underdog.
Fresno State’s defensive style is well-suited to covering big spreads. They slow the pace, contest the perimeter, and force opponents to work deep into the shot clock. Utah State may ultimately control the game, but their recent 2–6 ATS run suggests they often win without separating enough to justify inflated numbers. With Fresno State’s track record and ability to grind games down, backing the Bulldogs plus the points is the side.
1.5% play