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Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| BSB | Gonzaga at Hawaii | 11:35pm EST - Feb 13/2026 |
The PLAY: Hawaii -210
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#1 MLB profit 2024 (+145 units)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2024 (+180u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2022 (+125u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2021 (+225u)
#4 All-Sports Profit 2025 (+49u)
Tokyo Brandon has finished #1 overall in profit at WagerTalk among 33 cappers over the last 5 years and turned a profit in 5 of the last 6 seasons – no guessing here, just a consistent winning strategy and results. Your bankroll will thank you later, and your wallet will too with 50% off! (this includes MLB, KBO, Japanese, World Baseball Classic, Mexican baseball and EVERY other baseball bet all year)
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_______
Gonzaga at Hawaiʻi — Feb 13, 2026 (Opening Day)
Likely Friday starters
Gonzaga: Finbar O'Brien (2025: 6–1, 5.78 ERA, 1.48 WHIP; 83 K / 31 BB in 71.2 IP)
Hawaiʻi: Isaiah Magdaleno (2025: 2.70 ERA, 0.95 WHIP; 77 K / 11 BB in 60.0 IP; 9 saves)
Note: Magdaleno’s 2025 line is as an elite bullpen arm; projecting him as a starter adds some “how’s the stamina first time out?” uncertainty.
What drives the edge
Pitcher form (baseline = 2025 production)
Magdaleno’s run prevention + command profile is dramatically better (2.70 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 77/11 K/BB) than O’Brien’s (5.78 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 83/31 K/BB).
Batter form (team-level + key bats)
Hawaiʻi 2025 offense: .286 AVG / .385 OBP, 364 runs in 56 games (~6.50 R/G).
Key return bats include Matthew Miura (.338) and Ben Zeigler-Namoa (.333).Gonzaga 2025 offense: .273 AVG / .360 OBP, 319 runs in 53 games (~6.02 R/G).
Headliner: Mikey Bell hit .360 with 11 HR.
Bullpen / staff quality
Hawaiʻi staff: 4.25 team ERA (and the program notes they’ve been top-20 nationally in ERA in both 2024 and 2025).
Gonzaga staff: 5.89 team ERA, and allowed 71 HR in 2025.
Context bump
Opening weekend at Les Murakami Stadium, where Hawaiʻi has been a strong home team in recent seasons per the series preview.
Win probability + American odds (from that probability)
Projected winner: Hawaiʻi
Quick read: Hawaiʻi’s pitching/staff quality is the big lever; Gonzaga’s path is basically “Magdaleno doesn’t look like 2025 Magdaleno as a starter, and Gonzaga’s lineup gets to Hawaiʻi’s middle relief early.”
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| BSKT | (300105) Brisbane Bullets at (300106) Perth: Total | 5:30am EST - Feb 13/2026 |
The PLAY: Total Under 181.5 (-110)
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Tokyo Brandon has been dominating since 2020. Don’t miss your shot to cash in with Tokyo Brandon’s baseball in 2026 at 50% for the entire year, every league!
Why trust Tokyo Brandon? Because the record speaks for itself
#1 MLB profit 2024 (+145 units)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2024 (+180u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2022 (+125u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2021 (+225u)
#4 All-Sports Profit 2025 (+49u)
Tokyo Brandon has finished #1 overall in profit at WagerTalk among 33 cappers over the last 5 years and turned a profit in 5 of the last 6 seasons – no guessing here, just a consistent winning strategy and results. Your bankroll will thank you later, and your wallet will too with 50% off! (this includes MLB, KBO, Japanese, World Baseball Classic, Mexican baseball and EVERY other baseball bet all year)
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_______
Brisbane Bullets at Perth Wildcats
DK line: Perth -20.5 | Total 181.5
Season profile:
Perth: 91.1 scored / 86.3 allowed (net +4.8). Home record 8–7 (interestingly not ultra-dominant at home).
Brisbane: 81.3 scored / 101.2 allowed (net -19.9). Away record 4–12.
Last 10:
Perth last 10: 8–2, about 96.1 scored / 86.4 allowed.
Brisbane last 10: 0–10, about 75.2 scored / 97.8 allowed (that’s not “slumping,” that’s “astronomical impact crater”).
Injuries notes (big factor here):
Brisbane: Casey Prather (knee, season), Javon Freeman-Liberty (hamstring, season), Lamar Patterson (hamstring, season), plus Dakota Mathias (shoulder, Feb) and others TBC.
Perth: David Duke Jr. (elbow, TBC), Jaron Rillie (hamstring, TBC), Sunday Dech (illness, TBC).
Projection:
Perth 97 – Brisbane 80 (Total 177)
Spread is enormous for a 40-minute game, but Brisbane’s offense + injuries scream “team total collapse risk,” which matters most for the total.
Last 10 + home/away pattern (this is the engine)
Brisbane last 10:
0–10, scoring about 75.1 ppg, conceding about 98.3 ppg (from the listed last-10 results).
Brisbane last 10 (away only):Away totals average about 171.8.
