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Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| CBB | (821) Cal Santa Barbara at (822) Hawaii: Moneyline | 10:00pm EST - Feb 21/2026 |
The PLAY: Hawaii -175
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_______
UC Santa Barbara @ Hawai’i — today (since 1/1/26)
Comparison chart
Category | UC Santa Barbara | Hawai’i |
|---|---|---|
Points per game | 79.3 | 79.6 |
Points allowed per game | 73.5 | 68.5 |
Top two leading scorers | Aidan Mahaney 15.2; CJ Shaw 12.6 | Isaac Johnson 13.6; Dre Bullock 13.0 |
Assist leaders (top 2) | Miro Little 4.5; Aidan Mahaney 2.8 | Hunter Erickson 3.6; Dre Bullock 2.0 |
Top two rebound leaders | Zion Sensley 7.7; Miro Little 5.2 | Isaac Johnson 6.0; Dre Bullock 5.8 |
Injuries | Jason Fontenet II OUT (knee); Miro Little Q (undisclosed) | Aaron Hunkin-Claytor OUT (toe); Tanner Cuff OUT (knee) |
Trends & patterns (with a real “since 1/1/26” lens)
Recent form (all games listed here are after 1/31/26)
UCSB last five: L 85–83 OT, L 89–79, W 76–68, W 84–79, L 85–75
Hawai’i last five: L 86–75, L 84–60, W 89–74, W 72–67, W 89–82
ATS / O-U context (season-to-date, plus location splits that matter today)
ATS: UCSB 10–15 overall; 2–9 as away team. Hawai’i 9–14 overall; 5–9 at home.
O/U: UCSB 14–11 overall; Hawai’i 7–16 overall; Hawai’i 3–11 at home.
Player matchup breakdowns:
Mahaney/Shaw shot quality vs Hawai’i’s defensive shell: UCSB’s offense is at its best when Aidan Mahaney is getting downhill into pull-ups or spray-out threes, and CJ Shaw’s efficiency (and physicality) punishes teams that over-help. Hawai’i’s season-long defensive numbers suggest they’re comfortable making you take “plan B” shots, so UCSB’s ability to keep turnovers down and force rotations is the hinge.
Little’s health matters more than it sounds: Miro Little is UCSB’s table-setter (4.5 apg) and a top rebounder too; if he’s limited (questionable), UCSB can still score, but their late-clock organization gets shakier—exactly where Hawai’i’s defense tends to win possessions.
Glass + paint: Sensley/Little rebounding vs Isaac Johnson’s interior gravity: Zion Sensley’s rebounding rate is elite for a guard, which helps UCSB survive against Hawai’i’s size and team rebounding. On the other side, Isaac Johnson is Hawai’i’s best “stable” scoring source inside; if UCSB keeps him off the line and avoids foul trouble, they can stay within one or two possessions all night.
Erickson/Bullock creation vs UCSB perimeter defense: Hunter Erickson drives Hawai’i’s passing volume, while Dre Bullock is a primary scorer and secondary creator. UCSB’s path is to contest without sending extra help (so Hawai’i can’t get easy kickout rhythm) and then run after misses—because Hawai’i’s away/home splits suggest they’re less comfortable when the game gets loose.
Why I am betting Hawaii:
Home-court + travel tax is real here. Hawai’i at the Stan Sheriff Center is a different animal, and UCSB has to do the full Pacific travel + body-clock weirdness. That edge matters most in late-game execution (FTs, defensive rotations, fewer “dumb” possessions).
Defensive gap favors Hawai’i in a 40-minute game. Season profile: Hawai’i allows 68.5 ppg vs UCSB 73.5 ppg. In a near coin-flip matchup, the team that can get two or three extra stops tends to be the ML side.
Better “floor” scoring balance. Hawai’i’s top options (Isaac Johnson + Dre Bullock) are less “all threes, vibes, and prayers” and more steady two-level scoring; that’s useful if refs tighten up / legs are heavy / pace slows.
UCSB’s key organizer is dinged up. Miro Little is listed questionable in the injury aggregation; if he’s limited, UCSB’s half-court offense can get sticky late, which is where home favorites win close games.
Revenge angle with a concrete prior result. UCSB beat Hawai’i 77–62 on Jan 18, 2026. Rematches in-conference often come with sharper game-plans (especially at home), and Hawai’i has a clear “we know what failed” tape.