Tokyo Brandon stands as one of WagerTalk's most elite and consistent performers — the #1 all-sports profit leader in 3 of the last 5 years among 33 top handicappers. His rock-solid, year-over-year track record proves he's no flash in the pan:
2025: #4 All-Sports Profit (+49 units)
2024: #1 All-Sports Profit (+180 units)
2022: #1 All-Sports Profit (+125 units)
2021: #1 All-Sports Profit (+225 units)
Lock in Tokyo Brandon's college basketball Cleveland State at Youngstown State pick TODAY for ONLY $7 and ride with the guy who's been crushing it for years. This is primed for value — proven dominance meets a steal of a deal with serious upside. Get it before it's gone!
Follow
X @Tokyo Brandon
TikTok @tokyobrandonofficial
Instagram @tokyobrandon
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| CBB | (715) Troy at (716) UL - Monroe: Total | 7:30pm EST - Feb 18/2026 |
The PLAY: Total Under 153.5 (-115)
ALL-BASEBALL ALL-ACCESS YEAR PASS | EVERY LEAGUE! $699 DISCOUNT
This is an early bird special offered only for a limited time
50% OFF Every Baseball League from WagerTalk's Top Capper!
🔴click here! ➡ https://www.wagertalk.com/profile/tokyo-brandon#specials
Tokyo Brandon has been dominating since 2020. Don’t miss your shot to cash in with Tokyo Brandon’s baseball in 2026 at 50% for the entire year, every league!
Why trust Tokyo Brandon? Because the record speaks for itself
#1 MLB profit 2024 (+145 units)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2024 (+180u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2022 (+125u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2021 (+225u)
#4 All-Sports Profit 2025 (+49u)
Tokyo Brandon has finished #1 overall in profit at WagerTalk among 33 cappers in 3 of the last 5 years and turned a profit in 5 of the last 6 seasons – no guessing here, just a consistent winning strategy and results. Your bankroll will thank you later, and your wallet will too with 50% off! (this includes MLB, KBO, Japanese, World Baseball Classic, Mexican baseball and EVERY other baseball bet all year)
🔴click here! ➡ https://www.wagertalk.com/profile/tokyo-brandon#specials
Follow
X @Tokyo Brandon
TikTok @tokyobrandonofficial
Instagram @tokyobrandon
_______
Category | Troy | Louisiana-Monroe |
|---|---|---|
Points per game (since 1/1/26) | 74.4 | 70.2 |
Points allowed per game (since 1/1/26) | 70.2 | 83.8 |
Top 2 scorers | V. Valdes 15.5 PPG; T. Dowd 14.4 PPG | K. Lewis 17.7 PPG; M. Russell 15.6 PPG |
Assist leader | V. Valdes 4.7 APG | K. Lewis 3.0 APG |
Top 2 rebounders | T. Dowd 10.2 RPG; T. Seng 5.8 RPG | L. Brodnex 8.4 RPG; K. Lewis 4.4 RPG |
Injuries | None | None |
Trends/patterns since 1/1/26 (and how they map to today’s lines)
Baseline team form (since 1/1/26, 13 games each):
Troy: 8–5 SU, 7–6 ATS, 5–8 O/U, avg total 144.6 (avg total line ~149.1)
ULM: 1–12 SU, 8–5 ATS, 8–5 O/U, avg total 154.0 (avg total line ~152.0)
Home/away splits (since 1/1/26):
Troy away: 4–3 SU, 3–4 ATS, avg total 149.7
ULM home: 0–5 SU, 2–3 ATS, avg total 152.0
Streak/cold-spot stuff (last 5 games):
Troy last 5: 2–3 SU, 2–3 ATS, 0–5 to the over, avg total 133.0
ULM last 5: 1–4 SU, 3–2 ATS, 4–1 to the over, avg total 163.8
Compare those to today:
Today’s total 153.5 sits well above Troy’s Jan1+ average game total (144.6) but right on top of ULM’s (154.0).
Today’s spread -15.5 is “big,” but ULM has lived as a big underdog and still managed 8–5 ATS since Jan 1—classic “bad team, huge numbers” behavior.
Player matchup breakdowns
Troy’s engine is V. Valdes (15.5 PPG, 4.7 APG) with T. Dowd (14.4 PPG, 10.2 RPG) as the interior sledgehammer. Against ULM’s Jan1+ profile (allowing ~84 a night), Troy should generate efficient looks—especially if Dowd forces help and Valdes picks apart rotations. The “level of competition” piece matters here because both have been living in Sun Belt play, and ULM has consistently been on the wrong end of that same ecosystem (4–23 overall, 14th in league on Covers).
ULM’s scoring leans on K. Lewis (17.7 PPG, 3.0 APG) and M. Russell (15.6 PPG), with L. Brodnex (8.4 RPG) as their best rebound cleaner. The problem: since Jan 1, ULM’s offense has been merely “okay-ish” (~70), but their defense has been a piñata (~84 allowed). If Troy avoids sloppy live-ball turnovers, ULM’s path to staying inside +15.5 is basically: Lewis heats up from deep, Brodnex wins enough second-chance points, and Troy stays in its recent offensive funk.
One fun micro-battle: Dowd vs Brodnex/Lewis on the glass. Dowd’s rebounding rate is the kind that can turn a decent Troy possession into two decent possessions, and that’s how favorites cover chunky spreads without needing absurd shooting variance. Also: both teams show no injuries on Covers, so rotation surprises are less likely to ambush the handicap.
Why I am betting Under 153.5
Troy has been an Under machine lately: Troy Trojans has gone UNDER in 6 straight games.
Recent Troy scoring has been… not spicy: In Troy’s last 6, they scored 65, 62, 79, 74, 44, 64 (5 of 6 at ≤74, and one faceplant at 44). Those game finals also land under the posted totals repeatedly.
Today’s DK total is higher than the numbers Troy has been living in: DraftKings has O/U 153.5 (O -105 / U -115). Troy’s recent lined totals showing on the matchup page include 144.5, 140.5, 137.5, 147.5—meaning you’re asking this game to play noticeably faster/cleaner than Troy’s recent environment.
Defense + efficiency math leans Under if Troy dictates: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks has weaker efficiency profiles, while Troy’s defense rates better (lower defensive efficiency) and the pace is around the low-70s possessions. If Troy’s defense “wins” the style battle, ULM’s scoring can get dragged down.
Series trend supports it: ULM’s games vs Troy have gone UNDER in 5 of the last 7 (per OddsShark trend log).
Blowout script can help an Under: With Troy laying -15.5, there’s a plausible “Troy up big → longer possessions / fewer transition risks / bench minutes” second-half shape. That often lowers scoring efficiency even if pace doesn’t crater (especially if the trailing team stops being competent rather than starts fouling).
That’s the Under case in a nutshell: you’re betting Troy’s recent “slow-ish + defense + offense not firing” reality outweighs ULM’s tendency to be involved in higher totals.