Perth last 10:
Very strong form; totals average about 182.5 overall.
Perth last 10 (home only):Home totals average about 175.4.
So your total is 181.5, while:
Brisbane’s away environment lately ≈ low 170s
Perth’s home environment lately ≈ mid 170s
Head-to-head this season
Three meetings:
203 total (Brisbane win @Perth early)
148 total (Perth 86–62)
170 total (Perth 95–75).
Two most recent are comfortably under, and Brisbane’s scoring in those is 62 and 75.
Injuries (this strengthens the Under case)
Official league injury list has Brisbane missing multiple pieces and also lists Tyrell Harrison (concussion – TBC), while Perth has a few “TBC” tags too.
Brisbane also officially ruled Javon Freeman-Liberty out for the season.
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| CBB | (755) Youngstown State at (756) Oakland: Spread | 7:00pm EST - Feb 12/2026 |
The PLAY: Oakland -4.5 (-110)
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🔴click here! ➡ https://www.wagertalk.com/profile/tokyo-brandon#specials
Tokyo Brandon has been dominating since 2020. Don’t miss your shot to cash in with Tokyo Brandon’s baseball in 2026 at 50% for the entire year, every league!
Why trust Tokyo Brandon? Because the record speaks for itself
#1 MLB profit 2024 (+145 units)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2024 (+180u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2022 (+125u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2021 (+225u)
#4 All-Sports Profit 2025 (+49u)
Tokyo Brandon has finished #1 overall in profit at WagerTalk among 33 cappers over the last 5 years and turned a profit in 5 of the last 6 seasons – no guessing here, just a consistent winning strategy and results. Your bankroll will thank you later, and your wallet will too with 50% off! (this includes MLB, KBO, Japanese, World Baseball Classic, Mexican baseball and EVERY other baseball bet all year)
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_______
Team Comparison (since conference play)
Category | Youngstown State | Oakland |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 79.5 | ~82.3 |
Points Allowed Per Game | 72.4 | ~84.3 |
Top 2 Leading Scorers | Cris Carroll ~17-22 PPG* | Brody Robinson 16.8 PPG |
Assist Leader | Drew King ~3.1 APG* | Brody Robinson ~5.9 APG |
Top 2 Rebound Leaders | Cris Carroll ~5.0 RPG* | Isaac Garrett (notable reb from recent box) |
Injuries | None major reported | Isaac Garrett (foot – out) |
Score Prediction & Total/Spread Breakdown
Projected game flow favors Oakland’s higher offensive output against a middling YSU defense; YSU’s stronger defensive numbers suggest the total leans under the 155.5 mark. Projected score: Oakland 82 — Youngstown State 75 (total 157 — slightly above but close to line), projected margin Oakland by 7; total slightly busts under expectation but game tempo and defense suggest slower endgame scoring..
Team Trends since 1/1/26 (SU, ATS, O/U, Home/Away & Patterns)
• Youngstown State is strong in February SU (9-3) and performs well on Thursdays (16-4 SU).
• H2H historical shows Oakland leads series, mixed outcomes with marginal ATS wins; total points historically cluster near close margins and moderate totals.
• Offense/defense splits: YSU holds opponents under their scoring average, Oakland allows more points, creating a contrast that favors tighter games and potentially lower totals than pure offense numbers suggest.
Player Matchup Breakdown
YSU’s scoring focus centers on Cris Carroll, a versatile forward who will draw key defensive attention; his efficiency and three-point ability stretch the floor and create space for Dawkins and Blackshear. Oakland counters with Brody Robinson, whose scoring and playmaking axe gives them tempo and clutch possessions, supported by Houge’s scoring touch. The battle of Robinson vs YSU help defense and Carroll vs Oakland closeouts will define the second-half control. YSU’s assist production is limited, so Oakland’s higher assist numbers suggest better ball movement and scoring opportunities, especially in transition.
Massive ATS gap on the season: Oakland is 15–9 ATS, while Youngstown St is 7–15 ATS. That’s the kind of split that usually means one team is consistently mispriced (YSU).
YSU has been a spread-burner in this matchup pool: Action’s trend page has them 4–7 ATS away and 4–10 ATS as a favorite (i.e., when the market respects them they’ve tended to disappoint).
Home-court + profile fit: Oakland has been solid at home ATS (5–3 ATS home), and this line is basically asking them to win by two possessions in their building.
They already proved they can win this matchup: Oakland beat Youngstown St 85–83 on Jan 1, 2026 (at Youngstown’s place). Even if you downgrade that for “close game,” it still supports Oakland being the better side in this pairing.
Market has Oakland favored for a reason (and it’s not vibes): current board shows Oakland -4.5 (-113) with Oakland -200 ML. The spread being under -5 implies the market is already baking in some caution — which can be good for a favorite if you think they’re still the better team.
YSU’s consistency problem (the “can’t trust them for 40 minutes” angle): they’re just 12–13 straight up, and as an underdog they’re 2–6 SU. If Oakland gets any separation, YSU hasn’t reliably closed the gap.